Guangcheng Hu
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13 records found
1
A synergistic integration of physics-based and data-driven approaches has emerged as promising research field for terrestrial evapotranspiration (ET) estimation, enabling robust modeling of land-atmosphere interactions. This study proposes a hybrid model by integrating machine learning (ML)-based canopy surface resistance (rs,c) estimation into the Shuttleworth-Wallace (S-W) dual-source scheme under the ETMonitor framework, replacing traditional physics-based rs,c parameterization. Three ML algorithms, Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting Regression Tree (GBRT) and Deep Neural Network (DNN) were tested in the hybrid model. A reference dataset of rs,c was derived by inverting S-W dual-source model with in-situ flux measurements. The model was trained on 179 global flux tower sites and independently validated on 45 sites. Three full ML-based models based on DNN, GBRT and RF, were also developed to estimate ET directly for comparison. The DNN-integrated hybrid model outperformed the original physics-based model, with Kling-Gupta Efficiency (KGE) increasing from 0.7 to 0.84 and coefficient of determination (R²) increasing from 0.66 to 0.72. The three full ML models showed comparable performance to the hybrid models. Notably, the physics-ML hybrid framework balances physical interpretability with data-driven efficiency, minimizing reliance on prior knowledge and avoiding over-parameterization.
The impacts of drought on water availability
Spatial and temporal analysis in the Belt and Road region (2001–2020)
Climate change, population growth, and economic development exacerbate water scarcity. This study investigates the impact of drought on water availability in the Belt and Road region using high-resolution remote sensing data from 2001 to 2020. The results revealed an average water availability (precipitation minus evapotranspiration) of 249 mm/year and a declining trend in the Belt and Road region. Approximately 13% of the Belt and Road region faces water deficits (evapotranspiration exceeds precipitation), primarily in arid and semi-arid regions with high drought frequency. The area in the water deficit is expanding, and the intensity of the water deficit is increasing. The annual trend of water availability is strongly related to the frequency of droughts, i.e. water availability decreases with increased drought frequency. Drought exacerbates seasonal water stress in approximately one-third of the Belt and Road region, mainly in Europe and northern Asia, where drought frequently occurs during seasons with low water availability. The more severe the drought, the larger the negative anomaly in water availability. The critical role of evapotranspiration in seasonal water availability variability is also highlighted. This research underscores the importance of understanding drought-induced changes in water availability, which is crucial for sustainable water resource management.
Improving irrigation water management is a key concern for the agricultural sector, and it requires extensive and comprehensive tools that provide a complete knowledge of crop water use and requirements. This study presents a novel methodology to explicitly estimate daily gross and net crop water requirements, actual crop water use, and irrigation efficiency of center pivot irrigation systems, by mainly utilizing the Sentinel-2 MultiSpectral Instrument (MSI) imagery at the farm scale. ETMonitor model is adapted to estimate actual water use (as the sum of canopy transpiration and evaporation of water intercepted by canopy and evaporation from soil) at daily/10-m resolution, benefiting from the high-resolution Sentinel-2 data and thus to assess the irrigation efficiency at the farm scale. The gross irrigation water requirement is estimated from the net crop water requirement and the water loss, including the water droplet evaporation directly into the air during application before droplets fall on the canopy and canopy interception loss. The method was applied to a pilot farmland with two major crops (wheat and potato) in the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region of China, where modern equipment and appropriate irrigation methods are deployed for efficient water use. The estimated actual crop water use showed good agreement with the ground observations, e.g. the determination coefficients range from 0.67 to 0.81 and root mean square errors range from 0.56 mm/day to 1.24 mm/day for wheat and potato when comparing the estimated evapotranspiration with the measurement by the eddy covariance system. It also showed that the losses of total irrigated volume were 25.4% for wheat and 23.7% for potato, respectively, and found that the water allocation was insufficient to meet the water requirement in this irrigated area. This suggests that the amount of water applied was insufficient to meet the crop water requirement and the inherent water losses in the center pivot irrigation system, which imply the necessity to improve the irrigation practice to use the water more efficiently.
In the Tibetan Plateau (TP) region, the foreseeable increase in air temperature may have profound and complex effects on the local hydrological cycle, and is likely to increase water loss from the land surface to the atmosphere through evapotranspiration (ET). Quantifying ET and its regulatory mechanisms are major challenges for understanding the water cycle and land-atmosphere interactions in the TP region. We evaluated the performance of several Earth observation-based ET datasets in the TP region, and explored the spatiotemporal variation of ET in the same region. The accuracy of different global ET datasets was evaluated, and ETMonitor and PML-V2 provide the best accuracy with overall high correlation, low bias, and low root mean square error. ETMonitor ET is also the only product with both high spatial (~1 km) and temporal (daily) resolution. ETMonitor ET may reflect the effect of mountain topography on ET better than other global products, i.e., ET values are higher in the humid valleys with denser vegetation cover and higher soil moisture, and ET values are lower on the mountain slopes at higher elevations with less vegetation cover and colder climate. Other ET products failed to capture the spatial patterns of ET in the mountainous regions, and this suggests that the spatial resolution is not the only dominant factor leading to the poorer performance of these ET products in the mountain regions of the TP. The results show that multi-year average ET is 339 mm/yr in the TP region during 2000-2021, which accounts for about 51% of the total precipitation in the TP region. From 2000 to 2021, ET over the Tibetan Plateau shows an overall increasing trend with large spatial variability.
A data-driven high spatial resolution model of biomass accumulation and crop yield
Application to a fragmented desert-oasis agroecosystem
Information on crop yield is important for food security, in particular under the conditions of climate change and growing population worldwide. We developed a new fully distributed, high spatial resolution, model of biomass accumulation and crop yield applicable to a highly heterogeneous desert-oasis agroecosystem. The bulk of required input data is obtained by retrieving pixel-wise biogeophysical variables from a suite of very diverse satellite data. Both temperature and water stress conditions at field-scale are given full consideration, while the model was designed to strike a balance between model applicability and satisfactory characterization of the heterogeneous desert-oasis system to estimate field-scale yield. The development of this model relies on three main innovations. First, the start and end of the growing season were estimated for each pixel by calibrating the high spatial and temporal resolution observations of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) by Sentinal-2 (S2) MSI (Multi-Spectral Instrument) against limited local phenological information. Second, to monitor crop water stress, account taken of irrigation, a process-based water and energy balance model was applied to estimate the actual evapotranspiration (ET). This requires knowledge of soil water availability, which is characterized by downscaling the ASCAT (Advanced SCATterrometer) soil moisture data product. To capture the dominant features of the eco-hydrological conditions in the desert and oasis agroecosystem, ET was further downscaled from the 1 km resolution. Third, likewise the water stress indicator, the air temperature stress indicator was mapped after characterizing the thermal contrast and heterogeneity of the desert-oasis system, by generating time series of air temperature at 1 km spatial resolution using the MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) Land Surface Temperature (LST) data product. In the temporal dimension, gaps were mitigated by applying time series analysis techniques to reconstruct cloud-free time series of LST, NDVI, fAPAR and albedo. These innovations add up to a high resolution characterization of crop response to the geospatial variability of weather and climate forcing in the desert-oasis agroecosystem. The model was applied to the dominant crops, i.e., spring wheat, maize, sunflower, and melon, in the oases of the Shiyang River Basin (northwestern China) characterized by a rather fragmented land use. The high resolution of pixel-wise ecohydrological parameters, i.e., crop phenology, temperature stress and water stress factors successfully reflect differences of crops with different phenology and location in the oases. The relative errors for wheat and maize yields compared to the census data are less than 5% at district level. At the county level, the relative errors of wheat yields of Liangzhou, Minqin, Gulang, Jinchuan, and Yongchang equal to 0.87%, 24.2%, 9.7%, 12.5%, and 7.2%. For maize, the dominant crop, the error on estimated yields was less than 5%, except in Gulang. The relative error on estimated yield for sunflower was less than 10% compared to agricultural census data. The relative error on estimated melon yield was 16%. This performance highlights the applicability of the model to estimate field-scale yields in agroecosystems characterized by fragmented land use.
Surface Soil Moisture (SSM) information is needed for agricultural water resource management, hydrology and climate analysis applications. Temporal and spatial sampling by the space-borne instruments designed to retrieve SSM is, however, limited by the orbit and sensors of the satellites. We produced a Global Daily-scale Soil Moisture Fusion Dataset (GDSMFD) with 25 km spatial resolution (2011~2018) by applying the Triple Collocation Analysis (TCA) and Linear Weight Fusion (LWF) methods. Using five metrics, the GDSMFD was evaluated against in-situ soil moisture measurements from ten ground observation networks and compared with the prefusion SSM products. Results indicated that the GDSMFD was consistent with in-situ soil moisture measurements, the minimum of root mean square error values of GDSMFD was only 0.036 cm3/cm3. Moreover, the GDSMFD had a good global coverage with mean Global Coverage Fraction (GCF) of 0.672 and the maximum GCF of 0.837. GDSMFD performed well in accuracy and global coverage fraction, making it valuable in applications to the global climate change monitoring, drought monitoring and hydrological monitoring.
A distributed hydrological energy-water-balance model (FEST-EWB) is calibrated over the Heihe Basin, a mainly desertic basin in China, employing remotely-sensed Land Surface Temperature (LST) (MODIS, 1-km resolution) as calibration variable. This approach overcomes the problem of model parameters characterization, which are usually difficult to define especially over large basins, allowing a pixel-by-pixel calibration, preserving the spatial heterogeneity. Hence, the spatial distribution of the modelled LST, but also of soil moisture (SM) and evapotranspiration (ET) is improved. The accuracy of the calibration process is documented through common statistical indexes. The modelled ET is compared locally against two eddy covariance stations in the agricultural area, while distributively against the ET estimates of the ETMonitor model and some global re-analysis products (ERA-Interim, GLDAS2, GLEAM and MERRA-2). Calibration and validation performed in this study prove that a considerable model accuracy is attainable even in extremely arid environments. An average LST bias of 2.6 °C is obtained over the basin. A good adaptation of FEST-EWB is also obtained against eddy-covariance stations ET with a little bias around −1 mm/d. On the other hand, the reanalysis products display a much worse performance, with higher absolute biases (around −3.5 mm/d), although with high variability among the models.
Drought hazards induced by continuous water shortage may damage crop growth and cause severe grain loss. With one of the most intensive irrigation systems, the Indus basin has supported agriculture for millennia and feeds up more than 300 million people. The water supply for the basin scale irrigation is dominated by melting of glaciers and snowpack in the Himalaya and Karakoram mountain ranges, ground water as well as the Asian monsoon rainfall. To understand how ecosystems over the Indus basin with such complex water supply mechanism response to meteorological drought (rainfall shortage) is critical for future drought monitoring and evaluation applications. This study evaluated the spatiotemporal response pattern using correlation analysis of rainfall anomalies (3-month scale) and vegetation anomalies (1-month scale) with long-term satellite observations. The result found that the vegetation over northern Indus valley significantly coupled to rainfall variation during both summer (Kharif) and winter (Rabi) monsoon season. While significant response during Kharif season also was identified over the southern part, especially over the Punjab, where was well equipped with irrigation system. We concluded that special attention should be paid to drought assessment in terms of rainfall and vegetation anomaly over the Indus basin.
Land Surface Models which determine evapotranspiration (ET) by neglecting the sub-grid heterogeneity of land-atmosphere parameters will cause aggregation biases in spatially-averaged ET estimates, considering the nonlinear dependences of ET on the heterogeneous land-atmosphere parameters. One frequently adopted strategy clusters the heterogeneous surface within a model grid into several tiles, assumed to be homogeneous, usually based on high-resolution land cover data. While the differences in bulk-averaged parameters between different tiles are considered, the heterogeneity within each tile is neglected. This study evaluated in detail the aggregation biases in the tile mean ET estimates due to applying bulk-averages of the Saturation degree of surface Soil Moisture (SSM) and Leaf Area Index (LAI) for each tile through numerical experiments. Four types of Probability Distribution Function (PDF) were used to simulate different scenarios on the heterogeneity (within a tile) of SSM and LAI, i.e., from water scarcity to wet, and from sparse to dense vegetation covered surfaces. Aggregation bias was calculated by comparing ET estimates based on bulk-averaged SSM and LAI with the one obtained by aggregation of the flux estimates based on the PDFs, which complies with energy conservation. In addition, a wide range of meteorological conditions was applied in our numerical experiments and the impacts were evaluated by binning results according to the reference ET (ET 0 ). We found that potentially significant bias can be found in semi-arid areas. Neglecting the actual spatial variability of both SSM and LAI within tiles can lead to both large relative error (> 20%) and absolute error (> 1 mm/day) in the estimated ET. A negative bias is expected at low ET / ET 0 and a positive bias is expected at large ET / ET 0 , regardless of climate conditions (i.e., ET 0 ).
Glacier facies mapping using a machine-learning algorithm
The Parlung Zangbo Basin case study
Glaciers in the Tibetan Plateau are an important indicator of climate change. Automatic glacier facies mapping utilizing remote sensing data is challenging due to the spectral similarity of supraglacial debris and the adjacent bedrock. Most of the available glacier datasets do not provide the boundary of clean ice and debris-covered glacier facies, while debris-covered glacier facies play a key role in mass balance research. The aim of this study was to develop an automatic algorithm to distinguish ice cover types based on multi-temporal satellite data, and the algorithm was implemented in a subregion of the Parlung Zangbo basin in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau. The classification method was built upon an automated machine learning approach: Random Forest in combination with the analysis of topographic and textural features based on Landsat-8 imagery and multiple digital elevation model (DEM) data. Very high spatial resolution Gao Fen-1 (GF-1) Panchromatic and Multi-Spectral (PMS) imagery was used to select training samples and validate the classification results. In this study, all of the land cover types were classified with overall good performance using the proposed method. The results indicated that fully debris-covered glaciers accounted for approximately 20.7% of the total glacier area in this region and were mainly distributed at elevations between 4600 m and 4800 m above sea level (a.s.l.). Additionally, an analysis of the results clearly revealed that the proportion of small size glaciers (< 1 km 2 ) were 88.3% distributed at lower elevations compared to larger size glaciers (≥1 km 2 ). In addition, the majority of glaciers (both in terms of glacier number and area) were characterized by a mean slope ranging between 20° and 30°, and 42.1% of glaciers had a northeast and north orientation in the Parlung Zangbo basin.
We present in this paper a polynomial fitting method applicable to segments of footprints measured by the Geoscience Laser Altimeter System (GLAS) to estimate glacier thickness change. Our modification makes the method applicable to complex topography, such as a large mountain glacier. After a full analysis of the planar fitting method to characterize errors of estimates due to complex topography, we developed an improved fitting method by adjusting a binary polynomial surface to local topography. The improved method and the planar fitting method were tested on the accumulation areas of the Naimona’nyi glacier and Yanong glacier on along-track facets with lengths of 1000 m, 1500 m, 2000 m, and 2500 m, respectively. The results show that the improved method gives more reliable estimates of changes in elevation than planar fitting. The improved method was also tested on Guliya glacier with a large and relatively flat area and the Chasku Muba glacier with very complex topography. The results in these test sites demonstrate that the improved method can give estimates of glacier thickness change on glaciers with a large area and a complex topography. Additionally, the improved method based on GLAS Data and Shuttle Radar Topography Mission-Digital Elevation Model (SRTM-DEM) can give estimates of glacier thickness change from 2000 to 2008/2009, since it takes the 2000 SRTM-DEM as a reference, which is a longer period than 2004 to 2008/2009, when using the GLAS data only and the planar fitting method.
The Pan-Eurasian and African Continents are characterized by large ranges of climates varying from humid, semi-humid, semi-arid and arid regions, and great challenges exist in water allocation for different sectors that related to water resource and food security, which depends strongly on the water use information. Quantitative information on water use is also important to understand the effectiveness of water allocation and further to prevent from water stress resulted by drought in water-scarce regions. Explosive development of satellite remote sensing observations provide great chance to provide useful spatiotemporal information for quantifying the water use at regional to global scales. In this paper, a process-based model ETMonitor was used in combination with biophysical and hydrological parameters retrieved from earth observations to estimate the actual evapotranspiration, i.e. the agricultural and ecological water use. The total water use is also partitioned into beneficial part, e.g. plant transpiration, and non-beneficial part, e.g. soil evaporation and canopy rainfall interception, according to the water accounting framework. The estimated water use show good agreements with the ground observation, indicating the ability of ETMonitor for global and continental scale water use estimation. The spatial and temporal patterns of the water use in the Pan-Eurasian and African Continents were further analysed, while large spatial variation of water use was convinced. Current study also highlights the great capability of satellite observations in studying the regional water resource and continental water cycle.