The long road to universal electrification
A critical look at present pathways and challenges
Nishant Narayan (TU Delft - DC systems, Energy conversion & Storage, TU Delft - Management Support)
Victor Vega-Garita (TU Delft - DC systems, Energy conversion & Storage)
Z. Qin (TU Delft - DC systems, Energy conversion & Storage)
Jelena Popovic-Gerber (University of Twente)
Pavol Bauer (TU Delft - DC systems, Energy conversion & Storage)
M. Zeman (TU Delft - Electrical Sustainable Energy)
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Abstract
Nearly 840 million people still lack access to electricity, while over a billion more have an unreliable electricity connection. In this article, the three different electrification pathways-grid extension, centralized microgrids, and standalone solar-based solutions, such as pico-solar and solar home systems (SHS)-are critically examined while understanding their relative merits and demerits. Grid extension can provide broad scale access at low levelized costs but requires a certain electricity demand threshold and population density to justify investments. To a lesser extent, centralized (off-grid) microgrids also require a minimum demand threshold and knowledge of the electricity demand. Solar-based solutions are the main focus in terms of off-grid electrification in this article, given the equatorial/tropical latitudes of the un(der-)electrified regions. In recent times, decentralized solar-based off-grid solutions, such as pico-solar and SHS, have shown the highest adoption rates and promising impetus with respect to basic lighting and electricity for powering small appliances. However, the burning question is-from lighting a million to empowering a billion-can solar home systems get us there?The two main roadblocks for SHS are discussed, and the requirements from the ideal electrification pathway are introduced. A bottom-up, interconnected SHS-based electrification pathway is proposed as the missing link among the present electrification pathways.