When DICE meets the dice
Integrated Economic and Climate Assessment under Uncertainty
B.W. de Raad (TU Delft - Applied Sciences)
S.T.H. Storm – Mentor
MM de Weerdt – Graduation committee member
G.A. Morales-España – Coach
CP Van Beers – Mentor
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Abstract
With the decision made to act upon climate change, the remaining question is: "How?". Economic theory suggests that the most efficient method is by means of market-based policies. These policies are often designed based on Integrated Assessment Models like DICE, which is the subject of this thesis. Integrating uncertainty into this model has been the aim of the thesis. The stochastic version of DICE, EICE, showed to be sensitive to the distribution of climate uncertainty, but results were less explicit then expected. Overall, the conclusion is that both modest and more strict mitigation policies can be justified based on EICE.