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J.H.M. Stevens

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A Comparative Study on the Technical and Economic Feasibility

Master thesis (2024) - J.H.M. Stevens, J.O. (Oriol) Colomes Gene, A. Tsouvalas, T Balder
To meet the ambitious targets outlined in the Paris Climate Agreement of limiting global temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius, global renewable power generation must triple by 2030, with offshore wind energy expected to increase exponentially to 500 GW, a fourteen-fold rise from 2020. Despite a 48% cost reduction from 2010 to 2020, offshore wind energy remains more costly per megawatt-hour than fossil fuels, highlighting the need for cost-effective innovations in offshore wind farm foundations in the North Sea. Offshore wind farms are increasingly moving into deeper waters and utilizing larger turbines, which arise challenges for traditional monopile foundations. The Hybrid Monopile (HMP) is a promising al- ternative. It integrates features from traditional monopiles and jackets, potentially enhancing structural stability, reducing environmental impact, and optimizing costs in deeper waters. This thesis evaluates the technical and economic feasibility of the HMP compared to traditional foundation types such as the traditional monopile and jacket structure, aiming to accelerate development of offshore wind energy and contribute to global climate objectives. This study uses a comprehensive methodology to assess the HMP’s structural integrity, installation feasibility, and cost-effectiveness relative to traditional monopiles and jackets. The structural analysis begins with a preliminary design phase to establish input parameters for the finite elements analysis in Abaqus. This analysis evaluates natural frequencies and stress levels under varied conditions such as water depth, soil types, and turbine sizes, assessing the HMP’s feasibility across different conditions. The installation procedures are investigated, evaluating various strategies for HMP’s and compare it with the installation strategies of traditional monopiles and jackets. The most efficient way of installation is determined for the installation of the Hybrid Monopile while considering various options. This is compared to industry standards for the installation of the traditional monopile and jacket structure. The economic evaluation involves cost modeling. This analysis provides a cost comparison based on the manufacturing and installation of the structures, highlighting the economic advantages of the HMP in deeper waters and with larger turbine. Structural assessments demonstrate that the HMP is capable of deployment in water depths up to 80 meters and supporting offshore wind turbines of up to 22 megawatts in the North Sea. Design simulations indicate the HMP’s resilience against operational stresses caused by various environmental forces. The installation strategies emphasize efficient methodologies for HMP installation. Due to the fact the hybrid monopile requires an increased number of pin piles compared to jackets, the installation cycle of the hybrid monopile is less superior to the jacket, where the traditional monopile outperforms both of them based on installation time. Economic analyses highlight that while traditional monopiles are cost-effective in waters until 40 meter, the HMP emerges as a competitive solution for deeper waters and larger turbine configurations compared to jacket structures. In conclusion, the HMP represents an advancement over traditional jackets assuming a 20% reduction in interface piece manufacturing costs. Further optimizations in the design of the Hybrid Monopile and installation procedures could enhance its competitiveness in relation with a jacket. The traditional monopile is a more cost-effective solution in environments where possible, however the HMP offers a promising solution where noise and environmental limitation arises ...
This paper investigates the technical, life cycle, and economic feasibility of a 30 MW upscaled downwind turbine, comparing it to a 15 MW X1 Wind PivotBuoy downwind turbine and a benchmark 15 MW IEA Umaine VolturnUS-S upwind turbine in the 450 MW Sud de la Bretagne I wind farm site. The study is significant due to the rising energy demand, the potential for decreasing the levelized cost of energy with increased turbine size, and the optimized use of space. The size limit of current upwind turbine designs could be addressed using a downwind turbine solution.

The research is conducted by modelling the global dynamic response of the structure using OpenFAST and computing the natural frequencies and stresses using a finite element model. A lifecycle analysis is performed to identify potential pitfalls and bottlenecks by analysing the individual lifecycle phases. The economic feasibility is assessed by simulating the annual energy production using TOPFARM and utilizing structural analysis and lifecycle assessment to quantify capital, operational, and abandonment expenditures. Based on the annual energy production and the performance indicators the levelized cost of energy is calculated.

The findings indicate that while the global stability is within boundaries, the stress in members is too high with a simple scale-up of the proposed design. Bottlenecks are found in lifting operations and supply chain readiness. The levelized cost of energy and capital expenditure increased due to substructure self-weight, rendering the proposed 30 MW scale-up currently unfeasible when compared to the other two wind farms.
These findings are important as they demonstrate that the 15 MW X1 Wind PivotBuoy is not scalable without design changes. The levelized cost of energy does not decrease with an increased floater solution. The 15 MW X1 Wind PivotBuoy downwind turbine seems more economically viable, making it a more interesting option for future development. ...