I.E. Özer

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10 records found

Doctoral thesis (2020) - Ece Ozer
Flood defense systems are critical in protecting against catastrophic events which often lead to significant damage, fatalities or substantial socio-economic and environmental impact. Even though levees form a significant part of the existing flood defense systems, there is a limited knowledge of the different levee behavior processes and the critical factors contributing to their failures. This research demonstrates the importance of collecting and analyzing historical failure events to gain new insights into levee failure mechanisms, and shows how satellite technology can both provide useful information on the deformation behavior of levees and be applicable for early warning systems. ...
We hebben in Nederland ongeveer 20.000 km waterkeringen en het is kostbaar en tijdrovend om deze regelmatig fysiek te inspecteren. Met radarsatellieten wordt deformatie op meer plekken, vaker, en nauwkeuriger gemeten. Hierdoor kan het gedrag van keringen continu worden gemonitord en kan afwijkend gedrag vroegtijdig worden gedetecteerd. Deze techniek is een welkome aanvulling op huidige inspectiemethoden. ...

Het verbeteren van de betrouwbaarheid van waterkeringen door een beter begrip van de faalmechanismen

Dit rapport geeft een samenvatting van de belangrijkste resultaten van het SAFElevee project. In het project is op basis van informatie over daadwerkelijk opgetreden dijkdoorbraken en grootschalige experimenten kennis ontwikkeld over de veiligheid van dijken. De rapportage is geschreven voor een technisch geïnteresseerde lezer, en kan relevant zijn voor beleidsmakers, waterkeringbeheerders, experts, aannemers en adviseurs en andere geïnteresseerden. Dit onderzoek is uitgevoerd als onderdeel van het NWO TTW project SAFElevee (Project nummer 13861). Het projectteam wil graag NWO en de eindgebruikers bedanken voor hun inzet en steun bij de uitvoering van het SAFElevee project. ...
Levees are critical in providing protection against catastrophic flood events, and thus require continuous monitoring. Current levee inspection methods rely on limited information obtained by visual inspection, resulting in infrequent, localized, mostly qualitative and subjective assessments. This hampers the timely detection of problematic locations and the assessment of levee safety in general. Satellite radar interferometry yields weekly observations of levee conditions with high precision which complement current inspection methods. Here we show that levees are susceptible to short-term swelling and shrinkage associated with meteorological conditions, and assess how deformations can be related to the geohydrological properties and the safety of the levee. Our findings allow to understand the sub-seasonal behaviour of the levee in greater detail and to predict swelling and shrinkage due to variation of the loading conditions. This will improve the detection of anomalous levee responses which contributes to the development of reliable early warning methods using continuous deformation monitoring. ...
Journal article (2019) - Ece Ozer, Myron van Damme, Sebastiaan N. Jonkman
Understanding levee failures can be significantly improved by analysing historical failures, experiments and performance observations. Individual efforts have been undertaken to document flood defence failures but no systematically gathered large scale, open access dataset is currently available for thorough scientific research. Here, we introduce an efficiently structured, global database, called International Levee Performance Database (ILPD), which aims to become a valuable knowledge platform in the field of levee safety. It comprises information on levee characteristics, failure mechanisms, geotechnical investigations and breach processes for more than 1500 cases (October 2019). We provide a macro-scale analysis of the available data, aiming to provide insights on levee behaviour based on historical records. We outline common failure mechanisms of which external erosion is identified as the most frequent for levees. As an example, we investigate flood events occurred in Germany (2002, 2013) and examine breach characteristics of hundreds of failures. It is found that initial failure mechanisms have an influence on breach characteristics and that failures due to instability and internal erosion are less frequent but lead to larger breaches. Moreover, a relation between the return period and the expected breach density during a flood event is identified. These insights could complement flood risk assessments. ...
Levees are critical systems in safeguarding an area against catastrophic flooding events with potential fatalities and economic losses. Current monitoring methods of levees highly rely on expert judgement, resulting in infrequent and subjective assessments of their status. Satellite radar imaging, in particular using interferometry (InSAR), holds a large potential to monitor the condition of levees with millimetre‐level precision, anywhere on the planet. However, for levee management, the usability of the technique requires significant radar expert knowledge. Here, we provide a comprehensive overview of the state of the art in using time‐series InSAR for systematic levee deformation monitoring. We explore its use to complement existing approaches for assessing levee deformation and failure investigations in a fast, systematic, and cost‐effective way. The applicability of imaging radar satellites is discussed, supported by case studies on levee monitoring in the Netherlands. We elaborate on the technical aspects with respect to levee monitoring using SAR technology, such as estimating deformation in different directions, satellite characteristics, precision, and reliability. We conclude that InSAR is becoming an operational deformation monitoring system, which allows for the detection, tracking, and analysis of irregularities on levee sections with increased efficiency and quality, thus contributing to improved risk management. ...
Report (2018) - Ece Ozer, Freek van Leijen
Satellietradarinterferometrie (InSAR) maakt het mogelijk om voor bepaalde objecten op het aardoppervlak deformaties op mm niveau te meten. De techniek wordt onder andere toegepast voor het monitoren van de stabiliteit van verschillende typen infrastructuur, zoals wegen en spoorwegen. De voordelen van satellietradarinterferometrie zijn dat grote gebieden kunnen worden waargenomen, over lange tijd, met een meetfrequentie van enkele dagen tot enkele weken. Door de hoge meetprecisie kan de techniek potentieel bijdragen tot een vroege detectie van stabiliteitsproblemen in infrastructuur. Vanwege de grootte van het totale netwerk van waterkeringen in Nederland is toepassing van de techniek op waterkeringen ook erg interessant. Momenteel wordt binnen het kader van het SAFELevee project door de Technische Universiteit Delft verder onderzoek gedaan naar de toepasbaarheid van de techniek. Een van de mogelijke toepassen is het gericht monitoren van speciale constructies, zoals damwanden. Het doel van dit door de Technische Universiteit Delft uitgevoerde project is om de bruikbaarheid van InSAR voor dijken met speciale constructies te analyseren en evalueren gebaseerd op metingen van de damwandproef bij Eemdijk. Om een aantal goede reflectiepunten van de radarsignalen te creëren, zullen hoekreflectoren op de dijk worden geplaatst. Ondanks dat de looptijd van de proef kort is in vergelijking met de meetfrequentie van de satellietdata, kunnen toch enkele metingen worden verkregen, die gebruikt kunnen worden voor het bepalen van de potentie van de techniek voor monitoring in de toekomst. ...
Flood defense failures are rare events but when they do occur lead to significant amounts of damage. The defenses are usually designed for rather low-frequency hydraulic loading and as such typically at least high enough to prevent overflow. When they fail, flood defenses like levees built with modern design codes usually either fail due to wave overtopping or geotechnical failure mechanisms such as instability or internal erosion. Subsequently geotechnical failures could trigger an overflow leading for the breach to grow in size Not only the conditions relevant for these failure mechanisms are highly uncertain, also the model uncertainty in geomechanical, internal erosion models, or breach models are high compared to other structural models. Hence, there is a need for better validation and calibration of models or, in other words, better insight in model uncertainty. As scale effects typically play an important role and full-scale testing is challenging and costly, historic flood defense failures can be used to provide insights into the real failure processes and conditions. The recently initiated SAFElevee project at Delft University of Technology aims to exploit this source of information by performing back analysis of levee failures at different level of detail. Besides detailed process based analyses, the project aims to investigate spatial and temporal patterns in deformation as a function of the hydrodynamic loading using satellite radar interferometry (i.e. PS-InSAR) in order to examine its relation with levee failure mechanisms. The project aims to combine probabilistic approaches with the mechanics of the various relevant failure mechanisms to reduce model uncertainty and propose improvements to assessment and design models. This paper describes the approach of the study to levee breach analysis and the use of satellites for breach initiation analysis, both adopted within the SAFElevee project. ...