Electricity Consumption Profiles (ECPs) are crucial for operating and planning power distribution systems, especially with the increasing number of low-carbon technologies such as solar panels and electric vehicles. Traditional ECP modeling methods typically assume the availability of sufficient ECP data. However, in practice, the accessibility of ECP data is limited due to privacy issues or the absence of metering devices. Few-shot learning (FSL) has emerged as a promising solution for ECP modeling in data-scarce scenarios. Nevertheless, standard FSL methods, such as those used for images, are unsuitable for ECP modeling because (1) these methods usually assume several source domains with sufficient data and several target domains. However, in the context of ECP modeling, there may be thousands of source domains, e.g., households with a moderate amount of data, and thousands of target domains, e.g., households that ECP are required to be modeled. (2) Standard FSL methods usually involve cumbersome knowledge transfer mechanisms, such as pre-training and fine-tuning. To address these limitations, this paper proposes a novel FSL framework that integrates Transformers with Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs) for ECP modeling. The proposed approach is fine-tuning-free, computationally efficient, and robust even with extremely limited data. Results show that our method can accurately restore the complex ECP distribution with a minimal amount of ECP data (e.g., only 1.6% of the complete domain dataset) and outperforms state-of-the-art time series modeling methods in the context of ECP modeling.

Residential Load Profile (RLP) generation is critical for the operation and planning of distribution networks, especially as diverse low-carbon technologies (e.g., photovoltaic and electric vehicles) are increasingly adopted. This paper introduces a novel flow-based generative model, termed Full Convolutional Profile Flow (FCPFlow), uniquely designed for conditional and unconditional RLP generation. By introducing two new layers – the invertible linear layer and the invertible normalization layer – the proposed FCPFlow architecture shows three main advantages compared to traditional statistical and contemporary deep generative models: (1) it is well-suited for RLP generation under continuous conditions, such as varying weather and annual electricity consumption, (2) it demonstrates superior scalability in different datasets compared to traditional statistical models, and (3) it also demonstrates better modeling capabilities in capturing the complex correlation of RLPs compared with deep generative models.

This paper examines the effectiveness of various synthetic data generation methods for deterministic wind power forecasting. Specifically, this work evaluates four approaches—Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs), t-Copula, DoppelGANger, and FCPFlow—by comparing the forecasting performance, measured using Mean Absolute Error and Root Mean Squared Error, of models trained on synthetic versus real datasets. Our findings indicate that statistical methods (such as GMM and t-Copula) achieve notably better performance under limited data availability. However, the deep generative model FCPFlow yields superior results when sufficient training data is available. These findings suggest that the choice of synthetic data generation method should be informed by the specific data availability context.

Short-term load prediction (STLP) is critical for modern power distribution system operations, particularly as demand and generation uncertainties grow with the integration of low-carbon technologies, such as electric vehicles and photovoltaics. In this study, we evaluate the zero-shot prediction capabilities of five Time-Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) - a new approach for STLP where models perform predictions without task-specific training - against two classical models, Gaussian Process (GP) and Support Vector Regression (SVR), which are trained on task-specific datasets. Our findings indicate that even without training, TSFMs like Chronos, TimesFM, and TimeGPT can surpass the performance of GP and SVR. This finding highlights the potential of TSFMs in STLP.

Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) presents a promising avenue for optimizing Energy Storage Systems (ESSs) dispatch in distribution networks. This paper introduces RL-ADN, an innovative open-source library specifically designed for solving the optimal ESSs dispatch in active distribution networks. RL-ADN offers unparalleled flexibility in modeling distribution networks, and ESSs, accommodating a wide range of research goals. A standout feature of RL-ADN is its data augmentation module, based on Gaussian Mixture Model and Copula (GMC) functions, which elevates the performance ceiling of DRL agents, achieving an average performance improvement of 21.43%, 1.08%, 2.76%, by augmenting five-year, one-year and three-month data, respectively. Additionally, RL-ADN incorporates the Tensor Power Flow solver, significantly reducing the computational burden of power flow calculations during training without sacrificing accuracy, maintaining voltage magnitude with an average error not exceeding 0.0001%. The effectiveness of RL-ADN is demonstrated using distribution networks with size varying, showing marked performance improvements in the adaptability of DRL algorithms for ESS dispatch tasks. Furthermore, RL-ADN achieves a tenfold increase in computational efficiency during training, making it highly suitable for large-scale network applications. The library sets a new benchmark in DRL-based ESSs dispatch in distribution networks and it is poised to advance DRL applications in distribution network operations significantly. RL-ADN is available at: https://github.com/ShengrenHou/RL-ADN and https://github.com/distributionnetworksTUDelft/RL-ADN.

Residential load profiles (RLPs) play an increasingly important role in the optimal operation and planning of distribution systems, particularly with the rising integration of low-carbon energy resources such as PV systems, electric vehicles, small-scale batteries, etc. Despite the prevalence of various data-driven models for generating consumption profiles, there is a lack of clear conclusions about their relative strengths and weaknesses. This study undertakes a comprehensive comparison of frequently used data-driven models in recent research, including Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs), Variational Autoencoders (VAE), Wasserstein GANs (WGAN), WGANs with Gradient Penalty (WGANGP), Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs), and Gaussian Mixture Copulas (GMC). The presented comparison explores the effectiveness of the above-mentioned models on transformer- and consumer-level consumption profiles, as well as for different time resolutions (15-min, 30-min, and 60-min). The objective of this research is to elucidate the respective advantages and drawbacks of these models, thereby providing valuable insights for subsequent research in this field.