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J.A. la Poutré

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51 records found

Conference paper (2025) - S. Cremers, M. van Dijk, H. La Poutré
With the increasing digitalization of the power system, cyber attacks that threaten physical disruption, such as power outages, are increasing. Hence, understanding system resilience and the operator responses is crucial for anticipating and mitigating threats that may cause outages through power line disconnections. A common approach to assessing grid resilience is to consider the worst-case attack, in which the attack is assumed to maximize the potential damage while the operators react to minimize such loss. This assessment, however, can have a vast number of possible actions by the attacker as the size of the power network and the severity of the attack increase, making it computationally expensive. We propose a topology reduction technique on radially operated distribution networks, which reduces the set of lines to be considered in the worst-case attack. The reduced network can determine such an attack more efficiently compared to the original network. Case studies on 33- and 119-bus systems showed that the introduced method reduced the network sizes by 25% and 38%, respectively, and its effectiveness on the worst-case attack computation increased as larger attacks with more line disconnections were considered. ...
Conference paper (2024) - R. Saur, J.A. la Poutré, N. Yorke-Smith
Accurate predictions of power fluctuations are pivotal to the operation of flexibility markets. While the design of flexibility markets is an active and ongoing field of research, the question of how to elicit high quality predictions in a non-cooperative setting is often overlooked. Conceptually, we contribute the concept of best prediction incentivizing contracts. Under such contracts the best response of an agent is to report the true distribution of its power fluctuation. This concept differs from Incentive Compatibility by explicitly taking epistemic uncertainty into account: while Incentive Compatible mechanisms often assume the agent possess perfect knowledge of their own valuation, our concept incentivizes agents to reduce their epistemic uncertainty about the world. In practical terms, we present generic closed form solutions for polynomial distributions and show they can be used to approximate realistic Gaussian distributions. Lastly, placing our work in a larger context, we show that third party agents can profit from providing improved predictions via arbitrage. ...
Journal article (2023) - Roland Saur, Han La Poutré, Neil Yorke-Smith
The adoption of new market mechanisms - vital to the better integration of flexible assets - depends on the fairness and nondiscrimination of the pricing rules. We consider a market setting with time-flexible unit energy buyers and sellers, that additionally submit their availability in time. The time-flexibility of the agents allows for different schedules to be equivalent with regard to social welfare, which can lead to arbitrary price differences, i.e. price discrimination. In this work, we demonstrate that non-discriminatory prices are not trivially defined in time-flexible settings, provide a definition of non-discrimination as consistent over equivalent outcomes, show that this concept does not conflict with individual rationality and, finally, compare our work to broader concepts of fairness from economic psychology. ...

A Hybrid Congestion Aftermarket

Conference paper (2022) - Brinn Hekkelman, Han La Poutré
We consider network flow congestion management modelled after electricity distribution networks. The desired consumption or production of the agents that populate such networks are determined by a higher-level (e.g. national) market mechanism, but this can lead to congestion locally. We first consider congestion solutions in the form of curtailment independent of the price set by the higher-level market. Congestion solutions of this type that satisfy properties of fairness are described in the literature. We contrast these fair solutions with curtailment solutions that maximize total welfare, and we present an algorithmic mechanism that computes such maximal welfare solutions. We then combine the two approaches to compute hybrid congestion solutions where agents can choose to either claim their fair share or to participate in a welfare-maximizing aftermarket. We incentivize aftermarket participation with an individually rational pricing scheme, while offering agents' fair shares at the higher-level price. Our aftermarket solution provides a budget balanced alternative to locational marginal pricing that gives agents the choice to claim their fair share at a fair price. ...

Opportunities for a carbon-free energy system

Report (2021) - Pallas Agterberg, Maarten Bijl, J. L. Hurink, J.A. la Poutré, Gerdien van de Vreede, M.M. de Weerdt, Tijs Wilbrink
Conference paper (2020) - Roland Saur, Han la Poutré, Neil Yorke-Smith
Increasing electricity production from renewable energy sources has, by its fluctuating nature, created the need for more flexible demand side management. How to integrate flexible demand in the electricity system is an open research question. We consider the case of procuring the energy needs of a time-shiftable load through a set of simultaneous second price auctions. We derive a required condition for optimal bidding strategies. We then show the following results and bidding strategies under different market assumptions. For identical uniform auctions and multiple units of demand, we show that the global optimal strategy is to bid uniformly across all auctions. For non-identical auctions and multiple units, we provide a way to find solutions through a recursive approach and a non-linear solver. We show that our approach outperforms the literature under higher uncertainty conditions. ...

A real-time market with self-fulfilling forecasts

Increased uptake of variable renewable generation and further electrification of energy demand necessitate efficient coordination of flexible demand resources to make most efficient use of power system assets. Flexible electrical loads are typically small, numerous, heterogeneous and owned by self-interested agents. Considering the multi-temporal nature of flexibility and the uncertainty involved, scheduling them is a complex task. This paper proposes a forecast-mediated real-time market-based control approach (F-MBC) for cost minimizing coordination of uninterruptible time-shiftable (i.e. deferrable) loads. F-MBC is scalable, privacy preserving, and useable by device agents with small computational power. Moreover, F-MBC is proven to overcome the challenge of mutually conflicting decisions from equivalent devices. Simulations in a simplified but challenging case study show that F-MBC produces near-optimal behaviour over multiple time-steps. ...
Conference paper (2020) - B. Hekkelman, J.A. la Poutré
The problem of network flow congestion occurring in power networks is increasing in severity. Especially in low-voltage networks this is a novel development. The congestion is caused for a large part by distributed and renewable energy sources introducing a complex blend of prosumers to the network. Since congestion management solutions may require individual prosumers to alter their prosumption, the concept of fairness has become a crucial topic of attention. This paper presents a concept of fairness for low-voltage networks that prioritizes local, outer matching and allocates grid access through fair division of available capacity. Specifically, this paper discusses three distinct principal notions of fair division; proportional, egalitarian, and nondiscriminatory division. In addition, this paper devises an efficient algorithmic mechanism that computes such fair allocations in limited computational time, and proves that only egalitarian division results in incentive compatibility of the mechanism. ...
Conference paper (2019) - Brinn Hekkelman, Han La Poutré
With the energy transition, grid congestion is increasingly becoming a problem. This paper proposes the implementation of fairness in congestion management by presenting quantitative fair optimization goals and fairness measuring tools. Furthermore, this paper presents a congestion management solution in the form of an egalitarian allocation mechanism. Finally, this paper proves that this mechanism is truthful, pareto efficient, and maximizes a fair optimization goal. ...
Conference paper (2019) - Roland Saur, Neil Yorke-Smith, Han La Poutré
In order to reduce CO2 emissions, energy systems using different energy carriers (e.g., heat and power) are becoming more intertwined and integrated. However, coordination between non-cooperative participants of these systems in the combined heat and power domain has been limited to single-sided auctions with one centralised seller. In this paper, we present a double-sided auction mechanism in which prosumers as well as consumers and producers of heat and power can participate. By showing that our mechanism is Incentive Compatible and Individually Rational, we ensure that truthful bidding is the optimal strategy, simplifying the bidding process and thus accommodating agents with limited computational resources. Finally, we show that our mechanism is fiscally sustainable, i.e., Weakly Budget Balanced. ...
Journal article (2019) - Georgios Methenitis, Michael Kaisers, Han La Poutré
The imperfect decision-making of human buyers participating in retail markets varies from fundamental models that assume rational economic choices: even in markets with identical items human buyers are not rational, i.e., buyers do not always choose the cheapest option. Recent developments in artificial intelligence and e-commerce enable market participation by software agents that are (almost) perfectly rational due to their computational capacity. However, the increasing degree of buyers’ rationality might have unfavorable effects on retail markets with regards to the competition between sellers and the resulting prices. In this paper, we study the effects of varying degrees of buyers’ rationality on the competition and the prices buyers face in retail markets with identical items. We use the multinomial logit function to model different degrees of buyers’ rationality. We further model the competition between sellers using k-level reasoning: each seller computes the price to offer (best response strategy) with regards to its belief for the competition. First, we derive an analytical best response strategy (price) of a seller given the competing prices and the degree of buyers’ rationality, and show that there exists an optimal degree of buyers’ rationality that minimizes the price. Last, we use evolutionary game theory to show that perfect rationality leads to unstable competition dynamics increasing the overall cost for buyers. In contrast, bounded rationality leads to smoother dynamics and lower cost for buyers. Our insights raise the need to revisit design objectives for software agents in retail markets in light of their wider systematic impact. ...
Conference paper (2019) - Satish Sharma, Han La Poutre
Optimal power flow is usually a non-convex problem of central coordination because of the nonlinear relations between nodal voltages and power supplied/withdrawn. In this paper, we propose a sequential distributed algorithm to address the problem of cost minimization power flow in distribution systems. Each node is considered as an agent, which solves its local optimization problem with the local knowledge of the network and communicated state variables of its neighbors. The power generation is optimized by the decomposed sub-problem at each node in backward sequence and the voltages are calculated in forward sequence. Our approach does not require any form of central coordination or regional control. The proposed algorithm has a fast convergence which is illustrated on various distribution test systems. ...
Conference paper (2019) - Georgios Methenitis, Michael Kaisers, Han La Poutre
We study mechanisms to incentivize demand response in smart energy systems. We assume agents that can respond (reduce their demand) with some probability if they prepare prior to the real-ization of the demand. Both preparation and response incur costs to agents. Previous work studies truthful mechanisms that select a minimal set of agents to prepare and respond such that a fixed demand reduction target is achieved with high probability. In this work we additionally consider the balancing responsibility of a retailer under a given demand forecast and imbalance price: The retailer is responsible to purchase additional reserve capacity at a high imbalance price to cover any excess in the demand. In this extended setting we study mechanisms that request only a subset of prepared agents to respond since the reduction target depends on the realization of the demand: We propose: (i) a sequential mechanism that in each round embeds a second-price auction and is truthful under some mild assumptions for the setting, and (ii) a truthful combinatorial mechanism that runs in polynomial time and uses VCG payments. We show that both mechanisms guarantee non-negative utility in expectation for both agents and the retailer (mechanism), and can further be used for simultaneous downward and upward flexibility. Last, we verify our theoretical findings in an empirical evaluation over a wide range of mechanism parameters. ...
Journal article (2018) - Ngoc Hoang Luong, Han La Poutré, Peter A.N. Bosman
This article tackles the Distribution Network Expansion Planning (DNEP) problem that has to be solved by distribution network operators to decide which, where, and/or when enhancements to electricity networks should be introduced to satisfy the future power demands. Because of many real-world details involved, the structure of the problem is not exploited easily using mathematical programming techniques, for which reason we consider solving this problem with evolutionary algorithms (EAs). We compare three types of EAs for optimizing expansion plans: the classic genetic algorithm (GA), the estimation-of-distribution algorithm (EDA), and the Gene-pool Optimal Mixing Evolutionary Algorithm (GOMEA). Not fully knowing the structure of the problem, we study the effect of linkage learning through the use of three linkage models: univariate, marginal product, and linkage tree. We furthermore experiment with the impact of incorporating different levels of problem-specific knowledge in the variation operators. Experiments show that the use of problem-specific variation operators is far more important for the classic GA to find high-quality solutions. In all EAs, the marginal product model and its linkage learning procedure have difficulty in capturing and exploiting the DNEP problem structure. GOMEA, especially when combined with the linkage tree structure, is found to have the most robust performance by far, even when an out-of-the-box variant is used that does not exploit problem-specific knowledge. Based on experiments, we suggest that when selecting optimization algorithms for power system expansion planning problems, EAs that have the ability to effectively model and efficiently exploit problem structures, such as GOMEA, should be given priority, especially in the case of black-box or grey-box optimization. ...
Journal article (2018) - Ngoc Hoang Luong, Han La Poutré, Peter A.N. Bosman
The Multi-objective Gene-pool Optimal Mixing Evolutionary Algorithm (MO-GOMEA) has been shown to be a promising solver for multi-objective combinatorial optimization problems, obtaining an excellent scalability on both standard benchmarks and real-world applications. To attain optimal performance, MO-GOMEA requires its two parameters, namely the population size and the number of clusters, to be set properly with respect to the problem instance at hand, which is a non-trivial task for any EA practitioner. In this article, we present a new version of MO-GOMEA in combination with the so-called Interleaved Multi-start Scheme (IMS) for the multi-objective domain that eliminates the manual setting of these two parameters. The new MO-GOMEA is then evaluated on multiple benchmark problems in comparison with two well-known multi-objective evolutionary algorithms (MOEAs): Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II) and Multi-objective Evolutionary Algorithm Based on Decomposition (MOEA/D). Experiments suggest that MO-GOMEA with the IMS is an easy-to-use MOEA that retains the excellent performance of the original MO-GOMEA. ...
Conference paper (2017) - Jasper Hoogland, Han La Poutré
The Power TAC is a competition-based simulation of an electricity market. The goal of the competition is to test retailer (broker) strategies in a competitive environment. Participants create broker agents that trade electricity. In this paper we describe our broker, which we created as a participant of the 2014 Power TAC competition. We describe the strategies for two main components of the game: the tariff market and the wholesale market. We also discuss the performance of our broker in the competition, where we were second in the final ranking.
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Conference paper (2017) - Felix N. Claessen, Michael Kaisers, Han La Poutré
We present a unified model for flexibility services in the power system, identify two existing categories (ramping and loading) and introduce a new category (stalling). Each service is characterised by duration, capacity and effort, with associated prices. We show that the effort of stalling, measurable in kWh2, is a significant cost component for balancing through storage and demand response (DR). In future energy systems - with increased reliance on renewable generation - storage and DR resources are expected to become an important component of power system flexibility and balancing. Existing resource allocation mechanisms are mainly based on pricing in kW (for ramping) and in kWh (for load). Simulations demonstrate that conventional pricing mechanisms yield inefficient allocations of storage and DR resources for power balancing. In contrast, we show that introducing an additional pricing component in e/kWh2 (for stalling) improves the allocation efficiency. ...

A Closed-Form Optimal Decision for a Risk-Averse Buyer

Conference paper (2017) - Jasper Hoogland, Mathijs de Weerdt, Han La Poutré
Motivated by the energy domain, we examine a risk-averse buyer that has to purchase a fixed quantity of a continuous good. The buyer has two opportunities to buy: now or later. The buyer can spread the quantity over the two timeslots in any way, as long as the total quantity remains the same. The current price is known, but the future price is not. It is well known that risk neutral buyers purchase in whichever timeslot they expect to be the cheapest, regardless of the uncertainty of the future price. Research suggests, however, that most people may in fact be risk-averse. If the future price is expected to be lower than the current price, but very uncertain, then they may prefer to purchase in the present, or spread the quantity over both timeslots. We describe a formal model with a uniform price distribution and a piecewise linear risk aversion function.We provide a theorem that states the optimal behavior as a closed-form expression, and we give a proof of this theorem. ...
Journal article (2016) - B. Vermeulen, A. Pyka, Han La Poutré, A.G. de Kok
In recent literature, there is disagreement over the temporal pattern of vertical governance of firms over the product life-cycle. We use a novel neo-Schumpeterian agent-based simulation model to investigate emerging patterns of vertical governance for different levels of imitability and substitutability of capabilities. We find that, in the mature phase of the product life-cycle, firms generally prefer vertical specialization. However, in the early phase, imitability and substitutability, in interplay, determine the governance form preferred. High imitability frustrates appropriation and thereby discourages integration for synergistic advantages. However, firms need not vertically specialize: under low substitutability, incompatibilities reduce the advantages of specialization. When both substitutability and imitability are low, firms can appropriate the value of their inventions and there is no combinatorial advantage of specialization, so firms predominantly integrate. If substitutability is high and imitability is low, the combinatorial advantage of specialization balances with the synergistic advantage of integration. ...

A Risk-Sharing Tariff & Optimal Strategies

Conference paper (2016) - Georgios Methenitis, Michael Kaisers, Han La Poutré
Current electricity tariffs for retail rarely provideincentives for intelligent demand response of flexiblecustomers. Such customers could otherwisecontribute to balancing supply and demand in futuresmart grids. This paper proposes an innovativerisk-sharing tariff to incentivize intelligentcustomer behavior. A two-step parameterized paymentscheme is proposed, consisting of a prepaymentbased on the expected consumption, and asupplementary payment for any observed deviationfrom the anticipated consumption. Within a gametheoreticalanalysis, we capture the strategic con-flict of interest between a retailer and a customerin a two-player game, and we present optimal, i.e.,best response, strategies for both players in thisgame. We show analytically that the proposed tariffprovides customers of varying flexibility with variableincentives to assume and alleviate a fraction ofthe balancing risk, contributing in this way to theuncertainty reduction in the envisioned smart-grid. ...