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A. Mészáros

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Doctoral thesis (2026) - A. Mészáros, J. Kober, Javier Alonso-Mora
Driving in urban environments is a challenging task, even for us humans. There is a variety of different traffic participants including other drivers, cyclists and pedestrians who each have their own unique behaviors. In order to navigate around them safely it is not enough to have detected their presence. We also need to reason about what they might do. However, we cannot always be certain of others’ course of action as we do not know which route they are taking, how risk-averse they are or how aware they are of their surroundings, along with a number of other psychological factors. Hence, we also need to reason how likely it is that they will take a particular course of action. For autonomous vehicles to navigate in urban environments with other traffic participants, we need to imbue them with the capacity to reason about what other participants may do. The main goal of this thesis is to provide contributions in the development of probabilistic trajectory prediction models which accurately capture the distribution over possible future trajectories of other traffic participants..... ...

Learning Distributions over Trajectories for Human Behavior Prediction

Predicting the future behavior of human road users is an important aspect for the development of risk-aware autonomous vehicles. While many models have been developed towards this end, effectively capturing and predicting the variability inherent to human behavior still remains an open challenge. This paper proposes TrajFlow - a new approach for probabilistic trajectory prediction based on Normalizing Flows. We reformulate the problem of capturing distributions over trajectories into capturing distributions over abstracted trajectory features using an autoencoder, simplifying the learning task of the Normalizing Flows. TrajFlow outperforms state-of-the-art behavior prediction models in capturing full trajectory distributions in two synthetic benchmarks with known true distributions, and is competitive on the naturalistic datasets ETH/UCY, rounD, and nuScenes. Our results demonstrate the effectiveness of TrajFlow in probabilistic prediction of human behavior. ...
The estimation of probability density functions is a fundamental problem in science and engineering. However, common methods such as kernel density estimation (KDE) have been demonstrated to lack robustness, while more complex methods have not been evaluated in multi-modal estimation problems. In this paper, we present ROME (RObust Multi-modal Estimator), a non-parametric approach for density estimation which addresses the challenge of estimating multi-modal, non-normal, and highly correlated distributions. ROME utilizes clustering to segment a multi-modal set of samples into multiple uni-modal ones and then combines simple KDE estimates obtained for individual clusters in a single multi-modal estimate. We compared our approach to state-of-the-art methods for density estimation as well as ablations of ROME, showing that it not only outperforms established methods but is also more robust to a variety of distributions. Our results demonstrate that ROME can overcome the issues of over-fitting and over-smoothing exhibited by other estimators. ...
Journal article (2022) - Anna Meszaros, Giovanni Franzese, Jens Kober
This work investigates how the intricate task of a continuous pick & place (P&P) motion may be learned from humans based on demonstrations and corrections. Due to the complexity of the task, these demonstrations are often slow and even slightly flawed, particularly at moments when multiple aspects (i.e., end-effector movement, orientation, and gripper width) have to be demonstrated at once. Rather than training a person to give better demonstrations, non-expert users are provided with the ability to interactively modify the dynamics of their initial demonstration through teleoperated corrective feedback. This in turn allows them to teach motions outside of their own physical capabilities. In the end, the goal is to obtain a faster but reliable execution of the task. The presented framework learns the desired movement dynamics based on the current Cartesian position with Gaussian Processes (GPs), resulting in a reactive, time-invariant policy. Using GPs also allows online interactive corrections and active disturbance rejection through epistemic uncertainty minimization. The experimental evaluation of the framework is carried out on a Franka-Emika Panda. Tests were performed to determine i) the framework's effectiveness in successfully learning how to quickly pick & place an object, ii) ease of policy correction to environmental changes (i.e., different object sizes and mass), and iii) the framework's usability for non-expert users. ...

Interactive Learning of Stiffness and Attractors

Teaching robots how to apply forces according to our preferences is still an open challenge that has to be tackled from multiple engineering perspectives. This paper studies how to learn variable impedance policies where both the Cartesian stiffness and the attractor can be learned from human demonstrations and corrections with a user-friendly interface. The presented framework, named ILoSA, uses Gaussian Processes for policy learning, identifying regions of uncertainty and allowing interactive corrections, stiffness modulation and active disturbance rejection. The experimental evaluation of the framework is carried out on a Franka-Emika Panda in four separate cases with unique force interaction properties: 1) pulling a plug wherein a sudden force discontinuity occurs upon successful removal of the plug, 2) pushing a box where a sustained force is required to keep the robot in motion, 3) wiping a whiteboard in which the force is applied perpendicular to the direction of movement, and 4) inserting a plug to verify the usability for precision-critical tasks in an experimental validation performed with non-expert users. ...