Monte-Carlo tree search (MCTS) has driven many recent breakthroughs in deep reinforcement learning (RL). However, scalingMCTS to parallel compute has proven challenging in practice which has motivated alternative planners like sequential Monte-Carlo (SMC). Many of these SMC methods adopt particle filters for smoothing through a reformulation of RL as a policy inference problem. Yet, persisting design choices of these particle filters often conflict with the aim of online planning in RL, which is to obtain a policy improvement at the start of planning. Drawing inspiration from MCTS, we tailor SMC planners specifically to RL by improving data generation within the planner through constrained action sampling and explicit terminal state handling, as well as improving policy and value target estimation. This leads to our Trust-Region Twisted SMC (TRT-SMC), which shows improved runtime and sample-efficiency over baseline MCTS and SMC methods in both discrete and continuous domains.

Model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) has drawn considerable interest in recent years, given its promise to improve sample efficiency. Moreover, when using deep-learned models, it is possible to learn compact and generalizable models from data. In this work, we study MuZero, a state-of-the-art deep model-based reinforcement learning algorithm that distinguishes itself from existing algorithms by learning a value-equivalent model. Despite MuZero’s success and impact in the field of MBRL, existing literature has not thoroughly addressed why MuZero performs so well in practice. Specifically, there is a lack of in-depth investigation into the value-equivalent model learned by MuZero and its effectiveness in model-based credit assignment and policy improvement, which is vital for achieving sample efficiency in MBRL. To fill this gap, we explore two fundamental questions through our empirical analysis: 1) to what extent does MuZero achieve its learning objective of a value-equivalent model, and 2) how useful are these models for policy improvement? Among various other insights, we conclude that MuZero’s learned model cannot effectively generalize to evaluate unseen policies. This limitation constrains the extent to which we can additionally improve the current policy by planning with the model.