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M.T.J. Spaan

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Conference paper (2025) - S. Lutz, A. Lukina, M.T.J. Spaan
Autonomous systems operating in the real world encounter a range of uncertainties. Probabilistic neural Lyapunov certification is a powerful approach to proving safety of nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems. When faced with changes beyond the modeled uncertainties, e.g., unidentified obstacles, probabilistic certificates must be transferred to the new system dynamics. However, even when the changes are localized in a known part of the state space, state-of-the-art requires complete re-certification, which is particularly costly for neural certificates. We introduce VeRecycle, the first framework to formally reclaim guarantees for discrete-time stochastic dynamical systems. VeRecycle efficiently reuses probabilistic certificates when the system dynamics deviate only in a given subset of states. We present a general theoretical justification and algorithmic implementation. Our experimental evaluation shows scenarios where VeRecycle both saves significant computational effort and achieves competitive probabilistic guarantees in compositional neural control. ...
Conference paper (2025) - Maris F.L. Galesloot, Marnix Suilen, Thiago D. Simão, Steven Carr, Matthijs T.J. Spaan, Ufuk Topcu, Nils Jansen
Robust POMDPs extend classical POMDPs to incorporate model uncertainty using so-called uncertainty sets on the transition and observation functions, effectively defining ranges of probabilities. Policies for robust POMDPs must be (1) memory-based to account for partial observability and (2) robust against model uncertainty to account for the worst-case probability instances from the uncertainty sets. To compute such robust memory-based policies, we propose the pessimistic iterative planning (PIP) framework, which alternates between (1) selecting pessimistic POMDPs via worst-case probability instances from the uncertainty sets, and (2) computing finite-state controllers (FSCs) for these pessimistic POMDPs. Within PIP, we propose the RFSCNET algorithm, which optimizes a recurrent neural network to compute the FSCs. The empirical evaluation shows that RFSCNET can compute better-performing robust policies than several baselines and a state-of-the-art robust POMDP solver. ...
Uncertainty quantification remains a difficult challenge in reinforcement learning. Several algorithms exist that successfully quantify uncertainty in a practical setting. However it is unclear whether these algorithms are theoretically sound and can be expected to converge. Furthermore, they seem to treat the uncertainty in the target parameters in different ways. In this work, we unify several practical algorithms into one theoretical framework by defining a new Bellman operator on distributions, and show that this Bellman operator is a contraction. We highlight use cases of our framework by analyzing an existing Bayesian Q-learning algorithm, and also introduce a novel uncertainty-aware variant of PPO that adaptively sets its clipping hyperparameter. ...
Monte-Carlo tree search (MCTS) has driven many recent breakthroughs in deep reinforcement learning (RL). However, scalingMCTS to parallel compute has proven challenging in practice which has motivated alternative planners like sequential Monte-Carlo (SMC). Many of these SMC methods adopt particle filters for smoothing through a reformulation of RL as a policy inference problem. Yet, persisting design choices of these particle filters often conflict with the aim of online planning in RL, which is to obtain a policy improvement at the start of planning. Drawing inspiration from MCTS, we tailor SMC planners specifically to RL by improving data generation within the planner through constrained action sampling and explicit terminal state handling, as well as improving policy and value target estimation. This leads to our Trust-Region Twisted SMC (TRT-SMC), which shows improved runtime and sample-efficiency over baseline MCTS and SMC methods in both discrete and continuous domains. ...
Conference paper (2025) - Yaniv Oren, Viliam Vadocz, Matthijs T.J. Spaan, Wendelin Böhmer
The AlphaZero/MuZero (A/MZ) family of algorithms has achieved remarkable success across various challenging domains by integrating Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) with learned models. Learned models introduce epistemic uncertainty, which is caused by learning from limited data and is useful for exploration in sparse reward environments. MCTS does not account for the propagation of this uncertainty however. To address this, we introduce Epistemic MCTS (EMCTS): a theoretically motivated approach to account for the epistemic uncertainty in search and harness the search for deep exploration. In the challenging sparse-reward task of writing code in the Assembly language subleq, AZ paired with our method achieves significantly higher sample efficiency over baseline AZ. Search with EMCTS solves variations of the commonly used hard-exploration benchmark Deep Sea - which baseline A/MZ are practically unable to solve - much faster than an otherwise equivalent method that does not use search for uncertainty estimation, demonstrating significant benefits from search for epistemic uncertainty estimation. ...
Conference paper (2024) - Federico Bianchi, Edoardo Zorzi, Alberto Castellini, Thiago D. Simão, Matthijs T.J. Spaan, Alessandro Farinelli
In this work, we focus on safe policy improvement in multi-agent domains where current state-of-the-art methods cannot be effectively applied because of large state and action spaces. We consider recent results using Monte Carlo Tree Search for Safe Policy Improvement with Baseline Bootstrapping and propose a novel algorithm that scales this approach to multi-agent domains, exploiting the factorization of the transition model and value function. Given a centralized behavior policy and a dataset of trajectories, our algorithm generates an improved policy by selecting joint actions using a novel extension of Max-Plus (or Variable Elimination) that constrains local actions to guarantee safety criteria. An empirical evaluation on multi-agent SysAdmin and multi-UAV Delivery shows that the approach scales to very large domains where state-of-the-art methods cannot work. ...
Conference paper (2024) - P.R. van der Vaart, N. Yorke-Smith, M.T.J. Spaan
Exploration in reinforcement learning remains a difficult challenge. In order to drive exploration, ensembles with randomized prior functions have recently been popularized to quantify uncertainty in the value model. There is no theoretical reason for these ensembles to resemble the actual posterior, however. In this work, we view training ensembles from the perspective of Sequential Monte Carlo, a Monte Carlo method that approximates a sequence of distributions with a set of particles. In particular, we propose an algorithm that exploits both the practical flexibility of ensembles and theory of the Bayesian paradigm. We incorporate this method into a standard Deep Q-learning agent (DQN) and experimentally show qualitatively good uncertainty quantification and improved exploration capabilities over a regular ensemble. ...
Conference paper (2024) - M.A. Zanger, J.W. Böhmer, M.T.J. Spaan
In contrast to classical reinforcement learning, distributional RL algorithms aim to learn the distribution of returns rather than their expected value. Since the nature of the return distribution is generally unknown a priori or arbitrarily complex, a common approach finds approximations within a set of representable, parametric distributions. Typically, this involves a projection of the unconstrained distribution onto the set of simplified distributions. We argue that this projection step entails a strong inductive bias when coupled with neural networks and gradient descent, thereby profoundly impacting the generalization behavior of learned models. In order to facilitate reliable uncertainty estimation through diversity, this work studies the combination of several different projections and representations in a distributional ensemble. We establish theoretical properties of such projection ensembles and derive an algorithm that uses ensemble disagreement, measured by the average
-Wasserstein distance, as a bonus for deep exploration. We evaluate our algorithm on the behavior suite benchmark and find that diverse projection ensembles lead to significant performance improvements over existing methods on a wide variety of tasks with the most pronounced gains in directed exploration problems.

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Many modern reinforcement learning algorithms build on the actor-critic (AC) framework: iterative improvement of a policy (the actor) using policy improvement operators and iterative approximation of the policy's value (the critic). In contrast, the popular value-based algorithm family employs improvement operators in the value update, to iteratively improve the value function directly. In this work, we propose a general extension to the AC framework that employs two separate improvement operators: one applied to the policy in the spirit of policy-based algorithms and one applied to the value in the spirit of value-based algorithms, which we dub Value-Improved AC (VI-AC). We design two practical VI-AC algorithms based in the popular online off-policy AC algorithms TD3 and DDPG. We evaluate VI-TD3 and VI-DDPG in the Mujoco benchmark and find that both improve upon or match the performance of their respective baselines in all environments tested ...
Conference paper (2023) - Qisong Yang, Thiago D. Simão, Nils Jansen, Simon H. Tindemans, Matthijs T.J. Spaan
Safety is critical to broadening the application of reinforcement learning (RL). Often, we train RL agents in a controlled environment, such as a laboratory, before deploying them in the real world. However, the real-world target task might be unknown prior to deployment. Reward-free RL trains an agent without the reward to adapt quickly once the reward is revealed. We consider the constrained reward-free setting, where an agent (the guide) learns to explore safely without the reward signal. This agent is trained in a controlled environment, which allows unsafe interactions and still provides the safety signal. After the target task is revealed, safety violations are not allowed anymore. Thus, the guide is leveraged to compose a safe behaviour policy. Drawing from transfer learning, we also regularize a target policy (the student) towards the guide while the student is unreliable and gradually eliminate the influence of the guide as training progresses. The empirical analysis shows that this method can achieve safe transfer learning and helps the student solve the target task faster. ...
Journal article (2023) - Alberto Castellini, Federico Bianchi, Edoardo Zorzi, Thiago D. Simão, Alessandro Farinelli, Matthijs T.J. Spaan
Algorithms for safely improving policies are important to deploy reinforcement learning approaches in real-world scenarios. In this work, we propose an algorithm, called MCTS-SPIBB, that computes safe policy improvement online using a Monte Carlo Tree Search based strategy. We theoretically prove that the policy generated by MCTS-SPIBB converges, as the number of simulations grows, to the optimal safely improved policy generated by Safe Policy Improvement with Baseline Bootstrapping (SPIBB), a popular algorithm based on policy iteration. Moreover, our empirical analysis performed on three standard benchmark domains shows that MCTS-SPIBB scales to significantly larger problems than SPIBB because it computes the policy online and locally, i.e., only in the states actually visited by the agent. ...
In reinforcement learning (RL), key components of many algorithms are the exploration strategy and replay buffer. These strategies regulate what environment data is collected and trained on and have been extensively studied in the RL literature. In this paper, we investigate the impact of these components in the context of generalisation in multi-task RL. We investigate the hypothesis that collecting and training on more diverse data from the training environments will improve zero-shot generalisation to new tasks. We motivate mathematically and show empirically that generalisation to tasks that are "reachable'' during training is improved by increasing the diversity of transitions in the replay buffer. Furthermore, we show empirically that this same strategy also shows improvement for generalisation to similar but "unreachable'' tasks which could be due to improved generalisation of the learned latent representations. ...
Preprint (2023) - Y. Oren, M.T.J. Spaan, J.W. Böhmer
One of the most well-studied and highly performing planning approaches used in Model-Based Reinforcement Learning (MBRL) is Monte-Carlo Tree Search (MCTS). Key challenges of MCTS-based MBRL methods remain dedicated deep exploration and reliability in the face of the unknown, and both challenges can be alleviated through principled epistemic uncertainty estimation in the predictions of MCTS. We present two main contributions: First, we develop methodology to propagate epistemic uncertainty in MCTS, enabling agents to estimate the epistemic uncertainty in their predictions. Second, we utilize the propagated uncertainty for a novel deep exploration algorithm by explicitly planning to explore. We incorporate our approach into variations of MCTS-based MBRL approaches with learned and provided dynamics models, and empirically show deep exploration through successful epistemic uncertainty estimation achieved by our approach. We compare to a non-planning-based deep-exploration baseline, and demonstrate that planning with epistemic MCTS significantly outperforms non-planning based exploration in the investigated deep exploration benchmark. ...
Conference paper (2023) - Q. Yang, M.T.J. Spaan
Without an assigned task, a suitable intrinsic objective for an agent is to explore the environment efficiently. However, the pursuit of exploration will inevitably bring more safety risks.
An under-explored aspect of reinforcement learning is how to achieve safe efficient exploration when the task is unknown.
In this paper, we propose a practical Constrained Entropy Maximization (CEM) algorithm to solve task-agnostic safe exploration problems, which naturally require a finite horizon and undiscounted constraints on safety costs.
The CEM algorithm aims to learn a policy that maximizes the state entropy under the premise of safety.
To avoid approximating the state density in complex domains, CEM leverages a $k$-nearest neighbor entropy estimator to evaluate the efficiency of exploration.
In terms of safety, CEM minimizes the safety costs, and adaptively trades off safety and exploration based on the current constraint satisfaction. We empirically show that CEM allows learning a safe exploration policy in complex continuous-control domains, and the learned policy benefits downstream tasks in safety and sample efficiency. ...
Conference paper (2023) - M.A. Zanger, J.W. Böhmer, M.T.J. Spaan
In contrast to classical reinforcement learning, distributional reinforcement learning algorithms aim to learn the distribution of returns rather than their expected value. Since the nature of the return distribution is generally unknown a priori or arbitrarily complex, a common approach finds approximations within a set of representable, parametric distributions. Typically, this involves a projection of the unconstrained distribution onto the set of simplified distributions. We argue that this projection step entails a strong inductive bias when coupled with neural networks and gradient descent, thereby profoundly impacting the generalization behavior of learned models. In order to facilitate reliable uncertainty estimation through diversity, this work studies the combination of several different projections and representations in a distributional ensemble. We establish theoretical properties of such projection ensembles and derive an algorithm that uses ensemble disagreement, measured by the average 1-Wasserstein distance, as a bonus for deep exploration. We evaluate our algorithm on the behavior suite benchmark and find that diverse projection ensembles lead to significant performance improvements over existing methods on a wide variety of tasks with the most pronounced gains in directed exploration problems. ...
Preprint (2023) - M. Suau, M.T.J. Spaan, F.A. Oliehoek
Reinforcement learning agents may sometimes develop habits that are effective only when specific policies are followed. After an initial exploration phase in which agents try out different actions, they eventually converge toward a particular policy. When this occurs, the distribution of state-action trajectories becomes narrower, and agents start experiencing the same transitions again and again. At this point, spurious correlations may arise. Agents may then pick up on these correlations and learn state representations that do not generalize beyond the agent’s trajectory distribution. In this paper, we provide a mathematical characterization of this phenomenon, which we refer to as policy confounding, and show, through a series of examples, when and how it occurs in practice. ...
Conference paper (2022) - M. Suau, J. He, Mustafa Mert Çelikok, M.T.J. Spaan, F.A. Oliehoek
Due to its high sample complexity, simulation is, as of today, critical for the successful application of reinforcement learning. Many real-world problems, however, exhibit overly complex dynamics, which makes their full-scale simulation computationally slow. In this paper, we show how to factorize large networked systems of many agents into multiple local regions such that we can build separate simulators that run independently and in parallel. To monitor the influence that the different local regions exert on one another, each of these simulators is equipped with a learned model that is periodically trained on real trajectories. Our empirical results reveal that distributing the simulation among different processes not only makes it possible to train large multi-agent systems in just a few hours but also helps mitigate the negative effects of simultaneous learning ...
Safety is critical to broadening the real-world use of reinforcement learning. Modeling the safety aspects using a safety-cost signal separate from the reward and bounding the expected safety-cost is becoming standard practice, since it avoids the problem of finding a good balance between safety and performance. However, it can be risky to set constraints only on the expectation neglecting the tail of the distribution, which might have prohibitively large values. In this paper, we propose a method called Worst-Case Soft Actor Critic for safe RL that approximates the distribution of accumulated safety-costs to achieve risk control. More specifically, a certain level of conditional Value-at-Risk from the distribution is regarded as a safety constraint, which guides the change of adaptive safety weights to achieve a trade-off between reward and safety. As a result, we can compute policies whose worst-case performance satisfies the constraints. We investigate two ways to estimate the safety-cost distribution, namely a Gaussian approximation and a quantile regression algorithm. On the one hand, the Gaussian approximation is simple and easy to implement, but may underestimate the safety cost, on the other hand, the quantile regression leads to a more conservative behavior. The empirical analysis shows that the quantile regression method achieves excellent results in complex safety-constrained environments, showing good risk control. ...
Conference paper (2022) - Sebastian Junges, Matthijs T.J. Spaan
Markov decision processes are a ubiquitous formalism for modelling systems with non-deterministic and probabilistic behavior. Verification of these models is subject to the famous state space explosion problem. We alleviate this problem by exploiting a hierarchical structure with repetitive parts. This structure not only occurs naturally in robotics, but also in probabilistic programs describing, e.g., network protocols. Such programs often repeatedly call a subroutine with similar behavior. In this paper, we focus on a local case, in which the subroutines have a limited effect on the overall system state. The key ideas to accelerate analysis of such programs are (1) to treat the behavior of the subroutine as uncertain and only remove this uncertainty by a detailed analysis if needed, and (2) to abstract similar subroutines into a parametric template, and then analyse this template. These two ideas are embedded into an abstraction-refinement loop that analyses hierarchical MDPs. A prototypical implementation shows the efficacy of the approach. ...