Y. Huang
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34 records found
1
Modelling energy justice
Reconceptualizing the modelling process to include procedural and recognition justice
Interest in linking energy models with energy justice is growing, with a rising number of studies explicitly addressing the three tenets of justice – distributive, procedural, and recognition – and reviews mapping this field. Yet procedural and recognition justice have been treated in limited ways, leaving it unclear how models can meaningfully engage with them. This paper addresses this gap through a structured review of 63 peer-reviewed studies that develop or use models to support local and regional energy transition decisions while incorporating justice considerations. We find that procedural justice is primarily operationalized as stakeholder participation, with less efforts made to explicitly address other principles such as transparency, inclusivity, accountability and to include non-participatory ways of including stakeholder input. Recognition justice is either omitted or conflated with procedural principles, whereas energy justice literature defines it in systemic terms that extend beyond the mere acknowledgement of stakeholder groups. We argue that early-stage decisions such as funding, research design, and stakeholder selection significantly influence whose values are represented in models, whose knowledge is excluded, and which outcomes are prioritized. These influences, despite their justice implications, are rarely acknowledged, with existing efforts biased toward implementations of justice within model logic. We propose expanding the scope of modelling to include these early-stage influences and outline four recommendations for modellers: broaden justice conceptualizations beyond model logic; evaluate early-stage justice implications; adopt reflexive practices; and leverage multi-modelling approaches to capture the multi-dimensionality of energy justice.
Advancing reproducibility and replicability in simulation
Challenges and opportunities
Sustainable digital education technologies
An analysis of selection processes in European universities
The digital transformation of education has rapidly evolved in recent years, driven by advancements in technology and further accelerated by the COVID-19 pandemic. Digital education Technologies (DETs) have become integral to higher education, reshaping how institutions deliver learning and manage resources. However, despite the widespread adoption of DETs, there has been limited focus on the sustainability of these technologies. This paper explores how sustainability considerations are integrated into DET selection processes at European Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) through semi-structured interviews with key decision-makers. The research focuses on three sustainability dimensions-environmental, social, and technological-and their impact on decision-making. The results indicate that while HEIs are making efforts toward sustainability, economic considerations still dominate the decision-making process. Moreover, the emphasis across sustainability dimensions remains unbalanced: social dimensions, such as privacy, are prioritized over environmental dimensions due to the former being treated as knockout criteria and due to a lack of reliable data on the environmental impacts of DETs. This study also identifies several challenges, including long procurement processes, limited financial resources, and heavy dependence on external service providers for digital infrastructure. The findings offer insights into how HEIs can better align their digital strategies with broader sustainability goals.
Infection risk and economic activity trade-offs
Decision-making in indoor venue operations for pandemic preparedness
During epidemics, decision-making regarding intervention measures faces complex trade-offs. Interventions targeting indoor venues can mitigate disease spread, since they are associated with higher infection risk for respiratory pathogens. However, as experienced during the COVID-19 pandemic, these measures can lead to economic losses, especially in the hospitality sector. In this study, we propose a hybrid modeling and simulation framework to provide decision support for reducing the infection risk in indoor venues while maintaining viable economic activity. Our framework integrates (i) a microscopic pedestrian model for human movement, (ii) a hybrid simulation model for virus spread and transmission, and (iii) a multi-criteria decision-making approach to identify the best service options. The framework is demonstrated for the SARS-CoV-2 infection risk. The restaurant case study results illustrate that maximizing the distance between seating groups can have a limited effect on the infection risk. Service duration and service capacity are key determinants of expected economic activity, but they constitute significant trade-offs: the former has a substantial impact on the infection risk, and the latter drives the probability of infectious introductions. Our analysis demonstrates the need for multi-criteria approaches during an outbreak and consideration of the epidemiological context for operational decision-making, even at an individual venue.
Impact assessment of neonatal care interventions on regional neonatal care capacity
A simulation study based on clinical data in the Netherlands
Objective To analyse the impact of selected neonatal care interventions on regional care capacity.
Design Discrete event simulation modelling based on clinical data.
Setting Neonatal care in the southwest of the Netherlands, consisting of one tertiary-level neonatal intensive care unit (NICU), four hospitals with high-care neonatal (HCN) wards and six with medium-care neonatal (MCN) wards.
Participants 44 461 neonates admitted to at least one hospital within the specified region or admitted outside of the region but with a residential address inside the region between 2016 and 2021.
Interventions The impact of three interventions was simulated: (1) home-based phototherapy for hyperbilirubinaemia, (2) oral antibiotic switch for culture-negative early onset infection and (3) changing tertiary-level NICU admission guidelines.
Main outcome measure Regional neonatal capacity defined as: (1) occupancy per ward level, (2) required operational beds per ward level to provide care to all inside region patients at maximum 85% occupancy, (3) proportion rejected, defined as outside region transfers due to no capacity to provide local care and (4) the weekly rejections in relation to occupancy to provide a combined analysis.
Results In the current situation, with many operational beds closed due to nurse shortages, occupancy was extremely high at the NICU and HCNs (respectively 91.7% (95% CI 91.4 to 92.0) and 98.1% (95% CI 98.0 to 98.2)). The number of required beds exceeded available beds, resulting in >20% rejections for both NICU and HCN patients. Although the three interventions individually demonstrated effect on capacity, clinical impact was marginal. In combination, NICU occupancy was reduced below the 85% government recommendation at the cost of an increased burden for HCNs, highlighting the need for redistribution to MCNs.
Conclusion Our model confirmed the severity of current neonatal capacity strain and demonstrated the potential impact of three interventions on regional capacity. The model showed to be a low-cost and easy-to-use method for regional capacity impact assessment and could provide the basis for making informed decisions for other interventions and future scenarios, supporting data-driven neonatal capacity planning and policy development.
The MMI is a minimal viable product collaboratively designed and developed by a diverse group of modellers and energy experts. It includes facilitating services such as software and methods that enable multi-modelling but not the individual independent models themselves. We share the vision, approach and initial outcomes of the project, in particular, give an overview of the multi-model platform architecture design and the three use cases (and multi-models) of marco, meso and micro scales developed to demonstrate the potential of MMI. We also discuss the lessons learnt and future work, with the intension to invite more research, debate and collaboration on topics of multi-modelling, in particular simulation model reuse and interoperation, and to form an even stronger and broader interdisciplinary community of multi-modellers. ...
The MMI is a minimal viable product collaboratively designed and developed by a diverse group of modellers and energy experts. It includes facilitating services such as software and methods that enable multi-modelling but not the individual independent models themselves. We share the vision, approach and initial outcomes of the project, in particular, give an overview of the multi-model platform architecture design and the three use cases (and multi-models) of marco, meso and micro scales developed to demonstrate the potential of MMI. We also discuss the lessons learnt and future work, with the intension to invite more research, debate and collaboration on topics of multi-modelling, in particular simulation model reuse and interoperation, and to form an even stronger and broader interdisciplinary community of multi-modellers.
Particle filter–based data assimilation in dynamic data-driven simulation
Sensitivity analysis of three critical experimental conditions
Data assimilation (DA) is a methodology widely used by different disciplines of science and engineering. It is typically applied to continuous systems with numerical models. The application of DA to discrete-event and discrete-time systems including agent-based models is relatively new. Because of its non-linearity and non-Gaussianity, the particle filter (PF) method is often a good option for stochastic simulation models of discrete systems. The probability distributions of model runs, however, make it computationally intensive. The experimental conditions therein are understudied. This paper studied three critical conditions of PF-based DA in a discrete event model: (1) the time interval between two consecutive DA iterations, (2) the number of particles, and (3) the actual level and perceived level of measurement errors (or noises). The study conducted identical-twin experiments of an M/M/1 single server queuing system. The ground truth is imitated in a stand-alone simulation model. The measurement errors are superimposed so that the effect of the three conditions can be quantitatively evaluated in a controlled manner. The results show that the estimation accuracy of such a system using PF is more constrained by the choice of time intervals than the number of particles. An under estimation of measurement errors produces worse state estimates than an over estimation of errors. A correct perception of the measurement errors does not guarantee better state estimates. Moreover, a slight over estimation of errors results in better state estimates, and it is more responsive to abrupt system changes than an accurate perception of measurement errors.
Operational Design Domain Requirements for Improved Performance of Lane Assistance Systems
A Field Test Study in The Netherlands
Assessing the impacts of shared autonomous vehicles on congestion and curb use
A traffic simulation study in The Hague, Netherlands
New developments in the automotive world have the power to change mobility, but because of high uncertainties, municipalities are adopting a wait-and-see attitude. Nonetheless, autonomous, connected and shared vehicle technologies are in a far stage of development and it is only a matter of time before shared autonomous vehicles (SAVs) enter urban traffic. This research aims to provide insights into the congestion effects of SAVs on urban traffic, focusing on the differences in microscopic behaviour from conventional cars, and to investigate which easy-to-implement solutions a municipality could apply to facilitate the new mix of traffic. This was researched by performing a simulation study, using the traffic simulation package Vissim and a case study of a network in the city of The Hague during the morning peak in 2040. Several SAV market penetration scenarios were tested: 0%, 3%, 25%, 50% and 100% SAV usage by travellers. Additionally, two network designs were implemented: dedicated lanes for SAVs and kiss & ride (K&R)-facilities. From the results, it was clear that while the autonomous driving capabilities of SAVs help reduce traffic congestion, they also have a negative effect by stopping on the curbside to drop off passengers, forming bottlenecks for other road users, and by circulating on the network using low capacity links. Below the line, this adds up to an overall negative effect on urban traffic congestion according to our results. The dedicated lanes design was unsuccessful at reducing this congestion caused by SAVs. The K&R design, however, was successful at reducing delays, but only for SAV penetration rates higher than 25%. These exact effects are not generalizable due to limitations in network size and simulation software. However, the results can be seen as indicative for planning purposes. Similar effects could be expected in cities where transport network companies (TNCs) such as Uber become exceptionally popular with non-autonomous cars. The advice for municipalities is to closely monitor the situation and to account for SAVs (and TNCs) in each new infrastructural project.
The attitude-behaviour gap in energy consumption refers to the imparity between people's environmental values (and attitudes) and their actual behavior in consumption. This paper calls for the facilitation of the behaviour change process that is implementable in the context of one's everyday life to address the attitude-behaviour gap in household energy consumption. Two interrelated intervention design constructs are proposed based on the results of literature review, namely (1) providing consumers accurate information about actionable suggestions in the specific context of their everyday life, and (2) fostering consumers' motivation to engage in the behavior change process towards energy conservation. Smart Grid technologies are instrumental in both intervention types.