A. Presekal
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Digital substations, which replace traditional analog infrastructure, are essential to power grid operation but are facing growing vulnerability to cyber attacks. Existing anomaly detection in substation communication requires labeled datasets for supervised training and fails to incorporate temporal characteristics, which cannot detect unknown persistent attacks. Setting arbitrary thresholds for outlier detection leads to high false positives and low detection rates. This paper addresses cyber security challenges related to IEC 61850 Generic Object Oriented Substation Event (GOOSE) protocol within digital substations. We propose a novel unsupervised Transformer-based Distribution Fitting Anomaly Detection (TF-DiFAD) method for time series GOOSE frames with a robust thresholding technique. Deep packet inspection is used to extract features from GOOSE frames, which are processed through the proposed TF-DiFAD model. TF-DiFAD combines the deep learning transformer model with statistical distribution fitting techniques to accurately detect anomalous GOOSE frames. Specifically, reconstruction errors are generated using a state-of-the-art transformer model. A novel model-agnostic solution is applied for setting anomaly thresholds and calculating anomaly probabilities. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test is employed to select the best-fitting distribution for these errors. TF-DiFAD is benchmarked against other state-of-the-art models using two distinct test datasets, demonstrating superior performance. The results indicate that TF-DiFAD detects anomalies with Receiver Operating Characteristics Area Under Curve (ROC AUC) scores of 96.84% and 95.73% respectively for both datasets.
Power grids are undergoing a fast-paced process of digitalization for enhanced monitoring and control capabilities and grid intelligence. However, the increased integration of digital technologies, such as the next generation of operational technologies (OTs) and digital substations, implies a new risk as information technology (IT)-OT systems are vulnerable to cyberattacks. Furthermore, the combination of heterogeneous, co-existing smart and legacy technologies generates significant vulnerabilities and security challenges. Examples of cybersecurity incidents related to power grids already exist around the world. On December 23, 2015, cyberattacks were conducted on the power grid in Ukraine that resulted in power outages, which affected 225,000 customers. More sophisticated cyberattacks on the Ukrainian power grid followed on December 17, 2016, resulting in a power outage in the distribution network where 200 MW of load was unsupplied. The complexity of cyberattacks on power systems is likely to increase. This chapter provides the state-of-the-art and essential knowledge of threats and cyberattacks on power systems. This chapter reviews major cyberattacks on power grids and industrial control systems. A detailed taxonomy of cyberattacks is provided. Power grid vulnerability to six main types of cyberattacks is discussed, that is, phishing, malware, network-based attacks, man-in-the-middle attacks, host-based attacks, and denial of service. The impact of cyberattacks on grid operation is analyzed in terms of loss of load, cascading effects, and equipment damage. A case study of a cyberattack scenario and simulation results are provided.
Digitalization is paving the way toward enhanced power grid operational capabilities and intelligence. The increased digitalization, however, also implies a greater risk of cyber vulnerabilities and threats. Therefore, various power systems facets such as transmission and distribution systems, digital substations, control centers, and wide-area communication networks are vulnerable to cyber-attacks. The most notable cyber-attacks on power grids are the twin attacks on the Ukrainian power grid in 2015 and 2016. These incidents clearly highlighted that cyber-attacks on power grids are an imminent threat that needs to be addressed. Keeping this in mind, this chapter provides essential knowledge of cyber-attack mitigation for cyber-physical power systems, i.e., secure communication protocols for operational technologies, penetration testing using cyber ranges and cyber-physical co-simulation, security controls, and intrusion detection and prevention systems. Among the wide-scope mitigation, artificial intelligence is highlighted as an emerging solution. This chapter presents how hybrid deep learning based on graph convolutional long short-term memory is used for anomaly detection in power system operational technology (OT) networks. Unlike traditional signature and supervised learning-based intrusion detection, the hybrid deep learning anomaly detection utilizes the OT traffic throughput. It takes advantage of the OT traffic’s deterministic and homogenous characteristics to provide a robust and flexible anomaly detection for a wide scope of cyber-attacks. The traffic anomalies are incorporated into an attack graph that aids power system operators identify and localize anomalies of active attacks on power systems in near real time. Cyber-attack case studies and cyber-physical co-simulation results are provided to demonstrate the efficiency of hybrid deep learning for anomaly detection.
Advanced Persistent Threat Detection and Correlation for Cyber-Physical Power Systems
Enhancing Resilience of Power Grid Operational Technologies
The thesis begins by examining cybersecurity in power grids, which is essential for developing effective defense strategies. It offers a detailed analysis of the cyber threat landscape, system vulnerabilities, current mitigation techniques, and cyber attack modeling specific to cyber-physical power systems. Based on this foundation, the thesis proposes an advanced kill chain model for cyber-physical power systems that improves on existing frameworks for identifying stages of cyber attacks. The research focuses on APTs in power grids by addressing three core challenges: stealthiness, persistence, and zero-day vulnerabilities.
APT Stealthiness:
APTs are difficult to detect because they use advanced techniques to remain hidden. They often disguise their activity as legitimate traffic, making them hard to spot using traditional security systems like intrusion detection systems (IDS) and firewalls. Their behavior causes only minor anomalies that blend in with normal operations, creating the need for highly sensitive detection systems capable of identifying these subtle signs.
APT Persistence:
APTs are designed to stay undetected for extended periods, sometimes months or years. To detect such long-term threats, it is important to analyze and correlate anomalies over time. However, most current detection systems for cyber-physical power systems focus either on the cyber or physical aspect individually, and they typically detect isolated events rather than recognizing broader patterns or correlations across systems. This makes it difficult to track the lateral movement of an attacker over time. The main scientific challenge is to detect low-frequency, unpredictable, and subtle anomalies that often bypass traditional detection methods.
APT Zero-Day Attacks:
Attackers often use zero-day exploits, which take advantage of unknown vulnerabilities in software, hardware, or communication protocols. Traditional security systems, which rely on known attack patterns, cannot detect these unknown threats. To identify zero-day attacks, detection methods must be based on anomalies rather than known signatures. This requires analyzing deviations from normal system behavior without relying on prior knowledge of specific attack methods.
To address these challenges, the thesis proposes new hybrid deep learning models using graph-based and semi-supervised learning techniques. The main contributions of the research are:
Cyber-Physical Power System Model and Kill Chain Framework:
The thesis provides a thorough analysis of cybersecurity issues in power systems, focusing on evolving threats and vulnerabilities. It presents a cyber-physical power system model that includes a cyber range—a simulation environment that mimics attacks and defenses. It also introduces an advanced cyber-physical power system (ACPPS) kill chain, which identifies APT behaviors specific to power systems. This framework traces the entire attack process, from initial access to cascading failures and blackouts, enabling more effective defenses.
Attack Graph Model:
To detect stealthy APTs, the thesis introduces an attack graph model supported by Software-Defined Networking (SDN) for real-time awareness. It uses a hybrid deep learning model combining Graph Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (GC-LSTM) and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) to classify operational technology (OT) network traffic as normal or anomalous. This model detects subtle traffic anomalies, reducing both false positives and negatives, and pinpoints the exact location of anomalies in near real-time.
APT Spatio-Temporal Correlation:
To address long-term persistence, the thesis proposes a method for correlating APT behavior over time and space using a Cyber-Physical System Interaction Matrix (CPSIM) and an Enhanced Graph-Convolutional LSTM (EGC-LSTM) model. The CPSIM shows how anomalies in the cyber and physical layers are connected, while the EGC-LSTM model predicts future anomalies by analyzing patterns across time and space. This approach improves the ability to detect and anticipate APT movement throughout the system.
Semi-Supervised Intrusion Detection System for Digital Substations:
To identify zero-day attacks, the thesis introduces a semi-supervised intrusion detection system tailored to digital substations. It analyzes both traffic payload and interarrival time, converting these features into vectors that represent OT traffic behavior. The method uses frequency analysis (Fast Fourier Transform) and statistical testing (Kolmogorov-Smirnov test) to improve classification between normal and abnormal traffic. A combination of Self-Organizing Maps (SOM) and Density-Based Spatial Clustering (DBSCAN) is used to classify data, enhancing the ability to detect unknown attacks and improving performance with imbalanced datasets. ...
The thesis begins by examining cybersecurity in power grids, which is essential for developing effective defense strategies. It offers a detailed analysis of the cyber threat landscape, system vulnerabilities, current mitigation techniques, and cyber attack modeling specific to cyber-physical power systems. Based on this foundation, the thesis proposes an advanced kill chain model for cyber-physical power systems that improves on existing frameworks for identifying stages of cyber attacks. The research focuses on APTs in power grids by addressing three core challenges: stealthiness, persistence, and zero-day vulnerabilities.
APT Stealthiness:
APTs are difficult to detect because they use advanced techniques to remain hidden. They often disguise their activity as legitimate traffic, making them hard to spot using traditional security systems like intrusion detection systems (IDS) and firewalls. Their behavior causes only minor anomalies that blend in with normal operations, creating the need for highly sensitive detection systems capable of identifying these subtle signs.
APT Persistence:
APTs are designed to stay undetected for extended periods, sometimes months or years. To detect such long-term threats, it is important to analyze and correlate anomalies over time. However, most current detection systems for cyber-physical power systems focus either on the cyber or physical aspect individually, and they typically detect isolated events rather than recognizing broader patterns or correlations across systems. This makes it difficult to track the lateral movement of an attacker over time. The main scientific challenge is to detect low-frequency, unpredictable, and subtle anomalies that often bypass traditional detection methods.
APT Zero-Day Attacks:
Attackers often use zero-day exploits, which take advantage of unknown vulnerabilities in software, hardware, or communication protocols. Traditional security systems, which rely on known attack patterns, cannot detect these unknown threats. To identify zero-day attacks, detection methods must be based on anomalies rather than known signatures. This requires analyzing deviations from normal system behavior without relying on prior knowledge of specific attack methods.
To address these challenges, the thesis proposes new hybrid deep learning models using graph-based and semi-supervised learning techniques. The main contributions of the research are:
Cyber-Physical Power System Model and Kill Chain Framework:
The thesis provides a thorough analysis of cybersecurity issues in power systems, focusing on evolving threats and vulnerabilities. It presents a cyber-physical power system model that includes a cyber range—a simulation environment that mimics attacks and defenses. It also introduces an advanced cyber-physical power system (ACPPS) kill chain, which identifies APT behaviors specific to power systems. This framework traces the entire attack process, from initial access to cascading failures and blackouts, enabling more effective defenses.
Attack Graph Model:
To detect stealthy APTs, the thesis introduces an attack graph model supported by Software-Defined Networking (SDN) for real-time awareness. It uses a hybrid deep learning model combining Graph Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (GC-LSTM) and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) to classify operational technology (OT) network traffic as normal or anomalous. This model detects subtle traffic anomalies, reducing both false positives and negatives, and pinpoints the exact location of anomalies in near real-time.
APT Spatio-Temporal Correlation:
To address long-term persistence, the thesis proposes a method for correlating APT behavior over time and space using a Cyber-Physical System Interaction Matrix (CPSIM) and an Enhanced Graph-Convolutional LSTM (EGC-LSTM) model. The CPSIM shows how anomalies in the cyber and physical layers are connected, while the EGC-LSTM model predicts future anomalies by analyzing patterns across time and space. This approach improves the ability to detect and anticipate APT movement throughout the system.
Semi-Supervised Intrusion Detection System for Digital Substations:
To identify zero-day attacks, the thesis introduces a semi-supervised intrusion detection system tailored to digital substations. It analyzes both traffic payload and interarrival time, converting these features into vectors that represent OT traffic behavior. The method uses frequency analysis (Fast Fourier Transform) and statistical testing (Kolmogorov-Smirnov test) to improve classification between normal and abnormal traffic. A combination of Self-Organizing Maps (SOM) and Density-Based Spatial Clustering (DBSCAN) is used to classify data, enhancing the ability to detect unknown attacks and improving performance with imbalanced datasets.
Power systems are undergoing rapid digitalization. This introduces new vulnerabilities and cyber threats in future Cyber-Physical Power Systems (CPPS). Some of the most notable incidents include the cyber attacks on the power grid in Ukraine in 2015, 2016, and 2022, which employed Advanced Persistent Threat (APT) strategies that took several months to reach their objectives and caused power outages. This highlights the urgent need for an in-depth analysis of APTs on CPPS. However, existing frameworks for analyzing cyber attacks, i.e., MITRE ATT&CK ICS and Cyber Kill Chain, have limitations in comprehensively analyzing APTs in CPPS environments. To address this gap, we propose a novel Advanced Cyber-Physical Power System (ACPPS) kill chain framework. The ACPPS kill chain identifies the APT characteristics that are unique to power systems. It defines and examines the cyber-physical APT stages spanning from the initial phases of infiltration to cascading failures and a power system blackout. The proposed ACPPS kill chain is validated with real-world APT attacks on the power grid in Ukraine in 2015 and 2016, and cyber-physical simulations.
Cyber actors can target the unsecured IEC 61850 protocols in digital substations to open circuit breakers and affect the power system operation. Thus, system operators must detect cyber-physical anomalies and differentiate in real-time between power system faults and cyber attacks on digital substations for effective incident response. In this work, we propose a novel image encoding method for event correlation using cyber-physical time-series data, i.e., Phasor Measurement Units (PMUs) and Operational Technology (OT) network traffic. More specifically, we propose a dynamic variation of the Gramian Angular Field method, which generates image streams capturing in real-time the spatial-temporal features in PMU measurements and IEC 61850 GOOSE traffic throughput. The proposed method for cyber-physical event correlation uses an image fusion technique. The method is tested using the benchmark IEEE 9-bus system. It successfully distinguishes between three-phase faults and GOOSE cyber attacks, demonstrating its usefulness for power system cyber security analytics.
Cyber Security of HVDC Systems
A Review of Cyber Threats, Defense, and Testbeds
High Voltage Direct Current (HVDC) technology is one of the key enablers of the energy transition, especially for offshore wind energy systems. While extensive research on cyber security of High Voltage Alternating Current (HVAC) systems has been conducted, limited research exists on cyber security aspects of HVDC systems. These systems exhibit unique attributes, in comparison to HVAC systems, such as longer transmission line distances and increased volume of data samples for wide-area monitoring, control, and protection applications. These factors lead to a higher vulnerability of HVDC systems to cyber attacks. Existing state-of-the-art HVDC surveys, however, are primarily focused on HVDC physical components and exclude cyber security elements. Therefore, this paper presents the first detailed survey on the cyber security of HVDC Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS). We present a comprehensive review of the state-of-the-art HVDC systems, with a special focus on cyber threats and vulnerabilities, defense and mitigation strategies, and testbeds. Based on the review and analysis, insights and recommendations on future research directions to address the research gaps in this field of study are provided. Future research on cyber security for HVDC systems should prioritize the integration of cyber and physical system data and focus on early-stage detection to mitigate the potentially severe impacts of cyber attacks on HVDC grids.
Cascading effects in the power grid involve an uncontrolled, successive failure of elements. The root cause of such failures is the combined occurrence of multiple, statistically rare events that may result in a blackout. With increasing digitalisation, power systems are vulnerable to emergent cyber threats. Furthermore, such threats are not statistically limited and can simultaneously occur at multiple locations. In the absence of real-world attack information, however, it is imperative to investigate if and how cyber attacks can cause power system cascading failures. Hence, in this work we present a fundamental analysis of the connection between the cascading failure mechanism and cyber security. We hypothesise and demonstrate how cyber attacks on power grids may cause cascading failures and a blackout. To do so, we perform a systematic survey of major historic blackouts caused by physical disturbances, and examine the cascading failure mechanism. Subsequently, we identify critical cyber-physical factors that can activate and influence it. We then infer and discuss how cyber attack vectors can enable these factors to cause and accelerate cascading failures. A synthetic case-study and software-based simulation results prove our hypothesis. This analysis enables future research into cyber resilience of power grids.