Land subsidence is a significant issue in many coastal megacities, including Shanghai, where it poses risks to infrastructure and economic stability. Although numerous studies have used SAR datasets to monitor land subsidence in Shanghai, multi-decadal displacement measurements obtained from multi-sensor SAR data remain unavailable. Moreover, the contributions and variations of driving factors behind the evolution of land subsidence remain poorly understood. This study employs multi-sensor SAR fusion method and a Random Forest model, along with Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), to examine subsidence evolution and assess the influence of key drivers over the past 30 years. The results show that severe subsidence has spread from central urban areas to surrounding suburban regions, particularly in the eastern coastal and southern industrial zones in Shanghai. SHAP analysis identified that evapotranspiration, sediment thickness, and groundwater extraction were the dominant factors in the early stage of subsidence, while recent groundwater management and recharge practices have significantly mitigated the subsidence rate. These findings demonstrate the shifting importance of different subsidence factors over time and provide valuable insights for long-term prevention and control measures.

The structural response of masonry walls during flood events is a critical concern for the flood resilience of (Dutch) buildings, as they typically constitute part of the load-bearing structure. This study investigates the out-of-plane behaviour of a full-scale single-wythe fired-clay-brick masonry wall under out-of-plane hydrostatic pressure and debris impact loads. Experimental tests were conducted on a 2.7 × 2.7 m masonry wall subjected to a vertical pre-compression and simultaneously varying water levels and debris impacts at the Flood Proof Holland facility in Delft, the Netherlands. Results demonstrated that the wall remained within the linear-elastic regime up to a water depth of approximately 90 cm when the interior side was dry. Beyond this threshold, crack initiation and stress redistribution occurred, leading to significant deformation. On the basis of calibrated models, failure was predicted at approximately 150 cm water depth for a fully restrained wall. Debris impact tests showed that soft debris, represented by a floating log, caused negligible additional damage, whereas repeated impacts with a steel cube (hard debris) resulted in progressive cracking and local failure, particularly at higher water levels. Numerical models, including analytical, linear-elastic finite element method (FEM), and non-linear FE approaches, were calibrated using the experimental data. While one-way bending models predicted conservative failure thresholds, two-way, non-linear models accurately captured the wall’s deformation and cracking behaviour, demonstrating the importance of lateral boundary constraints in determining wall capacity and stability. The findings emphasise that traditional masonry walls in Dutch buildings can safely withstand water depths up to 90 cm without significant damage. However, higher water levels or hard debris impacts pose substantial risks, highlighting the need for improved flood resilience strategies. Future work should focus on cavity wall systems, leakage effects, and the behaviour of walls with openings.

In the aftermath of Hurricane Ike in 2008 in the United States, the “Ike Dike” was proposed as a coastal barrier system, featuring floodgates, to protect the Houston-Galveston area (HGA) from future storm surges. Given its substantial costs, the feasibility and effectiveness of the Ike Dike have been subjects of investigation. In this study, we evaluated these aspects under both present and future climate conditions by simulating storm surges using a set of models. Delft3D Flexible Mesh Suite was utilized to simulate hydrodynamic and wave motions driven by hurricanes, with wind and pressure fields spatialized by the Holland model. The models were validated against data from Hurricane Ike and were used to simulate synthetic hurricane tracks downscaled from several general circulation models and based on different sea level rise projections, both with and without the Ike Dike. Flood maps for each simulation were generated, and probabilistic flood depths for specific annual exceedance probabilities were predicted using annual maxima flood maps. Building damage curves were applied to residential properties in the HGA to calculate flood damage for each exceedance probability, resulting in estimates of expected annual damage as a measure of quantified flood risk. Our findings indicate that the Ike Dike significantly mitigates storm surge risk in the HGA, demonstrating its feasibility and effectiveness. We also found that the flood risk estimates are sensitive to hurricane intensity, the choice of damage curve, and the properties included in the analysis, suggesting that careful consideration is needed in future studies.

Floating offshore wind turbines (FOWTs) are gaining increasing attention as a promising solution for harnessing wind energy in deep-water regions, where traditional bottom-fixed turbines are not feasible. Among the various floating platform designs, semi-submersible platforms have emerged as a leading candidate due to their balance of stability, adaptability, and cost-effectiveness. This paper presents a detailed comparative analysis of two typical types of semi-submersible platforms: the three-column design and the three-column with central column design. The study employs a coupled aero-hydro-mooring simulation system using OpenFOAM to evaluate the hydrodynamic, aerodynamic, and mooring dynamics of both platform configurations. High-fidelity computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations, along with a lumped-mass mooring model and the actuator line model (ALM), are employed to capture the coupled fluid-structure interactions and mooring line dynamics. The results reveal significant differences in platform behavior, highlighting the impact of platform geometry on dynamic stability and mooring line response. The additional central column significantly improves pitch stability, reducing the maximum pitch angle by 38.7 % under combined wind and wave loading, indicating enhanced dynamic stability of the additional central column design. Additionally, an economic assessment is provided to evaluate the material costs, installation, and operational expenses for each platform type. The findings suggest that both configurations offer distinct advantages depending on operational and environmental conditions, contributing to the optimization of FOWT platform selection for future offshore wind farms.

Tropical cyclones (TCs) significantly influence coastal sedimentation, geomorphologic features, and morphodynamic processes through strong winds, heavy rains, and storm surges. These effects are particularly pronounced in the east China coastal ocean. However, the impacts of poleward and landward shifts in TC tracks on sedimentology, specifically sediment transport and erosion-deposition processes, remain insufficiently understood. This study utilizes the Delft3D-FM numerical model integrated with TC best track data and field measurements to investigate sediment transport patterns under historical TC tracks and to quantify erosion responses to poleward and landward track shifts. From the historical sediment transport pattern derived from the typical historical TC track, results reveal that sediment in waters shallower than 30 m is highly sensitive to TC activity, with four distinct zones where net sediment transport is sensitive to the change of typical historical TC tracks. Coastal erosion depth changes due to poleward and landward shifts of typical TC tracks during the peak TC intensity period are quantified as 0.24–1.63 cm°N⁻¹ and 0.05–1.06 cm°E⁻¹, respectively. Under global warming scenarios, these values are projected to increase by 2.45%–8.00% and 4.71%–13.33%, respectively. Identifying the coastal areas more susceptible to TC-induced sediment transport and quantitatively assessing the effects of poleward and landward track shifts are important for understanding local TC variability and supporting research on sedimentology during TCs and the future protection of coastal areas.

Hydropower plays a critical role in global renewable energy production, yet its environmental impacts on aquatic ecosystems remain a concern. This study investigates the biological impacts of Shaft-Driven Variable-Speed Contra-Rotating Propeller Reversible Pump Turbines (SDCRRPTs) on fish populations, using Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) and European eel (anguilla) as experimental models. These species present critical ecological and conservation traits, making them ideal models for assessing hydropower-induced stressors such as rapid decompression, shear, collision, and turbulence. Through Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations and the Biological Performance Assessment (BioPA) tool, two SDCRRPT prototypes were evaluated under varying operating conditions. Results indicate that rapid decompression posed minimal risks, while shear stress was the primary cause of mortality for salmon, and collision effects were moderate but species-dependent. The optimized turbine design (Prototype 1) demonstrated improvements in adult fish passage safety compared to the initial design, particularly for eels, yet persistent vulnerabilities highlight the need for further refinements and protective measures, such as physical, mechanical or sensory behavioral barriers combined with bypass systems, to mitigate unavoidable mortality risks during turbine passage. The findings highlight the potential for species-specific design optimization to balance ecological conservation with sustainable energy production. This work underscores the importance of integrating environmental considerations into hydropower technologies to support the EU's decarbonization goals while safeguarding aquatic biodiversity.

The design of coastal and hydraulic structures must account for extreme conditions, such as wave overtopping, and consider variables that may not be relevant under normal circumstances to ensure safety. This research investigates the characteristics of air cavity pressure and cavity water depth beside an overflowed vertical caisson breakwater, focusing on the influence of flow conditions and hydraulic parameters for a slowly varying, surging-type tsunami. A physical model was used to conduct controlled experiments, enabling the study to explore various scenarios, including subcritical and supercritical downstream flows with varying downstream flume outlet heights and different upstream water depths. Dimensionless equations for air cavity pressure and cavity water depth were derived through multivariate regression analysis, providing a systematic approach to analyze their behaviors under different flow conditions. The results show that air cavity pressure is significantly influenced by the presence of air in the cavity, with a transition from fully ventilated to partially or non-ventilated conditions as the upstream water depth increases. Cavity water depth is observed to be deeper in the non-ventilated case, aligning with previous studies. The derived dimensionless equations demonstrate strong correlations, offering valuable tools for predicting air cavity pressure and cavity water depth under various scenarios, contributing to the design and analysis of hydraulic structures. This study provides insights into wave-structure interactions, extreme wave loads, and the dynamic responses of coastal infrastructures under wave-induced conditions. Overall, this research advances our understanding of air cavity pressure and cavity water depth behaviors, providing essential data for optimizing the design, performance, and safety of hydraulic and marine structures in response to complex ocean wave loads.

Marine biofouling is a major concern in the operational performance of submerged floating tunnels (SFTs). The objective of this research is to extend hydrodynamic conditions in experiments and numerically investigate the effects of marine fouling on the hydrodynamic behavior of SFTs, including flow characteristics and forces on the SFT subject to waves. A sensitivity analysis of roughness parameters including different roughness heights and roughness coverage ratios is carried out. Additionally, the hydrodynamic forces of a roughened SFT with a circular shape and a newly designed parametric shape are compared.

Emergency responders in coastal cities are anticipated to provide effective evacuation of at-risk populations during the preparedness and response phases of coastal floods due to land-falling storms or cyclones. However, existing contingency plans primarily focus on the evacuation of the general public rather than special arrangement for elderly populations who constitute a large proportion of flood fatalities. Here we present a system-level methodology to elaborate citywide coastal flood evacuation plans for optimal deployment of shelters and effective transfer of elderly people with special needs. We conduct a comparative analysis between Shanghai and New York City, which are both among the most exposed coastal cities to storm-induced flooding but represent two distinct institutional systems of emergency operation. The results show marked disparities in evacuation patterns for elderly residents in the two cities. Storm flood evacuation is more challenging in Shanghai due to insufficient provision of shelter capacity (~230,000). Implementing risk-informed and strategic planning could not only meet the potentially huge demand of vulnerable elderly (~520,000) but also improve the overall efficiency of evacuee transfer by a factor of 3. Our work provides new insights into operational emergency evacuation decisions and informs flood management policy development for major coastal cities globally.

This research investigates the dynamic response of offshore wind turbine (OWT) systems subject to ice-structure-soil interaction (ISSI). To simulate the behavior of level ice sheets, a coupled approach involving the cohesive element method (CEM) and the finite element method (FEM) is applied. For soil-structure interaction (SSI), the Mohr–Coulomb (M-C) model is employed to accommodate glacial soils. A three-dimensional model for ice-OWT-soil interactions is established using LS-DYNA, focusing on the North American Great Lakes region. The impact of factors, including conical structure geometry, ice loading conditions, and soil characteristics, on the actions of ice and the displacement of the OWT structure, is systematically assessed. The results show a notable reduction in horizontal ice forces when a conical structure is used, underscoring its potential to enhance the stability of an OWT. Additionally, lower ice loading height results in increased ice force and reduced structural displacement. Furthermore, variations in soil properties, specifically elastic shear modulus, cohesion and angle of internal friction, exert a significant influence on OWT dynamics. The elastic shear modulus of glacial soils impacts the displacement of the OWT structure, posing a threat to structural stability. In addition, reduced cohesion and friction angle contribute to greater structural displacement.

This study investigates the dynamics of air-water flow and the resulting forces on a broad-crested weir with a vertical face under both ventilated and non-ventilated cavity conditions. The focus is on measured forces and flow characteristics across various upstream water depths and flume outlet heights, categorized by distinct groups based on flow regimes. The experimental setup incorporates measurements of air-water mixture density, air cavity pressure, cavity water depth, and velocity profiles in the recirculation pool downstream of the weir. Results indicate that under supercritical downstream flow conditions, the forces exerted on the weir are directly proportional to the upstream water depth, while the downstream flume depth has a minimal impact. Conversely, in subcritical downstream conditions, the downstream flume depth significantly influences stabilizing forces due to increased cavity water depth. Additionally, pressure profile estimations on the downstream-facing wall of the weir using hydrostatic, Bernoulli, and Navier-Stokes equations show that the hydrostatic assumption is inadequate for estimating pressures and sliding forces in non-ventilated cavities. This study offers crucial insights into air-water flow dynamics in weirs, underscoring the importance of incorporating dynamic factors into weir design and hydraulic modeling.

The July 2021 flood heavily affected many inhabitants, buildings and critical infrastructure throughout Germany, Belgium and the Netherlands. Specifically, the Ahr Valley (Germany) showcased the destructive power associated with these extreme events. Hence, this region was the focus of a field survey, aiming at describing the flood-induced damage to buildings and assessing the possible underlying processes that led to structural failures. The field assessment revealed a close connection between building failures and (1) local flow depths and velocities, (2) building location, (3) distance from the riverbank and (4) construction type. Although it is difficult to identify the exact causes that induced failures, the detailed assessment revealed that damages mainly originated from local scour and hydraulic loads, often unevenly distributed around buildings. Importantly, many buildings were significantly affected by (large) floating debris impacts and damming, both responsible for additional loads, highlighting their importance in flood-resistant building design. Furthermore, data showed that buildings near the riverbanks and in the upstream part of villages were more severely damaged. Altogether, data provide a better understanding of the flood processes that lead to building failures, fostering future research towards the development of safer protection measures and more effective flood risk management strategies.

Background: The share of renewable energy feeding the European grid has been growing over the years, even though the intermittency of some renewable energy sources can induce electric grid instability. Energy storage has proven to be an effective way of reducing grid instability. Various solutions for large-scale energy storage are being researched nowadays. This study focusses on the innovative low-head pumped hydro storage (LH PHS) technology, a large-scale energy storage scheme suitable for shallow seas (5 – 30 m depth). Implementation of renewable energy technologies, such as wind farms in Europe, Asia and North America, has faced public opposition which has delayed or even cancelled the implementation of renewable energy projects. Literature about public perception of projects highlights the importance of involving stakeholders from the early stages of project planning. Considering this, the present study aims to collect stakeholder opinions (via an online survey) to determine what is necessary for a smooth implementation of LH PHS in the North Sea, both from technical and policy points of view. Results: Stakeholders from commercial parties, government authorities and local groups recognized the potential of LH PHS as a means to increase the share of renewable energies within the European power grid. Economics, bureaucratic burden, and structural safety have emerged as primary aspects of concern respecting the implementation of LH PHS. The impression of the respondents is that a low-head pumped hydro station would not have negative effects on their organizations. Furthermore, most of the engineering firms participating in the study communicated that their knowledge and resources could be involved in the construction of such an energy storage facility. Conclusion: As identified stakeholder concerns such as economics and structural safety are currently being researched, effective communication of the findings of this research is paramount to keep stakeholders informed of the ongoing progress. Two-way communication between researchers and stakeholders is recommended to enhance public acceptance of future technologies. Furthermore, is it advisable to undertake an examination of the available energy policies relevant to LH PHS.

Coastal regions have experienced significant environmental changes and increased vulnerability to floods caused by the combined effect of multiple flood drivers such as storm surge, heavy rainfall and river discharge, i.e., compound floods. Hence, for a sustainable development of coastal cities, it is necessary to understand the spatiotemporal dynamics and future trends of compound flood hazard. While the statistical dependence between flood drivers, i.e., rainfall and storm surges, has been extensively studied, the sensitivity of the inundated areas to the relative timing of a driver's individual peaks is less understood and location dependent. To fill this gap, here we propose a framework combining a statistical dependence model for compound event definition and a hydrodynamic model to assess inundation maps of compound flooding from storm surge and rainfall during typhoon season in Shanghai. First, we determine the severity of the joint design event, i.e., peak surge and precipitation, based on the copula model. Second, we use the same frequency amplification (SFA) method to transform the design event values in hourly time series so that they represent boundary conditions to force hydrodynamic models. Third, we assess the sensitivity of inundation maps to the time lag between storm surge peak and rainfall. Finally, we define flood zones based on the primary flood driver, and we delineate flood zones under the worst compound flood scenario. The study highlights that the temporal delay between storm surge and rainfall plays a pivotal role in shaping the dynamics of flooding events. More specifically, that the peak rainfall occurs 2 h before the peak storm surge would cause the deepest average cumulative inundation depth. At the same time, the results show that in Shanghai surge is the primary flood driver. High storm surge at the eastern part of the city (Wusongkou tidal gauge) propagates upstream in the Huangpu River, resulting in fluvial flooding in Shanghai city center and several surrounding districts. This calls for a better fluvial flooding control system hinging on the backwater effect during high surge in the upper and middle Huangpu River and in the newly added urbanized areas to ensure flood resilience. The proposed framework is useful to evaluate and predict flood hazard in coastal cities, and the results can provide guidance for urban disaster prevention and mitigation.

Analyzing the spatial-temporal changes in tropical cyclone (TC) tracks in the east China coastal ocean (ECCO) to quantify the magnitude of poleward and landward migration of TCs is of significant importance for coastal disaster mitigation and planning due to its susceptibility to the impacts of TCs. In this study, the TCs that affected the ECCO from 1949 to 2022 are classified into three typical types of tracks using the k-means clustering method, mass moments, and track interpolation based on TC location, shape, and intensity information. Type 1 is a northwestward track, Type 2 is a northwest to northeast-turning track, and Type 3 is a northwest to northeast-turning offshore track. Type 1 tracks mainly make landfall in southern China, while Type 2 predominantly makes landfall in eastern China. Moreover, the proportion of Type 1 decreases while their landfall percentage increases over time, and the proportion of Type 2 tracks is increasing. The probability of TC effects on the eastern and northern parts of the ECCO is increasing, and the boundary where the TC center reaches after landfall is shifting landward. During the period from 1994 to 2022, there has been a significant migration in TC tracks, with the mean centroid of the TCs affecting the ECCO shifting westward by 0.66° in longitude and northward by 1.26° in latitude, which means the magnitude of the poleward shift is about twice that of the landward shift. This migration appears to have been pre-conditioned by a combined influence of a weakening westward steering flow, reduced vertical wind shear, and warmer sea surface temperature Our findings provide valuable insights into the longitudinal and latitudinal migration of TC tracks and have important implications for disaster prevention, mitigation planning, and the adjustment of crucial coastal protection zones in the ECCO and similar regions around the globe.

The modelling of complex free surface flows is challenging due to the mobility and deformability of the interface and air entrainment characteristics, which are highly affected by turbulence. With the framework of Reynolds averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS) models and the volume of fluid (VOF) method, turbulence quantities at the air–water interface tend to be over-estimated. In this study, interfacial turbulence treatment methods including the buoyancy modification model based on the simple gradient diffusion hypothesis (SGDH) and Egorov’s turbulence damping model are investigated. Furthermore, due to the unconditionally unstable characteristics of the standard k-ε turbulence model, the stabilized k-ε turbulence model is applied as a comparison. The turbulence attenuation performance using different interfacial turbulence treatment methods in the vicinity of the interface is compared and discussed for stratified flows and free overflow weirs for aerated and non-aerated nappe scenarios. The turbulence quantities and free surface profile under different flow conditions are validated against experimental data and an analytical model. The results show that for free surface waves, both the SGDH model and the turbulence damping model give strong improvements in turbulence production compared with the standard k-ε model. The SGDH model augments the turbulence kinetic energy (TKE) in the unstable stratification, leading to unphysical behaviour for the partially dispersed and separated flow.

Fish screens are structures associated with pump stations and power plants, that prevent entrainment of fish, but may also be a source of physiological stress, if placed in locations of strong flow speeds that fish are unable to sustain swimming against over time. Herein, the acute response of Anguilla anguilla and Oncorhynchus mykiss to a 30-minute exposure to two water flow regimes was evaluated at the lowest level of the hypothalamus–pituitary–interrenal axis, from blood serum and skin mucus, in a controlled setup presenting a 45° vertically-angled fish screen. Cortisol response was species specific, regardless of the matrix employed. While the flow velocity factor did not describe any variance of eel data, and no statistically significant differences in cortisol concentrations were observed among eel groups, cortisol release in response to flume hydraulics followed a dose-dependent pattern in trout, with a large proportion of the variance described by the model. Mucus cortisol was highly and strongly correlated to serum levels of trout specimens subjected to the strongest flow. Given the established neuromodulatory and molecular roles of cortisol on major fitness-relevant processes, animal welfare implications may be severe, especially considering ever increasing exposure to chronic anthropogenic stressors, resulting in repeated and/or prolonged elevation of circulating glucocorticoids.

Marine biofouling is a major concern in the operational performance of submerged floating tunnels (SFTs). The objective of this research is to investigate the effects of marine fouling (represented by surface roughness) on the hydrodynamic behavior of SFTs, including the hydrodynamic forces on the SFT subject to current-only, wave-only, and combined current-wave flow conditions. The effects of increased surface roughness induced by marine fouling on the dynamic response of an SFT are characterized by hydrodynamic force coefficients, including drag and inertia coefficients. At the Water Lab of Delft University of Technology (TU Delft), experiments have been performed in a wave-current flume to compare the SFTs’ behaviors as affected by different roughness characteristics. In addition, a parametric cross-section for an SFT is presented, and the hydrodynamic performance associated with surface roughness effects on the parametric shape and circular SFT cross-section shape are compared. The results show that the parametric shape can effectively reduce the drag coefficient (C_d) under current-only conditions and lower the inertia coefficient (C_m) when waves are present. As roughness height and coverage ratio increase, C_d generally increases while C_m decreases. However, small differences in C_d and C_m can be observed with regard to roughness parameters for wave-only conditions. The Morison coefficients adapted for a marine-fouled SFT measured in the experiments are compared to predictions from engineering standards and are recommended for engineering practice.

Early initial impoundment can generate additional revenue but bring more flood risk in late-stage construction diversion. In view of the possible flood risk and catastrophic consequences caused by high dam failures induced by early impoundment, a comprehensive assessment is proposed. Taking the Lianghekou high rockfill dam on the Yalong River, southwest China, as an example, this study established the late-stage diversion risk model and predicted the failure probabilities for the original, 15 days ahead, and 30 days ahead schemes varied with the initial impoundment time using the Monte Carlo method. Then, considering overtopping-induced gradual breaking of rockfill dams, the NWS dam-break flood forecasting model (DAMBRK) was used to estimate the break development and the outflow hydrograph. Due to no significant differences being found in the outflow hydrographs of the three schemes, life loss was used an index for the consequences of inundation. Combining the failure probability, life loss, and early impoundment revenues brought by earlier power generation, a satisfied initial impoundment scheme was acquired using the multi-objective decision model. The results revealed this method can find a reasonable initial impoundment time in view of the late-stage diversion risk assessment.

The effects of surface roughness as induced by marine fouling on the hydrodynamic forces on a submerged floating tunnel (SFT) are experimentally and numerically investigated in detail at Reynolds numbers Re = 8.125 × 10³–5.25 × 10⁴. A sensitivity analysis to different roughness parameters including roughness height, skewness, coverage ratio, and spatial arrangement is performed. In addition, an optimized parametric cross-section for an SFT is proposed, and the hydrodynamic performance of the parametric shape and circular SFT cross-section shape with roughness elements is compared. The pressure distribution along the SFT, flow separation and wake characteristics are analyzed to provide a systematic insight into the fundamental mechanism relating the roughness parameters and flow around an SFT. In order to better understand the nonlinear relationships among structural geometry, roughness parameters, flow states, and structural response, an artificial intelligence method using Random Forest (RF) for feature importance ranking is applied. The results show that with the parametric shape, the hydrodynamic forces on the fouled SFT can be effectively mitigated. The roughness height and coverage ratio affect the equivalent blockage and hence, change flow separation and recirculation length in the wake. Lower skewness of the roughness elements can increase the critical Re by changing the relative roughness parameter. Horizontal arrangement of the roughness elements on an SFT generally results in the largest hydrodynamic forces, compared to staggered and vertical distributions. Throughout the feature importance ranking, the flow regime is found to be the most important feature of the hydrodynamics of the SFT. In addition, the SFT cross-section shape and roughness coverage ratio play a dominant role.