E.J.O. Schrama
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37 records found
1
Venus remains a high-priority target for unraveling the fundamental aspects of climate change and planetary evolution. A robotic lander mission to Venus has the potential of addressing the identified key outstanding scientific goals within the Venus exploration roadmap. Here, we present a new mission concept (‘KYTHERA’) for a long-duration lander system, where we present a new lander design, an entry-descent-landing sequence and corresponding landing site selection and timeline of scientific operations that can support a lander mission of up to 200 Earth days on the Venusian surface. To accommodate the long duration of the mission, the lander was designed with a vacuum-insulated core, cooled and powered by a set of radioisotope-powered Stirling generators. The identified landing site is the Lakshmi Planum region, indicated by a technical and scientific trade off. It was found that a long-duration robotic lander mission to Venus can address most outstanding key science goals outlined in the Venus exploration community. Finally, the results highlight the need for additional studies on the performance and feasibility of instrumentation and materials under Venus’ harsh surface environment.
Geodynamic processes in Antarctica such as glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) and post-seismic deformation are measured by geo-detic observations such as global navigation satellite systems (GNSS) and satellite gravimetry. GNSS measurements have comprised both continuous measurements and episodic measurements since the mid-1990s. The estimated velocities typically reach an accuracy of 1 mm a−1 for horizontal velocities and 2 mm a−1 for vertical velocities. However, the elastic deformation due to present-day ice-load change needs to be considered accordingly. Space gravimetry derives mass changes from small variations in the inter-satellite distance of a pair of satellites, starting with the GRACE (Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment) satellite mission in 2002 and continuing with the GRACE-FO (GRACE Follow-On) mission launched in 2018. The spatial resolution of the measurements is low (about 300 km) but the measurement error is homogeneous across Ant-arctica. The estimated trends contain signals from ice-mass change, and local and global GIA signals. To combine the strengths of the individual datasets, statistical combinations of GNSS, GRACE and satellite altimetry data have been developed. These combinations rely on realistic error estimates and assumptions of snow density. Nevertheless, they capture signals that are missing from geodynamic forward models such as the large uplift in the Amundsen Sea sector caused by a low-viscous response to century-scale ice-mass changes.
In this paper we review the precision orbit determination (POD) performance of the CryoSat-2 mission where we used all tracking data between June-2010 and Jan-2023; with station and beacon coordinates provided in the ITRF2020 reference system, we use a mean gravity model, and we use spacecraft specific models for modeling drag and radiation pressure. To model time variable gravity (TVG) we distinguish between two components, there is a short term oceanic and atmospheric part for which we use the AOD1B model; for the longer term part we employ GRACE and GRACE-FO monthly potential coefficient solutions. Our experience is that adding TVG information is not necessarily successful during POD, and that attention must be paid to the proper processing of the GRACE and GRACE-FO data. To demonstrate this property we define four runs where we gradually implement TVG information. An evaluation criterion is the level of POD tracking residuals, the level of the empirical accelerations, and a comparison to precision orbit ephemeris provided by the Centre National d'Etudes Spatiales (CNES). Unexplained empirical accelerations found during POD are on the level of 3 nm/s 2 for the along-track component and 13 nm/s 2 for the cross-track component. The laser residuals converge at approximately 1.02 cm and the Doppler residuals are on the level of 0.406 mm/s, the radial orbit difference to the CNES POE-F (Precision Orbit Ephemeris version F) orbits narrows to 6.5 mm. Tracking residuals are not evenly distributed for DORIS (Doppler Orbitography and Radiopositioning Integrated by Satellite) beacons, the South Atlantic Anomaly effect is for instance clearly visible in the first empirical orthogonal function EOF mode of monthly binned DORIS residuals. After consideration of all possible TVG approaches our conclusion is that 3 hourly AOD1B model fields result in a small but visible improvement. The addition of TVG from GRACE and GRACE-FO is implemented in two different ways from which we can select a version that does lead to a reduction in the Doppler tracking residuals and which does reduce the level of solved for empirical accelerations.
Ice losses from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets have accelerated since the 1990s, accounting for a significant increase in the global mean sea level. Here, we present a new 29-year record of ice sheet mass balance from 1992 to 2020 from the Ice Sheet Mass Balance Inter-comparison Exercise (IMBIE). We compare and combine 50 independent estimates of ice sheet mass balance derived from satellite observations of temporal changes in ice sheet flow, in ice sheet volume, and in Earth's gravity field. Between 1992 and 2020, the ice sheets contributed 21.0±1.9g€¯mm to global mean sea level, with the rate of mass loss rising from 105g€¯Gtg€¯yr-1 between 1992 and 1996 to 372g€¯Gtg€¯yr-1 between 2016 and 2020. In Greenland, the rate of mass loss is 169±9g€¯Gtg€¯yr-1 between 1992 and 2020, but there are large inter-annual variations in mass balance, with mass loss ranging from 86g€¯Gtg€¯yr-1 in 2017 to 444g€¯Gtg€¯yr-1 in 2019 due to large variability in surface mass balance. In Antarctica, ice losses continue to be dominated by mass loss from West Antarctica (82±9g€¯Gtg€¯yr-1) and, to a lesser extent, from the Antarctic Peninsula (13±5g€¯Gtg€¯yr-1). East Antarctica remains close to a state of balance, with a small gain of 3±15g€¯Gtg€¯yr-1, but is the most uncertain component of Antarctica's mass balance. The dataset is publicly available at 10.5285/77B64C55-7166-4A06-9DEF-2E400398E452 (IMBIE Team, 2021).
The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades 1,2, and it is expected to continue to be so 3. Although increases in glacier flow 4–6 and surface melting 7–9 have been driven by oceanic 10–12 and atmospheric 13,14 warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet’s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet’s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 ± 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 ± 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 ± 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 ± 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 ± 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 ± 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 ± 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 ± 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions 15 and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbræ 16. Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario 17, which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.
Global sea-level budget 1993–present
WCRP Global Sea Level Budget Group
The Antarctic Ice Sheet is an important indicator of climate change and driver of sea-level rise. Here we combine satellite observations of its changing volume, flow and gravitational attraction with modelling of its surface mass balance to show that it lost 2,720 ± 1,390 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2017, which corresponds to an increase in mean sea level of 7.6 ± 3.9 millimetres (errors are one standard deviation). Over this period, ocean-driven melting has caused rates of ice loss from West Antarctica to increase from 53 ± 29 billion to 159 ± 26 billion tonnes per year; ice-shelf collapse has increased the rate of ice loss from the Antarctic Peninsula from 7 ± 13 billion to 33 ± 16 billion tonnes per year. We find large variations in and among model estimates of surface mass balance and glacial isostatic adjustment for East Antarctica, with its average rate of mass gain over the period 1992-2017 (5 ± 46 billion tonnes per year) being the least certain.
In this paper we discuss our efforts to perform precision orbit determination (POD) of CryoSat-2 which depends on Doppler and satellite laser ranging tracking data. A dynamic orbit model is set-up and the residuals between the model and the tracking data is evaluated. The average r.m.s. of the 10 s averaged Doppler tracking pass residuals is approximately 0.39 mm/s; and the average of the laser tracking pass residuals becomes 1.42 cm. There are a number of other tests to verify the quality of the orbit solution, we compare our computed orbits against three independent external trajectories provided by the CNES. The CNES products are part of the CryoSat-2 products distributed by ESA. The radial differences of our solution relative to the CNES precision orbits shows an average r.m.s. of 1.25 cm between Jun-2010 and Apr-2017. The SIRAL altimeter crossover difference statistics demonstrate that the quality of our orbit solution is comparable to that of the POE solution computed by the CNES. In this paper we will discuss three important changes in our POD activities that have brought the orbit performance to this level. The improvements concern the way we implement temporal gravity accelerations observed by GRACE; the implementation of ITRF2014 coordinates and velocities for the DORIS beacons and the SLR tracking sites. We also discuss an adjustment of the SLR retroreflector position within the satellite reference frame. An unexpected result is that we find a systematic difference between the median of the 10 s Doppler tracking residuals which displays a statistically significant pattern in the South Atlantic Anomaly (SSA) area where the median of the velocity residuals varies in the range of -0.15 to +0.15 mm/s.
survey of DORIS and SLR station coordinates. For SLR stations in ITRF2014 we take the solution from the SINEX files, there is no need to estimate SLR station coordinates. This is also the case for most DORIS beacons although
some beacons require us to estimate station positions since they are not in ITRF2014. Preliminary results show that the DORIS residuals are consistent at 0.4 mm/s and that the SLR residuals are around to 1.5 cm. The level of unexplained accelerations with the presently used dynamic models is around 3.6 nanometer per second squared in the flight direction, for traverse track accelerations it is around 10 nm/s2. Crossover residuals of the CryoSat-2 altimeter typically reduce to under 5 cm, an independent comparison to the CNES precision orbit solutions yields radial differences of around 1.5 cm. ...
survey of DORIS and SLR station coordinates. For SLR stations in ITRF2014 we take the solution from the SINEX files, there is no need to estimate SLR station coordinates. This is also the case for most DORIS beacons although
some beacons require us to estimate station positions since they are not in ITRF2014. Preliminary results show that the DORIS residuals are consistent at 0.4 mm/s and that the SLR residuals are around to 1.5 cm. The level of unexplained accelerations with the presently used dynamic models is around 3.6 nanometer per second squared in the flight direction, for traverse track accelerations it is around 10 nm/s2. Crossover residuals of the CryoSat-2 altimeter typically reduce to under 5 cm, an independent comparison to the CNES precision orbit solutions yields radial differences of around 1.5 cm.
Multidisciplinary Space Education in a Blended Learning Environment
The New Spaceflight Minor at Delft University of Technology