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Journal article (2026) - Jael Bootsma, Irene van de Glind, Roos Mulder, Agnes Akkerman, Evelyn Finnema, Lex Heerma van Voss, Tom Geijsen, Niek Mouter, Geertje van de Ven
This study examines to what extent job evaluation systems align with public views on fair pay. Using a Participatory Value Evaluation, over 3,700 Dutch citizens distributed extra salary among various jobs and explained their choices. The arguments were compared to criteria used in job evaluation systems. The dimensions prioritized by participants, such as required education, job complexity, and working conditions, are already well represented in current formal job evaluation systems. However, participants also stressed aspects often absent from such systems, including a job’s societal contribution and labour market scarcity. While job evaluation systems remain broadly consistent with public reasoning, we recommend initiating broader public and institutional discussions on the evolving values that underpin fair compensation. ...

Introducing FACE, an instrument for assessing the face validity of choice experiments

Journal article (2026) - Annamarie de Ruijter, Job van Exel, Niek Mouter
Face validity indicates to what extent participants are engaged in making choices; and understand and interpret the presented information as intended by its designer. It is an important but often overlooked aspect of the overall validity of choice experiments and no comprehensive instruments for assessing it are available. Improving its design potentially improves the quality of participants’ responses and the study itself, which increases the relevance and usability for policy and practice. In this study we developed and tested an instrument to assess the FAce validity of Choice Experiments (FACE) in a uniform, systematic manner. The instrument is based on 9 components identified in the literature: clarity, completeness, decision certainty, familiarity, feasibility, legibility, relevance, sensitivity, and transparency. FACE covers these components in 13 statements with 5-point Likert scales. 1 020 participants completed the instrument following a discrete choice experiment on COVID-19 pandemic preparedness measures in the Netherlands. This first application of FACE showed that the face validity of a choice experiment was determined by whether participants considered its study design to be relevant, reliable and feasible. Moreover, we found that relevance and reliability were most strongly related to characteristics of the survey design, while feasibility was most strongly related to participants’ socio-demographic characteristics. Face validity was rated high(er) by participants who were younger, male, lower educated, vaccinated against COVID-19 and sufficiently engaged in the experiment. FACE should be regarded as a first-version instrument that can be refined and further validated. We provide recommendations on how to improve FACE in future research. ...
Journal article (2026) - M. O. de Vries, N. Mouter, T. A.P. Metze, S. Spruit
Citizen participation about energy policy is organized for substantive, normative and instrumental reasons. Myriad factors influence how these rationales and goals are shaped and attained. Of these factors the influence of the socio-political context in which participation is organized remains poorly understood, as most approaches to engaging society focus on discrete participatory events. This paper addresses this knowledge gap by providing insights into how the level of government at which participation about the energy transition is organized influences the goals and rationales of politicians, policymakers and citizens. Seven similar cases are compared – all based on the Participatory Value Evaluation (PVE) method – in which 28,000 citizens advised their national, regional or local government about the sustainable energy mix. In all cases, most citizens worry about climate change and support sustainable energy objectives. However, different energy mixes are advised, and different values prevail in the motivations participants provided for their advice across multiple levels of government. Evaluative survey questions indicate citizens have more elaborate rationales and higher expectations when engaging in local participatory processes, which are most frequently criticized for their narrow scope. Finally, we observe local governments put most effort into satisfying multiple rationales for conducting participatory processes, based on 6 group discussions and 6 interviews with involved politicians and policymakers. Finally, we discuss the policy implications of the observed gap between citizen and government rationales across multiple levels of governments, arguing there is a need for aligning participatory processes in meaningful and effective participatory repertoires spanning across levels of government. ...

A constrained portfolio choice experiment” [J. Econ. Ageing 32 (2025) 100599]

Journal article (2026) - Sander Boxebeld, Niek Mouter, Job van Exel
The authors regret an unfortunate coding error in the optimal portfolio analysis presented in Table 3 of the published paper. This was discovered while performing new analyses on the data used in this study for another study. In the optimal portfolio analysis, the estimates of the multiple discrete-continuous extreme value (MDCEV) choice model were used to calculate the expected utility of each feasible portfolio (i.e., every possible combination of policy alternatives given the budget constraint, with attribute levels averaged over the sample). The expected utility was calculated correctly, but when preparing Table 3 for the paper, the portfolios were ranked incorrectly (i.e., by portfolio costs instead of by their expected utility). As a result, the top ten portfolios presented in Table 3 in the paper were not in fact the top ten portfolios in terms of expected utility, but in terms of implied additional expenditure on long-term care. In this corrigendum, we present the correct Table 3 and discuss these findings. The authors wish to emphasize that all the other analyses and results, i.e., the descriptive results (Figures 2, 3, S1 – S3, S8 – S14), the MDCEV estimates (Tables 2, S3, and S5), and the Latent Class Cluster Analysis (Tables 4, 5, and S2 and Figures S4 – S7) stay the same. Moreover, the abstract and highlights, and thereby the main message of the paper, remain unchanged. After ranking the portfolios by their expected utility, as originally intended, Table 3 reads as follows: [Table presented] The correct top ten portfolios indicate a stronger preference for the institutional and home-based formal care policy alternatives (i.e., increasing capacity of nursing homes, nursing care and social care at home, and introducing care homes), relative to those previously presented. At the same time, they indicate a lower preference for providing respite care to informal caregivers and introducing compulsory social service for young adults. Also, increasing the use of supportive care technologies is less preferred, but remains included in most of the top-ranked portfolios. This implies that portfolios involving a moderate increase in formal care options were generally preferred. The results reinforce the paper's conclusion that respondents seemed to prefer distributing public resources towards multiple policy alternatives over investing substantially in one or two particular policy alternatives. Finally, while the ten highest-ranked portfolios do not exhaust the budget constraint entirely, like in Table 3 of the paper, most portfolios still imply an expenditure increase close to exhausting the budget constraint. Based on the above, the subsection ‘Optimal portfolio composition’ of the Results section in the paper should be as follows: “Table 3 shows the ten portfolios with the highest expected utility. For example, portfolio 10 includes an increase in the capacity of nursing homes and nursing care at home by 10,000 places each, the introduction of care homes with 20,000 places (i.e., two times 10,000 places), an increase in the capacity of social care at home by 10,000 places, and the provision of respite care to informal caregivers for a maximum of three months, while increase in use of supportive care technologies and compulsory social service for young adults are not selected. Several patterns can be observed from the top ten portfolios. For example, each of these portfolios included at least one of the policy alternatives regarding nursing care and at least one regarding social care. Besides, all portfolios contained five or six of the seven policy alternatives. Additionally, both institutional care alternatives and both home-based care alternatives were included in all of the ten highest ranked portfolios, with the increased use of supportive care technologies also included at least once in seven out of the ten highest-ranked portfolios. All ten highest-ranked portfolios resulted in substantial expenditure increases, with eight of the ten portfolios nearly exhausting the resource constraint (i.e., > €90 euros per adult per month).” The sentences related to this part of the analysis in the Conclusion and Discussion section of the paper should be as follows: “In the optimal portfolios, increased capacity of institutional and home-based care and use of supportive care technologies were often included.” “Most of the highest-ranked portfolios nearly exhausted the budget constraint.” “The policy alternatives regarding the increased capacity of institutional and home-based care and use of supportive care technologies are particularly encouraged, conditional on the policies’ effectiveness and efficiency in practice. While various forms of institutional and home-based care are more commonly adopted and arguably less challenging to implement, the use of supportive care technologies in long-term care remains relatively limited.” Finally, the optimal portfolio composition in the sensitivity analysis also changes. It is similar to what is presented in the corrected Table 3 above, but with portfolios 6 and 7 and portfolios 8 and 9, respectively, reversed. The authors would like to apologise for any inconvenience caused. ...
Journal article (2025) - Irene van de Glind, Roos Mulder, Agnes Akkerman, Mieke van der Biezen, Jael Bootsma, Evelyn Finnema, Lex Heerma van Voss, Niek Mouter, Jos van Rooij, Geertje van de Ven
Since the 1940’s, job evaluation methods are being used to establish the relative value of jobs within organizations in order to determine salaries. Job evaluation methods have been studied, but there has not been much systematic reflection on the research conducted so far. This scoping review of 199 articles demonstrates that topics changed over decades, starting with methodological questions in the 1940’s, reflecting a start-up period. Historic overviews on wage policies appeared in the 1960’s, and the topic of gender wage inequality in the 1980’s. Guidelines were published in the 1990’s. From 2000 onwards, the main topic was adapting job evaluation methods to specific contexts. Research declined since 2010. There was hardly any research on appending changes in job evaluation methods and criteria. Given the ever-changing nature of work and the upcoming demographic changes, we recommend to revive scientific research on job evaluation and propose an agenda with research questions. ...
Journal article (2025) - Jose Ignacio Hernandez, Sander van Cranenburgh, Marijn de Bruin, Marijn Stok, Niek Mouter
Several studies examined what drives citizens’ support for COVID-19 measures, but no works have addressed how the effects of these drivers are distributed at the individual level. Yet, if significant differences in support are present but not accounted for, policymakers’ interpretations could lead to misleading decisions. In this study, we use XGBoost, a supervised machine learning model, combined with SHAP (Shapley Additive eXplanations) to identify the factors associated with differences in policy support for COVID-19 measures and how such differences are distributed across different citizens and measures. We use secondary data from a Participatory Value Evaluation (PVE) experiment, in which 1,888 Dutch citizens answered which COVID-19 measures should be imposed under four risk scenarios. We identified considerable heterogeneity in citizens’ support for different COVID-19 measures regarding different age groups, the weight given to citizens’ opinions and the perceived risk of getting sick of COVID-19. Data analysis methods employed in previous studies do not reveal such heterogeneity of policy support. Policymakers can use our results to tailor measures further to increase support for specific citizens/measures. ...

Assessment of a participatory value evaluation for an institutionalized transport conflict

Journal article (2025) - Annamarie de Ruijter, Charlotte Tuit, Niek Mouter
The importance of public participation in transport planning continues to increase. Participatory Value Evaluation (PVE) is a relatively new instrument to involve citizens in transport planning. In a PVE, citizens are put into the shoes of a policymaker and see which polices are considered, the impacts of the policies and the constraint that the policymaker faces. Subsequently, citizens are asked to advise the policymaker on which policy options should be chosen and why. So far PVE has been successfully applied in contexts in which citizens and stakeholders broadly agreed on the pursued policy goals. It is, however, unclear whether PVE is equally valuable in contexts in which stakeholders have conflicting interests. This paper investigates whether deploying PVE in an institutionalized transport conflict results in similar benefits and costs as in contexts where stakeholders pursue the same goals. We studied a PVE application in which 2466 participants provided recommendations to the government about decision-making regarding Schiphol Airport, the Netherlands. Stakeholders were involved in many phases of and decisions on the PVE design process. The aim of this research was twofold. First, to establish whether the benefits of applying PVE in an institutionalized transport conflict outweigh the costs. Second, to develop an instrument to assess the face validity of PVE as experienced by participants. We find that PVE can provide similar benefits in the context of an institutionalized conflict compared to cases in which such a conflict was absent. Citizens participated who normally do not participate and the PVE produced useful outcomes for decision-making. However, a notable difference is that the design phase of the PVE involved several feedback rounds which made it much more time-intensive than other cases. Hence, the benefit that PVE requires low time investment of civil servants that emerged in other studies was not applicable when applying PVE to an institutionalized transport conflict setting. Furthermore, stakeholders could not agree on various design choices of the PVE. To satisfy the diverging requests of stakeholders a very lengthy PVE was constructed. As a result, the satisfaction among participants about its face validity was relatively low. ...

A focus group study of potential air travelers in The Netherlands

This study explores perceived accessibility specific to air transportation in the Dutch context through a focus group study. Five focus group sessions were held with a total of 24 participants with air travel experience within the past five years. Online focus groups were held during the period that the COVID-19 pandemic travel restrictions were in effect, specifically around 12 months after the travel restrictions were implemented globally. In terms of the importance of activities accessible by flight, we observe that travelers particularly attach importance to visiting family and relatives, while the importance attached to the business and recreational activities accessible by flight varies among participants. As far as the transport component of accessibility is concerned, we find that, in addition to conventional variables in air transportation research, such as cost and travel times, unconventional variables such as uncertainty during flight schedule disruptions or the mood of staff and other passengers contribute to perceived accessibility by air transportation. Based on the results, we further discuss characteristics specific to perceived accessibility by air transportation, directions for further qualitative and quantitative research regarding perceived accessibility by air transportation, and implications for policy and planning. ...
Journal article (2025) - Sander Boxebeld, Niek Mouter, Job van Exel
Many countries face rapidly ageing populations, resulting in a rising demand for long-term care (LTC) for older people and an increased pressure on LTC systems. In responding to this development, governments face challenging trade-offs between different policy measures and their effects. To inform allocation decisions, this study elicited citizens’ policy preferences for LTC for older people in the Netherlands in 2040. We conducted a constrained portfolio choice experiment, in which 997 respondents composed a portfolio of their preferred policies, subject to a budget constraint, while being presented with the expected effects of their choices. Choices were analysed using a Multiple Discrete Continuous Extreme Value (MDCEV) choice model and a Latent Class Cluster Analysis (LCCA). The results suggest a preference for distributing resources towards multiple policies, including both nursing and social care, over investing heavily in one or two particularly. Also, most respondents chose portfolios constituting a substantial public expenditure increase, suggesting a widespread willingness to accept a tax increase to allow for this. Preferences were particularly heterogeneous with respect to expenditure levels and the adoption of supportive care technologies and compulsory social service for young adults. Policymakers may use these results to support the selection of a portfolio of LTC policies that aligns with public preferences. ...

Treating correlation in participatory value evaluation

Journal article (2025) - Francisco J. Bahamonde-Birke, Niek Mouter
Participatory value evaluation (PVE) is a novel method aiming at the evaluation of projects from a societal perspective. It aims at establishing which investment projects or investment portfolios (with a portfolio containing multiple investment projects) are likely to be favored by the population, given a limited budget. The approach emulates the decision-making problem faced by policy-makers. The ultimate end of PVE is to evaluate and establish how individuals value attributes of public projects in order to construct social trade-offs between different attributes and investments projects. However, it is important to consider that when investment portfolios consist of more than one investment project, significant synergies (positive and negative) may exist among the projects. This paper proposes a new evaluation framework that allows addressing synergies among projects in the context of PVE, while also offering a highly flexible structure. The approach is tested making use of one synthetic and two real datasets. Results show that neglecting synergies among the utilities of the projects included in the chosen portfolio majorly reduces the model fit and biases the estimators. ...
Journal article (2025) - Karen Trujillo Jara, Jose Ignacio Hernandez, Niek Mouter, Werner Brouwer, Job van Exel
Background: The outbreak of COVID-19 was followed by an unprecedented package of measures to protect public health. Over 150 countries mandated school closures to reduce the risk of transmission. Decisions on whether to close schools involve trade-offs between important effects on public health, learning outcomes, well-being of children, productivity of parents. Objectives: Investigate Peruvian citizens’ preferences for schools opening during a public-health crisis such as the COVID-19 pandemic in two scenarios: (i) when the threat from COVID-19 is low and schools are open; and, (ii) when the threat from COVID-19 is high and schools are closed. Methods: We conducted a Participatory Value Evaluation (PVE) from 22 September to 17 October 2022, on which 2007 respondents assessed which policy measures to implement in the two scenarios. (i) In Scenario 1 “Schools are open”, children go to school, teachers and parents go to their jobs, but children still experience learning deficits from previous school closures. (ii) In Scenario 2 “Schools are closed”, children cannot go to school and do not receive any formal teaching, leading to learning losses; many teachers must change careers; and, many parents have to stay at home to take care of their children and lose income. Respondents were shown a range of policy measures in each of the scenarios and received information about the effects of each measure on public health, children's well-being and learning loss. Results: We found that most respondents in Scenario 1 preferred mandatory vaccination for teachers and quarantine measures. In Scenario 2 we found that most respondents were positive towards reopening school policies. In both Scenarios respondents prioritized mandatory vaccination and quarantine measures over other mitigation measures. In Scenario 2, most respondents from the Highland region selected opening schools with 100% on-location teaching while hybrid teaching was mostly selected in the Coast region. Most respondents (82%) evaluated PVE as a good method to involve citizens in policy decision-making. Conclusions: Policies that focus on prevention (e.g. mandatory vaccination for teachers and quarantine measures) can count on substantial support in a scenario when schools are open. The strong preference for opening schools with a noticeable difference in the way classes are provided (e.g. teaching on location most preferred by respondents from the Highlands and hybrid teaching by respondents from the Coast) show the importance of introducing differentiated strategies among regions. ...
Bert van Wee, professor in Transport Policy at Delft University of Technology, the Netherlands, faculty Technology, Policy and Management, is retiring. Given his large contributions to EJTIR as Editor-in-Chief, editorial board member, author and reviewer, this Editorial Note is dedicated to his work for EJTIR. Over 25 years, van Wee published 18 papers and 1 book review in EJTIR covering a wide range of topics from road pricing to urban rail transport, vehicle automation and port throughput. What his studies have in common is that they explore how transport policies affect land-use and travel behaviour, as well as the economic and wider societal impacts of those policies. Bert van Wee’s generalist view on the transport system is rare, but, given the rising complexity of the system, increasingly needed to indeed be able to address the future challenges. ...
Journal article (2025) - Martijn Olivier de Vries, José Ignacio Hernández, Niek Mouter
Many countries use Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) as an ex-ante evaluation method to support transport decision-making. A critique on CBA is that it favours policies which produce easy to monetize impacts (e.g. travel time savings), whereas it disfavours policies which produce difficult to monetize impacts (e.g. minimum level of accessibility for people with a disability and environmental effects). Public willingness to pay (WTP) experiments have been introduced to value difficult to monetize policy impacts. This paper investigates how citizens of the Transport Authority Amsterdam value nine social impacts of transport policies through five Public WTP discrete choice experiments. In the experiments, respondents were asked to choose between transport policies, trading of social impacts against a uniform tax increase. We show that participants particularly value that people can reach key facilities within 15 min and assigned a relatively low value to preventing delays. This suggests that citizens prioritize accessibility over mobility. We also observe that participants assign a significant value to all the nine social impacts and identify Public WTP metrics for all the impacts. This suggests that the Public WTP approach has to potential to resolve the critique on CBA that not all impacts can be monetized. ...

Introducing Face, an Instrument for Assessing the Face Validity of Choice Experiments

Preprint (2025) - A.M. de Ruijter, Job van Exel, N. Mouter
Face validity indicates to what extent participants are engaged in making choices; and understand and interpret the information presented to them in the study as intended by its designer. It is an important but often overlooked aspect of the overall validity of choice experiments and no comprehensive instruments for assessing it are available. Improving the design of choice experiments potentially improves the quality of participants’ responses, which increases the relevance and usability for policy and practice. In this study we developed and tested an instrument to assess the FAce validity of Choice Experiments (FACE) in a uniform, systematic manner. The instrument is based on nine components that are used to define face validity identified from literature: acceptance, clarity, completeness, familiarity, feasibility, legibility, relevance, sensitivity, and transparency. FACE covers these components in 14 questions with 5-point Likert scales on which participants can indicate their level of agreement. 1,020 participants completed the instrument following a discrete choice experiment on COVID-19 pandemic preparedness measures in the Netherlands. This first application of FACE showed that the face validity of a choice experiment was determined by whether participants considered its study design to be relevant, reliable and feasible. Moreover, we found that relevance and reliability were most strongly related to characteristics of the survey design, while feasibility was most strongly related to participants’ socio-demographic characteristics. Face validity was assessed high(er) by participants who were younger, male, lower educated, vaccinated against COVID-19, supportive of policy responses to a pandemic situation and sufficiently engaged in the experiment. ...
Journal article (2025) - Niek Mouter, Jetske Mulder, Martijn Olivier de Vries
The goals of transportation planning have been broadened in the last decades. Scholars increasingly argue to include goals such as reducing social exclusion and providing a minimal level of accessibility to all in the appraisal of transport policies. We conducted a Participatory Value Evaluation (PVE) with 6,784 Dutch citizens to investigate how different segments of the Dutch population prioritize these goals against other goals of transportation planning. In the PVE, participants indicated for 14 accessibility and mobility goals whether they thought a goal should receive more attention or less attention, subject to a budget constraint. We find that respondents recommend the government to pay the most attention to goals related to providing a basic level of accessibility for everyone such as ‘being able to access important facilities easily’, ‘being able to reach places affordably’ and ‘accessibility for people with disabilities’. Participants think that safeguarding these accessibility standards should be a core government task. They particularly prioritize improving accessibility to healthcare facilities such as hospitals and general practitioners. Participants think that the government should give relatively little attention to other goals such as ‘reducing travel times’, ‘being able to access different jobs’, ‘more pleasant and comfortable travel’ and ‘improving connections to other countries’. Many participants do not think that achieving such goals should be a core task of the government. They believe that the responsibility for achieving these goals lies more with citizens themselves, or with the market. ...

A discrete choice experiment in three European countries

Journal article (2025) - Sander Boxebeld, Niek Mouter, Job van Exel
Objective: In many countries, the incidence of skin cancer is growing rapidly, resulting in a substantive health and economic burden. While the wide range of available skin cancer prevention policies may have large individual and societal benefits, many countries still lack a policy strategy, and little is known about public preferences for collective prevention policy measures. We elicited these preferences using a discrete choice experiment (DCE) in Austria, the Netherlands, and Spain to inform policy action. Methods: Respondents were asked to choose twelve times between two packages of different prevention policies. Each package was described by its estimated effectiveness and costs. Before and after the DCE, respondents were asked for their support for any policy action. We quota-sampled adult citizens in each of the countries from an online panel (N = 2,442). The choice data were analyzed using multinomial logit (MNL) and mixed multinomial logit (MMNL) models. Results: Almost all attributes significantly influenced respondents’ choices, with the tax attribute being most influential in each country. Among the six policy measures, information campaigns and a price reduction of sunscreen were the most preferred policy measures, and the prohibition of solar bed sales and solaria the least preferred. Preference structures were largely consistent across the countries. Finally, most respondents supported policy action, particularly after the DCE. Conclusions: Citizens in the three countries recommended their governments to take policy action against the increasing incidence of skin cancer. The results provide policymakers with directions for publicly supported policy action, which should be complemented with additional information on preference heterogeneity, citizens' argumentation, and policies’ relative (cost-)effectiveness. The suggestion that preferences for policy action adapted over the course of completing the DCE survey should be further examined. ...
Journal article (2024) - Sander Boxebeld, Tom Geijsen, Charlotte Tuit, Job van Exel, Amr Makady, Laurence Maes, Michel van Agthoven, Niek Mouter
Objective: Increasing healthcare expenditures require governments to make difficult prioritization decisions. Considering public preferences can help raise citizens’ support. Previous research has predominantly elicited preferences for the allocation of public resources towards specific treatments or patient groups and principles for resource allocation. This study contributes by examining public preferences for budget allocation over various healthcare purposes in the Netherlands. Methods: We conducted a Participatory Value Evaluation (PVE) choice experiment in which 1408 respondents were asked to allocate a hypothetical budget over eight healthcare purposes: general practice and other easily accessible healthcare, hospital care, elderly care, disability care, mental healthcare, preventive care by encouragement, preventive care by discouragement, and new and better medicines. A default expenditure was set for each healthcare purpose, based on current expenditures. Respondents could adjust these default expenditures using sliders and were presented with the implications of their adjustments on health and well-being outcomes, the economy, and the healthcare premium. As a constraint, the maximum increase in the mandatory healthcare premium for adult citizens was €600 per year. The data were analysed using descriptive statistics and a Latent Class Cluster Analysis (LCCA). Results: On average, respondents preferred to increase total expenditures on all healthcare purposes, but especially on elderly care, new and better medicines, and mental healthcare. Three preference clusters were identified. The largest cluster preferred modest increases in expenditures, the second a much higher increase of expenditures, and the smallest favouring a substantial reduction of the healthcare premium by decreasing the expenditure on all healthcare purposes. The analyses also demonstrated substantial preference heterogeneity between clusters for budget allocation over different healthcare purposes. Conclusions: The results of this choice experiment show that most citizens in the Netherlands support increasing healthcare expenditures. However, substantial heterogeneity was identified in preferences for healthcare purposes to prioritize. Considering these preferences may increase public support for prioritization decisions. ...
Journal article (2024) - Jose Ignacio Hernandez, Sander van Cranenburgh, Marijn de Bruin, Marijn Stok, Niek Mouter
In this article, the affiliation details for author Jose Ignacio Hernandez were incorrectly given as ‘Center of Economics for Sustainable Development (CEDES), Faculty of Economics and Government, Universidad San Sebastian, Lientur 1457, Concepción, Chile ' but should have been ‘Center of Economics for Sustainable Development (CEDES), Faculty of Economics and Government, Universidad San Sebastian, Concepción, Chile. The affiliation ‘Transport and Logistics Group, Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands’ for authors Jose Ignacio Hernandez and Niek Mouter was missing. The original article has been corrected. ...

Putting an empirical perspective on value trade-offs for autonomous systems design in the military

Journal article (2024) - C.G. Boshuijzen-van Burken, M.O. de Vries, Janna Allen, S. Spruit, N. Mouter, Aylin Munyasya
The question of human control is a key concern in autonomous military systems debates. Our research qualitatively and quantitatively investigates values and concerns of the general public, as they relate to autonomous military systems, with particular attention to the value of human control. Using participatory value evaluation (PVE), we consulted 1980 Australians about which values matter in relation to two specific technologies: an autonomous minesweeping submarine and an autonomous drone that can drop bombs. Based on value sensitive design, participants were tasked to enhance the systems with design features that can realize values. A restriction (limited budget) in each design task forced participants to make trade-offs between design options and the values that these options realize. Our results suggest that the ‘general public’ has diverse and nuanced stances on the question of human control over autonomous military systems. A third of participants that is opposed to autonomous military systems when asked directly, selected different combinations of design features realizing varying degrees of human control. Several contextual factors, technology-specific concerns, and certain values seemed to explain these different choices. Our research shows that a focus on human control might overlook other important values that the general public is concerned about, such as system reliability, verifiability, and retrievability. ...
Journal article (2024) - Niek Mouter, Tom Geijsen, Aylin Munyasya, Jose Ignacio Hernandez, Daniel Korthals, Marijn Stok, Ellen Uiters, Marijn de Bruin
Background: The stage of the pandemic significantly affects people’s preferences for (the societal impacts of) COVID-19 policies. No discrete choice experiments were conducted when the COVID-19 pandemic was in a transition phase. Objectives: This is the first study to empirically investigate how citizens weigh the key societal impacts of pandemic policies when the COVID-19 pandemic transitions into an endemic. Methods: We performed two discrete choice experiments among 2181 Dutch adults that included six attributes: COVID-19 deaths, physical health problems, mental health problems, financial problems, surgery delays and the degree to which individual liberties are restricted. We used latent class choice models to identify heterogeneous preferences for the impacts of COVID-19 measures across different groups of respondents. Results: A large majority of the participants in this study was willing to accept deaths to avoid that citizens experience physical complaints, mental health issues, financial problems and the postponement of surgeries. The willingness to tolerate COVID-19 deaths to avoid these societal impacts differed substantially between participants. When participants were provided with information about the stringency of COVID-19 measures, they assigned relatively less value to preventing the postponement of non-urgent surgeries for 1–3 months across all classes. Conclusions: Having gone through a pandemic, most Dutch citizens clearly prefer pandemic policies that consider citizens’ financial situations, physical problems, mental health problems and individual liberties, alongside the effects on excess mortality and pressure on healthcare. ...