As airports approach the limits of their runway systems, increasing capacity through infrastructure expansion is not always feasible due to economic, environmental, and operational constraints. Consequently, there is growing interest in operational measures that improve the use o
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As airports approach the limits of their runway systems, increasing capacity through infrastructure expansion is not always feasible due to economic, environmental, and operational constraints. Consequently, there is growing interest in operational measures that improve the use of existing infrastructure. Two such concepts are Time-Based Separation (TBS), which reduces the loss of arrival capacity due to headwinds by dynamically adjusting separations, and RECAT-EU-PWS, which refines wake turbulence separation minima through a more detailed pairwise categorisation scheme. However, no openly available macro-level analysis currently evaluate the capacity gains associated with these concepts across different airport environments and operating conditions.
This thesis investigates to what extent the implementation of TBS and RECAT-EU-PWS can increase airport peak runway capacity. To address this question, ARCAS (Airport Runway Capacity Assessment Software) was developed as a discrete-event simulation model in Python. The model builds on previous runway dependency logic and was implemented in a flexible and modular framework capable of representing multiple runway configurations, traffic mixes, weather conditions, and separation schemes. Embedded within a Monte Carlo approach, ARCAS estimates peak capacity, generates capacity envelopes, and evaluates the effects of TBS and RECAT-EU-PWS under a range of representative scenarios.
The model was applied to several Spanish airport case studies representing single mixed, parallel segregated, intersecting, and converging/diverging runway systems. Verification and validation showed that the model provides a credible macro-level representation of runway performance, with Monte Carlo estimates stabilising at around 500 runs and peak-capacity deviations of up to 2% in when compared to other runway capacity models.
The results show that runway capacity is limited by different dominant bottlenecks depending on runway configuration. In single mixed and parallel segregated runways, the main drivers are traffic composition and weather, with the proportion of heavy aircraft emerging as the most significant source of capacity loss and headwind also exerting a strong influence. In intersecting and converging runway systems, by contrast, the dominant constraints are runway geometry and runway-blocking constraints. TBS was found to be technically beneficial only above configuration dependent headwind thresholds, with meaningful gains appearing at approximately 12 kts for single mixed runways, 4 kt for parallel segregated systems, 15 kts for intersecting layouts, and 25 kts for converging layouts. RECAT-EU-PWS likewise showed scenario specific effects: in single mixed operations, gains were observed across the entire analysed range of heavy aircraft shares, while in parallel segregated, intersecting, and converging layouts, meaningful benefits emerged only above heavy-aircraft shares of approximately 11%, 5%, and 5%, respectively.
A limitation of this work is that the analysis is intentionally restricted to a macro-level, runway-centred assessment of TBS and RECAT-EU-PWS. The current framework adopts a fixed categorical implementation of the 20-category wake turbulence scheme, does not explicitly represent complementary concepts such as ROCAT, and considers meteorological effects mainly through headwind conditions in the application of TBS. In addition, the model evaluates runway throughput once aircraft are already established in the approach stream, without accounting for upstream sequencing concepts such as Point Merge. The case-study validation is also limited to several Spanish airports, which can constrain the generalisation of the results, particularly for the intersecting-runway case where the selected scenario is not fully representative of typical operations. Finally, although the datasets used are of generally high quality, some parameters, such as departure runway occupancy times and departure speed profiles, had to be derived from previous work rather than obtained directly from local operational data.