S. Pande
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16 records found
1
Synthetic CaCl$_2$ and MgCl$_2$ solutions were first used to examine the effect of divalent-ion type and concentration without interference from natural organic matter or other background constituents. The results showed measurable rejection of both Ca$^{2+}$ and Mg$^{2+}$, with Mg$^{2+}$ generally showing stronger apparent rejection under low and intermediate concentration conditions. The tighter 200 Da membrane improved Ca and Mg rejection compared with the 450 Da membrane, but this improvement was accompanied by lower permeability and higher hydraulic resistance. In real canal water, the apparent rejection behavior was more complex because organic matter, colloids, alkalinity and mixed ions influenced both ion transport and membrane fouling. Activated carbon pretreatment reduced part of the organic-related burden and improved the initial membrane performance, but its effect on Ca and Mg rejection was limited.
For seaweed cultivation water samples, ceramic NF redistributed Ca and Mg between permeate and concentrate streams. The permeate acted as a partially softened stream, while the concentrate became enriched in divalent ions. This suggests that ceramic NF is more suitable as a water-conditioning or stream-splitting step than as a complete desalination process. The simplified CAPEX and OPEX assessment indicated that ceramic NF still has relatively high unit water production costs under the assumptions used in this thesis. Therefore, its practical value is most likely in specialized applications where selective Ca/Mg adjustment, membrane robustness, chemical-cleaning tolerance and blending flexibility are more important than complete salt removal. ...
Synthetic CaCl$_2$ and MgCl$_2$ solutions were first used to examine the effect of divalent-ion type and concentration without interference from natural organic matter or other background constituents. The results showed measurable rejection of both Ca$^{2+}$ and Mg$^{2+}$, with Mg$^{2+}$ generally showing stronger apparent rejection under low and intermediate concentration conditions. The tighter 200 Da membrane improved Ca and Mg rejection compared with the 450 Da membrane, but this improvement was accompanied by lower permeability and higher hydraulic resistance. In real canal water, the apparent rejection behavior was more complex because organic matter, colloids, alkalinity and mixed ions influenced both ion transport and membrane fouling. Activated carbon pretreatment reduced part of the organic-related burden and improved the initial membrane performance, but its effect on Ca and Mg rejection was limited.
For seaweed cultivation water samples, ceramic NF redistributed Ca and Mg between permeate and concentrate streams. The permeate acted as a partially softened stream, while the concentrate became enriched in divalent ions. This suggests that ceramic NF is more suitable as a water-conditioning or stream-splitting step than as a complete desalination process. The simplified CAPEX and OPEX assessment indicated that ceramic NF still has relatively high unit water production costs under the assumptions used in this thesis. Therefore, its practical value is most likely in specialized applications where selective Ca/Mg adjustment, membrane robustness, chemical-cleaning tolerance and blending flexibility are more important than complete salt removal.
This thesis develops a configuration-driven diagnostic reporting module that extracts explanatory information from Pyomo-based optimization models for pumped-storage hydropower operations. The module follows a counterfactual workflow: it solves an optimized baseline schedule, processes a user-specified alternative as a set of forced operating-mode constraints, and determines whether the alternative is feasible or infeasible. For feasible alternatives, the module computes objective differences, ranks the hours with the largest operational impact, identifies the dominant contributing component, distinguishes user-imposed changes from optimizer-driven responses, and compares binding constraints between the two schedules. For infeasible alternatives, the module identifies a minimal set of conflicting constraints and computes verified relaxation pathways that indicate which forced decisions must be released to restore feasibility. An interpretation matrix converts technical model outputs into explanatory text, and the results are assembled into a structured JSON report designed for downstream consumption by a large language model.
The module was evaluated on three synthetic pumped-storage hydropower configurations: a Waldeck-inspired two-reservoir system, a three-reservoir system, and a cascade system. Test scenarios covering feasible, infeasible, extreme, and control cases were used to assess the diagnostic module. The evaluation shows that the module selects the correct diagnostic pathway in all tested scenarios, that infeasibility diagnoses and relaxation pathways are invariant to the choice of lexicographic objectives, and that feasible-case diagnostics respond correctly to the active objective configuration. The report structure remains stable across configurations, which supports the applicability of the module to the tested class of pumped-storage hydropower. ...
This thesis develops a configuration-driven diagnostic reporting module that extracts explanatory information from Pyomo-based optimization models for pumped-storage hydropower operations. The module follows a counterfactual workflow: it solves an optimized baseline schedule, processes a user-specified alternative as a set of forced operating-mode constraints, and determines whether the alternative is feasible or infeasible. For feasible alternatives, the module computes objective differences, ranks the hours with the largest operational impact, identifies the dominant contributing component, distinguishes user-imposed changes from optimizer-driven responses, and compares binding constraints between the two schedules. For infeasible alternatives, the module identifies a minimal set of conflicting constraints and computes verified relaxation pathways that indicate which forced decisions must be released to restore feasibility. An interpretation matrix converts technical model outputs into explanatory text, and the results are assembled into a structured JSON report designed for downstream consumption by a large language model.
The module was evaluated on three synthetic pumped-storage hydropower configurations: a Waldeck-inspired two-reservoir system, a three-reservoir system, and a cascade system. Test scenarios covering feasible, infeasible, extreme, and control cases were used to assess the diagnostic module. The evaluation shows that the module selects the correct diagnostic pathway in all tested scenarios, that infeasibility diagnoses and relaxation pathways are invariant to the choice of lexicographic objectives, and that feasible-case diagnostics respond correctly to the active objective configuration. The report structure remains stable across configurations, which supports the applicability of the module to the tested class of pumped-storage hydropower.
Understanding domestic water use in rural & peri-urban region of Valle del Cauca, Colombia
An application of the VBN framework
Assessing the Well-being Impacts Caused by Floods
A Case Study of Charleston, South Carolina; Addressing social vulnerability through insurance policies in the face of climate change
There is an urgent need to address the socio-economic impact of these disasters, particularly on the most vulnerable populations. Economic losses not only disrupt efforts to mitigate climate change, but also worsen inequalities, especially between high and low-income groups. Traditional risk assessments are based solely on property losses. Previous research highlighted that this is not sufficient to measure the socio-economic impact of floods. An interdisciplinary approach is required to integrate methodolo- gies, improve representation of vulnerable populations and fully understand the complex challenges posed by poverty and climate change.
This study uses a modelling framework applied to a case study of Charleston, South Carolina. For the case study, an extreme hurricane was chosen to test the model. The framework aims to measure well-being losses due to flooding and to evaluate the impact of insurance policies on vulnerable groups. The well-being losses are derived from household consumption levels.
Results from the case study show that total well-being losses exceeded total asset losses. Absolute well-being losses were similar across income groups. The relative well-being losses, represented per dollar of damaged assets, were higher for the low-income groups. The implementation of insurance policies reduced overall well-being losses. When the scenario with full insurance coverage is in force, there are still well-being losses. In order to create complete resilience, it is necessary to implement multiple measures.
Further research is recommended to improve the modelling framework. Many assumptions increased the uncertainty of the model. Detailed and additional data would improve the certainty of the results. Ultimately, the research aims to provide useful evidence for policy makers and stakeholders to make more informed decisions to build resilient communities and reduce inequalities in the face of climate change. ...
There is an urgent need to address the socio-economic impact of these disasters, particularly on the most vulnerable populations. Economic losses not only disrupt efforts to mitigate climate change, but also worsen inequalities, especially between high and low-income groups. Traditional risk assessments are based solely on property losses. Previous research highlighted that this is not sufficient to measure the socio-economic impact of floods. An interdisciplinary approach is required to integrate methodolo- gies, improve representation of vulnerable populations and fully understand the complex challenges posed by poverty and climate change.
This study uses a modelling framework applied to a case study of Charleston, South Carolina. For the case study, an extreme hurricane was chosen to test the model. The framework aims to measure well-being losses due to flooding and to evaluate the impact of insurance policies on vulnerable groups. The well-being losses are derived from household consumption levels.
Results from the case study show that total well-being losses exceeded total asset losses. Absolute well-being losses were similar across income groups. The relative well-being losses, represented per dollar of damaged assets, were higher for the low-income groups. The implementation of insurance policies reduced overall well-being losses. When the scenario with full insurance coverage is in force, there are still well-being losses. In order to create complete resilience, it is necessary to implement multiple measures.
Further research is recommended to improve the modelling framework. Many assumptions increased the uncertainty of the model. Detailed and additional data would improve the certainty of the results. Ultimately, the research aims to provide useful evidence for policy makers and stakeholders to make more informed decisions to build resilient communities and reduce inequalities in the face of climate change.
The present thesis assesses the local role of meteorological drought indicators for communal conflict prediction in North-Western Kenya, as a region where the narrative of resource-scarcity driven conflicts exists.
A local-scale literature review on conflict dynamics followed by a fixed-effects logistic regression modelling approach stress the importance of the spatial dimension when analysing drought-conflict relationships. The role of cross-border transhumance in linking climate variability to conflict occurrence is stressed by the lower confidence intervals and more significant effects when moving the regression analysis from the spatial delimitation of administrative units to the agency level of ethnic groups.
Differences in between ethnic groups in the obtained patterns of conflict behaviour in response to drought or water abundance are explained by their migratory behaviour along with a differentiated account of their relative drought vulnerability.
The lack of any considerable role of drought in the subsequently built quasi-replication of the WPS Global Early Warning Tool, is therefore assigned to the mismatch of administrative units as the spatial
unit of analysis in a pastoralist area, where herders frequently move their cattle to the other side of the border.
It is advocated for an ethnic-group centered approach to predicting conflict, which relaxes assumptions on spatial containment of conflict events. However, whether this alternative model specification leads
to a greater role of drought indicators in conflict prediction and better overall predictions, needs to be assessed in future work. ...
The present thesis assesses the local role of meteorological drought indicators for communal conflict prediction in North-Western Kenya, as a region where the narrative of resource-scarcity driven conflicts exists.
A local-scale literature review on conflict dynamics followed by a fixed-effects logistic regression modelling approach stress the importance of the spatial dimension when analysing drought-conflict relationships. The role of cross-border transhumance in linking climate variability to conflict occurrence is stressed by the lower confidence intervals and more significant effects when moving the regression analysis from the spatial delimitation of administrative units to the agency level of ethnic groups.
Differences in between ethnic groups in the obtained patterns of conflict behaviour in response to drought or water abundance are explained by their migratory behaviour along with a differentiated account of their relative drought vulnerability.
The lack of any considerable role of drought in the subsequently built quasi-replication of the WPS Global Early Warning Tool, is therefore assigned to the mismatch of administrative units as the spatial
unit of analysis in a pastoralist area, where herders frequently move their cattle to the other side of the border.
It is advocated for an ethnic-group centered approach to predicting conflict, which relaxes assumptions on spatial containment of conflict events. However, whether this alternative model specification leads
to a greater role of drought indicators in conflict prediction and better overall predictions, needs to be assessed in future work.
Key findings indicate that high-quality input data, both in terms of quantity and measurement frequency, play a key role in the effectiveness of predictive models. Seasonality is a useful predictor and is recommended to be supplemented with rainfall data to better capture its influence on runoff and water quality. The study introduces the concept of basin accumulation and the implementation of buffer areas, demonstrating that these enhancements lead to improved model performance.
In conclusion, it can be said that relying just on macro-scale parameters is insufficient to generate an effective linear regression model. However, with the right optimizations and useful input data, it can be an insightful and valuable tool for water quality prediction. ...
Key findings indicate that high-quality input data, both in terms of quantity and measurement frequency, play a key role in the effectiveness of predictive models. Seasonality is a useful predictor and is recommended to be supplemented with rainfall data to better capture its influence on runoff and water quality. The study introduces the concept of basin accumulation and the implementation of buffer areas, demonstrating that these enhancements lead to improved model performance.
In conclusion, it can be said that relying just on macro-scale parameters is insufficient to generate an effective linear regression model. However, with the right optimizations and useful input data, it can be an insightful and valuable tool for water quality prediction.
High phosphate concentrations due to VFA production from sieved activated sludge at WWTP Ommen
A source identification and resource recovery strategy
This research is focusing on VFA production from the sieved fraction of activated sludge. Sieves with a mesh size of 0.5 mm were used to sieve cellulose fibers from the sludge. Microbial conversion processes are stimulated in the VFA production reactors. A pilot plant that was performed resulted in very high phosphate concentrations in the reactor. The first phase of this research was devoted to identifying the source of the high phosphate concentration. The second phase was focused on phosphate removal and recovery strategies.
It was found that 20% of the sievings consisted of PAO sludge. The conditions in the VFA production pilot lead to extreme phosphate release by PAO. This resulted in high phosphate levels ranging up to 200 mg/l.
The released phosphate potentiates recovery methods. It was not able to precipitate struvite at the low pH levels at which the VFA production reactor was operated. Calcium carbonate addition could decrease phosphate levels (50%) and can be used to control pH in the reactor. The applied method does not allow for easy recovery because the precipitate ends up in the sievings. Finally vivianite precipitation was achieved by adding FeCl2. 90% phosphate removal was achieved. The para-magnetic property of vivianite allows for easy recovery with a magnetic separator. This results in the production of 2 valuable streams from a waste stream: VFA and vivianite.
...
This research is focusing on VFA production from the sieved fraction of activated sludge. Sieves with a mesh size of 0.5 mm were used to sieve cellulose fibers from the sludge. Microbial conversion processes are stimulated in the VFA production reactors. A pilot plant that was performed resulted in very high phosphate concentrations in the reactor. The first phase of this research was devoted to identifying the source of the high phosphate concentration. The second phase was focused on phosphate removal and recovery strategies.
It was found that 20% of the sievings consisted of PAO sludge. The conditions in the VFA production pilot lead to extreme phosphate release by PAO. This resulted in high phosphate levels ranging up to 200 mg/l.
The released phosphate potentiates recovery methods. It was not able to precipitate struvite at the low pH levels at which the VFA production reactor was operated. Calcium carbonate addition could decrease phosphate levels (50%) and can be used to control pH in the reactor. The applied method does not allow for easy recovery because the precipitate ends up in the sievings. Finally vivianite precipitation was achieved by adding FeCl2. 90% phosphate removal was achieved. The para-magnetic property of vivianite allows for easy recovery with a magnetic separator. This results in the production of 2 valuable streams from a waste stream: VFA and vivianite.
...
Spatially explicit WEF modelling in transboundary river basins
A new methodology to study the value of cooperation in regional water management
To overcome the shortcomings of the current generation of hydro-economic and WEF-nexus models in describing resource cooperation at regional level, in this study a new WEF-framework has been developed in which the heterogeneity in agro-climatic, socio-economic and resource availability, as well as the description of water and electric conveyance infrastructure is included spatially and temporally explicitly. The aim of this research is to create an integrated WEF-framework and to investigate the possibilities for, the relevance of and the challenges and difficulties associated with the implementation of such an integrated model.
The proposed framework includes the river conveyance infrastructure in a multi state river basin by means of a dynamic network model. In addition, a novel approach is used to describe both irrigated and rainfed agriculture in great detail on a regional scale, enabling a good representation of crops with multiple growing cycles per season, a distinction between annual and perennial crop management and the inclusion of agricultural losses. The framework is implemented as a model predictive control (MPC) problem. In this control problem, the reservoir operations and agricultural planning resulting in maximum economic value creation with the available resources are determined with the help of a non-linear problem solver. Receding horizon control accomplishes as part of the MPC framework feedback against uncertain disturbances (e.g. deviations in climate forcing) by applying only the optimal outputs in the first instance of the horizon in simulation and then updating the system states using new information. In addition, this control technique enables information exchange between riparian states within each MPC iteration. This allows us to add two new cooperation scenarios between the often studied scenarios of unilateralism and full coordination, with which the value of information exchange of river flows and trade flows can be studied.
Once developed, the framework is applied in the Eastern Nile basin. The Eastern Nile Basin is home to a large and rapidly growing population. Along with future population growth, changes in socio-economic conditions are expected, which will improve the coverage of the electricity grid and alter diets and water consumption. To meet the growing demand for food and energy, the Nile riparian countries have developed, and intend to further develop, their water resources. However, currently this development takes place unilaterally and can thereby threaten the livelihood in the downstream countries that are highly dependent on these water resources. The application of the proposed model framework aims to describe the qualitative and quantitative benefits and impacts of further collaboration in resource management within a predefined structural environment.
Simulation experiments with a monthly time step are conducted over a historical period between 1990-2010 and a future period between 2020-2040, by screening and incorporation of data on structural, socio-economic and climate constraints and demands. In addition to the four named cooperation scenarios, experiments are compiled to determine trade-offs between hydropower and agricultural water demand, the robustness of the solutions to imperfect climate foresights and the economic trade-offs related to different levels of agricultural self-sufficiency.
Comparative research with trade data from the FAO database indicates that historically every riparian state in the Eastern Nile basin could have benefited from the proposed integrated resource management, even in the unilateral national cases. Despite the variability in extent, all proposed and included forms of cooperation would have been beneficial for all individual states. Regionally, the flow-information, trade-information and regional coordination scenarios could have provided additional benefits of $32, $37 and $50 billion respectively throughout the period. Sharing information about the expected border flows would have generated, relatively in Sudan and absolutely in Egypt, by far the largest additional benefits. However, these benefits appear to correlate strongly with perfect climate foresight information. Because of its upstream location, Ethiopia could not have benefited economically from this flow information sharing. Overall, the benefits of resource optimization would have been relatively small in Ethiopia due to the limited infrastructure present during this period. In addition to the quantitative benefits mentioned, regional coordination also would have enabled the states to increase their resilience against long-lasting droughts and price fluctuations in the external market.
Results of the future model experiments suggest that every state will be disadvantaged in a regional coordinative scenario. To correct these physically and mathematically incorrect results, the current soft constrained implementation of the non-smooth complementarity relations for the reservoir filling process will have to be reconsidered. These non-smooth functions are the first out of three major difficulties encountered when implementing the proposed framework. Other difficulties arise when describing processes on different time scales (e.g. annual crop seasons) and when keeping the problem robust (in case predictions deviate from real events).
Overall, the case study illustrates that the proposed framework can account for spatial and temporal multisectoral trade-offs while finding non-trivial solutions for varying forms of national and regional cooperative resource management. Moreover, the operational resource reallocation choices proposed by this new framework and the spatial diversity in productivity that were discovered indicate that inadequate inclusion of these heterogeneities in WEF-nexus studies results in incomplete and potentially incorrect conclusions
...
To overcome the shortcomings of the current generation of hydro-economic and WEF-nexus models in describing resource cooperation at regional level, in this study a new WEF-framework has been developed in which the heterogeneity in agro-climatic, socio-economic and resource availability, as well as the description of water and electric conveyance infrastructure is included spatially and temporally explicitly. The aim of this research is to create an integrated WEF-framework and to investigate the possibilities for, the relevance of and the challenges and difficulties associated with the implementation of such an integrated model.
The proposed framework includes the river conveyance infrastructure in a multi state river basin by means of a dynamic network model. In addition, a novel approach is used to describe both irrigated and rainfed agriculture in great detail on a regional scale, enabling a good representation of crops with multiple growing cycles per season, a distinction between annual and perennial crop management and the inclusion of agricultural losses. The framework is implemented as a model predictive control (MPC) problem. In this control problem, the reservoir operations and agricultural planning resulting in maximum economic value creation with the available resources are determined with the help of a non-linear problem solver. Receding horizon control accomplishes as part of the MPC framework feedback against uncertain disturbances (e.g. deviations in climate forcing) by applying only the optimal outputs in the first instance of the horizon in simulation and then updating the system states using new information. In addition, this control technique enables information exchange between riparian states within each MPC iteration. This allows us to add two new cooperation scenarios between the often studied scenarios of unilateralism and full coordination, with which the value of information exchange of river flows and trade flows can be studied.
Once developed, the framework is applied in the Eastern Nile basin. The Eastern Nile Basin is home to a large and rapidly growing population. Along with future population growth, changes in socio-economic conditions are expected, which will improve the coverage of the electricity grid and alter diets and water consumption. To meet the growing demand for food and energy, the Nile riparian countries have developed, and intend to further develop, their water resources. However, currently this development takes place unilaterally and can thereby threaten the livelihood in the downstream countries that are highly dependent on these water resources. The application of the proposed model framework aims to describe the qualitative and quantitative benefits and impacts of further collaboration in resource management within a predefined structural environment.
Simulation experiments with a monthly time step are conducted over a historical period between 1990-2010 and a future period between 2020-2040, by screening and incorporation of data on structural, socio-economic and climate constraints and demands. In addition to the four named cooperation scenarios, experiments are compiled to determine trade-offs between hydropower and agricultural water demand, the robustness of the solutions to imperfect climate foresights and the economic trade-offs related to different levels of agricultural self-sufficiency.
Comparative research with trade data from the FAO database indicates that historically every riparian state in the Eastern Nile basin could have benefited from the proposed integrated resource management, even in the unilateral national cases. Despite the variability in extent, all proposed and included forms of cooperation would have been beneficial for all individual states. Regionally, the flow-information, trade-information and regional coordination scenarios could have provided additional benefits of $32, $37 and $50 billion respectively throughout the period. Sharing information about the expected border flows would have generated, relatively in Sudan and absolutely in Egypt, by far the largest additional benefits. However, these benefits appear to correlate strongly with perfect climate foresight information. Because of its upstream location, Ethiopia could not have benefited economically from this flow information sharing. Overall, the benefits of resource optimization would have been relatively small in Ethiopia due to the limited infrastructure present during this period. In addition to the quantitative benefits mentioned, regional coordination also would have enabled the states to increase their resilience against long-lasting droughts and price fluctuations in the external market.
Results of the future model experiments suggest that every state will be disadvantaged in a regional coordinative scenario. To correct these physically and mathematically incorrect results, the current soft constrained implementation of the non-smooth complementarity relations for the reservoir filling process will have to be reconsidered. These non-smooth functions are the first out of three major difficulties encountered when implementing the proposed framework. Other difficulties arise when describing processes on different time scales (e.g. annual crop seasons) and when keeping the problem robust (in case predictions deviate from real events).
Overall, the case study illustrates that the proposed framework can account for spatial and temporal multisectoral trade-offs while finding non-trivial solutions for varying forms of national and regional cooperative resource management. Moreover, the operational resource reallocation choices proposed by this new framework and the spatial diversity in productivity that were discovered indicate that inadequate inclusion of these heterogeneities in WEF-nexus studies results in incomplete and potentially incorrect conclusions
consequence, people need to rely solely on water tankers which is around 20 times more expensive than the cost of water per kiloliters in urban areas. The case of Sabari Terrace residential apartment complex showed that the adoption of RRWH for water supply contributes to 15% of the annual water demand and it saves up to $6/yr/p. ...
consequence, people need to rely solely on water tankers which is around 20 times more expensive than the cost of water per kiloliters in urban areas. The case of Sabari Terrace residential apartment complex showed that the adoption of RRWH for water supply contributes to 15% of the annual water demand and it saves up to $6/yr/p.
1.Rapid urbanization
2.Fragmentation of government entities
3.Sewer infrastructure
4.Feacal sludge management
5.Treated water reuse
6.Citizen group involvement The study shows that CWIS principles have a significant relevance for solving urban sanitation issues which were identified through the system levers. In addition to solving urban sanitation issues which centres on public health matters, the study also shows that there is also an environmental case for CWIS by arresting waterbody pollution through the identified pollution pathways. Findings from this research can help to improve decision making in terms of urban sanitation by paying close attention to the cause-effect relationships between variables in the urban sanitation sphere and improve waterbody health in their cities. ...
1.Rapid urbanization
2.Fragmentation of government entities
3.Sewer infrastructure
4.Feacal sludge management
5.Treated water reuse
6.Citizen group involvement The study shows that CWIS principles have a significant relevance for solving urban sanitation issues which were identified through the system levers. In addition to solving urban sanitation issues which centres on public health matters, the study also shows that there is also an environmental case for CWIS by arresting waterbody pollution through the identified pollution pathways. Findings from this research can help to improve decision making in terms of urban sanitation by paying close attention to the cause-effect relationships between variables in the urban sanitation sphere and improve waterbody health in their cities.
Exploring IWRM Linkages in UN Sustainable Development Goal 6
Identifying correlations between the target indicators of SDG 6 through statistical data analysis