M. Cvetkovic
Please Note
66 records found
1
Reduced models with different numbers of representative days are evaluated, and their reconstructed SOC trajectories are analyzed. SOC-based diagnostic metrics are developed to characterize the components of the trajectory gap. These metrics are used as diagnostic signals for identifying where the current temporal representation is insufficient for storage-related operation.
The results show that daily-cycling storage is mainly affected by intra-day shape mismatch, while long-duration storage is more sensitive to accumulated drift and inventory-level bias. Natural days with large intra-day shape mismatch are useful feedback candidates because they reveal inadequacy in the current representative-day set for describing storage charging and discharging patterns. Preserving these day-shape-critical days improves storage-relevant temporal representation and can lead to better investment decisions. ...
Reduced models with different numbers of representative days are evaluated, and their reconstructed SOC trajectories are analyzed. SOC-based diagnostic metrics are developed to characterize the components of the trajectory gap. These metrics are used as diagnostic signals for identifying where the current temporal representation is insufficient for storage-related operation.
The results show that daily-cycling storage is mainly affected by intra-day shape mismatch, while long-duration storage is more sensitive to accumulated drift and inventory-level bias. Natural days with large intra-day shape mismatch are useful feedback candidates because they reveal inadequacy in the current representative-day set for describing storage charging and discharging patterns. Preserving these day-shape-critical days improves storage-relevant temporal representation and can lead to better investment decisions.
Wired for Change
Handling Intermittency in a Renewable-Energy-Driven Chemical Industry
This research was conducted within the scope of the Horizon 2020 TradeRES Project - (grant agreement No 864276). [1] The objective of this project was to test innovative electricity market designs that meet society’s needs with a (near) 100% renewable power system. Such market designs should provide efficient incentives for both system operation and long-term investment, with this research focusing primarily on the latter. The project was designed to employ agent-based modeling, as this approach enables the simulation of imperfect markets in which actors operate without perfect information, foresight, or coordination. Agent-based models are particularly well-suited to capture long-term dynamics, allowing agents to adapt their strategies over time in response to evolving market conditions.... ...
This research was conducted within the scope of the Horizon 2020 TradeRES Project - (grant agreement No 864276). [1] The objective of this project was to test innovative electricity market designs that meet society’s needs with a (near) 100% renewable power system. Such market designs should provide efficient incentives for both system operation and long-term investment, with this research focusing primarily on the latter. The project was designed to employ agent-based modeling, as this approach enables the simulation of imperfect markets in which actors operate without perfect information, foresight, or coordination. Agent-based models are particularly well-suited to capture long-term dynamics, allowing agents to adapt their strategies over time in response to evolving market conditions....
Optimising Industrial Participation in the Day-Ahead Electricity Market
A Stochastic Bidding Framework with Risk Management
A two-stage stochastic Mixed-Integer Linear Program (MILP) was developed to formulate and compare two distinct, EUPHEMIA-compatible bidding strategies: a granular stochastic hourly bidding strategy and a holistic stochastic exclusive group bids strategy. The framework incorporates Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) for downside risk management and models price uncertainty using a combination of Meta's Prophet forecasting model and a Levy stable distribution to generate realistic, heavy-tailed price scenarios. The model's logic was first verified on a simplified green hydrogen system before being applied to a detailed case study of Tata Steel's IJmuiden plant, analysing both its current rigid blast furnace-basic oxygen furnace (BF-BOF) and future flexible direct reduction plant-electric arc furnace (DRP-EAF) configurations.
The core finding is that the optimal bidding strategy is fundamentally contingent on the industrial asset's specific operational flexibility and economic structure. For the current, inflexible BF-BOF system, a price-insensitive strategy that prioritises material efficiency is superior, as the financial penalties from disrupting the production chain far outweigh potential electricity cost savings. Conversely, for the future, flexible DRP-EAF system, a granular, price-sensitive hourly bids strategy becomes the most profitable approach, creating significant value by leveraging the Electric Arc Furnace for price arbitrage. Furthermore, for flexible assets whose profit margins are primarily defined by electricity costs, such as the green hydrogen system, a conservative exclusive group bids strategy is optimal due to its superior risk hedging, which prioritises capital preservation in volatile markets.
This research concludes that a universally optimal bidding method does not exist. Effective market participation requires that industrial consumers first diagnose their system’s unique techno-economic architecture and then deploy a strategy that aligns with its inherent nature: either insulating rigid processes from market volatility or actively engaging flexible assets with it. ...
A two-stage stochastic Mixed-Integer Linear Program (MILP) was developed to formulate and compare two distinct, EUPHEMIA-compatible bidding strategies: a granular stochastic hourly bidding strategy and a holistic stochastic exclusive group bids strategy. The framework incorporates Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) for downside risk management and models price uncertainty using a combination of Meta's Prophet forecasting model and a Levy stable distribution to generate realistic, heavy-tailed price scenarios. The model's logic was first verified on a simplified green hydrogen system before being applied to a detailed case study of Tata Steel's IJmuiden plant, analysing both its current rigid blast furnace-basic oxygen furnace (BF-BOF) and future flexible direct reduction plant-electric arc furnace (DRP-EAF) configurations.
The core finding is that the optimal bidding strategy is fundamentally contingent on the industrial asset's specific operational flexibility and economic structure. For the current, inflexible BF-BOF system, a price-insensitive strategy that prioritises material efficiency is superior, as the financial penalties from disrupting the production chain far outweigh potential electricity cost savings. Conversely, for the future, flexible DRP-EAF system, a granular, price-sensitive hourly bids strategy becomes the most profitable approach, creating significant value by leveraging the Electric Arc Furnace for price arbitrage. Furthermore, for flexible assets whose profit margins are primarily defined by electricity costs, such as the green hydrogen system, a conservative exclusive group bids strategy is optimal due to its superior risk hedging, which prioritises capital preservation in volatile markets.
This research concludes that a universally optimal bidding method does not exist. Effective market participation requires that industrial consumers first diagnose their system’s unique techno-economic architecture and then deploy a strategy that aligns with its inherent nature: either insulating rigid processes from market volatility or actively engaging flexible assets with it.
Simulation-Based Optimization of Renewable Energy Systems
Exploring simulation optimization in various energy system domains
To build a foundation for the proposed method, a background study was conducted on optimization theory in general and on simulation-based optimization with a primary focus on energy systems. Additionally, the functionality of the simulation software used in this thesis, The Illuminator, was explored.
Based on this foundation, a new optimization framework was developed by extending The Illuminator software and through the integration of three algorithms: Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Genetic Algorithm (GA), and a gradient-based algorithm (L-BFGS-B). Parallelization was implemented to increase the efficiency of the algorithms. To expand the modeling capability of The Illuminator, several new hydrogen-related component models were developed. The framework was tested across multiple domains by using three distinct scenarios: (1) a hydrogen production facility (hydrogen domain, continuous variables, system design domain), (2) a residential energy hub (electric domain, continuous variables, system operation domain), and (3) an electric vehicle charging station (electric domain, discrete variables, system planning domain).
Among the explored algorithms, Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) proved to be the most suitable across the three presented scenarios, achieving the lowest average gaps to the best-found solutions in each case (0.107%, 0.363%, and 20.145%, respectively). Parallelization of the population-based algorithms improved the total run time by a factor of almost 5.
The results show that simulation-based optimization is a promising approach for supporting the design, operation, and planning of complex renewable energy systems. ...
To build a foundation for the proposed method, a background study was conducted on optimization theory in general and on simulation-based optimization with a primary focus on energy systems. Additionally, the functionality of the simulation software used in this thesis, The Illuminator, was explored.
Based on this foundation, a new optimization framework was developed by extending The Illuminator software and through the integration of three algorithms: Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Genetic Algorithm (GA), and a gradient-based algorithm (L-BFGS-B). Parallelization was implemented to increase the efficiency of the algorithms. To expand the modeling capability of The Illuminator, several new hydrogen-related component models were developed. The framework was tested across multiple domains by using three distinct scenarios: (1) a hydrogen production facility (hydrogen domain, continuous variables, system design domain), (2) a residential energy hub (electric domain, continuous variables, system operation domain), and (3) an electric vehicle charging station (electric domain, discrete variables, system planning domain).
Among the explored algorithms, Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) proved to be the most suitable across the three presented scenarios, achieving the lowest average gaps to the best-found solutions in each case (0.107%, 0.363%, and 20.145%, respectively). Parallelization of the population-based algorithms improved the total run time by a factor of almost 5.
The results show that simulation-based optimization is a promising approach for supporting the design, operation, and planning of complex renewable energy systems.
electricity. This thesis presents the development of an easily understandable yet accurate model of the Dutch electricity network. The topology, production and load of the contemporary grid is studied using publicly available data. An accurate model of the grid is designed using stochastic modeling and data analysis techniques. An attempt is made to simulate the model using DC power flow techniques. The software is developed to be compatible with the Illuminator system, which can visualize the simulation in a physical model. The ultimate implementation of the model was unsuccessful. The design process and attempted simulation of the model is documented in this thesis. ...
electricity. This thesis presents the development of an easily understandable yet accurate model of the Dutch electricity network. The topology, production and load of the contemporary grid is studied using publicly available data. An accurate model of the grid is designed using stochastic modeling and data analysis techniques. An attempt is made to simulate the model using DC power flow techniques. The software is developed to be compatible with the Illuminator system, which can visualize the simulation in a physical model. The ultimate implementation of the model was unsuccessful. The design process and attempted simulation of the model is documented in this thesis.
is more intuitive. The main product should show the power flow on the table, implement Plug-and-Play dynamics, and be scalable. LED strips are used to visualize power flows in the table-top network, in combination with the Digispark ATtiny85. For determining the topology, static ID pairs were used. A double simulation is used to implement Plug-and-Play dynamics.
The first simulation configures the topology used by the second simulation, based on the hardware connections. The second simulation runs the Illuminator simulation. During this simulation, checks are run to see whether a physical connection has changed, such as a cable being unplugged. The simulation and then starts the reconfiguration process again.
Testing the reliability and run-time of the implementation is documented in Chapter 6, with a focus on how well the implementation scales with the size of the simulation. It was concluded that the Digispark’s communication with the Raspberry Pi would often stall, requiring error correction to be implemented. Even then, the data transfer to the Digispark from the Raspberry Pi fails on the first try an average of 48% of the time. Determining how long a setup takes to reconfigure was estimated using a computer, since the Raspberry Pi’s aren’t powerful enough to simulate dozens of models. It was determined that a reconfiguration of 20 models takes about 100 seconds. ...
is more intuitive. The main product should show the power flow on the table, implement Plug-and-Play dynamics, and be scalable. LED strips are used to visualize power flows in the table-top network, in combination with the Digispark ATtiny85. For determining the topology, static ID pairs were used. A double simulation is used to implement Plug-and-Play dynamics.
The first simulation configures the topology used by the second simulation, based on the hardware connections. The second simulation runs the Illuminator simulation. During this simulation, checks are run to see whether a physical connection has changed, such as a cable being unplugged. The simulation and then starts the reconfiguration process again.
Testing the reliability and run-time of the implementation is documented in Chapter 6, with a focus on how well the implementation scales with the size of the simulation. It was concluded that the Digispark’s communication with the Raspberry Pi would often stall, requiring error correction to be implemented. Even then, the data transfer to the Digispark from the Raspberry Pi fails on the first try an average of 48% of the time. Determining how long a setup takes to reconfigure was estimated using a computer, since the Raspberry Pi’s aren’t powerful enough to simulate dozens of models. It was determined that a reconfiguration of 20 models takes about 100 seconds.
This thesis addresses this gap by presenting an integrated modelling framework that combines an operational optimisation model of the South-Holland DHN, developed using PyPSA, with a time-series power flow analysis of the South-Holland EDN using pandapower. The South-Holland case study is carried out in which the implemented framework simulates hourly network operations across the future energy scenarios for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050. These scenarios are driven by real-world market data of electricity, natural gas and CO2 prices, weather patterns, as well as future heat and electricity demand profiles. This master thesis is part of the TU Delft research project "DEMOSES" and is done in collaboration with Eneco and Stedin.
The results highlight that the large-scale introduction of electrified heat sources in the South-Holland DHN, such as heat pumps, electric boilers and geothermal energy plants, substantially reshapes the operation of the DHN and the loading patterns of the EDN. The operation of the DHN shifts from a more demand-responsive to a market-driven network, with a large reliance on the electricity market signals. This flexibility and responsiveness is largely driven by strategically placed thermal energy storage, especially near electrified production units. Moreover, the electrification of heat supply vastly reduces the reliance on gas and CHP units, resulting in geothermal energy, industrial waste heat and waste incineration becoming the key heat supply technologies. However, it also significantly increases the loading levels of key distribution network components, particularly on medium voltage transformers and lines, leading to critical network stress under future demand scenarios. Conversely, in future scenarios in times of high distributed energy generation, the addition of power-to-heat sources reduce the loading levels of the critical EDN components. It was identified that in times of high distributed energy generation, which results in net negative demand, the power-to-heat sources can consume power locally, lowering the amount of electrical power that needs to be transferred to the HV network, consequently reducing line and transformer loading. The reinforcement of physical assets and coordinated planning efforts between DHN and EDN operators are identified as key factors in mitigating these risks effectively.
Overall, this study provides a detailed description and analysis of the development of the integrated South-Holland heat and electricity model. In addition, the models are applied to perform multiple experiments in the case study, which allows to gain practical insights regarding the effect of large-scale electrification of the South-Holland DHN on the heat network itself and the EDN. The need for spatial-temporal coordination between heat
and electricity network operators in the operational and network planning of integrated energy systems is highlighted. The proposed methodology serves as a practical tool for decision makers and policymakers seeking to balance the decarbonisation goals of the DHN with the EDN reliability. ...
This thesis addresses this gap by presenting an integrated modelling framework that combines an operational optimisation model of the South-Holland DHN, developed using PyPSA, with a time-series power flow analysis of the South-Holland EDN using pandapower. The South-Holland case study is carried out in which the implemented framework simulates hourly network operations across the future energy scenarios for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050. These scenarios are driven by real-world market data of electricity, natural gas and CO2 prices, weather patterns, as well as future heat and electricity demand profiles. This master thesis is part of the TU Delft research project "DEMOSES" and is done in collaboration with Eneco and Stedin.
The results highlight that the large-scale introduction of electrified heat sources in the South-Holland DHN, such as heat pumps, electric boilers and geothermal energy plants, substantially reshapes the operation of the DHN and the loading patterns of the EDN. The operation of the DHN shifts from a more demand-responsive to a market-driven network, with a large reliance on the electricity market signals. This flexibility and responsiveness is largely driven by strategically placed thermal energy storage, especially near electrified production units. Moreover, the electrification of heat supply vastly reduces the reliance on gas and CHP units, resulting in geothermal energy, industrial waste heat and waste incineration becoming the key heat supply technologies. However, it also significantly increases the loading levels of key distribution network components, particularly on medium voltage transformers and lines, leading to critical network stress under future demand scenarios. Conversely, in future scenarios in times of high distributed energy generation, the addition of power-to-heat sources reduce the loading levels of the critical EDN components. It was identified that in times of high distributed energy generation, which results in net negative demand, the power-to-heat sources can consume power locally, lowering the amount of electrical power that needs to be transferred to the HV network, consequently reducing line and transformer loading. The reinforcement of physical assets and coordinated planning efforts between DHN and EDN operators are identified as key factors in mitigating these risks effectively.
Overall, this study provides a detailed description and analysis of the development of the integrated South-Holland heat and electricity model. In addition, the models are applied to perform multiple experiments in the case study, which allows to gain practical insights regarding the effect of large-scale electrification of the South-Holland DHN on the heat network itself and the EDN. The need for spatial-temporal coordination between heat
and electricity network operators in the operational and network planning of integrated energy systems is highlighted. The proposed methodology serves as a practical tool for decision makers and policymakers seeking to balance the decarbonisation goals of the DHN with the EDN reliability.
Energy Hubs within the Built Environment
Exploring opportunities and challenges for the low-voltage grid
The results from the case study show that decentralized hydrogen storage can technically resolve transformer congestion, but only when combined with moderate reinforcement and at substantially higher cost than conventional upgrading. Under current cost and efficiency assumptions, energy hubs have a flexibility purpose rather than being an economic substitute for grid reinforcement. ...
The results from the case study show that decentralized hydrogen storage can technically resolve transformer congestion, but only when combined with moderate reinforcement and at substantially higher cost than conventional upgrading. Under current cost and efficiency assumptions, energy hubs have a flexibility purpose rather than being an economic substitute for grid reinforcement.
By converting and storing renewable energy into hydrogen, ECs can ensure a stable green energy supply, mitigating fluctuations and enhancing energy security. This research presents a modular energy-sharing architecture that integrates blockchain-based smart contracts, with algorithms for equitable distribution and trading of hydrogen capacity between community households. Simula- tions and case studies test the algorithms for hydrogen storage sizing and fair capacity allocation, while also exploring the potential of hydrogen-based heating systems.
The results showcase the critical role of hydrogen storage in increasing the efficiency of renewable energy systems, even during periods of low demand. Two models developed from the simula- tions demonstrate the practical dynamics of using hydrogen for long-term energy storage in urban environments. This work provides a framework for the practical implementation of shared hydro- gen storage for electrification and heating, contributing to the transition towards decentralized, carbon-neutral urban energy infrastructures. ...
By converting and storing renewable energy into hydrogen, ECs can ensure a stable green energy supply, mitigating fluctuations and enhancing energy security. This research presents a modular energy-sharing architecture that integrates blockchain-based smart contracts, with algorithms for equitable distribution and trading of hydrogen capacity between community households. Simula- tions and case studies test the algorithms for hydrogen storage sizing and fair capacity allocation, while also exploring the potential of hydrogen-based heating systems.
The results showcase the critical role of hydrogen storage in increasing the efficiency of renewable energy systems, even during periods of low demand. Two models developed from the simula- tions demonstrate the practical dynamics of using hydrogen for long-term energy storage in urban environments. This work provides a framework for the practical implementation of shared hydro- gen storage for electrification and heating, contributing to the transition towards decentralized, carbon-neutral urban energy infrastructures.
Self-organizing voltage regulation in the distribution networks
Insights into planning, operation and validation
A big challenge associated with the integration of DRES is their innate intermittency and unpredictability, which induce fluctuations in power availability and demand. Such fluctuations could lead to voltage instability, frequency deviations, and general power quality problems within the power grid. Moreover, the traditional power grid, which is largely unidirectional in design, cannot manage the bidirectional power flow resulting from DRES integration. As a result, ensuring the stability and reliability of the power grid becomes essential with the widespread integration of DRES. Furthermore, incorporating DRES requires innovative grid planning and operation methodologies to optimize resources and prevent potential congestion.
Motivated by these challenges, this thesis develops and implements the method on identifying the main barriers to increasing the integration of DRES in distribution networks (DN) and developing the solution that can enable high DRES penetration levels in power grids, thereby supporting the transition to a future 100\% renewable energy system. This thesis provides a solution for three critical phases for future smart power grids: planning, operation, and validation.
Planning phase: The thesis introduces a stochastic simulation-based approach to assess DRES penetration levels and the capacity requirements for the central Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) in DNs while ensuring technical constraints. The stochastic method creates a wide range of scenarios under various conditions. For each scenario, my proposed approach calculates the maximum allowable DRES penetration level and the required BESS capacity with different DRES control logic. The maximum allowable DRES penetration level and the BESS capacity requirements are then determined by analyzing various simulation results. The unique contribution lies in equipping distribution system operators (DSO) with the ability to compare results and select the most appropriate voltage control and power smoothing methods. This helps address the challenges associated with voltage violation and intermittency issues arising from DRES-generated power, thus improving the overall resilience and reliability of the power grid. Moreover, data analysis techniques are utilized to compare the efficacy of various local voltage and BESS control methodologies, offering valuable insights for network planners.
Operation phase (DSO): Building on the foundational knowledge acquired in the planning phase about DRES high penetration level network, a novel algorithm is proposed to achieve optimal voltage regulation through the self-organizing actions of agents. This algorithm empowers distributed agents to coordinate and collaborate in real time to regulate voltage in DNs with high DRES penetration. The proposed method can minimize the number of agents involved in the voltage regulation and the change of required power for voltage regulation, which together minimizes the need for re-dispatching, i.e., the impact of voltage regulation on the exchange of energy. Moreover, the proposed method performs online optimization, i.e., the value of the decision variable is physically implemented as a controller set-point at each iteration, which reduces the response time. The presented algorithm is benchmarked against the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) algorithm and centralized optimization to validate its efficiency.
Operation phase (Energy community): While coordinating DRES strategies from the grid's viewpoint is vital, it's equally important to consider the energy management of energy communities. I propose a comprehensive four-stage energy management approach that employs receding-horizon optimization to stabilize power fluctuations in a residential energy community system. This system comprises a photovoltaic (PV) installation, a BESS, and a hydrogen system with an electrolyzer, a fuel cell, and a hydrogen storage. This innovative approach uniquely integrates four optimization stages, i.e., yearly, monthly, day-ahead, and intra-day. It blends long-term and short-term optimization techniques in EMS development to utilize hydrogen generated via electrolysis as seasonal storage. The introduced algorithm incorporates three modes with distinct objective functions for enhanced user adaptability. The approach is tested through simulations and operational analysis of an on-site PV–BESS–electrolyzer–fuel cell energy system field lab, including an in-depth analysis of system failure rates, system efficiency evaluation, and performance comparison across different modes of operation.
Validation Phase: To make our research more hands-on and highlight the challenges of DRES, I developed a practical simulation tool named The Illuminator. The Illuminator helps illustrate the challenges of DRES integration, acts as a sandbox for testing new research concepts in real and nonreal time, and allows real-world equipment simulations to check an algorithm before it is fully used. The Illuminator technology is primarily a modular software platform developed on a Raspberry Pi cluster. It is open-source, available on GitHub and developed in Python. The Illuminator comprises models of common energy technologies, such as PV panels, wind turbines, BESS, and hydrogen systems. The uniqueness of The Illuminator is in its modularity and flexibility to reconfigure scenarios and cases on the fly, even by non-experts in a plug-and-play fashion. I introduce The Illuminator and show its performance in two simple case studies.
This research improves the collective understanding of DRES integration by developing practical tools and methodologies that can significantly influence the design and operation of future power grids. Consequently, it paves the way for a cleaner, more efficient, and reliable energy system. ...
A big challenge associated with the integration of DRES is their innate intermittency and unpredictability, which induce fluctuations in power availability and demand. Such fluctuations could lead to voltage instability, frequency deviations, and general power quality problems within the power grid. Moreover, the traditional power grid, which is largely unidirectional in design, cannot manage the bidirectional power flow resulting from DRES integration. As a result, ensuring the stability and reliability of the power grid becomes essential with the widespread integration of DRES. Furthermore, incorporating DRES requires innovative grid planning and operation methodologies to optimize resources and prevent potential congestion.
Motivated by these challenges, this thesis develops and implements the method on identifying the main barriers to increasing the integration of DRES in distribution networks (DN) and developing the solution that can enable high DRES penetration levels in power grids, thereby supporting the transition to a future 100\% renewable energy system. This thesis provides a solution for three critical phases for future smart power grids: planning, operation, and validation.
Planning phase: The thesis introduces a stochastic simulation-based approach to assess DRES penetration levels and the capacity requirements for the central Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) in DNs while ensuring technical constraints. The stochastic method creates a wide range of scenarios under various conditions. For each scenario, my proposed approach calculates the maximum allowable DRES penetration level and the required BESS capacity with different DRES control logic. The maximum allowable DRES penetration level and the BESS capacity requirements are then determined by analyzing various simulation results. The unique contribution lies in equipping distribution system operators (DSO) with the ability to compare results and select the most appropriate voltage control and power smoothing methods. This helps address the challenges associated with voltage violation and intermittency issues arising from DRES-generated power, thus improving the overall resilience and reliability of the power grid. Moreover, data analysis techniques are utilized to compare the efficacy of various local voltage and BESS control methodologies, offering valuable insights for network planners.
Operation phase (DSO): Building on the foundational knowledge acquired in the planning phase about DRES high penetration level network, a novel algorithm is proposed to achieve optimal voltage regulation through the self-organizing actions of agents. This algorithm empowers distributed agents to coordinate and collaborate in real time to regulate voltage in DNs with high DRES penetration. The proposed method can minimize the number of agents involved in the voltage regulation and the change of required power for voltage regulation, which together minimizes the need for re-dispatching, i.e., the impact of voltage regulation on the exchange of energy. Moreover, the proposed method performs online optimization, i.e., the value of the decision variable is physically implemented as a controller set-point at each iteration, which reduces the response time. The presented algorithm is benchmarked against the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) algorithm and centralized optimization to validate its efficiency.
Operation phase (Energy community): While coordinating DRES strategies from the grid's viewpoint is vital, it's equally important to consider the energy management of energy communities. I propose a comprehensive four-stage energy management approach that employs receding-horizon optimization to stabilize power fluctuations in a residential energy community system. This system comprises a photovoltaic (PV) installation, a BESS, and a hydrogen system with an electrolyzer, a fuel cell, and a hydrogen storage. This innovative approach uniquely integrates four optimization stages, i.e., yearly, monthly, day-ahead, and intra-day. It blends long-term and short-term optimization techniques in EMS development to utilize hydrogen generated via electrolysis as seasonal storage. The introduced algorithm incorporates three modes with distinct objective functions for enhanced user adaptability. The approach is tested through simulations and operational analysis of an on-site PV–BESS–electrolyzer–fuel cell energy system field lab, including an in-depth analysis of system failure rates, system efficiency evaluation, and performance comparison across different modes of operation.
Validation Phase: To make our research more hands-on and highlight the challenges of DRES, I developed a practical simulation tool named The Illuminator. The Illuminator helps illustrate the challenges of DRES integration, acts as a sandbox for testing new research concepts in real and nonreal time, and allows real-world equipment simulations to check an algorithm before it is fully used. The Illuminator technology is primarily a modular software platform developed on a Raspberry Pi cluster. It is open-source, available on GitHub and developed in Python. The Illuminator comprises models of common energy technologies, such as PV panels, wind turbines, BESS, and hydrogen systems. The uniqueness of The Illuminator is in its modularity and flexibility to reconfigure scenarios and cases on the fly, even by non-experts in a plug-and-play fashion. I introduce The Illuminator and show its performance in two simple case studies.
This research improves the collective understanding of DRES integration by developing practical tools and methodologies that can significantly influence the design and operation of future power grids. Consequently, it paves the way for a cleaner, more efficient, and reliable energy system.
The Production and Delivery of Green Hydrogen and Recovered Waste Heat
A Techno-Economic Analysis of a Multi-MW Alkaline and PEM Electrolysis Plant
ERA5 data on the wind speed was employed, which was converted into power data via the wind farm power curve. The wind farm power curve was produced by coupling wind farm power production data to the ERA5 wind speed. This method proved to be effective in simulating the power production of a wind farm, as it included the wind farm wake effects and the global-blockage effect.
The performance of the AE system was simulated through a semi-empirical model for both the polarization and Faraday efficiency curve, while the performance of the PEM electrolyser system was simulated by an empirical approach for the polarization curve and a semi-empirical model for the Faraday efficiency curve. A degradation efficiency method is proposed, which employs a constant degradation factor to describe the decreasing performance over the lifetime of the stack. The degradation efficiency effectively illustrated the heat-producing degradation in electrolyser cells.
The techno-economic aspect of the research involved a detailed analysis of the Levelised Costs of Hydrogen and Heat (LCoH2 and LCoHeat). The LCoH2 of green hydrogen from the AE system was 6.08 euro/kg, while the LCoHeat of the recovered waste heat was 1.57 euro/MWh. For the PEM electrolyser system, the LCoH2 was determined to be 5.59 euro/kg, while the associated LCoHeat for the recovered waste heat was 1.55 euro/MWh. The profits of selling the recovered waste can be utilised to decrease the LCoH2. When a recovered waste heat-selling price of 50 euro/MWh was assumed, the LCoH2 of the AE and PEM electrolyser system decreased by 0.64 euro/kg and 0.44 euro/kg, respectively.
The sensitivity analysis on the LCoH2 indicated that the PPA price was the most influential factor on the LCoH2, followed by the Capital Expenditures (CAPEX) of the electrolyser system, and the start-of-life stack efficiency. When assessing the LCoHeat, the sensitivity analysis revealed that the most impacting parameters on the LCoHeat were the capacity of the installed electrolysis plant, the discount rate and the CAPEX of the heat exchanger. ...
ERA5 data on the wind speed was employed, which was converted into power data via the wind farm power curve. The wind farm power curve was produced by coupling wind farm power production data to the ERA5 wind speed. This method proved to be effective in simulating the power production of a wind farm, as it included the wind farm wake effects and the global-blockage effect.
The performance of the AE system was simulated through a semi-empirical model for both the polarization and Faraday efficiency curve, while the performance of the PEM electrolyser system was simulated by an empirical approach for the polarization curve and a semi-empirical model for the Faraday efficiency curve. A degradation efficiency method is proposed, which employs a constant degradation factor to describe the decreasing performance over the lifetime of the stack. The degradation efficiency effectively illustrated the heat-producing degradation in electrolyser cells.
The techno-economic aspect of the research involved a detailed analysis of the Levelised Costs of Hydrogen and Heat (LCoH2 and LCoHeat). The LCoH2 of green hydrogen from the AE system was 6.08 euro/kg, while the LCoHeat of the recovered waste heat was 1.57 euro/MWh. For the PEM electrolyser system, the LCoH2 was determined to be 5.59 euro/kg, while the associated LCoHeat for the recovered waste heat was 1.55 euro/MWh. The profits of selling the recovered waste can be utilised to decrease the LCoH2. When a recovered waste heat-selling price of 50 euro/MWh was assumed, the LCoH2 of the AE and PEM electrolyser system decreased by 0.64 euro/kg and 0.44 euro/kg, respectively.
The sensitivity analysis on the LCoH2 indicated that the PPA price was the most influential factor on the LCoH2, followed by the Capital Expenditures (CAPEX) of the electrolyser system, and the start-of-life stack efficiency. When assessing the LCoHeat, the sensitivity analysis revealed that the most impacting parameters on the LCoHeat were the capacity of the installed electrolysis plant, the discount rate and the CAPEX of the heat exchanger.
Demand response in a container terminal
A stochastic optimization of the operational planning considering energy consumption
Simulating the Energy Transition
Raspberry Pi Hardware Hub
Facilitating flexibility trading between asset owners and system operators
Creating a protocol for flexibility exchange between the grid operator and flexible assets
Simulation of the Dutch electricity system
A software expansion for the Illuminator