F. Yin
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56 records found
1
Variability of ice supersaturated regions at flight altitudes
Evaluation of ERA5 reanalysis using IAGOS in situ measurements
Aviation has a significant contribution to climate change, which is poised to increase in the coming years due to increasing demand in air travel. The A321 APPU aircraft could offer a significant improvement as it offers a synergistic combination of two interesting technologies-a fuel-flexible hydrogen combustion system combined with boundary layer ingestion, by introducing a hydrogen-powered auxiliary power and propulsion unit (APPU). This turboshaft engine is located in the tail cone and powers a boundary layer ingestion propulsor, producing approximately 15% of the thrust. To improve the efficiency of the APPU, the feasibility of the steam ijection and recovery (SIR) cycle is evaluated. This semi-closed water cycle can reduce fuel consumption and NOx emissions. Both the baseline and the SIR APPU are modelled in pyCycle, an open-source gas turbine parametric analysis tool. The baseline APPU engine was found to have a thermal efficiency of 45% and a mass of around 500 kg. The SIR cycle can reduce fuel consumption by up to 7% and decrease NOx emissions by approximately 33%, with an increase in engine mass of approximately 15%.
The aviation industry and policymakers are advocating Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) as one of the main pillars for making the aviation industry sustainable. However, regulatory frameworks like CORSIA and the EU Renewable Energy Directive often exclude the climate impact from in-flight non-CO2 emissions (e.g., NOx, H2O, and soot emissions), which is important in determining the effect of SAF in reducing the climate impact of aviation. To bridge this gap, we evaluate the total global warming effects of SAF from a well-to-wake analysis, which includes the climate effects from CO2 emissions of the well-to-wake combined with the non-CO2 emissions of the pump-to-wake (i.e., inflight). We quantify the climate impact of NOx, H2O and contrails and convert them to a CO2 equivalence (CO2e) factor based on a climate metric, for instance, the Average Temperature Response over a given time horizon (i.e., 20, 50 and 100 years). The resulting well-to-wake CO2e values for SAF vary from about 150 to 250 g/MJ, depending on the specific fuel pathways. Our analysis shows that the maximum reduction in CO2e emissions when using SAF is less than 50% compared to conventional jet fuel, mainly due to the inflight NOx and contrail effects.
HYLENA will investigate, develop and optimize an innovative, highly efficient integrated hydrogen powered, electrical aircraft propulsion concept for short and medium range. It will achieve significant climate impact reduction by being completely carbon neutral with radical increase of overall efficiency. The full synergistic use of: a) an electrical motor (as the main driver for propulsion), b) a contoured hydrogen fueled SOFC stacks (geometrically optimized for nacelle integration), c) a gas turbine (to thermodynamically integrate the SOFC), will act as an enabler for hydrogen aviation and will allow for efficient and compact engine concepts. This disruptive propulsion system will be called HYLENA concept. HYLENA aims to evaluate and demonstrate the feasibility of a “game changing” engine type which integrates Solid Oxide Fuel Cells (SOFC) into a turbomachine, in order to utilize the heat generated by the fuel cells on top of its electrical energy. The combination of e-motor, turbomachine and contoured SOFCs fueled with H2 will deliver high overall efficiency and performance versus state-of-the-art turbofan engines. Indeed, HYLENA Figures of Merit consist of minimizing CO2 emission; negligible NOX and an unmatched overall efficiency versus state-of-the-art turbofans which corresponds to an outstanding performance increase. It will also enable to extend the flight range for the same fuel tank size. The HYLENA project will deliver: 1. On SOFC cell level: Experimental investigations on SOFC cell technologies and identification of the most promising one(s) for aeronautical applications; 2. On SOFC stack level: Studies and tests to determine the most compact/light/manufacturable way of stack integration; 3. On thermodynamic level: Cycles simulations of the proposed novel HYLENA concept architecture and down selection of the most performing one; 4. On engine design level: Exploration, through resilient calculation and simulation, of the best engine design, sizing and overall components integration; 5. On overall engine efficiency level: Demonstration that HYLENA concept can reach very high efficiency levels with limited weight and complexity; 6. On demonstration level: A decision dossier for a potential ground test demonstrator to prove that the HYLENA concept works in practice during a second phase in the continuity of this project.
Decision-making strategies implemented in SolFinder 1.0 to identify eco-efficient aircraft trajectories
Application study in AirTraf 3.0
The non-CO2 climate impact of aviation strongly relies on the atmospheric conditions at the time and location of emissions. Therefore, it is possible to mitigate their associated climate impact by planning trajectories to re-route airspace areas with significant climate effects. Identifying such climate-sensitive regions requires specific weather variables. Inevitably uncertain weather forecasts can lead to inefficient aircraft trajectories if not accounted for within flight planning. The current study addresses the problem of generating robust climate-friendly flight plans under meteorological uncertainty characterized using the ensemble prediction system. We introduce a framework based on the concept of robust tracking optimal control theory to formulate and solve the proposed flight planning problem. Meteorological uncertainty effects on aircraft performance variables are captured using the formulated ensemble aircraft dynamical model and controlled by penalizing the performance index variance. Case studies show that the proposed approach can generate climate-optimized trajectories with minimal sensitivity to weather uncertainty.
The spatiotemporal dependency of aviation-induced non-CO2 climate effects can be incorporated into flight planning tools to generate climate-friendly flight plans. However, estimating climate impact is challenging and associated with high uncertainty. To ensure the effectiveness of such an operational measure, sources that induce uncertainty need to be identified and considered when planning climate-aware trajectories. The mismatch between different assessments of climate impact is an important indicator of uncertainty. This study introduces a concept aimed at planning robust climate-optimized aircraft trajectories under multiple climate impact estimates. The objective is to generate climate-optimal trajectories that achieve mitigation potential consistent with all available assessments. Case studies show that, even when there is a significant discrepancy between input models in specific regions, the proposed approach can effectively generate trajectories to mitigate the climate impact with a high level of confidence.
The climate impact of non-CO2 emissions, which are responsible for two-thirds of aviation radiative forcing, highly depends on the atmospheric chemistry and weather conditions. Hence, by planning aircraft trajectories to reroute areas where the non-CO2 climate impacts are strongly enhanced, called climate-sensitive regions, there is a potential to reduce aviation-induced non-CO2 climate effects. Weather forecast is inevitably uncertain, which can lead to unreliable determination of climate-sensitive regions and aircraft dynamical behavior and, consequently, inefficient trajectories. In this study, we propose robust climate-optimal aircraft trajectory planning within the currently structured airspace considering uncertainties in standard weather forecasts. The ensemble prediction system is employed to characterize uncertainty in the weather forecast, and climate-sensitive regions are quantified using the prototype algorithmic climate change functions. As the optimization problem is constrained by the structure of airspace, it is associated with hybrid decision spaces. To account for discrete and continuous decision variables in an integrated and more efficient manner, the optimization is conducted on the space of probability distributions defined over flight plans instead of directly searching for the optimal profile. A heuristic algorithm based on the augmented random search is employed and implemented on graphics processing units to solve the proposed stochastic optimization computationally fast. An open-source Python library called ROOST (V1.0) is developed based on the aircraft trajectory optimization technique. The effectiveness of our proposed strategy to plan robust climate-optimal trajectories within the structured airspace is analyzed through two scenarios: a scenario with a large contrail climate impact and a scenario with no formation of persistent contrails. It is shown that, for a nighttime flight from Frankfurt to Kyiv, a 55ĝ€¯% reduction in climate impact can be achieved at the expense of a 4ĝ€¯% increase in the operating cost.
The strong growth rate of the aviation industry in recent years has created significant challenges in terms of environmental impact. Air traffic contributes to climate change through the emission of carbon dioxide (CO2) and other non-CO2 effects, and the associated climate impact is expected to soar further. The mitigation of CO2 contributions to the net climate impact can be achieved using novel propulsion, jet fuels, and continuous improvements of aircraft efficiency, whose solutions lack in immediacy. On the other hand, the climate impact associated with non-CO2 emissions, being responsible for two-thirds of aviation radiative forcing, varies highly with geographic location, altitude, and time of the emission. Consequently, these effects can be reduced by planning proper climate-aware trajectories. To investigate these possibilities, this paper presents a survey on operational strategies proposed in the literature to mitigate aviation’s climate impact. These approaches are classified based on their methodology, climate metrics, reliability, and applicability. Drawing upon this analysis, future lines of research on this topic are delineated.
Research towards weather induced uncertainties for contrail persistence and mitigation strategies for contrail impact
Better Contrail Mitigation (BeCoM)
The newly funded EU project BeCoM intends to address the uncertainties related to the forecasting of persistent contrails and their weather-dependent individual radiative effects. The project will focus on: 1) obtaining a larger and higher resolution database of relative humidity and ice supersaturation at cruise levels for assimilation into numerical weather prediction (NWP) models; 2) providing more adequate representation of ice clouds in their supersaturated environment in the NWP models; and 3) validation of the predictions to determine and reduce the remaining uncertainties of contrail forecasts. To facilitate the assimilation and validation process, a novel hybrid artificial intelligence algorithm will be developed. Based on the contrail prediction, the project will develop a policy framework for effective contrail avoidance through a trajectory optimization approach. The results will enable a better understanding of contrail’s climate impact and formulate recommendations on how to implement strategies to enable air traffic management to reduce aviation's climate impact. ...
The newly funded EU project BeCoM intends to address the uncertainties related to the forecasting of persistent contrails and their weather-dependent individual radiative effects. The project will focus on: 1) obtaining a larger and higher resolution database of relative humidity and ice supersaturation at cruise levels for assimilation into numerical weather prediction (NWP) models; 2) providing more adequate representation of ice clouds in their supersaturated environment in the NWP models; and 3) validation of the predictions to determine and reduce the remaining uncertainties of contrail forecasts. To facilitate the assimilation and validation process, a novel hybrid artificial intelligence algorithm will be developed. Based on the contrail prediction, the project will develop a policy framework for effective contrail avoidance through a trajectory optimization approach. The results will enable a better understanding of contrail’s climate impact and formulate recommendations on how to implement strategies to enable air traffic management to reduce aviation's climate impact.
The fuel efficiency of turbofan engines has improved significantly, hence reducing aviation's CO2 emissions. However, the increased operating pressure and temperature for fuel efficiency cause adverse effects on NOx emissions. Therefore, a novel engine concept, which can reduce NOx emissions without affecting the cycle efficiency, is of high interest to the aviation community. This paper investigates the potential of an intercooler and inter-turbine burner (ITB) for the future low NOx aircraft propulsion system. The study evaluates performance and NOx emissions of four engine architectures: a very high bypass ratio (VHBR) turbofan engine (baseline), a VHBR engine with intercooler, a VHBR engine with ITB, and a VHBR engine with both intercooler and ITB. The cycles are optimized for minimum cruise Thrust Specific Fuel Consumption (TSFC), considering the same design space, thrust requirements, and operational constraints. The ITB is only used during take-off to minimize cruise fuel consumption. The analysis shows that using an ITB solely, with the energy split of 75% (the first burner) / 25% (ITB), reduces the cruise NOx emission by 26%, and the cruise TSFC slightly by 0.5%. The intercooler alone reduces the NOx emissions by 16% and the cruise TSFC by 0.8%. The combination of intercooler and ITB reduces the NOx emissions further by 38%. The analysis confirms that introducing an intercooler and ITB can potentially resolve the contradicting effects of fuel efficiency and NOx emissions for the future advanced turbofan engine.