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Y. Blom

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Large-scale deployment of photovoltaic (PV) devices is essential for reducing CO2 emissions by accelerating the transition to renewable energy. A key driver of this shift is the significant drop in PV module prices, primarily due to economy of scale and improvements in conversion efficiency. However, crystalline silicon (c-Si), currently the dominant PV technology, is approaching its theoretical efficiency limit. To further increase module efficiency, multi-junction perovskite/silicon (PS) solar cells present a promising alternative, partly due to the tunable bandgap energy of perovskite.
Although PS cells have already surpassed the record efficiency of c-Si ones at the laboratory scale, their performance under real outdoor conditions remains uncertain. Moreover, perovskite devices face notable stability challenges, raising questions about their long-termviability compared to modules purely based on c-Si PV technology. This thesis investigates the outdoor potential of Smart c-Si PV modules as well as PS PVmodules by modeling their performance, optimizing designs under various conditions, and identifying acceptable performance degradation rates.... ...
Advanced and emerging photovoltaic (PV) technologies play a crucial role in meeting the increasing global energy demand sustainably. Simulations are essential for predicting system behavior and improving our understanding of complex PV architectures. This work extends an existing modeling framework designed for novel PV systems, offering a modular and flexible workflow suitable for diverse research applications. The framework computes PV performance from first-principles physics, removing the need for module datasheets. It comprises two pre-processing steps and six simulation steps. The first steps determine the optical behavior of the modules, followed by irradiance modeling and temperature calculations. The final steps evaluate the electrical characteristics and the conversion to alternating current at the full-system level. The framework incorporates detailed energy loss analysis and includes advanced features such as partial shading, reverse-bias effects, and photon recycling. Two applications demonstrate its capabilities: comparing module configurations in urban settings and optimizing multi-junction PV system design. Results show that Smart modules enhance shade resilience, delivering approximately (Formula presented.) higher energy yields. Additionally, the optimal perovskite bandgap for perovskite/silicon tandem devices is found to be 1.60–1.62 eV. These outcomes highlight the framework's value for future PV system research and development. The developed software can be found at: https://github.com/YBlom1999/PVMD_Toolbox. ...
As crystalline silicon (c-Si) solar cells approach their theoretical efficiency limit, the perovskite/silicon (PerSi) tandem technology offers a promising solution for further improving the efficiency of photovoltaic (PV) modules. However, as perovskite cells are facing stability issues, it is unclear whether PerSi modules will have a larger lifetime energy yield (LEY) than c-Si modules. In this work, we present a novel methodology to simulate the LEY of PerSi tandem devices, accounting for environmental stress factor-dependent degradation across four different climates. Our approach combines a physics-based analytical degradation model for components shared with c-Si modules and a scenario-based degradation model for the perovskite top cell. This method enables us to identify the tolerable degradation rate (ktol) of the perovskite cell under different scenarios and climatic conditions. We find that ktol is lowest when degradation occurs in the short-circuit current, reaching a minimum value of 1.2% per year in Delft (the Netherlands). Additionally, we demonstrate that ktol inversely depends on the module lifetime, reaching values up 7.6% per year in Lagos (Nigeria). Moreover, we show that module efficiency (ηmod) significantly impacts ktol. For instance, increasing ηmod from 28.0% to 32.9% raises ktol by approximately 50%. Additionally, we propose a simplified model that can predict ktol without the computationally intensive simulations, which has a root-mean-square error of 0.34% per year. Lastly, environmental impact assessments reveal that PerSi modules are more sustainable in all impact categories when the degradation rate is 80% of ktol for LEY. ...
Perovskite/silicon (PS) technology includes three main configurations: two-terminal (2T), three-terminal (3T), and four-terminal (4T). Previous studies have made various comparisons between these configurations, significantly advancing our understanding of these devices. While these studies mostly focus on simulations on cell level, we perform bandgap energy ((Formula presented.)) optimization at the module level for different configurations under outdoor conditions. Using opto-electrical simulations, we predict the energy yield of each module at four geographical locations, with varying values of (Formula presented.). The optimal (Formula presented.) for the 2T, 3T, and 4T modules are 1.62, 1.80, and 1.82 eV, respectively. We also perform a loss analysis to explore the differences in power losses among the configurations. These loss differences can be attributed to the configurations having different optimal (Formula presented.) values (affecting the thermalization losses) or different module designs (affecting the interconnection losses). Among all losses, mismatch losses play the most critical role in optimizing the bandgap. Overall, all optimized configurations have similar energy yields (all differences within 1.5%) across all locations. Finally, we compare the robustness of the different configurations against different scenarios of perovskite degradation. Our results show that the 4T module is the least sensitive to degradation in the perovskite subcell. ...
Bifacial perovskite/silicon solar cells can combine the advantages of tandem technology (high efficiencies) and bifacial modules (additional received irradiance from the rear) to increase the energy yield of photovoltaic (PV) systems further. In literature, it has already been shown that for two-terminal tandems this would require a lower bandgap energy (Eg) for the perovskite cell, as the rear irradiance increases the current in the bottom cell creating a current mismatch, if this is not considered during optimization. This work expands on bifacial two-terminal tandem optimization by considering aspects not included before. Besides the Eg, the thickness (d) of the perovskite is also optimized, as this also affects the current matching. Additionally, this work studies the trends in different energy losses of the PV module to better understand what affects the optimal perovskite cell. Our simulations show that the optimal Eg is 1.61–1.65 eV and the optimal d is 650–750 nm, which agrees with the observations in literature. The optimal Eg and d are mostly a trade-off between mismatch and thermalization losses, meaning that the mismatch losses should not be fully minimized. Additionally, the irradiance from the rear side is converted less efficiently than the front side irradiance due to larger thermalization and reflection losses. Therefore, the energy yield of bifacial tandem modules, compared to monofacial tandem ones, only increases for large ground albedo. Finally, our results show that the bifacial tandems have over a 25% gain in energy yield compared to bifacial single junction modules and up to 5% gain compared to monofacial tandem modules. ...
Journal article (2025) - Youri Blom, Daniel Jimenez Pelarda, Tabitha Minett, Ismail Kaaya, Nikoleta Kyranaki, Rudi Santbergen, Olindo Isabella, Malte Ruben Vogt
Increasing the operating lifetime of photovoltaic (PV) modules is a key factor in further reducing their levelized cost of electricity. Analytical degradation models typically use the external relative humidity (RH) as a stress factor, rather than the moisture concentration inside the module. This study presents a Finite Element Method (FEM) model, built in COMSOL Multiphysics, to simulate the moisture ingress inside a PV module. We explore the effects of different encapsulant and backsheet materials, as well as various climatic conditions, on moisture penetration. Overall, the impact of the climate has a larger impact on the moisture ingress than the choice of material, implying that the PV module design should be adjusted for different climates. As FEM simulations are computationally intensive, we also present an analytical model, based on empirically determined characteristics, to simulate the moisture ingress. This reconstruction can be done with a deviation lower than 0.05 for all conditions. Finally, our findings indicate that the relative moisture content (RMC) within the module serves as a more accurate stress factor than outdoor RH. Degradation rates over time found in literature are captured more accurately when deploying RMC. ...
At standard test conditions (STC), the performance of photovoltaic modules is compared using efficiency. As irradiance and module temperature fluctuate over the year and STC efficiency does not assess the performance of the module accurately in real world conditions, the annual energy yield is used instead as performance metric. Perovskite/silicon tandem solar cells are being massively researched and sought after in PV industry for their efficiency well above 34% with further growth perspective. In this work, to evaluate and compare performance of different perovskite/silicon tandem photovoltaic (PV) modules based on different bottom cell technologies, we use a hybrid modelling approach. Such approach, combining experimentally obtained and simulated current-voltage curves, flexibly predicts the annual energy yield of novel tandem PV modules via our PVMD toolbox and enables their optimization in any location. In particular, considering (i) mono- and bi-facial architectures, (ii) 2-terminal and 4-terminal module configurations, and (iii) silicon heterojunction or novel poly-SiOx passivated c-Si solar bottom cells, we compare the annual energy yield of different perovskite/silicon tandem modules and we optimize their performance in different locations with respect to different perovskite thickness and bandgaps ...
Journal article (2025) - Youri Blom, Malte Ruben Vogt, Hisashi Uzu, Gensuke Koizumi, Kenji Yamamoto, Olindo Isabella, Rudi Santbergen
In the quest for advancing photovoltaic efficiency, the adoption of multijunction solar cell architectures has emerged as a promising approach. Perovskite/silicon double-junction solar cells have already achieved efficiencies surpassing 33%, exceeding the theoretical efficiency limit for single-junction devices. To enhance efficiency even further, exploring perovskite/perovskite/silicon (PPS) triple-junction solar cells seems a logical next step, as they offer the potential to further reduce thermalization losses and achieve even higher efficiencies. This study delves into the potential of various configurations of PPS modules, exploring different subcell interconnections. Initially, we present an optoelectrical model to simulate the performance of these devices, incorporating both luminescence coupling and cell-to-module losses. This enables us to optimize the bandgap energy of the top and middle perovskite subcells under both standard test conditions (STC) and outdoor conditions. Our analysis reveals that the addition of a perovskite subcell can improve the STC efficiency up to 9%–13%. This gain in STC performance also translates into a similar gain in energy yield, meaning that triple-junction devices produce 8%–14% more electricity than their double-junction reference devices. ...

From accurate cell performance simulation to energy yield prediction

Journal article (2025) - P. Procel, Y. Zhou, M. Verkou, M. Leonardi, Y. Blom, M. R. Vogt, R. Santbergen, M. Zeman, O. Isabella, More authors...
Recent conversion efficiency breakthroughs in double-junction (tandem) perovskite/crystalline silicon solar cells demand advanced opto-thermo-electrical simulations, that are critical for translating laboratory results into realistic photovoltaic module and system performance. A holistic framework is here developed and presented, combining cell-level simulations, spectral analysis, PV module and PV system modelling. After validating the deployed physics models against measured cells and modules, hourly spectral irradiances for Delft, the Netherlands, and Catania, Italy, are generated and clustered into representative “blue-rich” and “red-rich” spectra. The effects of spectral variations on the current-matching and energy yield of tandem modules are quantified. Realistic module architectures are simulated, integrating dynamic temperature and spectrum data. Temperature coefficients are derived as a function of both irradiance and module temperature, significantly improving upon traditional indoor-derived values. Results show that standard indoor-derived coefficients under-/overestimate values in realistic conditions, highlighting the ultimate need for location-specific power matrixes. This study offers a robust pathway to predict tandem module energy yields across seasons and climates, supporting optimized design choices for industrial production and future PV installations. ...
Journal article (2024) - Youri Blom, Malte Ruben Vogt, Olindo Isabella
Lead halide perovskites are a promising class of materials for solar cell applications. The perovskite bandgap depends on the material composition and is highly tunable. Opto-electrical device modelling is commonly used to find the optimum perovskite bandgap that maximizes device efficiency or energy yield, either in single junction or multi-junction configuration. The first step in this calculation is the optical modelling of the spectral absorptance. This requires as input the perovskite's complex refractive index N as a function of wavelength λ. The complex refractive index consists of real part n(λ) and imaginary part k(λ). For the most commonly used perovskites, n and k curves are available from spectroscopic ellipsometry measurements, but usually only for a few discrete bandgap energies. For solar cell optimization, these curves are required for a continuous range of bandgap energies. We introduce new methods for generating the n and k curves for an arbitrary bandgap, based on interpolating measured complex refractive index data. First, different dispersion models (Cody-Lorentz, Ullrich-Lorentz and Forouhi-Bloomer) are used to fit the measured data. Then, a linear regression is applied to the fit parameters with respect to the bandgap energy. From the interpolated parameters, the refractive index curve of perovskite with any desired bandgap energy is finally reconstructed. To validate our method, we compare our results with methods from literature and then use it to simulate the absorptance of a single junction perovskite and a perovskite/silicon tandem cell. This shows that our method based on the Forouhi-Bloomer model is more accurate than existing methods in predicting the complex refractive index of perovskite for arbitrary bandgaps. ...
The tandem PV technology can potentially increase the efficiency of PV modules over 30%. To design efficient modules, a quantification of the different losses is important. Herein, a model for quantifying the energy loss mechanisms in PV systems under real-world operating conditions with a level of detail back to the components and their fundamental properties is presented. Totally, 17 losses are defined and divided into four categories (fundamental, optical, electrical, and system losses). As example, a system based on a > 29% two-terminal perovskite/silicon tandem cell is considered. The loss distribution at standard test conditions is compared to four geographical locations. The results show that the thermalization, reflection, and inverter losses increase by 1.2%, 1.1%, and 1.4%, respectively, when operating outdoors. Additionally, it is quantified how fill factor gains partly compensate the current mismatch losses. For example, a mismatch of 7.0% in photocurrent leads to a power mismatch of 1.2%. Therefore, the power mismatch should be used as indicator for mismatch losses instead of a current mismatch. Finally, herein, it is shown that solar tracking increases not only the in-plane irradiance but also the efficiency of the tandem module. ...

A Comparison Between Simulated and Measured IV Characteristics

Conference paper (2023) - Bianca Passarella, Maarten Verkou, Marco Leonardi, Fabrizio Coco, Youri Blom, Malte Vogt, Rudi Santbergen, Miro Zeman, Olindo Isabella, More Authors...
Photovoltaic (PV) technology is raising attention as a low-cost green energy source. It mainly finds applications in solar fields, on building facades and on rooftop. One of the main issues that can occur is the shading of solar cells inside the photovoltaic module which could affect the maximum power output of the PV panel and the lifetime of the cell itself. In order to predict the behaviour of PV panels in partial shading conditions, simulations and then measurements on two different photovoltaic modules have been carried out and compared. Data have shown that the maximum power output of the panels under 1sun illumination can be predicted by simulation with a 3% discrepancy from measured values, independently from the type of technology and interconnections of the PV module. ...
We introduce a novel simulation tool capable of calculating the energy yield of a PV system based on its fundamental material properties and using self-consistent models. Thus, our simulation model can operate without measurements of a PV device. It combines wave and ray optics and a dedicated semiconductor simulation to model the optoelectronic PV device properties resulting in the IV-curve. The system surroundings are described via spectrally resolved ray tracing resulting in a cell resolved irradiance distribution, and via the fluid dynamics-based thermal model, in the individual cell temperatures. A lumped-element model is used to calculate the IV-curves of each solar cell for every hour of the year. These are combined factoring in the interconnection to obtain the PV module IV-curves, which connect to the inverter for calculating the AC energy yield. In our case study, we compare two types of 2 terminal perovskite/silicon tandem modules with STC PV module efficiencies of 27.7% and 28.6% with a reference c-Si module with STC PV module efficiency of 20.9%. In four different climates, we show that tandem PV modules operate at 1–1.9 °C lower yearly irradiance weighted average temperatures compared to c-Si. We find that the effect of current mismatch is significantly overestimated in pure optical studies, as they do not account for fill factor gains. The specific yields in kWh/kWp of the tandem PV systems are between −2.7% and +0.4% compared to the reference c-Si system in all four simulated climates. Thus, we find that the lab performance of the simulated tandem PV system translates from the laboratory to outdoors comparable to c-Si systems. ...