G. Lavidas
Please Note
18 records found
1
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This discrepancy may be associated to conservative foundation modelling. The current industry-standard finite element (FE) approach assumes monopiles as wished-in-place (WIP), thus neglecting installation effects. The goal of this thesis is to calibrate a 3D FE model to better capture the lateral response of impact and vibratory-driven monopiles in predominantly sandy soils under monotonic loading, particularly in the small-strain range that governs the dynamic response of offshore wind turbines, by accounting for installation effects.
PLAXIS 3D is used to model the soil-structure interaction with Hardening Soil elastic-plastic constitutive model that can capture small-strain stiffness (HSsmall). The study has a twofold scope: namely, establishing an interpretation scheme for initial soil properties to model the WIP response and incorporating installation effects through a practical approach that captures the effects of the installation on the soil state, and consequently the lateral capacity, without explicitly simulating the pile installation.
The WIP models, validated against a number of field tests, show that the current modelling approach can accurately predict the lateral response of vibratory driven monopiles, while it underestimates the stiffness of impact driven ones. Therefore, this thesis proposes to artificially incorporate installation effects into the established WIP FE models for impact driven monopiles, by either imposing volumetric strains to the soil plug or by modifying the coefficient of lateral earth pressure at rest. Calibration of these installation parameters is performed against the global monopile response and the post-installation horizontal stress profiles. Both methods lead to increased horizontal stresses around the monopile and result in stiffer global response and improved agreement with the field data.
This thesis offers a comprehensive framework for modelling the lateral response of monotonically loaded monopiles, including installation effects, that could potentially be adopted by industry thanks to its simplicity, computational efficiency and reliance on commonly available data in offshore wind projects.
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This discrepancy may be associated to conservative foundation modelling. The current industry-standard finite element (FE) approach assumes monopiles as wished-in-place (WIP), thus neglecting installation effects. The goal of this thesis is to calibrate a 3D FE model to better capture the lateral response of impact and vibratory-driven monopiles in predominantly sandy soils under monotonic loading, particularly in the small-strain range that governs the dynamic response of offshore wind turbines, by accounting for installation effects.
PLAXIS 3D is used to model the soil-structure interaction with Hardening Soil elastic-plastic constitutive model that can capture small-strain stiffness (HSsmall). The study has a twofold scope: namely, establishing an interpretation scheme for initial soil properties to model the WIP response and incorporating installation effects through a practical approach that captures the effects of the installation on the soil state, and consequently the lateral capacity, without explicitly simulating the pile installation.
The WIP models, validated against a number of field tests, show that the current modelling approach can accurately predict the lateral response of vibratory driven monopiles, while it underestimates the stiffness of impact driven ones. Therefore, this thesis proposes to artificially incorporate installation effects into the established WIP FE models for impact driven monopiles, by either imposing volumetric strains to the soil plug or by modifying the coefficient of lateral earth pressure at rest. Calibration of these installation parameters is performed against the global monopile response and the post-installation horizontal stress profiles. Both methods lead to increased horizontal stresses around the monopile and result in stiffer global response and improved agreement with the field data.
This thesis offers a comprehensive framework for modelling the lateral response of monotonically loaded monopiles, including installation effects, that could potentially be adopted by industry thanks to its simplicity, computational efficiency and reliance on commonly available data in offshore wind projects.
Assessing Marine Renewable Energy Contribution to Indonesia's Net-Zero Transition
Through Energy System Optimization Modelling Approach
The methodology integrates new technology definitions, provincial-level resource assessments from ERA5 reanalysis and TPXO tidal data, and hourly generation profiles into the established Calliope model structure. Four research questions examine MRE impacts on storage requirements, transmission expansion priorities, cost competitiveness against established renewables, and optimal system configurations for least-cost decarbonisation. Wave energy uses point-absorber performance matrices calibrated to Indonesian coastal conditions, while tidal analysis applies velocity-power curves for horizontal-axis turbines deployed in high-flow straits.
Results show that transmission architecture controls MRE integration value. Under Supergrid operation, total storage capacity decreases from 135.7 to 125.1 GW with reference MRE costs (−7.8%) and to 120.2 GW under optimistic learning trajectories (−11.4%). Fragmented networks show minimal storage reduction (+0.6 GW), indicating that MRE benefits require coordinated inter-island power flows. Tidal energy displaces storage more efficiently than wave (0.94 versus 0.09 GW per GW installed) due to predictable semidiurnal generation patterns. Grid expansion concentrates in specific high-value corridors rather than uniform network reinforcement: HVDC capacity increases from 97.1 to 137.6 GW, with the Lampung–Banten connection handling disproportionate additional flows.
Cost competitiveness emerges when interconnection enables optimistic learning curves. Under the Supergrid configuration with accelerated cost reduction, tidal energy reaches 66.1 US$/MWh and wave energy 69.5 US$/MWh.This positions both technologies within the competitive renewable band alongside small hydro (67.5 US$/MWh) and geothermal (61.7 US$/MWh). Marine generation reaches 261.4 TWh annually (17.3% of total demand), compared to 122.8 TWh under fragmented operation, showcasing transmission’s role as a primary value driver rather than background infrastructure.
The analysis identifies targeted deployment strategies: wave clusters positioned behind reinforced transmission gateways on high-resource coasts, and tidal installations near demand centres where network access maximizes predictability benefits. However, single-year operational modeling, coarse nearshore resource resolution, and incomplete spatial exclusions limit precision in site-specific assessments. Despite these constraints, the evidence indicates that MRE technologies can contribute meaningfully to Indonesia’s 2050 power system under cost-optimistic assumptions (CAPEX: 986,000 US$(2023)/MW, OPEX: 50,000 US$(2023)/MW) and remain viable even under reference cost scenarios (CAPEX: 1.76 million US$(2023)/MW, OPEX: 88,000 US$(2023)/MW) when supported by strategic interconnection investments and disciplined resource targeting. ...
The methodology integrates new technology definitions, provincial-level resource assessments from ERA5 reanalysis and TPXO tidal data, and hourly generation profiles into the established Calliope model structure. Four research questions examine MRE impacts on storage requirements, transmission expansion priorities, cost competitiveness against established renewables, and optimal system configurations for least-cost decarbonisation. Wave energy uses point-absorber performance matrices calibrated to Indonesian coastal conditions, while tidal analysis applies velocity-power curves for horizontal-axis turbines deployed in high-flow straits.
Results show that transmission architecture controls MRE integration value. Under Supergrid operation, total storage capacity decreases from 135.7 to 125.1 GW with reference MRE costs (−7.8%) and to 120.2 GW under optimistic learning trajectories (−11.4%). Fragmented networks show minimal storage reduction (+0.6 GW), indicating that MRE benefits require coordinated inter-island power flows. Tidal energy displaces storage more efficiently than wave (0.94 versus 0.09 GW per GW installed) due to predictable semidiurnal generation patterns. Grid expansion concentrates in specific high-value corridors rather than uniform network reinforcement: HVDC capacity increases from 97.1 to 137.6 GW, with the Lampung–Banten connection handling disproportionate additional flows.
Cost competitiveness emerges when interconnection enables optimistic learning curves. Under the Supergrid configuration with accelerated cost reduction, tidal energy reaches 66.1 US$/MWh and wave energy 69.5 US$/MWh.This positions both technologies within the competitive renewable band alongside small hydro (67.5 US$/MWh) and geothermal (61.7 US$/MWh). Marine generation reaches 261.4 TWh annually (17.3% of total demand), compared to 122.8 TWh under fragmented operation, showcasing transmission’s role as a primary value driver rather than background infrastructure.
The analysis identifies targeted deployment strategies: wave clusters positioned behind reinforced transmission gateways on high-resource coasts, and tidal installations near demand centres where network access maximizes predictability benefits. However, single-year operational modeling, coarse nearshore resource resolution, and incomplete spatial exclusions limit precision in site-specific assessments. Despite these constraints, the evidence indicates that MRE technologies can contribute meaningfully to Indonesia’s 2050 power system under cost-optimistic assumptions (CAPEX: 986,000 US$(2023)/MW, OPEX: 50,000 US$(2023)/MW) and remain viable even under reference cost scenarios (CAPEX: 1.76 million US$(2023)/MW, OPEX: 88,000 US$(2023)/MW) when supported by strategic interconnection investments and disciplined resource targeting.
Ice Ridge-WEC Collision Dynamics
Modelling the ice-structure interaction between an ice ridge and a wave energy converter
For this research a 3D-model was developed using DualSPHysics, complemented by MoorDyn for mooring line dynamics and Project Chrono for collision dynamics. This research examined collisions between ice ridges modelled as rigid structures with typical subarctic dimensions and a moored buoy representing the point absorber. Various simulations were run with variations in ice ridge size, surface roughness of the ice ridge and different failure mechanisms for the mooring lines.
Key findings indicated that mooring line failures at a tension limit of 5 MN predominantly resulted from entanglement with rough keel surfaces rather than direct impact forces alone when ice crushing was neglected. Smooth-surfaced ridges allowed mooring lines to withstand tensions up to approximately 2.2 MN. Additionally, reducing ridge dimensions significantly decreased maximum tensions and horizontal contact forces, highlighting the critical role of ridge size and surface roughness in collision dynamics.
From this study it becomes clear that the highest uncertainty lies within ice crushing during the interaction with the ice ridge keel structure, it is expected to happen when the point absorber slides against the ice ridge, which can lead to entanglement of the point absorber within the ridge itself. This study contributes critical insights and provides a computational SPH-model for preliminary testing and analysis of moored point absorbers under ice ridge collision scenarios.
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For this research a 3D-model was developed using DualSPHysics, complemented by MoorDyn for mooring line dynamics and Project Chrono for collision dynamics. This research examined collisions between ice ridges modelled as rigid structures with typical subarctic dimensions and a moored buoy representing the point absorber. Various simulations were run with variations in ice ridge size, surface roughness of the ice ridge and different failure mechanisms for the mooring lines.
Key findings indicated that mooring line failures at a tension limit of 5 MN predominantly resulted from entanglement with rough keel surfaces rather than direct impact forces alone when ice crushing was neglected. Smooth-surfaced ridges allowed mooring lines to withstand tensions up to approximately 2.2 MN. Additionally, reducing ridge dimensions significantly decreased maximum tensions and horizontal contact forces, highlighting the critical role of ridge size and surface roughness in collision dynamics.
From this study it becomes clear that the highest uncertainty lies within ice crushing during the interaction with the ice ridge keel structure, it is expected to happen when the point absorber slides against the ice ridge, which can lead to entanglement of the point absorber within the ridge itself. This study contributes critical insights and provides a computational SPH-model for preliminary testing and analysis of moored point absorbers under ice ridge collision scenarios.
Assessing Uncertainty in Offshore Wind Business Models with Hydrogen Integration
Does hydrogen integration make offshore wind more certain?
This thesis investigates how integrating a 400 MW onshore electrolyzer with a 2 GW bottom-fixed wind farm affects the project’s economic uncertainty. To answer the question, a three-step methodology is applied. Firstly, the economics of the offshore wind farm and hybrid powerplant are modelled without the presence of uncertainty, using Vattenfall’s techno-economic model. This model considers investment and operation costs, along with the revenues of the wind farm from electricity sales on the power market. For the revenues of the hybrid powerplant, an optimization algorithm deciding when it is optimal to produce hydrogen or electricity is employed. Secondly, the uncertainties in key commodities (steel, aluminum, copper and shipping fuel oil), vessel day-rates, electricity prices and electrolyzer costs, are defined. Thirdly, the uncertainties are sampled through a Monte Carlo simulation to create 10,000 different realizations of the project, covering the entire range of possible outcomes. By combining the techno-economic model, the dispatch algorithm and the Monte Carlo approach, the uncertainties of the offshore farm and hybrid powerplant can be quantified, and their impact on the project economics can be evaluated.
The methodology allows to compare the effect of hydrogen integration in the business case uncertainty of an offshore wind farm. On a deterministic comparison, the two projects perform similarly. For the considered wind farm, the inclusion of the electrolyzer adds an additional e94 M
in cost uncertainty, while it reduces revenue uncertainty by e18 M. These results hold true for the considered offshore farm, given projected conditions and modelling assumptions. For this case, the offshore wind farm is marginally more certain in terms of economic returns. Given the two projects produce similar investment returns, accepting the increased uncertainty of the hybrid powerplant is non-economical.
The results of the thesis do not favor an investment in hybrid project in terms of uncertainties. However, this result is true for the project investigated and as conditions change and hydrogen technology matures, the analysis can shift in favor of hydrogen. Specifically, hydrogen is a large
scale infrastructure with the first full scale projects currently under development. With more project-experience gained, the uncertainty in costs can be reduced, favoring the hybrid projects. With increased support for large scale hydrogen production, the proposed framework for continuous analysis can be leveraged to keep pace with the external macroeconomic changes. The methodology can be extended and applied to other hybrid solutions, such as hybrid projects with batteries. ...
This thesis investigates how integrating a 400 MW onshore electrolyzer with a 2 GW bottom-fixed wind farm affects the project’s economic uncertainty. To answer the question, a three-step methodology is applied. Firstly, the economics of the offshore wind farm and hybrid powerplant are modelled without the presence of uncertainty, using Vattenfall’s techno-economic model. This model considers investment and operation costs, along with the revenues of the wind farm from electricity sales on the power market. For the revenues of the hybrid powerplant, an optimization algorithm deciding when it is optimal to produce hydrogen or electricity is employed. Secondly, the uncertainties in key commodities (steel, aluminum, copper and shipping fuel oil), vessel day-rates, electricity prices and electrolyzer costs, are defined. Thirdly, the uncertainties are sampled through a Monte Carlo simulation to create 10,000 different realizations of the project, covering the entire range of possible outcomes. By combining the techno-economic model, the dispatch algorithm and the Monte Carlo approach, the uncertainties of the offshore farm and hybrid powerplant can be quantified, and their impact on the project economics can be evaluated.
The methodology allows to compare the effect of hydrogen integration in the business case uncertainty of an offshore wind farm. On a deterministic comparison, the two projects perform similarly. For the considered wind farm, the inclusion of the electrolyzer adds an additional e94 M
in cost uncertainty, while it reduces revenue uncertainty by e18 M. These results hold true for the considered offshore farm, given projected conditions and modelling assumptions. For this case, the offshore wind farm is marginally more certain in terms of economic returns. Given the two projects produce similar investment returns, accepting the increased uncertainty of the hybrid powerplant is non-economical.
The results of the thesis do not favor an investment in hybrid project in terms of uncertainties. However, this result is true for the project investigated and as conditions change and hydrogen technology matures, the analysis can shift in favor of hydrogen. Specifically, hydrogen is a large
scale infrastructure with the first full scale projects currently under development. With more project-experience gained, the uncertainty in costs can be reduced, favoring the hybrid projects. With increased support for large scale hydrogen production, the proposed framework for continuous analysis can be leveraged to keep pace with the external macroeconomic changes. The methodology can be extended and applied to other hybrid solutions, such as hybrid projects with batteries.
Islands of Opportunity: Unlocking Value in Offshore LNG and Wind Integration
Techno-Economic analysis of enhanced fuctionalities of Princess Elisabeth Island
The methodological approach is rooted in a TEA framework, systematically applied to the PEI case. This involves a physical breakdown of systems, detailed financial analysis including CAPEX, OPEX, revenue projections, and cash flow modeling, and performance analysis using key metrics such as Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE), Net Present Value (NPV), and payback periods. The PEI project, planned for 3.5 GW of offshore wind connected via an artificial island housing AC and HVDC substations, formed the initial focus. The base case analysis for PEI as a standalone wind energy hub revealed significant financial challenges: amedian LCOE of 224 =C/MWh, substantially exceeding recent offshore wind strike prices, and a consistently negative NPV. This financial vulnerability is largely attributed to the dramatic increase in transmission infrastructure costs, which now account for nearly 50% of the total project CAPEX, a sharp rise from approximately 18% in 2020. Sensitivity analyses indicated that the LCOE is highly susceptible to project delays, ranging from 200 to 260 =C/MWh, and noted a cooling investor appetite in the European offshore wind sector. Enhanced base case considerations for the wind system showed that an AC-only configuration could reduce the LCOE to 182 =C/MWh, while incorporating HVDC as an interconnector, despite potential arbitrage revenues, increased the LCOE to 237 =C/MWh, illustrating a trade-off between strategic energy security benefits and immediate financial viability... ...
The methodological approach is rooted in a TEA framework, systematically applied to the PEI case. This involves a physical breakdown of systems, detailed financial analysis including CAPEX, OPEX, revenue projections, and cash flow modeling, and performance analysis using key metrics such as Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE), Net Present Value (NPV), and payback periods. The PEI project, planned for 3.5 GW of offshore wind connected via an artificial island housing AC and HVDC substations, formed the initial focus. The base case analysis for PEI as a standalone wind energy hub revealed significant financial challenges: amedian LCOE of 224 =C/MWh, substantially exceeding recent offshore wind strike prices, and a consistently negative NPV. This financial vulnerability is largely attributed to the dramatic increase in transmission infrastructure costs, which now account for nearly 50% of the total project CAPEX, a sharp rise from approximately 18% in 2020. Sensitivity analyses indicated that the LCOE is highly susceptible to project delays, ranging from 200 to 260 =C/MWh, and noted a cooling investor appetite in the European offshore wind sector. Enhanced base case considerations for the wind system showed that an AC-only configuration could reduce the LCOE to 182 =C/MWh, while incorporating HVDC as an interconnector, despite potential arbitrage revenues, increased the LCOE to 237 =C/MWh, illustrating a trade-off between strategic energy security benefits and immediate financial viability...
Wind Farm Cable Routing Optimization for Floating Offshore Wind Farms
Finding Feasible Solutions for Loop Topologies with Mooring System Constraints
This thesis presents an optimization framework that minimizes inter-array cable length while ensuring compliance with mooring system constraints and loop topology requirements. A Mixed-Integer Linear Programming model is used to enforce spatial and technical constraints, structured into three phases: preprocessing, optimization, and postprocessing. Preprocessing defines feasible cable connections while preventing crossings with mooring lines. To manage complexity, turbines are grouped into clusters with defined boundaries to separate routing areas. The optimization phase determines the best cable layout while ensuring loop connectivity and balanced electrical loads. Postprocessing checks compliance with industry standards, identifying clearance violations and refining layouts for feasibility.
A case study of the London Array wind farm demonstrates the model’s effectiveness, achieving a 1.1% reduction in total cable length while maintaining the original layout structure. When adapted for floating wind, spatial constraints from mooring systems cause clearance conflicts, which are mostly resolved by scaling the layout. Minor turbine adjustments eliminate remaining issues. The study highlights that increasing the number of loops and reducing loop size creates more routing conflicts, particularly near the offshore substation and at cluster boundaries. It also finds that centrally positioned substations significantly reduce clearance violations compared to those at the field boundary.
This research provides practical insights into the spatial constraints of floating wind farms and offers a structured, computationally feasible approach to optimizing inter-array cable routing for large-scale farms. ...
This thesis presents an optimization framework that minimizes inter-array cable length while ensuring compliance with mooring system constraints and loop topology requirements. A Mixed-Integer Linear Programming model is used to enforce spatial and technical constraints, structured into three phases: preprocessing, optimization, and postprocessing. Preprocessing defines feasible cable connections while preventing crossings with mooring lines. To manage complexity, turbines are grouped into clusters with defined boundaries to separate routing areas. The optimization phase determines the best cable layout while ensuring loop connectivity and balanced electrical loads. Postprocessing checks compliance with industry standards, identifying clearance violations and refining layouts for feasibility.
A case study of the London Array wind farm demonstrates the model’s effectiveness, achieving a 1.1% reduction in total cable length while maintaining the original layout structure. When adapted for floating wind, spatial constraints from mooring systems cause clearance conflicts, which are mostly resolved by scaling the layout. Minor turbine adjustments eliminate remaining issues. The study highlights that increasing the number of loops and reducing loop size creates more routing conflicts, particularly near the offshore substation and at cluster boundaries. It also finds that centrally positioned substations significantly reduce clearance violations compared to those at the field boundary.
This research provides practical insights into the spatial constraints of floating wind farms and offers a structured, computationally feasible approach to optimizing inter-array cable routing for large-scale farms.
Life Cycle Assessment of Co-located Offshore Wind and Wave Energy Systems in Multi-source Offshore Energy Park
Methodology and Infrastructure Arrangement Comparison
This study conducts a cradle-to-grave Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) using both the EF 3.1 and IMPACT World+ methodologies. Three 180 MW scenarios are modeled: a standalone floating wind farm (12 OFWTs), a standalone wave energy park (450 WECs), and a co-located wind-wave park (10 OFWTs + 75 WECs), with shared substation and export cabling infrastructure. Engineering-based models are developed to calculate Annual Energy Production (AEP), capacity factors, and component-level material inventories, while openLCA is used to quantify greenhouse gas emissions and broader environmental impacts. Energy Payback Time (EPBT) and Greenhouse Gas Payback Time (GPBT) are further computed to evaluate energy and climate performance over the systems’ lifetime.
Results show that shared infrastructure substantially reduces material demand, vessel use, and installation requirements in the co-located scenario, leading to lower embodied impacts per kilowatt-hour compared to the sum of standalone systems. However, differences in capacity factor estimation and technology convergence influence the distribution of environmental burdens between wind and wave subsystems. Across all scenarios, the manufacturing stage—particularly steel and copper—dominates total impacts. The analysis also highlights how future energy grid decarbonization could extend GPBT values, as improvements in background electricity mix reduce upstream emissions.
Overall, this thesis demonstrates that co-locating offshore wind and wave energy can deliver measurable environmental benefits through shared infrastructure and optimized spatial planning. The findings provide new quantitative evidence for policymakers, developers, and marine planners seeking integrated offshore renewable strategies and highlight methodological pathways for future LCA studies that assess hybrid ORE systems. ...
This study conducts a cradle-to-grave Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) using both the EF 3.1 and IMPACT World+ methodologies. Three 180 MW scenarios are modeled: a standalone floating wind farm (12 OFWTs), a standalone wave energy park (450 WECs), and a co-located wind-wave park (10 OFWTs + 75 WECs), with shared substation and export cabling infrastructure. Engineering-based models are developed to calculate Annual Energy Production (AEP), capacity factors, and component-level material inventories, while openLCA is used to quantify greenhouse gas emissions and broader environmental impacts. Energy Payback Time (EPBT) and Greenhouse Gas Payback Time (GPBT) are further computed to evaluate energy and climate performance over the systems’ lifetime.
Results show that shared infrastructure substantially reduces material demand, vessel use, and installation requirements in the co-located scenario, leading to lower embodied impacts per kilowatt-hour compared to the sum of standalone systems. However, differences in capacity factor estimation and technology convergence influence the distribution of environmental burdens between wind and wave subsystems. Across all scenarios, the manufacturing stage—particularly steel and copper—dominates total impacts. The analysis also highlights how future energy grid decarbonization could extend GPBT values, as improvements in background electricity mix reduce upstream emissions.
Overall, this thesis demonstrates that co-locating offshore wind and wave energy can deliver measurable environmental benefits through shared infrastructure and optimized spatial planning. The findings provide new quantitative evidence for policymakers, developers, and marine planners seeking integrated offshore renewable strategies and highlight methodological pathways for future LCA studies that assess hybrid ORE systems.
Nonlinear Frequency Domain Modelling of Wave Energy Converter Arrays
Application to CorPower Ocean’s C5 Device
The solver was benchmarked against a nonlinear MATLAB TD reference and verified against the linear HAMS-MREL solution. Nonlinear heave dynamics were reproduced with amplitude errors of 11 to 17% and near identical phase, and the model collapses to the linear limit when nonlinear terms are disabled. These validations establish a robust foundation for irregular sea analyses.
A systematic study across four sea states, three spacings of 5D, 10D and 15D, and four incident headings quantified the mechanisms governing array performance. Nonlinear effects broaden spectral peaks without shifting the dominant frequency. Spacing redistributes absorbed power between devices while leaving the array averaged interaction factor close to unity. Hydrodynamic coupling is weak beyond roughly ten diameters, but nonlinear and directional effects still introduce measurable differences between rows at 15D. Directional incidence imposes the strongest control: long side headings between 60 degrees and 90 degrees maintain radiative synchronisation and produce mild constructive interaction, whereas oblique headings reduce phase coherence and suppress amplification.
A device level case study shows that array behaviour is governed by radiative phase alignment rather than geometric proximity. Devices experiencing radiative softening exhibit larger response and absorbed power, while those subject to radiative stiffening show reduced motion despite nearly identical incoming excitation. This establishes the link between local impedance modification and array scale performance.
Overall, the results show that weakly NLFD methods capture the essential physics of large WEC arrays with clarity, computational efficiency, and controlled accuracy. The framework supports phase based layout, directional alignment, and PTO tuning strategies for early stage design of future wave energy farms.
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The solver was benchmarked against a nonlinear MATLAB TD reference and verified against the linear HAMS-MREL solution. Nonlinear heave dynamics were reproduced with amplitude errors of 11 to 17% and near identical phase, and the model collapses to the linear limit when nonlinear terms are disabled. These validations establish a robust foundation for irregular sea analyses.
A systematic study across four sea states, three spacings of 5D, 10D and 15D, and four incident headings quantified the mechanisms governing array performance. Nonlinear effects broaden spectral peaks without shifting the dominant frequency. Spacing redistributes absorbed power between devices while leaving the array averaged interaction factor close to unity. Hydrodynamic coupling is weak beyond roughly ten diameters, but nonlinear and directional effects still introduce measurable differences between rows at 15D. Directional incidence imposes the strongest control: long side headings between 60 degrees and 90 degrees maintain radiative synchronisation and produce mild constructive interaction, whereas oblique headings reduce phase coherence and suppress amplification.
A device level case study shows that array behaviour is governed by radiative phase alignment rather than geometric proximity. Devices experiencing radiative softening exhibit larger response and absorbed power, while those subject to radiative stiffening show reduced motion despite nearly identical incoming excitation. This establishes the link between local impedance modification and array scale performance.
Overall, the results show that weakly NLFD methods capture the essential physics of large WEC arrays with clarity, computational efficiency, and controlled accuracy. The framework supports phase based layout, directional alignment, and PTO tuning strategies for early stage design of future wave energy farms.
Techno-economic assessment of offshore hydrogen production in the Dutch North Sea
Comparative analysis of offshore hydrogen and electrical infrastructure with green hydrogen import using standardized breakdown and open-source cost model
Jack-up vessel preload reliability study
Optimizing the preload safety factor of a jack-up vessel with regards to lifting operations in various soil types
The main objective of this thesis is to develop a robust method for analysing the applied preload in past jack-up crane operations conducted by Jan de Nul's Vole au vent. This analysis aims to provide a better understanding of the effectiveness of traditional offshore jack-up guidelines within the rapidly growing offshore wind industry, where heavy crane operations are now performed on a daily basis. Such understanding is crucial, as these guidelines were not originally intended for the advanced state of the current offshore wind sector and are not specifically calibrated for its unique demands.
To accomplish this objective, a method is designed to assess the preload safety factors of past jacking operations and determine their optimal value for heavy lifting operations. This safety factor provides the ratio between operational leg reactions and applied preload. The developed models are then applied to a case study using measuring data from jacking operations of the Vole au vent to validate their effectiveness.
This method is based on reliability analyses which evaluate the probability of failure by assessing if a certain limit state is exceeded. Failure for jacking operations can occur when the leg reactions during crane operations become larger than the applied preload. From the acquired measuring data, certain probability distributions of the leg reactions can be obtained, which are used by a Monte Carlo Simulation to assess the probability of preload exceedance through the defined limit states. This probability of preload exceedance quantifies the reliability of the applied preload in different soil types at three offshore wind farm sites.
This research then defines optimal targets for the annual probability of preload exceedance based on the consequences of failure of operations in both low-risk and high-risk soil profiles. These targets provide a balance between operational efficiency and safety. From those targets, an optimal preload safety factor is obtained and compared to what was originally applied during the jack-up operations.
The findings of this thesis indicate the need to evaluate and improve the standards to better align with the industry's evolving requirements.
It is shown that the currently used preload safety factor from traditional offshore jack-up guidelines is not yet correctly calibrated for heavy crane operations on jack-up vessels. To achieve an optimal balance between operational efficiency and safety, the applied preload, with respect to the experienced loads from heavy crane operations, should be slightly lowered compared to what is currently applied.
In addition, this research observed that the measured conditions during jack-up operations are not correctly estimated, leading to operational and preload uncertainties. ...
The main objective of this thesis is to develop a robust method for analysing the applied preload in past jack-up crane operations conducted by Jan de Nul's Vole au vent. This analysis aims to provide a better understanding of the effectiveness of traditional offshore jack-up guidelines within the rapidly growing offshore wind industry, where heavy crane operations are now performed on a daily basis. Such understanding is crucial, as these guidelines were not originally intended for the advanced state of the current offshore wind sector and are not specifically calibrated for its unique demands.
To accomplish this objective, a method is designed to assess the preload safety factors of past jacking operations and determine their optimal value for heavy lifting operations. This safety factor provides the ratio between operational leg reactions and applied preload. The developed models are then applied to a case study using measuring data from jacking operations of the Vole au vent to validate their effectiveness.
This method is based on reliability analyses which evaluate the probability of failure by assessing if a certain limit state is exceeded. Failure for jacking operations can occur when the leg reactions during crane operations become larger than the applied preload. From the acquired measuring data, certain probability distributions of the leg reactions can be obtained, which are used by a Monte Carlo Simulation to assess the probability of preload exceedance through the defined limit states. This probability of preload exceedance quantifies the reliability of the applied preload in different soil types at three offshore wind farm sites.
This research then defines optimal targets for the annual probability of preload exceedance based on the consequences of failure of operations in both low-risk and high-risk soil profiles. These targets provide a balance between operational efficiency and safety. From those targets, an optimal preload safety factor is obtained and compared to what was originally applied during the jack-up operations.
The findings of this thesis indicate the need to evaluate and improve the standards to better align with the industry's evolving requirements.
It is shown that the currently used preload safety factor from traditional offshore jack-up guidelines is not yet correctly calibrated for heavy crane operations on jack-up vessels. To achieve an optimal balance between operational efficiency and safety, the applied preload, with respect to the experienced loads from heavy crane operations, should be slightly lowered compared to what is currently applied.
In addition, this research observed that the measured conditions during jack-up operations are not correctly estimated, leading to operational and preload uncertainties.
...
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A Standardised Comparison Model for Offshore Wind to Hydrogen Concepts
Through Industry Validation and Promotion of Widespread Adoption Towards Improved Stakeholder Cooperation in the Energy Transition
This study aims to develop a standardised method to evaluate offshore wind to hydrogen concepts through a techno-economic analysis. This analysis method combines technical analysis with economic evaluation of projects and concepts to determine the potential economic outcomes and impacts of implementing a particular technology or project.
Through stakeholder interviews, the study found that stakeholders in the offshore wind and hydrogen market have distinct objectives and concerns. Key factors influencing their willingness to contribute include confidentiality, competition, and reputation.
To increase the transparency of the model, it was developed in Python. A standard notation system was developed, which was presented alongside the model's results. This should aid in the understanding of the underlying assumptions. ...
This study aims to develop a standardised method to evaluate offshore wind to hydrogen concepts through a techno-economic analysis. This analysis method combines technical analysis with economic evaluation of projects and concepts to determine the potential economic outcomes and impacts of implementing a particular technology or project.
Through stakeholder interviews, the study found that stakeholders in the offshore wind and hydrogen market have distinct objectives and concerns. Key factors influencing their willingness to contribute include confidentiality, competition, and reputation.
To increase the transparency of the model, it was developed in Python. A standard notation system was developed, which was presented alongside the model's results. This should aid in the understanding of the underlying assumptions.
Offshore Pumped Storage Hydropower
Design, Planning and Cost Assessment
The diffraction and sheltering effects due to the caisson dam will be determined using the Goda diffraction tables. Additionally, the Levelised Cost of Storage (LCOS) will be used to assess the cost-effectiveness of this bulk energy storage technology and enables the comparison with alternatives, such as lithium-ion and hydrogen storage.
In summary, this research addresses the promising potentials of work method optimization for offshore caisson projects regarding the local wave climate. For a case study in the North Sea, it has not only highlighted the relevance and importance of including wave sheltering. Moreover, with a LCOS of € 140-260/MWh it also shows the competitiveness of the offshore pumped storage hydropower concept once again. Alternative energy storage methods such as lithium-ion or hydrogen are in the range of € 200-400/MWh for lithium-ion and € 200-1900/MWh for hydrogen storage. Therefore, offshore pumped storage hydropower (PSH) can be a favorable solution enhancing the energy transition. ...
The diffraction and sheltering effects due to the caisson dam will be determined using the Goda diffraction tables. Additionally, the Levelised Cost of Storage (LCOS) will be used to assess the cost-effectiveness of this bulk energy storage technology and enables the comparison with alternatives, such as lithium-ion and hydrogen storage.
In summary, this research addresses the promising potentials of work method optimization for offshore caisson projects regarding the local wave climate. For a case study in the North Sea, it has not only highlighted the relevance and importance of including wave sheltering. Moreover, with a LCOS of € 140-260/MWh it also shows the competitiveness of the offshore pumped storage hydropower concept once again. Alternative energy storage methods such as lithium-ion or hydrogen are in the range of € 200-400/MWh for lithium-ion and € 200-1900/MWh for hydrogen storage. Therefore, offshore pumped storage hydropower (PSH) can be a favorable solution enhancing the energy transition.
Typically, a WEC is not feasible in low incident wave energy environments because the economic return from minimal energy generation cannot offset the capital cost of the structure. However, the opportunity in Gwadar is unique in the sense that a substantial investment is already envisaged for the creation of a breakwater. Therefore, it is worth investigating if re-designing this structure with vertical caissons embedded with U-OWC chambers is feasible. In this way, the structure can fulfill the dual role of sheltering the assistance vessel basin against wave attack, and produce renewable energy over its design life.
To assist with this task, existing data and methods available in literature along with numerical codes have been utilized. A 10 year SWAN hindcast has been performed, the result of which have been condensed into 60 representative design sea-states on the basis of which the U-OWC chamber geometry
and turbine configuration have been optimized. This was achieved by employing a random sampling technique to determine which combinations produce the most power and by identifying the ideal turbine
operating revolutions for each sea-state.
Next, the approximate cost of the caisson breakwater integrated with U-OWC chambers is calculated and compared against the currently proposed rubble mound design. It is expected that despite an attempt to maximize the energy generation by the device, its levelized cost of energy will be high, given
the low wave energy in the region. Nevertheless, if the design proves cheaper than its rubble mound counterpart, it goes to show that wave energy converter can be deployed in low energy environments provided an opportunity exists where they can be integrated into proposed marine structures. This will
be an important finding, considering that the majority of the global coastline is subjected to moderate to low incident wave energy, and neglected from WEC deployment considerations. ...
Typically, a WEC is not feasible in low incident wave energy environments because the economic return from minimal energy generation cannot offset the capital cost of the structure. However, the opportunity in Gwadar is unique in the sense that a substantial investment is already envisaged for the creation of a breakwater. Therefore, it is worth investigating if re-designing this structure with vertical caissons embedded with U-OWC chambers is feasible. In this way, the structure can fulfill the dual role of sheltering the assistance vessel basin against wave attack, and produce renewable energy over its design life.
To assist with this task, existing data and methods available in literature along with numerical codes have been utilized. A 10 year SWAN hindcast has been performed, the result of which have been condensed into 60 representative design sea-states on the basis of which the U-OWC chamber geometry
and turbine configuration have been optimized. This was achieved by employing a random sampling technique to determine which combinations produce the most power and by identifying the ideal turbine
operating revolutions for each sea-state.
Next, the approximate cost of the caisson breakwater integrated with U-OWC chambers is calculated and compared against the currently proposed rubble mound design. It is expected that despite an attempt to maximize the energy generation by the device, its levelized cost of energy will be high, given
the low wave energy in the region. Nevertheless, if the design proves cheaper than its rubble mound counterpart, it goes to show that wave energy converter can be deployed in low energy environments provided an opportunity exists where they can be integrated into proposed marine structures. This will
be an important finding, considering that the majority of the global coastline is subjected to moderate to low incident wave energy, and neglected from WEC deployment considerations.