R.E.M. Riva
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17 records found
1
Ocean Dynamics and Ice Fractures
Insights from Earth and Beyond
The urgency to understand the behavior of terrestrial ice shelves under environmental forcing is driven by the ongoing climate crisis. Antarctica is experiencing a rapid loss of mass, primarily due to increasing ocean-induced melting at the base of its ice shelves in response to global warming. The release of glacier meltwater into the world’s oceans contributes to arising the global sea level. However, the rate and magnitude of sea-level rise are highly uncertain and the potential ice mass-loss from Antarctica could significantly accelerate sea-level rise throughout this century due to the instability of its ice shelves. Thus, accurately projecting Antarctica’s contribution to global sea level necessitates a better understanding of the processes behind the loss of its ice shelves.
In this dissertation, I examine the thinning of Antarctic ice shelves caused by enhanced melting at their base due to warming oceans. Intrusion of ocean heat beneath the ice shelves indeed plays a crucial role in projecting their future. Through idealized ocean modeling using the Massachussetts Institute of Technology general circulation model (MITgcm), I simulate ocean dynamics under the ice, investigating the impact of fractures and ice front retreat on the sub-shelf ocean circulation. Results indicate that fractures may act as barriers, inhibiting the intrusion of warm water towards the inland sections of the ice shelves, and thereby reducing basal melt. Furthermore, I examine the impact of the separation of iceberg A-68 from the Larsen C ice shelf in July 2017 on the sub-shelf ocean dynamics. This specific retreat event leads to the redistribution of heat under the ice, resulting in enhanced melting in specific sections of the ice shelf, suggesting future destabilisation of Larsen C. These findings highlight the importance of considering updated ice-shelf coastlines to accurately project ocean circulation and its implications for ice shelf stability.
Furthermore, this dissertation explores the dynamics of specific lineament features observed on the surface of Europa, which are identified as ice fractures. Although limited observations restrict our understanding of ice fracturing events on this moon, insights from studying terrestrial ice sheets provide valuable knowledge. By extend ing an existing terrestrial-based numerical model of fracture propagation on ice shelves, I show that some lineaments on the surface of Europa exhibit a behavior that is similar to ice fractures on Antarctic ice shelves. The model depicts the evolution of these lineament features as bursts of fracture propagation events interspersed with periods of inactivity, which is a typical behavior of fractures on terrestrial ice shelves.
Overall, this dissertation shows the potential for synergy between Earth and planetary science. By leveraging advances in our understanding of physical processes on Earth, terrestrial-based models and theories contribute to expanding our knowledge of physics on other celestial bodies. This interdisciplinary approach, supported and validated by remote sensing and in-situ missions, is fundamental in order to advance our understanding of ice fractures, their interaction with the surrounding environment and their dynamics throughout the Solar System. On Earth, a better understanding of the dynamics of Antarctic ice shelves is imperative to correctly project Antarctica’s contribution to global sea level. ...
The urgency to understand the behavior of terrestrial ice shelves under environmental forcing is driven by the ongoing climate crisis. Antarctica is experiencing a rapid loss of mass, primarily due to increasing ocean-induced melting at the base of its ice shelves in response to global warming. The release of glacier meltwater into the world’s oceans contributes to arising the global sea level. However, the rate and magnitude of sea-level rise are highly uncertain and the potential ice mass-loss from Antarctica could significantly accelerate sea-level rise throughout this century due to the instability of its ice shelves. Thus, accurately projecting Antarctica’s contribution to global sea level necessitates a better understanding of the processes behind the loss of its ice shelves.
In this dissertation, I examine the thinning of Antarctic ice shelves caused by enhanced melting at their base due to warming oceans. Intrusion of ocean heat beneath the ice shelves indeed plays a crucial role in projecting their future. Through idealized ocean modeling using the Massachussetts Institute of Technology general circulation model (MITgcm), I simulate ocean dynamics under the ice, investigating the impact of fractures and ice front retreat on the sub-shelf ocean circulation. Results indicate that fractures may act as barriers, inhibiting the intrusion of warm water towards the inland sections of the ice shelves, and thereby reducing basal melt. Furthermore, I examine the impact of the separation of iceberg A-68 from the Larsen C ice shelf in July 2017 on the sub-shelf ocean dynamics. This specific retreat event leads to the redistribution of heat under the ice, resulting in enhanced melting in specific sections of the ice shelf, suggesting future destabilisation of Larsen C. These findings highlight the importance of considering updated ice-shelf coastlines to accurately project ocean circulation and its implications for ice shelf stability.
Furthermore, this dissertation explores the dynamics of specific lineament features observed on the surface of Europa, which are identified as ice fractures. Although limited observations restrict our understanding of ice fracturing events on this moon, insights from studying terrestrial ice sheets provide valuable knowledge. By extend ing an existing terrestrial-based numerical model of fracture propagation on ice shelves, I show that some lineaments on the surface of Europa exhibit a behavior that is similar to ice fractures on Antarctic ice shelves. The model depicts the evolution of these lineament features as bursts of fracture propagation events interspersed with periods of inactivity, which is a typical behavior of fractures on terrestrial ice shelves.
Overall, this dissertation shows the potential for synergy between Earth and planetary science. By leveraging advances in our understanding of physical processes on Earth, terrestrial-based models and theories contribute to expanding our knowledge of physics on other celestial bodies. This interdisciplinary approach, supported and validated by remote sensing and in-situ missions, is fundamental in order to advance our understanding of ice fractures, their interaction with the surrounding environment and their dynamics throughout the Solar System. On Earth, a better understanding of the dynamics of Antarctic ice shelves is imperative to correctly project Antarctica’s contribution to global sea level.
The Causes of Regional Sea-level Change
Since 1993
Global mean sea level has been rising at a rate of about 3.4 millimetres per year over the last 30 years. Regionally, however, sea level can be changing at a much higher or lower rate. That is because local processes, such as ocean dynamics and gravitational effects associated with continental ice mass changes, cause regional deviations from the global average. But what is causing sea level to change at a specific location? Is sea level changing because the oceans are warming, and thus expanding? Or because the ice from glaciers and ice sheets are melting? The attribution of sea-level change to these and other drivers can be done using a sea-level budget approach. Sea-level budget studies can be used to constrain missing or poorly known contributions and to validate climate models. While the global mean sea-level budget is considered closed within uncertainties, closing the budget on a regional to local scale is still challenging.
In this thesis, I focused on the question: Can we close the regional sea-level budget in the satellite altimetry era on a sub-basin scale consistently for the entire world? For this, we need not only high quality observations of sea-level change and each component, but also of the uncertainties within each process. Therefore, in Chapter 2 and 3, I explored the main drivers of regional sea-level change, focusing on the uncertainty characterization of each component. I then looked at which spatial scale is optimal for analysing the regional sea-level budget, and compared the sum of the drivers with the total observed change in these regions in Chapter 4. ...
Global mean sea level has been rising at a rate of about 3.4 millimetres per year over the last 30 years. Regionally, however, sea level can be changing at a much higher or lower rate. That is because local processes, such as ocean dynamics and gravitational effects associated with continental ice mass changes, cause regional deviations from the global average. But what is causing sea level to change at a specific location? Is sea level changing because the oceans are warming, and thus expanding? Or because the ice from glaciers and ice sheets are melting? The attribution of sea-level change to these and other drivers can be done using a sea-level budget approach. Sea-level budget studies can be used to constrain missing or poorly known contributions and to validate climate models. While the global mean sea-level budget is considered closed within uncertainties, closing the budget on a regional to local scale is still challenging.
In this thesis, I focused on the question: Can we close the regional sea-level budget in the satellite altimetry era on a sub-basin scale consistently for the entire world? For this, we need not only high quality observations of sea-level change and each component, but also of the uncertainties within each process. Therefore, in Chapter 2 and 3, I explored the main drivers of regional sea-level change, focusing on the uncertainty characterization of each component. I then looked at which spatial scale is optimal for analysing the regional sea-level budget, and compared the sum of the drivers with the total observed change in these regions in Chapter 4.
Detecting climate patterns
Bayesian neural network approach
Tidal swimming pool design
A multidisciplinary project in L ̈uderitz, Namibia
To investigate this, the theory behind each model is explained, after which the models are validated using results from literature. Several regions of interest are defined, mostly among large geological formations or gravity anomalies. Two parameters are chiefly investigated: the average thickness of the lithosphere and the lithospheric elastic thickness, which is a measure of the strength of the lithosphere. Each model is run globally for a variety of these two parameters, and the best fitting parameters are identified. After this, the planet is split into different regions with their own physical parameters. The first study is a dichotomy study which splits the planet into a northern and southern hemisphere, aimed at characterizing the disparity between the Martian north and south. After this, each region is assigned its best fitting physical parameters and the regions are combined into a 'global' regional model. A best fitting multi-region model is obtained via manual observation of the results and adjustment of the inputs until a visual best fit is achieved.
The results are then discussed. A key takeaway is that better methods of judging the performance of models without human visual inspection of their results is necessary in order to realize the full potential of the flexural isostasy models presented in this study. The lack of suitable methods leads to a manifold of best fitting solutions for many of the problems modelled in this study, hindering firm conclusions about the subsurface of Mars. Having said this, global average lithospheric values of about 200 km combined with very low effective lithospheric elastic thickness values of 0 to 40 km are the best fits found in this study. Literature values are typically lower, but this can partially be explained by differences between the flexural isostasy models in this study and the models from literature. Regionally there are large variations, with some features (Hellas basin, Alba mons) being isostatically compensated, others being supported by locally strong lithospheres (much of the Tharsis region), and others resting on buried mass anomalies that cannot be explained with the models in this study (Isidis planitia, Argyre basin). In a dichotomy study, the best fitting values were found for a northern lithosphere zero to ten kilometers thinner than the southern lithosphere. In general, the thin shell model is more sensitive to nonzero lithospheric elastic thickness values, providing very strong lithospheres at low elastic thicknesses. This is due to its aggressive flexural response function's filtering of higher spherical harmonic degree signals. The thin shell models yields higher residuals in the global analyses, but lower residuals in the multi-region studies. At the same time, 80% of the error in all models can be attributed to spherical harmonic degrees between 1 and 10. These signals are likely not caused by flexural isostasy, and require models incorporating more physics (mantle plumes, mass anomalies, etc) to be explained. ...
To investigate this, the theory behind each model is explained, after which the models are validated using results from literature. Several regions of interest are defined, mostly among large geological formations or gravity anomalies. Two parameters are chiefly investigated: the average thickness of the lithosphere and the lithospheric elastic thickness, which is a measure of the strength of the lithosphere. Each model is run globally for a variety of these two parameters, and the best fitting parameters are identified. After this, the planet is split into different regions with their own physical parameters. The first study is a dichotomy study which splits the planet into a northern and southern hemisphere, aimed at characterizing the disparity between the Martian north and south. After this, each region is assigned its best fitting physical parameters and the regions are combined into a 'global' regional model. A best fitting multi-region model is obtained via manual observation of the results and adjustment of the inputs until a visual best fit is achieved.
The results are then discussed. A key takeaway is that better methods of judging the performance of models without human visual inspection of their results is necessary in order to realize the full potential of the flexural isostasy models presented in this study. The lack of suitable methods leads to a manifold of best fitting solutions for many of the problems modelled in this study, hindering firm conclusions about the subsurface of Mars. Having said this, global average lithospheric values of about 200 km combined with very low effective lithospheric elastic thickness values of 0 to 40 km are the best fits found in this study. Literature values are typically lower, but this can partially be explained by differences between the flexural isostasy models in this study and the models from literature. Regionally there are large variations, with some features (Hellas basin, Alba mons) being isostatically compensated, others being supported by locally strong lithospheres (much of the Tharsis region), and others resting on buried mass anomalies that cannot be explained with the models in this study (Isidis planitia, Argyre basin). In a dichotomy study, the best fitting values were found for a northern lithosphere zero to ten kilometers thinner than the southern lithosphere. In general, the thin shell model is more sensitive to nonzero lithospheric elastic thickness values, providing very strong lithospheres at low elastic thicknesses. This is due to its aggressive flexural response function's filtering of higher spherical harmonic degree signals. The thin shell models yields higher residuals in the global analyses, but lower residuals in the multi-region studies. At the same time, 80% of the error in all models can be attributed to spherical harmonic degrees between 1 and 10. These signals are likely not caused by flexural isostasy, and require models incorporating more physics (mantle plumes, mass anomalies, etc) to be explained.
Data assimilation
Application of a particle filter on bathymetry simulations by the morphological model Delft3D
...
The model is based on FE software ABAQUS coupled to the solution of the Laplace equation. The perturbed gravitational potential is a function of the radial displacements. Therefore, an iterative process is required to solve for the displacements in the body. For the TPW algorithm we assume that during the process of TPW the equatorial bulge readjustment is fast enough such that the equatorial bulge is always nearly perpendicular to the rotational axis. In that case the linearized Liouville equation can be used by using coordinate transformations for each time step. This method allows for large-angle TPW and takes into account non-stationary surface loads with respect to the rotational axis. In the spin-up phase the flattening of the Earth is simulated by applying a centrifugal force for a long-enough duration.
We find that when the perturbed gravitational potential in the first time step is not fully converged, it affects the perturbed gravitational potential in future time steps and thus TPW. Furthermore, when a surface ice load is applied to the model, TPW is triggered. The centrifugal potential changes based on the new position of the rotational axis, and this also affects the perturbed gravitational potential for the following time steps. As a result, the perturbed gravitational potential and centrifugal potential cannot simultaneously for all time steps be iterated for using our TPW approach. Therefore, to be able to study the effect of lateral viscosity variations on GIA-induced TPW in the numerical model, the iteration between radial displacements and centrifugal potential needs to occur per time step. ...
The model is based on FE software ABAQUS coupled to the solution of the Laplace equation. The perturbed gravitational potential is a function of the radial displacements. Therefore, an iterative process is required to solve for the displacements in the body. For the TPW algorithm we assume that during the process of TPW the equatorial bulge readjustment is fast enough such that the equatorial bulge is always nearly perpendicular to the rotational axis. In that case the linearized Liouville equation can be used by using coordinate transformations for each time step. This method allows for large-angle TPW and takes into account non-stationary surface loads with respect to the rotational axis. In the spin-up phase the flattening of the Earth is simulated by applying a centrifugal force for a long-enough duration.
We find that when the perturbed gravitational potential in the first time step is not fully converged, it affects the perturbed gravitational potential in future time steps and thus TPW. Furthermore, when a surface ice load is applied to the model, TPW is triggered. The centrifugal potential changes based on the new position of the rotational axis, and this also affects the perturbed gravitational potential for the following time steps. As a result, the perturbed gravitational potential and centrifugal potential cannot simultaneously for all time steps be iterated for using our TPW approach. Therefore, to be able to study the effect of lateral viscosity variations on GIA-induced TPW in the numerical model, the iteration between radial displacements and centrifugal potential needs to occur per time step.
Density driven flows, due to hurricanes
A case study of hurricane Irma and Maria around Saint Martin
The model has been run in Delft3D and as result large wind-setup driven circulations were obtained. These circulations caused a drop of waterlevel during Irma and an increase under Maria. The saline and fresh waters discharged during the hurricanes were mostly kept onshore and is distributed over the two basins.
...
The model has been run in Delft3D and as result large wind-setup driven circulations were obtained. These circulations caused a drop of waterlevel during Irma and an increase under Maria. The saline and fresh waters discharged during the hurricanes were mostly kept onshore and is distributed over the two basins.
Predicting the impact of sea-level rise in Baie Orientale and Baie de L'Embouchure, Saint Martin
Application of a hydrodynamic model including seagrass and coral reefs
In order to predict the impact of sea-level rise on the biogeomorphology in Baie Orientale and Baie de L'Embouchure, the hydrodynamic model Delft3D Flexible Mesh is applied. The effect of seagrass meadows and coral reefs on both flow and waves are captured with this model. In this way, the long term change in average hydrodynamic conditions due to sea-level rise is determined depending on the response of the ecosystems.
A wave-driven circulation is found in both bays with flows of 0.5 m/s over the reefs and currents of 0.2 m/s inside the bays. The hydrodynamic conditions are mainly determined by the reef height. Depending on the response of coral reefs to climate change and the amount of sea-level rise, the wave height inside the bays and the wave-induced currents increase. Under the worst-case scenario, where coral reefs degrade and seagrass meadows die, flow velocities increase by more than 100% in Baie de L'Embouchure and by 200% in Baie Orientale under a sea-level rise of 0.87 m. The significant wave height rises to 300% in Baie Orientale and doubles in Baie de L'Embouchure. But this increase of hydrodynamic stresses is not expected to lead to devastating damage to coral reefs and seagrass meadows. Instead, the response of coral reefs will be determined by changing water temperatures and ocean acidification. A shift in seagrass occurrence due to the changed hydrodynamics is expected.
The long term impact of sea-level rise on the biogeomorphology of Baie de L'Embouchure and Baie Orientale seems to be limited. The ability to mitigate the impact of sea-level rise is shown and the resilience of the ecosystems proved, which is very promising for other shallow Caribbean bays that are threatened by sea-level rise.
...
In order to predict the impact of sea-level rise on the biogeomorphology in Baie Orientale and Baie de L'Embouchure, the hydrodynamic model Delft3D Flexible Mesh is applied. The effect of seagrass meadows and coral reefs on both flow and waves are captured with this model. In this way, the long term change in average hydrodynamic conditions due to sea-level rise is determined depending on the response of the ecosystems.
A wave-driven circulation is found in both bays with flows of 0.5 m/s over the reefs and currents of 0.2 m/s inside the bays. The hydrodynamic conditions are mainly determined by the reef height. Depending on the response of coral reefs to climate change and the amount of sea-level rise, the wave height inside the bays and the wave-induced currents increase. Under the worst-case scenario, where coral reefs degrade and seagrass meadows die, flow velocities increase by more than 100% in Baie de L'Embouchure and by 200% in Baie Orientale under a sea-level rise of 0.87 m. The significant wave height rises to 300% in Baie Orientale and doubles in Baie de L'Embouchure. But this increase of hydrodynamic stresses is not expected to lead to devastating damage to coral reefs and seagrass meadows. Instead, the response of coral reefs will be determined by changing water temperatures and ocean acidification. A shift in seagrass occurrence due to the changed hydrodynamics is expected.
The long term impact of sea-level rise on the biogeomorphology of Baie de L'Embouchure and Baie Orientale seems to be limited. The ability to mitigate the impact of sea-level rise is shown and the resilience of the ecosystems proved, which is very promising for other shallow Caribbean bays that are threatened by sea-level rise.
Although this was not always the case, it is now known that forces and deformations due to the non-rigid characteristics of the Earth constantly perturb the motion of the planet to various degrees. The fact that our planet, and all realistic bodies for that matter,is not wholly solid, that it has oceans, an atmosphere and a visco-elastic crust, mantle and core, means that the actual position of the rotational axis and rotation rate of the Earth vary from the idealized rigid body motion on virtually every time scale. The Earth constantly reshapes itself to cope with the ever changing loads and other geo-dynamic forces that act upon it. This deformation in turn leads to shifts in the position of the rotation axis with respect to the Earth’s surface, or polar motion, and to a change in rotation rate, also known as a change in length-of-day. This reshaping of a body due to geo-dynamic forces is dependent on the rheology of that body, since material properties such as rigidity and viscosity determine how a body deforms and flows under certain stresses. Although their regularities in the rotation of the Earth complicate astronomical research, for the geophysicist they are a gift. The rotational perturbations must have sources and thus provide information on the internal structure of the Earth and the geophysical processes acting on and within it. The main objective of this thesis is to examine the influences of some of the parameters that determine the polar motion of a terrestrial body, without adhering to the constraints put on them by the application to the Earth. For instance, the influence of the absolute size of a body as defined by its radius has never been examined since the radius of the Earth is known very accurately. This leads to more general and more widely applicable results as the driving parameters are examined in wide ranges.
To this end, a linearized formulation of the polar motion was used in conjunction with the Normal Mode technique, which uses the Laplace domain to calculate the elastic equivalence of the visco-elastic problem in the time domain. ...
Although this was not always the case, it is now known that forces and deformations due to the non-rigid characteristics of the Earth constantly perturb the motion of the planet to various degrees. The fact that our planet, and all realistic bodies for that matter,is not wholly solid, that it has oceans, an atmosphere and a visco-elastic crust, mantle and core, means that the actual position of the rotational axis and rotation rate of the Earth vary from the idealized rigid body motion on virtually every time scale. The Earth constantly reshapes itself to cope with the ever changing loads and other geo-dynamic forces that act upon it. This deformation in turn leads to shifts in the position of the rotation axis with respect to the Earth’s surface, or polar motion, and to a change in rotation rate, also known as a change in length-of-day. This reshaping of a body due to geo-dynamic forces is dependent on the rheology of that body, since material properties such as rigidity and viscosity determine how a body deforms and flows under certain stresses. Although their regularities in the rotation of the Earth complicate astronomical research, for the geophysicist they are a gift. The rotational perturbations must have sources and thus provide information on the internal structure of the Earth and the geophysical processes acting on and within it. The main objective of this thesis is to examine the influences of some of the parameters that determine the polar motion of a terrestrial body, without adhering to the constraints put on them by the application to the Earth. For instance, the influence of the absolute size of a body as defined by its radius has never been examined since the radius of the Earth is known very accurately. This leads to more general and more widely applicable results as the driving parameters are examined in wide ranges.
To this end, a linearized formulation of the polar motion was used in conjunction with the Normal Mode technique, which uses the Laplace domain to calculate the elastic equivalence of the visco-elastic problem in the time domain.