M. Kroesen
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59 records found
1
Dynamics and Heterogeneity in Working from Home Behaviour
A Latent Transition Analysis of Weekly Commuting Profiles
Impact of roadworks severity on commuters' mode choice and working from home
Evidence from Stated and Revealed Behaviour in the Netherlands
This thesis investigates departure-time variability among Dutch car commuters using high-resolution travel data from the Nederlands Verplaatsingspanel (NVP). The dataset contains GPS-based travel records that make it possible to observe actual commuting behaviour across multiple days. To capture both daily patterns and differences between individuals, a multi-level Latent Class Cluster Model (ML-LCCM) is applied. This modelling approach groups commuting days into clusters with similar timing patterns, while simultaneously classifying individuals into broader behavioural profiles based on the variability in their daily schedules.
The results reveal that departure-time behaviour is highly heterogeneous. Several distinct day-level patterns emerge, ranging from highly regular commuting days to days with large timing variability. At the person level, different types of commuters can be identified, including individuals with very stable commuting schedules as well as those with much more flexible and irregular travel patterns. These behavioural profiles suggest that commuters differ substantially in their ability or willingness to adjust departure times.
The findings highlight that policies aimed at reducing peak-hour congestion should account for these differences in flexibility between commuters. Measures that assume all travellers can easily shift their travel times may therefore have limited effectiveness. By identifying distinct behavioural profiles, this research contributes to a more nuanced understanding of commuter behaviour and provides insights that can support the design of more targeted mobility policies. ...
This thesis investigates departure-time variability among Dutch car commuters using high-resolution travel data from the Nederlands Verplaatsingspanel (NVP). The dataset contains GPS-based travel records that make it possible to observe actual commuting behaviour across multiple days. To capture both daily patterns and differences between individuals, a multi-level Latent Class Cluster Model (ML-LCCM) is applied. This modelling approach groups commuting days into clusters with similar timing patterns, while simultaneously classifying individuals into broader behavioural profiles based on the variability in their daily schedules.
The results reveal that departure-time behaviour is highly heterogeneous. Several distinct day-level patterns emerge, ranging from highly regular commuting days to days with large timing variability. At the person level, different types of commuters can be identified, including individuals with very stable commuting schedules as well as those with much more flexible and irregular travel patterns. These behavioural profiles suggest that commuters differ substantially in their ability or willingness to adjust departure times.
The findings highlight that policies aimed at reducing peak-hour congestion should account for these differences in flexibility between commuters. Measures that assume all travellers can easily shift their travel times may therefore have limited effectiveness. By identifying distinct behavioural profiles, this research contributes to a more nuanced understanding of commuter behaviour and provides insights that can support the design of more targeted mobility policies.
The effect of workplace accessibility on commuter profiles and vacancies
An empirical study of accessibility, commuting and job vacancies in the Netherlands
Shifting the analytical lens from the traditional residential perspective to the employer perspective, this thesis investigates how public transport accessibility functions as a selective mechanism for commuter profiles and explains regional variations in vacancy fulfilment. The study combines a national Latent Class Cluster Analysis (LCCA) to identify socio-demographic commuter profiles with a spatial stepwise regression in the Rijnmond region to model vacancy duration and vacancy rates.
The results demonstrate that workplace accessibility fundamentally shapes the intake of commuters. High-accessibility locations attract highly educated, transit-oriented workers, whereas peripheral industrial areas draw car-dependent profiles. This creates a modal mismatch for urban workers without car access, a pattern observed nationally but intensified in the port.
Furthermore, the regression analysis reveals a distinct spatial paradox regarding recruitment efficiency. Public transport accessibility is a significant predictor for vacancy duration, explaining 18.2% of the spatial variation when interacting with urban density. In peripheral and industrial zones, better accessibility significantly reduces vacancy duration, acting as a critical solution to friction. Conversely, in dense urban cores, high accessibility is associated with longer vacancy durations, likely due to increased employer selectivity in larger labour pools. In contrast, accessibility showed minimal explanatory power for vacancy rates, which appear driven by structural, sector-specific shortages rather than connectivity.
This thesis concludes that accessibility acts as a selective filter, effectively excluding the urban talent vital for the energy transition from industrial employment. To bridge this gap, policy should prioritize smart, demand-responsive mobility and the strategic relocation of non-place-bound functions to urban hubs, rather than solely expanding traditional infrastructure. ...
Shifting the analytical lens from the traditional residential perspective to the employer perspective, this thesis investigates how public transport accessibility functions as a selective mechanism for commuter profiles and explains regional variations in vacancy fulfilment. The study combines a national Latent Class Cluster Analysis (LCCA) to identify socio-demographic commuter profiles with a spatial stepwise regression in the Rijnmond region to model vacancy duration and vacancy rates.
The results demonstrate that workplace accessibility fundamentally shapes the intake of commuters. High-accessibility locations attract highly educated, transit-oriented workers, whereas peripheral industrial areas draw car-dependent profiles. This creates a modal mismatch for urban workers without car access, a pattern observed nationally but intensified in the port.
Furthermore, the regression analysis reveals a distinct spatial paradox regarding recruitment efficiency. Public transport accessibility is a significant predictor for vacancy duration, explaining 18.2% of the spatial variation when interacting with urban density. In peripheral and industrial zones, better accessibility significantly reduces vacancy duration, acting as a critical solution to friction. Conversely, in dense urban cores, high accessibility is associated with longer vacancy durations, likely due to increased employer selectivity in larger labour pools. In contrast, accessibility showed minimal explanatory power for vacancy rates, which appear driven by structural, sector-specific shortages rather than connectivity.
This thesis concludes that accessibility acts as a selective filter, effectively excluding the urban talent vital for the energy transition from industrial employment. To bridge this gap, policy should prioritize smart, demand-responsive mobility and the strategic relocation of non-place-bound functions to urban hubs, rather than solely expanding traditional infrastructure.
Driver distraction and advertisements on objectsand buildings along roadways and highways
The road to a comprehensive framework
Travel in Transition
A longitudinal exploration of travel behaviour
More Than a Traffic Jam
Understanding Commuter Segmentation and the Daily Challenges of Corporate Mobility in the Netherlands
A mixed-method approach was employed. Quantitatively, the study analyzed the Landelijk Reizigersonderzoek (LRO) dataset using Latent Class Analysis (LCA), which is well-suited for identifying commuter segments based on categorical survey data. This analysis revealed distinct profiles among car, public transport, and bicycle users, highlighting significant variation even within the same mode of transport. For instance, car commuters ranged from cost-sensitive individuals to convenience-driven and disengaged habitual drivers. Public transport users included both financially motivated long-distance travelers and those prioritizing convenience, while cyclists emphasized practical facilities, with secure bike storage emerging as a key enabler.
Complementing this, a qualitative case study at ASML involved semi-structured interviews to explore the lived experiences of commuters. This revealed nuanced insights, such as the psychological role of commuting as a buffer between work and home, and the stress induced by traffic congestion and parking challenges. The “last mile” emerged as a critical barrier to public transport adoption, with inefficient final connections significantly reducing its appeal. Social influences and financial considerations also played context-dependent roles in shaping commuting behavior.
The findings underscore the need for mobility policies that reflect the segmented nature of commuter motivations rather than relying on demographic generalizations. Effective strategies must consider the entire door-to-door journey, as a single inconvenience can undermine broader policy goals. Moreover, perceived fairness and the availability of viable alternatives are essential for policy acceptance.
Based on these insights, the thesis recommends several actions for ASML and similar organizations. Addressing the last mile requires collaboration with municipalities and exploring remote office hubs. Financial incentives should be optimized, maintaining high-impact subsidies while recognizing the limited effect of smaller reimbursements. Parking management should shift toward fairness and demand regulation, with investments favoring sustainable alternatives like premium carpool spots. Finally, unlocking the potential of carpooling and other alternatives may require innovations such as a “Mobility Guarantee” to enhance flexibility. ...
A mixed-method approach was employed. Quantitatively, the study analyzed the Landelijk Reizigersonderzoek (LRO) dataset using Latent Class Analysis (LCA), which is well-suited for identifying commuter segments based on categorical survey data. This analysis revealed distinct profiles among car, public transport, and bicycle users, highlighting significant variation even within the same mode of transport. For instance, car commuters ranged from cost-sensitive individuals to convenience-driven and disengaged habitual drivers. Public transport users included both financially motivated long-distance travelers and those prioritizing convenience, while cyclists emphasized practical facilities, with secure bike storage emerging as a key enabler.
Complementing this, a qualitative case study at ASML involved semi-structured interviews to explore the lived experiences of commuters. This revealed nuanced insights, such as the psychological role of commuting as a buffer between work and home, and the stress induced by traffic congestion and parking challenges. The “last mile” emerged as a critical barrier to public transport adoption, with inefficient final connections significantly reducing its appeal. Social influences and financial considerations also played context-dependent roles in shaping commuting behavior.
The findings underscore the need for mobility policies that reflect the segmented nature of commuter motivations rather than relying on demographic generalizations. Effective strategies must consider the entire door-to-door journey, as a single inconvenience can undermine broader policy goals. Moreover, perceived fairness and the availability of viable alternatives are essential for policy acceptance.
Based on these insights, the thesis recommends several actions for ASML and similar organizations. Addressing the last mile requires collaboration with municipalities and exploring remote office hubs. Financial incentives should be optimized, maintaining high-impact subsidies while recognizing the limited effect of smaller reimbursements. Parking management should shift toward fairness and demand regulation, with investments favoring sustainable alternatives like premium carpool spots. Finally, unlocking the potential of carpooling and other alternatives may require innovations such as a “Mobility Guarantee” to enhance flexibility.
Predicting subjective well-being based on the physical appeal of residential locations using a computer vision model
A casestudy of the Netherlands
Cycling Dissonance in the Netherlands
Exploring Employer Influence, Spatial Barriers, and the Health Potential of a Shift to Bicycle Commuting
Perceived accessibility revisited
A perspective on change
A longitudinal latent class analysis highlights various trajectories in perceived accessibility over time. Most trajectories in perceived accessibility (61% of the sample) remained relatively stable over time. Other trajectories indicate notable transitions, with two clusters (27% of the sample) reporting a decline and a single cluster (12% of the sample) reporting an increase between 2020 and 2023. The fixed and random effects regression models reveal that changes in the distance to the nearest amenities (in particular: supermarket, train station, secondary school) partly explain transitions in perceived accessibility. These effects are even more substantial for vulnerable groups. Still, other factors contribute to changes in perceived accessibility to a larger extent. These are changes in mobility tool ownership, household composition, and the number of times meeting online.
In the second part, pathways from perceived accessibility to life satisfaction have been explored using a twofold structural equation modelling (SEM) approach. First, the direct and indirect effects of perceived accessibility on life satisfaction have been systematically studied using 2020 data from MPN members in a cross-sectional SEM design. The analysis reveals that greater perceived accessibility is positively associated with more walking and activities such as grocery shopping and engaging in sports whilst negatively associated with health-related activities. Second, this thesis empirically explores a potential (bi)directional causal link between perceived accessibility and life satisfaction using a longitudinal SEM design. For this, a random-intercept cross-lagged panel model has been estimated using data from 2020, 2023, and 2024. This last analysis highlights that life satisfaction is more likely to positively change perceived accessibility than vice versa.
Based on these empirical findings, three main lessons for policy can be identified. First, changes in the physical environment are actively accounted for by individuals, especially for vulnerable groups. With the loss of amenities and, inherently, increasing distances to activity locations in the Netherlands, an important policy lesson is to identify the neighbourhoods where vulnerable groups live, monitor the corresponding trends in spatial accessibility, and address the decline in amenities in these neighbourhoods using policy designs. Second, providing individuals with the means to travel might mitigate the loss of a private ownership tool and, in turn, allow individuals to maintain their level of accessibility. In this respect, investments in shared mobility or public transport services such as trains, busses, and demand-responsive transport could be alternatives to mitigate private ownership losses. Last, this thesis did not find within-person effects from perceived accessibility to life satisfaction, suggesting that greater perceived accessibility may not be sufficient to enhance life satisfaction directly. Therefore, improvements in accessibility levels should most likely be part of a broader policy design that addresses (perceived) social inclusion and (subjective) well-being. ...
A longitudinal latent class analysis highlights various trajectories in perceived accessibility over time. Most trajectories in perceived accessibility (61% of the sample) remained relatively stable over time. Other trajectories indicate notable transitions, with two clusters (27% of the sample) reporting a decline and a single cluster (12% of the sample) reporting an increase between 2020 and 2023. The fixed and random effects regression models reveal that changes in the distance to the nearest amenities (in particular: supermarket, train station, secondary school) partly explain transitions in perceived accessibility. These effects are even more substantial for vulnerable groups. Still, other factors contribute to changes in perceived accessibility to a larger extent. These are changes in mobility tool ownership, household composition, and the number of times meeting online.
In the second part, pathways from perceived accessibility to life satisfaction have been explored using a twofold structural equation modelling (SEM) approach. First, the direct and indirect effects of perceived accessibility on life satisfaction have been systematically studied using 2020 data from MPN members in a cross-sectional SEM design. The analysis reveals that greater perceived accessibility is positively associated with more walking and activities such as grocery shopping and engaging in sports whilst negatively associated with health-related activities. Second, this thesis empirically explores a potential (bi)directional causal link between perceived accessibility and life satisfaction using a longitudinal SEM design. For this, a random-intercept cross-lagged panel model has been estimated using data from 2020, 2023, and 2024. This last analysis highlights that life satisfaction is more likely to positively change perceived accessibility than vice versa.
Based on these empirical findings, three main lessons for policy can be identified. First, changes in the physical environment are actively accounted for by individuals, especially for vulnerable groups. With the loss of amenities and, inherently, increasing distances to activity locations in the Netherlands, an important policy lesson is to identify the neighbourhoods where vulnerable groups live, monitor the corresponding trends in spatial accessibility, and address the decline in amenities in these neighbourhoods using policy designs. Second, providing individuals with the means to travel might mitigate the loss of a private ownership tool and, in turn, allow individuals to maintain their level of accessibility. In this respect, investments in shared mobility or public transport services such as trains, busses, and demand-responsive transport could be alternatives to mitigate private ownership losses. Last, this thesis did not find within-person effects from perceived accessibility to life satisfaction, suggesting that greater perceived accessibility may not be sufficient to enhance life satisfaction directly. Therefore, improvements in accessibility levels should most likely be part of a broader policy design that addresses (perceived) social inclusion and (subjective) well-being.
The combined effect of shared mobility services on private vehicle ownership and usage
A case study in the Netherlands using latent class cluster analysis
The Democratic Dimension of the 15-Minute City model
A Preliminary Spatial Analysis of Accessibility, Voter Turnout, and Electoral Volatility across selected European Cities
The results show that accessibility is related to democratic behaviour but in a context dependent way. In Paris and Rome, longer travel times to state related services are generally associated with lower turnout and, in Rome, with strongly concentrated belts of high volatility in peripheral areas. Berlin displays an opposite configuration in which more distant zones record slightly higher participation, a pattern that reflects its polycentric structure and relatively stable residential communities. Across all three cities, rental costs explain only a small fraction of the variation in accessibility, which suggests that planning legacies and urban morphology play an independent role. Overall, the findings provide suggestive but strictly correlational evidence. They indicate that accessibility can act as a territorial channel through which institutional presence is experienced, while also highlighting the need for longitudinal and quasi experimental research designs to establish whether changes in accessibility have causal effects on democratic engagement. ...
The results show that accessibility is related to democratic behaviour but in a context dependent way. In Paris and Rome, longer travel times to state related services are generally associated with lower turnout and, in Rome, with strongly concentrated belts of high volatility in peripheral areas. Berlin displays an opposite configuration in which more distant zones record slightly higher participation, a pattern that reflects its polycentric structure and relatively stable residential communities. Across all three cities, rental costs explain only a small fraction of the variation in accessibility, which suggests that planning legacies and urban morphology play an independent role. Overall, the findings provide suggestive but strictly correlational evidence. They indicate that accessibility can act as a territorial channel through which institutional presence is experienced, while also highlighting the need for longitudinal and quasi experimental research designs to establish whether changes in accessibility have causal effects on democratic engagement.
Reported vs. Logged ChatGPT Use
How does ChatGPT usage found in anonymised logs compare to what users report in surveys
A new fare system: fair system?
Examining the impact of fare differentiation on train travel behaviour in the Netherlands
Minutes for Mobility
Investigating Municipal Differences in Travel Time Expenditures in the Netherlands
The influence of parking on car ownership
A statistical analysis of the relationship between urban parking availability and household car ownership in the Netherlands
This study aims to fill this knowledge gap and assist municipalities in balancing car accessibility with urban liveability. It begins by defining urban parking availability, influenced not only by the number of parking spaces but also by various regulations. Two main types of parking are identified: private parking on premises and public on-street parking. Additionally, parking permits, which subsidize parking costs for residents, are considered.
To understand the influence of parking availability on household car ownership, a multinomial logistic regression (MNL) model was used. Data from 80,527 urban households over three years from the Dutch National Traffic Survey (ODiN) was analyzed. The study operationalized the number of on-street parking bays per household, parking places on premises per household, and maximum parking costs in the municipality.
The results showed that parking availability in a neighborhood does affect car ownership. Both types of parking were positively related to car ownership, while higher permit costs in a municipality decreased the likelihood of car ownership. However, household composition and income were the most influential factors. The number of driving licenses in a household, closely linked to the number of adults, and disposable income were the strongest predictors of car ownership.
The study also examined the combined influence of multiple parking availability dimensions. It compared car ownership probabilities in three neighborhoods for average households and predicted car ownership levels for a potential new neighborhood under different parking availability scenarios. The findings indicated significant increases in car ownership with higher parking availability, emphasizing the need for balanced parking strategies.
The relationship between parking availability and car ownership is crucial for policymakers, as it supports the formulation of parking regulations aimed at reducing car ownership. Municipalities are advised to develop parking policies that consider the identified dimensions of parking availability to optimize public space use.
Future research should focus on proving causality, improving spatial data, and exploring additional factors of car ownership and parking availability. The study's limitations include the inability to establish causality and the need for more reliable parking data. Further research should also consider attitudinal factors towards car ownership and investigate the relationship between parking availability and car ownership in rural areas. ...
This study aims to fill this knowledge gap and assist municipalities in balancing car accessibility with urban liveability. It begins by defining urban parking availability, influenced not only by the number of parking spaces but also by various regulations. Two main types of parking are identified: private parking on premises and public on-street parking. Additionally, parking permits, which subsidize parking costs for residents, are considered.
To understand the influence of parking availability on household car ownership, a multinomial logistic regression (MNL) model was used. Data from 80,527 urban households over three years from the Dutch National Traffic Survey (ODiN) was analyzed. The study operationalized the number of on-street parking bays per household, parking places on premises per household, and maximum parking costs in the municipality.
The results showed that parking availability in a neighborhood does affect car ownership. Both types of parking were positively related to car ownership, while higher permit costs in a municipality decreased the likelihood of car ownership. However, household composition and income were the most influential factors. The number of driving licenses in a household, closely linked to the number of adults, and disposable income were the strongest predictors of car ownership.
The study also examined the combined influence of multiple parking availability dimensions. It compared car ownership probabilities in three neighborhoods for average households and predicted car ownership levels for a potential new neighborhood under different parking availability scenarios. The findings indicated significant increases in car ownership with higher parking availability, emphasizing the need for balanced parking strategies.
The relationship between parking availability and car ownership is crucial for policymakers, as it supports the formulation of parking regulations aimed at reducing car ownership. Municipalities are advised to develop parking policies that consider the identified dimensions of parking availability to optimize public space use.
Future research should focus on proving causality, improving spatial data, and exploring additional factors of car ownership and parking availability. The study's limitations include the inability to establish causality and the need for more reliable parking data. Further research should also consider attitudinal factors towards car ownership and investigate the relationship between parking availability and car ownership in rural areas.