M. van Koningsveld
Please Note
23 records found
1
In this thesis, Navigating with Nature (NwN) is used as an access-channel-oriented extension of naturebased thinking, focusing on whether navigation and channel use can be adapted to natural conditions instead of only adapting the natural system to fixed vessel requirements. The objective is to further develop the concept of NwN for port access channels and to translate it into an early-stage assessment approach that makes the balance between port performance and environmental impact explicit. The central question is how NwN principles can be embedded in tidal port access channel design by assessing this balance.
The research combines a conceptual analysis with a quantitative simulation-based assessment. First, literature, documented examples and expert input are used to identify possible NwN strategies for port access channels. These strategies include tidal window navigation, adaptive fleet scheduling, alternative access configurations, accepting reduced effective channel depth, operational traffic management and relocation of buoy placement. Tidal window navigation is selected for quantitative assessment because it directly links natural tidal water-level variation to port accessibility and can be translated into measurable channel and operational parameters.
An idealized simulation-based assessment approach is then developed using OpenTNSim. The approach calculates vertical tidal windows for different tidal access channel conditions. Port performance is represented by waterway capacity, expressed as the number of vessels that can pass during one tidal period. Environmental impact is represented by dredging volume, used as a proxy for physical seabed intervention. Trade-off curves are constructed to show how variations in channel depth, waterway length, vessel speed and tidal range affect the balance between waterway capacity and dredging volume. These idealized scenarios are used to understand the behavior of the assessment approach before applying it to a real-world case.
The trade-off curves show that higher capacity generally requires more dredging, but the strength of this relationship depends on the tested parameter. Longer waterways reduce capacity and require larger dredging volumes to achieve comparable accessibility, while higher vessel speeds can partly improve capacity without increasing channel depth. Tidal range has a more complex effect: larger tidal ranges provide more depth around high water, but do not automatically increase capacity because accessibility around low water decreases.
The export port condition generally requires more dredging than the import port condition. In the import condition, the vessel enters the port fully loaded and travels with the propagating tidal wave. In the export condition, the vessel enters with a smaller draught and leaves fully loaded, sailing against the tidal wave. The export condition therefore provides a shorter period of sufficient water depth for the fully loaded vessel and requires a greater maintained channel depth to achieve comparable capacity.
After the idealized scenarios, the assessment approach is applied to the Holwerd - Nes waterway connection. The case study shows that the maintained target depth provides full vertical accessibility under the applied assumptions, whereas reducing the maintained depth gradually decreases waterway capacity. This illustrates how measured water levels, vessel characteristics and channel-depth assumptions can be combined to quantify the trade-off between tidal accessibility and dredging-related physical intervention in an existing tidal access channel.
The results of both the idealized scenarios and the case study show that the approach can be used to explore how tidal conditions, vessel characteristics and channel design affect accessibility and dredging requirements. At the same time, the reliability and practical relevance of the results depend on the assumptions and level of schematization used. For Holwerd - Nes, local channel geometry, currents, traffic interactions and ferry service requirements would need to be represented in more detail before the approach could support operational design decisions. In addition, dredging volume should be interpreted as an early-stage indicator of physical seabed intervention rather than as a complete measure of environmental impact.
Overall, this thesis shows how Navigating with Nature can be operationalized as a quantitative early-stage assessment approach for tidal port access channels. By making explicit how channel dimensions, operational choices, vessel movement and natural tidal conditions influence both waterway capacity and physical seabed intervention, the approach supports the comparison of NwN alternatives. In this way, the thesis successfully demonstrates how tidal port access can be assessed and designed in closer alignment with natural tidal conditions. ...
In this thesis, Navigating with Nature (NwN) is used as an access-channel-oriented extension of naturebased thinking, focusing on whether navigation and channel use can be adapted to natural conditions instead of only adapting the natural system to fixed vessel requirements. The objective is to further develop the concept of NwN for port access channels and to translate it into an early-stage assessment approach that makes the balance between port performance and environmental impact explicit. The central question is how NwN principles can be embedded in tidal port access channel design by assessing this balance.
The research combines a conceptual analysis with a quantitative simulation-based assessment. First, literature, documented examples and expert input are used to identify possible NwN strategies for port access channels. These strategies include tidal window navigation, adaptive fleet scheduling, alternative access configurations, accepting reduced effective channel depth, operational traffic management and relocation of buoy placement. Tidal window navigation is selected for quantitative assessment because it directly links natural tidal water-level variation to port accessibility and can be translated into measurable channel and operational parameters.
An idealized simulation-based assessment approach is then developed using OpenTNSim. The approach calculates vertical tidal windows for different tidal access channel conditions. Port performance is represented by waterway capacity, expressed as the number of vessels that can pass during one tidal period. Environmental impact is represented by dredging volume, used as a proxy for physical seabed intervention. Trade-off curves are constructed to show how variations in channel depth, waterway length, vessel speed and tidal range affect the balance between waterway capacity and dredging volume. These idealized scenarios are used to understand the behavior of the assessment approach before applying it to a real-world case.
The trade-off curves show that higher capacity generally requires more dredging, but the strength of this relationship depends on the tested parameter. Longer waterways reduce capacity and require larger dredging volumes to achieve comparable accessibility, while higher vessel speeds can partly improve capacity without increasing channel depth. Tidal range has a more complex effect: larger tidal ranges provide more depth around high water, but do not automatically increase capacity because accessibility around low water decreases.
The export port condition generally requires more dredging than the import port condition. In the import condition, the vessel enters the port fully loaded and travels with the propagating tidal wave. In the export condition, the vessel enters with a smaller draught and leaves fully loaded, sailing against the tidal wave. The export condition therefore provides a shorter period of sufficient water depth for the fully loaded vessel and requires a greater maintained channel depth to achieve comparable capacity.
After the idealized scenarios, the assessment approach is applied to the Holwerd - Nes waterway connection. The case study shows that the maintained target depth provides full vertical accessibility under the applied assumptions, whereas reducing the maintained depth gradually decreases waterway capacity. This illustrates how measured water levels, vessel characteristics and channel-depth assumptions can be combined to quantify the trade-off between tidal accessibility and dredging-related physical intervention in an existing tidal access channel.
The results of both the idealized scenarios and the case study show that the approach can be used to explore how tidal conditions, vessel characteristics and channel design affect accessibility and dredging requirements. At the same time, the reliability and practical relevance of the results depend on the assumptions and level of schematization used. For Holwerd - Nes, local channel geometry, currents, traffic interactions and ferry service requirements would need to be represented in more detail before the approach could support operational design decisions. In addition, dredging volume should be interpreted as an early-stage indicator of physical seabed intervention rather than as a complete measure of environmental impact.
Overall, this thesis shows how Navigating with Nature can be operationalized as a quantitative early-stage assessment approach for tidal port access channels. By making explicit how channel dimensions, operational choices, vessel movement and natural tidal conditions influence both waterway capacity and physical seabed intervention, the approach supports the comparison of NwN alternatives. In this way, the thesis successfully demonstrates how tidal port access can be assessed and designed in closer alignment with natural tidal conditions.
How to Train Your Ship Traffic Model
Lessons from developing data-driven microscopic maritime traffic simulation models as a design tool for the Houston Ship Channel Gate Complex
The objective of this research is to contribute to the development of data-driven microscopic maritime traffic simulation models as a design tool for new maritime infrastructure, using the HSCGC as the case context. The main research question asks: "What requirements and characteristics must such a data-driven maritime traffic simulation model have to assess the impact of prospective maritime infrastructures on maritime traffic patterns in the context of designing the HSCGC?"
To answer this question, a mixed methodology is applied. A literature review establishes the state of the art in microscopic ship-traffic modelling and motivates the selection of AIS-based learning approaches, because they can reproduce complex manoeuvring behaviour without fully prescribing rules or equations. However, because purely data-driven models generalize poorly to unseen infrastructure, the thesis justifies the exploration of Safe Reinforcement Learning extensions, specifically safety filtering layers that can enforce collision and obstacle-avoidance constraints while deviating minimally from learned behaviour. Empirically, AIS data from 2024 is processed into trajectories to derive baseline traffic structure, kinematics, and interaction hotspots, while semi-structured interviews with expert navigators complement AIS by identifying operational constraints and anticipating behavioural changes under an HSCGC scenario. Finally, the selected simulator (ShipNaviSim) and extensions are evaluated on historical realism and situational adaptability using trajectory- and behaviour-focused performance indicators.
Results show that maritime traffic in the study area is highly structured yet interaction-rich: dominant channel-aligned flows coexist with frequent crossings (notably the Galveston-Point Bolivar ferry corridor), producing localized encounter hotspots and heterogeneous manoeuvring demand. The evaluated data-driven simulator reproduces goal-seeking motion and qualitatively plausible transit classes, but does not consistently match observed kinematic distributions (speed, drift, curvature, and acceleration), limiting quantitative realism. Among tested extensions, intermediate goals improve channel-following substantially, while an MPC-based safety layer reduces obstacle entry violations and supports scenario execution under modified geometries, though robustness remains challenging in head-on and high-density encounters.
The thesis concludes that a design-capable data-driven maritime traffic model must be a validated microscopic multi-agent AIS-driven simulator that reproduces site-specific route structure, interaction dynamics, and vessel heterogeneity, while explicitly accepting scenario inputs for new obstacles and changing demand patterns. Critically, it must incorporate a robust safety mechanism, such as safety filtering within a safe reinforcement learning framework, to enable credible and safe behaviour in previously unseen infrastructure configurations.
https://github.com/TUDelft-CITG/traffic-behaviour-cloning
...
The objective of this research is to contribute to the development of data-driven microscopic maritime traffic simulation models as a design tool for new maritime infrastructure, using the HSCGC as the case context. The main research question asks: "What requirements and characteristics must such a data-driven maritime traffic simulation model have to assess the impact of prospective maritime infrastructures on maritime traffic patterns in the context of designing the HSCGC?"
To answer this question, a mixed methodology is applied. A literature review establishes the state of the art in microscopic ship-traffic modelling and motivates the selection of AIS-based learning approaches, because they can reproduce complex manoeuvring behaviour without fully prescribing rules or equations. However, because purely data-driven models generalize poorly to unseen infrastructure, the thesis justifies the exploration of Safe Reinforcement Learning extensions, specifically safety filtering layers that can enforce collision and obstacle-avoidance constraints while deviating minimally from learned behaviour. Empirically, AIS data from 2024 is processed into trajectories to derive baseline traffic structure, kinematics, and interaction hotspots, while semi-structured interviews with expert navigators complement AIS by identifying operational constraints and anticipating behavioural changes under an HSCGC scenario. Finally, the selected simulator (ShipNaviSim) and extensions are evaluated on historical realism and situational adaptability using trajectory- and behaviour-focused performance indicators.
Results show that maritime traffic in the study area is highly structured yet interaction-rich: dominant channel-aligned flows coexist with frequent crossings (notably the Galveston-Point Bolivar ferry corridor), producing localized encounter hotspots and heterogeneous manoeuvring demand. The evaluated data-driven simulator reproduces goal-seeking motion and qualitatively plausible transit classes, but does not consistently match observed kinematic distributions (speed, drift, curvature, and acceleration), limiting quantitative realism. Among tested extensions, intermediate goals improve channel-following substantially, while an MPC-based safety layer reduces obstacle entry violations and supports scenario execution under modified geometries, though robustness remains challenging in head-on and high-density encounters.
The thesis concludes that a design-capable data-driven maritime traffic model must be a validated microscopic multi-agent AIS-driven simulator that reproduces site-specific route structure, interaction dynamics, and vessel heterogeneity, while explicitly accepting scenario inputs for new obstacles and changing demand patterns. Critically, it must incorporate a robust safety mechanism, such as safety filtering within a safe reinforcement learning framework, to enable credible and safe behaviour in previously unseen infrastructure configurations.
https://github.com/TUDelft-CITG/traffic-behaviour-cloning
When Distance Becomes Delay
A Multi-Port Simulation of Floating Offshore Wind Installation
Following the quantitative state concept of the Frame of Reference, a discrete-event simulation model of a four-node floating wind supply chain was built in OpenCLSim. It links a floater manufacturing port, a wet storage park, an integration port and the project site through three legs, and resolves weather-dependent activities, vessel and storage constraints and cyclic process dependencies using hourly metocean data. The model is applied to a synthetic baseline, a one-factor-at-a-time and a two-factor sensitivity analysis, and a Scottish case study covering three port configurations and two project sites.
Distance and floater production rate dominate installation time, raising it from a 75.1-day baseline to 592.6 and 379.0 days respectively. The relationship between distance and installation time is non-linear. Below a critical distance, seasonal timing and the operational weather windows determine the outcome. Beyond this distance, Coosje's Tipping Point (CTP), the sailing window required per leg becomes the binding constraint and durations climb sharply. The CTP lies at approximately 565 km for the first leg and 529 km for the final leg and is best read as a zone rather than a fixed distance. The final leg is consistently the most sensitive, followed by the first, while the middle leg changes installation time by only a few days up to 125 km. Once one of the two dominant legs exceeds the CTP, extending the other adds little further delay, and additional anchor handling tug sets and higher towing speed are the most effective mitigation levers. The case study reproduces these findings. Two configurations with an identical total distance of 372 km differ by a factor of three in installation time, because one places that distance on the final leg.
By treating inter-port distance as a variable rather than fixing the network topology, the model reveals the CTP as a distance regime shift that existing network-oriented studies could not report. The method can thereby link specific port pairings to schedule feasibility before investment is committed. Follow-up work should explain the mechanism behind the CTP, couple the time output to a cost model, and extend the model to a full multi-port network. ...
Following the quantitative state concept of the Frame of Reference, a discrete-event simulation model of a four-node floating wind supply chain was built in OpenCLSim. It links a floater manufacturing port, a wet storage park, an integration port and the project site through three legs, and resolves weather-dependent activities, vessel and storage constraints and cyclic process dependencies using hourly metocean data. The model is applied to a synthetic baseline, a one-factor-at-a-time and a two-factor sensitivity analysis, and a Scottish case study covering three port configurations and two project sites.
Distance and floater production rate dominate installation time, raising it from a 75.1-day baseline to 592.6 and 379.0 days respectively. The relationship between distance and installation time is non-linear. Below a critical distance, seasonal timing and the operational weather windows determine the outcome. Beyond this distance, Coosje's Tipping Point (CTP), the sailing window required per leg becomes the binding constraint and durations climb sharply. The CTP lies at approximately 565 km for the first leg and 529 km for the final leg and is best read as a zone rather than a fixed distance. The final leg is consistently the most sensitive, followed by the first, while the middle leg changes installation time by only a few days up to 125 km. Once one of the two dominant legs exceeds the CTP, extending the other adds little further delay, and additional anchor handling tug sets and higher towing speed are the most effective mitigation levers. The case study reproduces these findings. Two configurations with an identical total distance of 372 km differ by a factor of three in installation time, because one places that distance on the final leg.
By treating inter-port distance as a variable rather than fixing the network topology, the model reveals the CTP as a distance regime shift that existing network-oriented studies could not report. The method can thereby link specific port pairings to schedule feasibility before investment is committed. Follow-up work should explain the mechanism behind the CTP, couple the time output to a cost model, and extend the model to a full multi-port network.
The objective of this thesis is to develop and apply a quantitative assessment framework that enables systematic evaluation of the nautical safety performance of alternative storm surge barrier configurations during early design stages. The framework is grounded in the premise that, at this stage of design, nautical safety performance is most directly reflected in vessel maneuverability under constrained geometric and environmental conditions. Rather than attempting to predict accident probabilities or prescribe absolute safety classifications, the method focuses on configuration-dependent maneuvering demand and available control margins as necessary preconditions for safe navigation.
A structured assessment framework is developed that integrates spatial schematization of the navigational environment, critical environmental forcing scenarios, representative design vessels, fast-time ship maneuvering simulation, and quantitative nautical safety assessment metrics. These metrics describe maneuvering performance in terms of spatial, temporal, and control margins, enabling reproducible and configuration-specific comparison. Fast-time simulation is employed to ensure computational efficiency and repeatability, making the framework suitable for iterative application during early design phases.
The practical applicability of the framework is demonstrated through a case study of the proposed Bolivar Roads storm surge barrier in Texas. Multiple alternative barrier configurations are evaluated using the fast-time simulation model SHIPMA. Simulations are conducted for a set of representative design vessels under selected flood and ebb tidal conditions, using consistent spatial schematization and environmental assumptions across configurations. Simulation outputs are post-processed to derive the values of the quantitative safety metrics for each configuration.
The results show that nautical safety performance is highly sensitive to barrier geometry. Configurations featuring wider gate openings and more favorable alignment and siting consistently exhibit larger spatial and temporal maneuvering margins, reduced control effort, and more stable vessel behavior. Conversely, configurations with constrained openings or unfavorable alignment impose increased maneuvering demand and reduced controllability. These findings demonstrate that geometric design choices can substantially influence navigational safety performance and that such effects can be captured quantitatively using the developed framework. While the absolute values of the assessment metrics are subject to modeling assumptions and simplifications, the relative differences between configurations provide meaningful insight for comparative evaluation. As such, the results are not intended to replace expert judgment but to serve as structured input for pilot and stakeholder discussions, supporting transparent and informed interpretation of navigational safety implications.
This research contributes a systematic, maneuvering-based framework that bridges the gap between hydraulic design and nautical safety assessment in storm surge barrier projects. By enabling early-stage, quantitative comparison of alternative configurations, the framework provides capabilities that were previously unavailable in design practice. The case study illustrates the framework’s practical value and transferability to other navigation-constrained barrier locations. Future research should prioritize integration of configuration-specific hydrodynamic modeling, enhanced representation of human factors, and further refinement of assessment metrics to improve physical realism and decision relevance. ...
The objective of this thesis is to develop and apply a quantitative assessment framework that enables systematic evaluation of the nautical safety performance of alternative storm surge barrier configurations during early design stages. The framework is grounded in the premise that, at this stage of design, nautical safety performance is most directly reflected in vessel maneuverability under constrained geometric and environmental conditions. Rather than attempting to predict accident probabilities or prescribe absolute safety classifications, the method focuses on configuration-dependent maneuvering demand and available control margins as necessary preconditions for safe navigation.
A structured assessment framework is developed that integrates spatial schematization of the navigational environment, critical environmental forcing scenarios, representative design vessels, fast-time ship maneuvering simulation, and quantitative nautical safety assessment metrics. These metrics describe maneuvering performance in terms of spatial, temporal, and control margins, enabling reproducible and configuration-specific comparison. Fast-time simulation is employed to ensure computational efficiency and repeatability, making the framework suitable for iterative application during early design phases.
The practical applicability of the framework is demonstrated through a case study of the proposed Bolivar Roads storm surge barrier in Texas. Multiple alternative barrier configurations are evaluated using the fast-time simulation model SHIPMA. Simulations are conducted for a set of representative design vessels under selected flood and ebb tidal conditions, using consistent spatial schematization and environmental assumptions across configurations. Simulation outputs are post-processed to derive the values of the quantitative safety metrics for each configuration.
The results show that nautical safety performance is highly sensitive to barrier geometry. Configurations featuring wider gate openings and more favorable alignment and siting consistently exhibit larger spatial and temporal maneuvering margins, reduced control effort, and more stable vessel behavior. Conversely, configurations with constrained openings or unfavorable alignment impose increased maneuvering demand and reduced controllability. These findings demonstrate that geometric design choices can substantially influence navigational safety performance and that such effects can be captured quantitatively using the developed framework. While the absolute values of the assessment metrics are subject to modeling assumptions and simplifications, the relative differences between configurations provide meaningful insight for comparative evaluation. As such, the results are not intended to replace expert judgment but to serve as structured input for pilot and stakeholder discussions, supporting transparent and informed interpretation of navigational safety implications.
This research contributes a systematic, maneuvering-based framework that bridges the gap between hydraulic design and nautical safety assessment in storm surge barrier projects. By enabling early-stage, quantitative comparison of alternative configurations, the framework provides capabilities that were previously unavailable in design practice. The case study illustrates the framework’s practical value and transferability to other navigation-constrained barrier locations. Future research should prioritize integration of configuration-specific hydrodynamic modeling, enhanced representation of human factors, and further refinement of assessment metrics to improve physical realism and decision relevance.
Islands of Opportunity: Unlocking Value in Offshore LNG and Wind Integration
Techno-Economic analysis of enhanced fuctionalities of Princess Elisabeth Island
The methodological approach is rooted in a TEA framework, systematically applied to the PEI case. This involves a physical breakdown of systems, detailed financial analysis including CAPEX, OPEX, revenue projections, and cash flow modeling, and performance analysis using key metrics such as Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE), Net Present Value (NPV), and payback periods. The PEI project, planned for 3.5 GW of offshore wind connected via an artificial island housing AC and HVDC substations, formed the initial focus. The base case analysis for PEI as a standalone wind energy hub revealed significant financial challenges: amedian LCOE of 224 =C/MWh, substantially exceeding recent offshore wind strike prices, and a consistently negative NPV. This financial vulnerability is largely attributed to the dramatic increase in transmission infrastructure costs, which now account for nearly 50% of the total project CAPEX, a sharp rise from approximately 18% in 2020. Sensitivity analyses indicated that the LCOE is highly susceptible to project delays, ranging from 200 to 260 =C/MWh, and noted a cooling investor appetite in the European offshore wind sector. Enhanced base case considerations for the wind system showed that an AC-only configuration could reduce the LCOE to 182 =C/MWh, while incorporating HVDC as an interconnector, despite potential arbitrage revenues, increased the LCOE to 237 =C/MWh, illustrating a trade-off between strategic energy security benefits and immediate financial viability... ...
The methodological approach is rooted in a TEA framework, systematically applied to the PEI case. This involves a physical breakdown of systems, detailed financial analysis including CAPEX, OPEX, revenue projections, and cash flow modeling, and performance analysis using key metrics such as Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE), Net Present Value (NPV), and payback periods. The PEI project, planned for 3.5 GW of offshore wind connected via an artificial island housing AC and HVDC substations, formed the initial focus. The base case analysis for PEI as a standalone wind energy hub revealed significant financial challenges: amedian LCOE of 224 =C/MWh, substantially exceeding recent offshore wind strike prices, and a consistently negative NPV. This financial vulnerability is largely attributed to the dramatic increase in transmission infrastructure costs, which now account for nearly 50% of the total project CAPEX, a sharp rise from approximately 18% in 2020. Sensitivity analyses indicated that the LCOE is highly susceptible to project delays, ranging from 200 to 260 =C/MWh, and noted a cooling investor appetite in the European offshore wind sector. Enhanced base case considerations for the wind system showed that an AC-only configuration could reduce the LCOE to 182 =C/MWh, while incorporating HVDC as an interconnector, despite potential arbitrage revenues, increased the LCOE to 237 =C/MWh, illustrating a trade-off between strategic energy security benefits and immediate financial viability...
(SI) piles. Previous research by Rica and Van Baars (2018) and Chai et al. (2022), among many others, have shown that the subsurface weaknesses, especially due to presence of deep clay layers, have a significant impact on the end bearing capacity of the closed ended piles loaded under compression. This effect depends on the location of the clay layer with respect to the zone of influence of the pile.
The two major structural responses observed in the behaviour of the quay wall is the accumulation of horizontal wall displacements and continuously increasing anchor forces in the tension piles over long-term application of the cyclic surcharge loads. The progressive increase in the anchor force is a direct result of the continuously increasing horizontal displacements of the wall.
Clay layer present in the deep Pleistocene sand in the vicinity of the tips of the bearing piles was shown to have a negative impact on the mobilised base resistance of the piles. In the case of a quay wall with a relieving platform and a bearing and tension pile trestle with inclined pair of bearing piles, where the complete load bearing capacity is derived only from the deep bearing sand layers, the impact was most significant i.e. at least a 10% reduction, when the clay layer was present from 3D below the pile tip to 1.5D above the pile tip, D being the equivalent diameter of the SI piles. The maximum reduction in the mobilised base resistance
was observed to be 38% when the pile tips were in the middle of the clay layer, with half the clay layer above and half below the pile tips.
This study provided valuable insights into the long-term deformation behaviour of the quay wall under cyclic operational and water loads. It also provided critical reasons to enhance site investigations to look for any subsurface weaknesses in the vicinity of structural elements and to optimise the pile design, such as embedment length, as per the actual subsurface conditions.
...
(SI) piles. Previous research by Rica and Van Baars (2018) and Chai et al. (2022), among many others, have shown that the subsurface weaknesses, especially due to presence of deep clay layers, have a significant impact on the end bearing capacity of the closed ended piles loaded under compression. This effect depends on the location of the clay layer with respect to the zone of influence of the pile.
The two major structural responses observed in the behaviour of the quay wall is the accumulation of horizontal wall displacements and continuously increasing anchor forces in the tension piles over long-term application of the cyclic surcharge loads. The progressive increase in the anchor force is a direct result of the continuously increasing horizontal displacements of the wall.
Clay layer present in the deep Pleistocene sand in the vicinity of the tips of the bearing piles was shown to have a negative impact on the mobilised base resistance of the piles. In the case of a quay wall with a relieving platform and a bearing and tension pile trestle with inclined pair of bearing piles, where the complete load bearing capacity is derived only from the deep bearing sand layers, the impact was most significant i.e. at least a 10% reduction, when the clay layer was present from 3D below the pile tip to 1.5D above the pile tip, D being the equivalent diameter of the SI piles. The maximum reduction in the mobilised base resistance
was observed to be 38% when the pile tips were in the middle of the clay layer, with half the clay layer above and half below the pile tips.
This study provided valuable insights into the long-term deformation behaviour of the quay wall under cyclic operational and water loads. It also provided critical reasons to enhance site investigations to look for any subsurface weaknesses in the vicinity of structural elements and to optimise the pile design, such as embedment length, as per the actual subsurface conditions.
Effects of Water Levels on Lock Demand Shifts
A Case Study of the Locks Weurt and Grave
Various methods have been developed to estimate emissions in the shipping industry. Top-down methods are applied using large-scale data to estimate emissions over a wide area. This approach provides a comprehensive overview but lacks the specific details required for local interventions. In contrast, bottom-up methods are applied and start with detailed data at the source and aggregate information to estimate the total emissions. Bottom-up methods offer more precise insights, however, more extensive data and complex modeling is required. To obtain more precise understandings, the modern bottom-up models use Automatic Identification System as input, a globally used system for tracking vessels. AIS data consists, among others, of time-dependent variables such as speed, location, and ship identification number. The data is used to assign an operational mode to the ship (sailing, maneuvering, anchoring, berthing). Based on this mode, it is determined if the main engines of the ship are on. If they are, the engine power is calculated from the resistance force acting on the moving ship. It is possible to convert engine power to fuel consumption and later to emissions with Specific Fuel Oil Consumption and emission factors.
Currently used emission models calculate engine power with the use of empirical formulas. So far, these models have mostly been validated by comparing them either to a noon report, or to another model. As a result, it gives no insight into the capability of a model to predict with a high spatial resolution, which is important in port areas and inland waterways.
There is little room for improvement in current semi-empirical bottom-up methods. However, in recent years, machine learning has shown the capability of replacing and often outperforming empirical models in other fields of research. This is due to the ability to model nonlinear behavior, find relations that humans can not, and work in higher dimensions. As a ship's engine power is reliant on a multitude of factors, machine learning might be the solution towards more accurate predictions.
This research aims to assess the capability of machine learning models to predict a ship's engine power with a high spatial resolution, with a focus on LSTM models. To do so, onboard sensor data from two ships was used; one sea-going container vessel and one inland tanker. The measured data was used to validate the semi-empirical method. Afterwards, the machine learning model was trained against the same sensor data. The predictions of the semi-empirical and machine learning models were then compared to one another.
Comparisons showed that the error for total energy used for the container vessel went from +62.87% to -0.82% when using a Bi-LSTM model with speed, acceleration, draught and depth as input. For the assessment of the spatiotemporal predictions, the MAE and RMSE were used. Based on these performance indicators, a normal LSTM network with speed, acceleration, draught and depth as input performed best. The MAE compared to the reference went down from 9542 to 2863, or about 7% of the maximum engine power.
The second case study highlighted the challenges that come with engine power prediction in inland waterways. Firstly, the fact that the speed over ground is used has a bigger influence in this case, as the ship will always sail with or against the current. Secondly, the influence of the blockage factor can
not be ignored without having higher losses. In addition to these two shortcomings, the model was trained on a diesel-electric ship. This ship has a much more constant power profile than ships with a more classical propulsion run on fossil fuels. This likely made the model more robust to changes. The combination of these three aspects caused less accurate predictions. Although there was more data available, errors were higher than for the case study. The best performing models showed a +3.41% error on total energy use and an MAE of 205.65, or about 12.8% of the maximum engine power.
This research has contributed new insights to the field of maritime emission modeling. The potential of machine learning models has been shown in comparison to an existing semi-empirical model. In addition, this model has now been validated using measurement data for a seagoing container vessel. Finally, shortcomings of the method using machine learning were exposed and a solution is proposed for a more complete, generalizable model. ...
Various methods have been developed to estimate emissions in the shipping industry. Top-down methods are applied using large-scale data to estimate emissions over a wide area. This approach provides a comprehensive overview but lacks the specific details required for local interventions. In contrast, bottom-up methods are applied and start with detailed data at the source and aggregate information to estimate the total emissions. Bottom-up methods offer more precise insights, however, more extensive data and complex modeling is required. To obtain more precise understandings, the modern bottom-up models use Automatic Identification System as input, a globally used system for tracking vessels. AIS data consists, among others, of time-dependent variables such as speed, location, and ship identification number. The data is used to assign an operational mode to the ship (sailing, maneuvering, anchoring, berthing). Based on this mode, it is determined if the main engines of the ship are on. If they are, the engine power is calculated from the resistance force acting on the moving ship. It is possible to convert engine power to fuel consumption and later to emissions with Specific Fuel Oil Consumption and emission factors.
Currently used emission models calculate engine power with the use of empirical formulas. So far, these models have mostly been validated by comparing them either to a noon report, or to another model. As a result, it gives no insight into the capability of a model to predict with a high spatial resolution, which is important in port areas and inland waterways.
There is little room for improvement in current semi-empirical bottom-up methods. However, in recent years, machine learning has shown the capability of replacing and often outperforming empirical models in other fields of research. This is due to the ability to model nonlinear behavior, find relations that humans can not, and work in higher dimensions. As a ship's engine power is reliant on a multitude of factors, machine learning might be the solution towards more accurate predictions.
This research aims to assess the capability of machine learning models to predict a ship's engine power with a high spatial resolution, with a focus on LSTM models. To do so, onboard sensor data from two ships was used; one sea-going container vessel and one inland tanker. The measured data was used to validate the semi-empirical method. Afterwards, the machine learning model was trained against the same sensor data. The predictions of the semi-empirical and machine learning models were then compared to one another.
Comparisons showed that the error for total energy used for the container vessel went from +62.87% to -0.82% when using a Bi-LSTM model with speed, acceleration, draught and depth as input. For the assessment of the spatiotemporal predictions, the MAE and RMSE were used. Based on these performance indicators, a normal LSTM network with speed, acceleration, draught and depth as input performed best. The MAE compared to the reference went down from 9542 to 2863, or about 7% of the maximum engine power.
The second case study highlighted the challenges that come with engine power prediction in inland waterways. Firstly, the fact that the speed over ground is used has a bigger influence in this case, as the ship will always sail with or against the current. Secondly, the influence of the blockage factor can
not be ignored without having higher losses. In addition to these two shortcomings, the model was trained on a diesel-electric ship. This ship has a much more constant power profile than ships with a more classical propulsion run on fossil fuels. This likely made the model more robust to changes. The combination of these three aspects caused less accurate predictions. Although there was more data available, errors were higher than for the case study. The best performing models showed a +3.41% error on total energy use and an MAE of 205.65, or about 12.8% of the maximum engine power.
This research has contributed new insights to the field of maritime emission modeling. The potential of machine learning models has been shown in comparison to an existing semi-empirical model. In addition, this model has now been validated using measurement data for a seagoing container vessel. Finally, shortcomings of the method using machine learning were exposed and a solution is proposed for a more complete, generalizable model.
Refining Collision Energy Calculations in Inland Shipping
Modifying the established framework to reflect ship approaches to guiding structures
The kinetic energy approach used in the EAU 2012 method requires, as inputs, the mass of the ship, its velocity vector normal to the structure, a virtual mass coefficient accounting for water mass moving with the ship, and an eccentricity coefficient accounting for energy loss due to rotation when the ship does not approach the structure parallel.
The literature review identifies critical gaps in the EAU 2012 approach to calculating collision energy for guiding structures. An unsuitable application of the eccentricity coefficient and assumptions about the velocity vector direction, which do not align with actual conditions in shiptoguiding structure colli sions, are discovered. Moreover, the review reveals that the framework does not differentiate between berthing and guiding approaches, resulting in a onesizefitsall approach that fails to account for the unique characteristics and requirements of guiding structures. The framework only partially includes the ship’s angle of approach to the structure in the kinetic energy calculation. Although the recommen dation is to calculate the kinetic energy using the normal ship speed to the structure—thus indirectly accounting for the approach angle—when it comes to the eccentricity coefficient, which relies on ap proach geometry, the recommendation is to consider the total velocity vector. This practice results in exaggerated collision energy when a ship maintains forward speed near guiding structures while passing through the lock.
The theoretical refinement proposed in this thesis focuses on the scenario where the ship approaches a guiding structure with purely longitudinal speed. Specifically, a new definition for the angle variable in the eccentricity coefficient expression is proposed, which directly reflects the effect of the approach angle of the ship linked to the contributing velocity vector and not only laterally through the magnitude of the contributing vector. This proposed change is validated through comparative analysis.
The comparative analysis is performed using historical data cases from model research published by Ri jkswaterstaat (Ministry of Infrastructure and Water Management). The data consist of experiments with ship approaches to structures that have characteristics fitting guiding structure approaches. The ships are of lengths commonly found in lock passages, maintain forward speed, and approach structures similar to those at lock entrances. The historical data provide the maximum force exerted on the tested structure and the resulting deflection. This information is used to derive the energy absorbed by the structure. The published reports valuable to this research resulted in the Virtual Water Mass method. This method is reproduced to provide benchmark values for the kinetic energy absorbed, which are compared to both the EAU 2012 collision energy calculation and the proposed refined calculation for the historical data cases.
The findings of the comparative analysis suggest that the proposed refined calculation provides results closer to the benchmark values than the EAU 2012 calculation. However, a consistent improvement was not discovered. Although the refined calculation is significantly closer to the benchmark value in every case compared to the EAU 2012 calculation, this improvement cannot be quantified as a universal percentage, as it varied for each case. Despite this, the comparative analysis still supports the main objective of demonstrating the exaggeration in the EAU 2012 collision energy calculation.
A case study, as part of this research, explores the potential effect of the refined calculation on an actual structure design. In the case study, the design vessel, velocity, and angle of approach are sourced from the Waterway Guidelines (2011, 2020) and ROK 2.0 (all documents published by Rijkswaterstaat). After calculating the impact energy using the two methods compared in this research, the design of the mono pile follows the Blum method. The structure is modeled as a series of piles connected by a main girder, with the girder having the same diameter as the piles to ensure uniformity and strength.
The case of the Volkerak locks is chosen, and calculations using both the standard EAU 2012 method and the proposed refined one are executed. Two designs are produced and compared. With the refined calculation, a design with a smaller pile diameter of 1,620 mm and a longer inbetween pile distance of 6.5 m is achieved, compared to the EAU 2012 design, where the pile diameter is 2,020 mm and the distance between piles is 3 m. These results demonstrate the potential for material savings if the refined calculation is adopted.
The study concludes that a refined approach is indeed necessary and that focus should be placed on specific definitions and descriptions in the guidelines. Ambiguity in such definitions leaves decision making subject to individual interpretations, creating inconsistency among the designs of structures with the same purpose. Although this inconsistency may not be inherently dangerous, as it usually results in an overly conservative design, it contributes to excess material usage and resource waste. ...
The kinetic energy approach used in the EAU 2012 method requires, as inputs, the mass of the ship, its velocity vector normal to the structure, a virtual mass coefficient accounting for water mass moving with the ship, and an eccentricity coefficient accounting for energy loss due to rotation when the ship does not approach the structure parallel.
The literature review identifies critical gaps in the EAU 2012 approach to calculating collision energy for guiding structures. An unsuitable application of the eccentricity coefficient and assumptions about the velocity vector direction, which do not align with actual conditions in shiptoguiding structure colli sions, are discovered. Moreover, the review reveals that the framework does not differentiate between berthing and guiding approaches, resulting in a onesizefitsall approach that fails to account for the unique characteristics and requirements of guiding structures. The framework only partially includes the ship’s angle of approach to the structure in the kinetic energy calculation. Although the recommen dation is to calculate the kinetic energy using the normal ship speed to the structure—thus indirectly accounting for the approach angle—when it comes to the eccentricity coefficient, which relies on ap proach geometry, the recommendation is to consider the total velocity vector. This practice results in exaggerated collision energy when a ship maintains forward speed near guiding structures while passing through the lock.
The theoretical refinement proposed in this thesis focuses on the scenario where the ship approaches a guiding structure with purely longitudinal speed. Specifically, a new definition for the angle variable in the eccentricity coefficient expression is proposed, which directly reflects the effect of the approach angle of the ship linked to the contributing velocity vector and not only laterally through the magnitude of the contributing vector. This proposed change is validated through comparative analysis.
The comparative analysis is performed using historical data cases from model research published by Ri jkswaterstaat (Ministry of Infrastructure and Water Management). The data consist of experiments with ship approaches to structures that have characteristics fitting guiding structure approaches. The ships are of lengths commonly found in lock passages, maintain forward speed, and approach structures similar to those at lock entrances. The historical data provide the maximum force exerted on the tested structure and the resulting deflection. This information is used to derive the energy absorbed by the structure. The published reports valuable to this research resulted in the Virtual Water Mass method. This method is reproduced to provide benchmark values for the kinetic energy absorbed, which are compared to both the EAU 2012 collision energy calculation and the proposed refined calculation for the historical data cases.
The findings of the comparative analysis suggest that the proposed refined calculation provides results closer to the benchmark values than the EAU 2012 calculation. However, a consistent improvement was not discovered. Although the refined calculation is significantly closer to the benchmark value in every case compared to the EAU 2012 calculation, this improvement cannot be quantified as a universal percentage, as it varied for each case. Despite this, the comparative analysis still supports the main objective of demonstrating the exaggeration in the EAU 2012 collision energy calculation.
A case study, as part of this research, explores the potential effect of the refined calculation on an actual structure design. In the case study, the design vessel, velocity, and angle of approach are sourced from the Waterway Guidelines (2011, 2020) and ROK 2.0 (all documents published by Rijkswaterstaat). After calculating the impact energy using the two methods compared in this research, the design of the mono pile follows the Blum method. The structure is modeled as a series of piles connected by a main girder, with the girder having the same diameter as the piles to ensure uniformity and strength.
The case of the Volkerak locks is chosen, and calculations using both the standard EAU 2012 method and the proposed refined one are executed. Two designs are produced and compared. With the refined calculation, a design with a smaller pile diameter of 1,620 mm and a longer inbetween pile distance of 6.5 m is achieved, compared to the EAU 2012 design, where the pile diameter is 2,020 mm and the distance between piles is 3 m. These results demonstrate the potential for material savings if the refined calculation is adopted.
The study concludes that a refined approach is indeed necessary and that focus should be placed on specific definitions and descriptions in the guidelines. Ambiguity in such definitions leaves decision making subject to individual interpretations, creating inconsistency among the designs of structures with the same purpose. Although this inconsistency may not be inherently dangerous, as it usually results in an overly conservative design, it contributes to excess material usage and resource waste.
Navigating the waters of innovation over time
An empirical study into the evaluation of existing innovative Interorganisational Partnerships within the maritime sector
Trajectory prediction for drifting ship allision probability calculations
A trajectory prediction-based method for probability calculations to improve our understanding of drifting ship allision risks in the Dutch North Sea region
This study proposes an approach based on trajectory prediction using the OpenDrift model, which is simple and accessible for simulating ship drift trajectories based on wind, wave, and current data. A method is developed to estimate the probability of allision by combining the probability of a ship drifting into a wind farm, analysed through a ship's potential trajectories, with ship density data for specific locations. This method facilitates the calculation of allision risks under the influence of different environmental conditions and can be applied to multiple wind farms, providing a detailed assessment of the origins of potential threats and available response times.
Overall, the assumptions in state-of-the-art methods might not sufficiently capture the risks associated with drifting ships. In addition, the established method broadens the ability to improve monitoring accuracy and optimise the positioning of ERTVs, even for specific environmental conditions. As a next step, this method should be extended to estimate actual risk levels by considering the potential consequences of an allision. With this approach, decision-making regarding allision threats can be contextualised alongside other maritime safety risks, facilitating the development of a robust risk mitigation strategy that enables Rijkswaterstaat to responsibly exploit the abundant potential the North Sea has to offer. ...
This study proposes an approach based on trajectory prediction using the OpenDrift model, which is simple and accessible for simulating ship drift trajectories based on wind, wave, and current data. A method is developed to estimate the probability of allision by combining the probability of a ship drifting into a wind farm, analysed through a ship's potential trajectories, with ship density data for specific locations. This method facilitates the calculation of allision risks under the influence of different environmental conditions and can be applied to multiple wind farms, providing a detailed assessment of the origins of potential threats and available response times.
Overall, the assumptions in state-of-the-art methods might not sufficiently capture the risks associated with drifting ships. In addition, the established method broadens the ability to improve monitoring accuracy and optimise the positioning of ERTVs, even for specific environmental conditions. As a next step, this method should be extended to estimate actual risk levels by considering the potential consequences of an allision. With this approach, decision-making regarding allision threats can be contextualised alongside other maritime safety risks, facilitating the development of a robust risk mitigation strategy that enables Rijkswaterstaat to responsibly exploit the abundant potential the North Sea has to offer.
Water Injection Dredging
Advancing Water Injection Dredging: Analysis of Production Rates, Power Requirement, and Dredging Processes
This research aimed to address this gap by developing a model to simulate WID operations, estimate production rates, and assess energy consumption. The model was integrated into the discrete-event simulation package OpenCLSim, enabling the comparison of different dredging strategies.
The model incorporates various factors, including sediment characteristics, hydrodynamic conditions, and equipment specifications. Production rates were estimated using empirical, theoretical, and data-driven approaches. The energy footprint was calculated by considering the power consumption of key components such as engines, jet pumps, and thrusters. A case study was conducted to validate the model and compare WID and TSHD performance. Results demonstrated that WIDs were significantly more energy-efficient per cubic meter of dredged material compared to TSHDs. However, the energy footprint is significantly effected by the operational circumstances.
The model provides valuable insights for dredging contractors and port authorities. By simulating various scenarios, stakeholders can optimize dredging strategies, minimizing environmental impact and maximizing efficiency. Future research should focus on refining the model's accuracy, expanding its applicability to diverse scenarios, and exploring the potential for optimizing dredging operations based on energy consumption. This research contributes to a better understanding of sustainable dredging practices. By promoting the adoption of energy-efficient technologies like WIDs, the dredging industry can play a vital role in mitigating its environmental impact and contributing to a more sustainable future. ...
This research aimed to address this gap by developing a model to simulate WID operations, estimate production rates, and assess energy consumption. The model was integrated into the discrete-event simulation package OpenCLSim, enabling the comparison of different dredging strategies.
The model incorporates various factors, including sediment characteristics, hydrodynamic conditions, and equipment specifications. Production rates were estimated using empirical, theoretical, and data-driven approaches. The energy footprint was calculated by considering the power consumption of key components such as engines, jet pumps, and thrusters. A case study was conducted to validate the model and compare WID and TSHD performance. Results demonstrated that WIDs were significantly more energy-efficient per cubic meter of dredged material compared to TSHDs. However, the energy footprint is significantly effected by the operational circumstances.
The model provides valuable insights for dredging contractors and port authorities. By simulating various scenarios, stakeholders can optimize dredging strategies, minimizing environmental impact and maximizing efficiency. Future research should focus on refining the model's accuracy, expanding its applicability to diverse scenarios, and exploring the potential for optimizing dredging operations based on energy consumption. This research contributes to a better understanding of sustainable dredging practices. By promoting the adoption of energy-efficient technologies like WIDs, the dredging industry can play a vital role in mitigating its environmental impact and contributing to a more sustainable future.
The study focuses on the Botlek, a harbour in the Port of Rotterdam situated in the Rhine-Meuse estuary. Three data types are integrated to capture the dynamic interplay of saline and riverine factors within the estuary. The data consists of Multibeam bathymetry surveys, hydro-meteo variables (such as salinity, river discharge, and tidal variation), and dredging logs. The surveys provide the net sediment accumulation, which is assumed to result from a specific period of hydro-meteo conditions and dredging. Due to the limited availability of surveys, the number of features had to be managed. To avoid having more features than samples, the hydro-meteo variables are aggregated into daily, weekly, and
monthly means.
The ML algorithms evaluated in this research are Linear Regression (LR), Random Forest Regression (RFR), and Support Vector Regression (SVR). The feature importance scores from the RFR and the accuracy on small datasets of the SVR were decisive in this selection. All algorithms were tested and refined over multiple development phases to determine their predictive accuracy and robustness across different data configurations. It was found that the ML algorithms can reasonably predict SR. In addition to dredging data, incorporating hydro-meteo variables enhanced the predictive accuracy and consistency. Specifically, a feature set of dredging volumes, salinity, discharge, and tidal variation improved model performance. Training the model on dredging data only resulted in an inferior performance. The monthly aggregation of these hydro-meteo data was the most beneficial configuration. Among the tested algorithms, SVR consistently outperformed both LR and RFR, with its best configuration achieving a mean R2 score of 0.69 over four different dataset splits.
The ML models do not have to be able to predict sediment volumes with a small confidence interval to be practical for the port authorities. Instead, the models should be able to predict trends in sediment accumulation and provide actionable insights to enable proactive dredging. The research shows promising results, as most predictions fall within the acceptable range. However, predictive accuracy strongly varied across the different dredging areas in Botlek. Further development is required to provide real-time, reliable SR predictions before the models can be integrated into the maintenance operations of ports. ...
The study focuses on the Botlek, a harbour in the Port of Rotterdam situated in the Rhine-Meuse estuary. Three data types are integrated to capture the dynamic interplay of saline and riverine factors within the estuary. The data consists of Multibeam bathymetry surveys, hydro-meteo variables (such as salinity, river discharge, and tidal variation), and dredging logs. The surveys provide the net sediment accumulation, which is assumed to result from a specific period of hydro-meteo conditions and dredging. Due to the limited availability of surveys, the number of features had to be managed. To avoid having more features than samples, the hydro-meteo variables are aggregated into daily, weekly, and
monthly means.
The ML algorithms evaluated in this research are Linear Regression (LR), Random Forest Regression (RFR), and Support Vector Regression (SVR). The feature importance scores from the RFR and the accuracy on small datasets of the SVR were decisive in this selection. All algorithms were tested and refined over multiple development phases to determine their predictive accuracy and robustness across different data configurations. It was found that the ML algorithms can reasonably predict SR. In addition to dredging data, incorporating hydro-meteo variables enhanced the predictive accuracy and consistency. Specifically, a feature set of dredging volumes, salinity, discharge, and tidal variation improved model performance. Training the model on dredging data only resulted in an inferior performance. The monthly aggregation of these hydro-meteo data was the most beneficial configuration. Among the tested algorithms, SVR consistently outperformed both LR and RFR, with its best configuration achieving a mean R2 score of 0.69 over four different dataset splits.
The ML models do not have to be able to predict sediment volumes with a small confidence interval to be practical for the port authorities. Instead, the models should be able to predict trends in sediment accumulation and provide actionable insights to enable proactive dredging. The research shows promising results, as most predictions fall within the acceptable range. However, predictive accuracy strongly varied across the different dredging areas in Botlek. Further development is required to provide real-time, reliable SR predictions before the models can be integrated into the maintenance operations of ports.
Going with the Flow
A study on the impact of stratified North Sea coastal currents on energy consumption in dredging projects
At the root of calculating the daily energy use are the daily schedules of the SOV. The daily schedules are determined by the maintenance strategy applied by the contractor, and the optimisation of the vehicle routing problems. However, in the concept design phase, this method is too detailed to get a useful and trustworthy result. A discrete event simulation is suggested to create daily operation schedules of the SOV where the power and duration are still calculated for, but the too-detailed routing information is left behind. The daily schedules are structured as a vehicle routing problem with delivery and pick-up with full-day and half-day tasks. They are influenced by wind farm characteristics, vessel characteristics, and operational characteristics.
With the information that is known about the daily schedules and the input parameters, a Monte Carlo simulation is deemed the most appropriate. This method takes into account the likelihood of input variables, can deal with these uncertainties, and still give a useful, trustworthy, result. The model creates many daily schedules of which the resulting maximum energy use, by the law of large numbers, converges to the expected value. For the idle time, a charging module is implemented to make the choice between standby and charging.
A case study is done to look at the influence on the results of design choices and boundary settings. The inputs that are varied during the case study are: with or without charging, the number of charging points, the layout of the offshore wind farm, the workday length, the task distribution and the charging power. The daily energy use results for a 12-hour workday vary from a bit over 4000 kWh with not that many tasks and six charging points, to over 10000 kWh for many tasks and only one charging point. Individual inputs can make a difference from 500 to 3000 kWh. The case study gives a good insight into how much influence different parameters have on daily energy use and shows that offshore charging during the day can drastically reduce the maximum battery energy needed during the day. ...
At the root of calculating the daily energy use are the daily schedules of the SOV. The daily schedules are determined by the maintenance strategy applied by the contractor, and the optimisation of the vehicle routing problems. However, in the concept design phase, this method is too detailed to get a useful and trustworthy result. A discrete event simulation is suggested to create daily operation schedules of the SOV where the power and duration are still calculated for, but the too-detailed routing information is left behind. The daily schedules are structured as a vehicle routing problem with delivery and pick-up with full-day and half-day tasks. They are influenced by wind farm characteristics, vessel characteristics, and operational characteristics.
With the information that is known about the daily schedules and the input parameters, a Monte Carlo simulation is deemed the most appropriate. This method takes into account the likelihood of input variables, can deal with these uncertainties, and still give a useful, trustworthy, result. The model creates many daily schedules of which the resulting maximum energy use, by the law of large numbers, converges to the expected value. For the idle time, a charging module is implemented to make the choice between standby and charging.
A case study is done to look at the influence on the results of design choices and boundary settings. The inputs that are varied during the case study are: with or without charging, the number of charging points, the layout of the offshore wind farm, the workday length, the task distribution and the charging power. The daily energy use results for a 12-hour workday vary from a bit over 4000 kWh with not that many tasks and six charging points, to over 10000 kWh for many tasks and only one charging point. Individual inputs can make a difference from 500 to 3000 kWh. The case study gives a good insight into how much influence different parameters have on daily energy use and shows that offshore charging during the day can drastically reduce the maximum battery energy needed during the day.
Estimate vessel emissions in ports using AIS data
A study to identify emission distribution patterns in ports and evaluate emission reduction strategies
Although most of the emissions of vessels take place at sea, the most noticeable part takes place in ports since they are located close to urbanized areas. Therefore, this research focuses specifically on emissions in ports. The study investigates the impact of sea-going vessels. By gaining insight in the emissions of sea-going vessels, the big polluters can be tackled. Due to the scope of the research, not all vessel types and emission types are taken into account. Ten vessel types are selected and only CO2, NOx, SOx and PM10 emissions are estimated. These are the most relevant polluters in the shipping industry since they cause health and environmental related issues, both locally as more widely.
To provide insight in the emissions, the objective of this study is to develop a generalized method to calculate and map the emission of a single vessel in space and time in ports based on reliable data. To reduce these emissions, emission reduction strategies have to be drawn up, targeting the largest emission sources and the most crucial locations. Therefore, the developed method must not only quantify the emission sources, but must also provide insight in emission patterns in ports and indicate emission hotspots.
A bottom-up method is developed to estimate the emission of a single vessel in space and time. To derive the emission rate of a vessel, the fuel and energy consumption of the vessel is multiplied by a vessel-specific emission factor. The CO2 and SOx emissions follow a fuel-based approach, in which the emissions produced are directly proportional to the fuel consumption and therefore depend on the engine load. The energy-based approach is used for estimating NOx and PM10 emissions, which cannot be directly related to the fuel consumption but depend on engine characteristics. The fuel consumption is determined by multiplying the energy consumption of the engine with a fuel consumption factor specific to each vessel, meaning the fuel consumption is related to the energy consumption.
The amount of energy the main engines of a vessel consume, is the energy needed to overcome the resistance a ship experiences from sailing through the water and is therefore related to the vessel's speed. This speed is derived from AIS data. AIS data represents real-life vessel tracking data and is gathered automatically, which makes it a reliable and realistic data source. It also provides the ability to make the emission estimations time dependent. Due to the global coverage, AIS data is a good data source to develop a generic method applicable to ports all around the world.
However, in ports the vessel's speed alone is not a good indicator of the energy consumption, since this neglects the amount of energy the auxiliary engines consume. Their energy consumption is dependent on how much energy the electrical systems of a vessel require at that moment, which can be high when a vessel is for example at berth or manoeuvring. The energy consumption is therefore related to the operations a vessel performs. This leads to an approach which takes into account the vessel's resistance and operational modes.
Four operational modes are important to distinguish in ports: 'sailing', 'manoeuvring', 'anchoring' and 'berthing'. According to the operational mode, the main engine power is either estimated with the resistance calculation from Holtrop and Mennen when the vessel is sailing or manoeuvring, or assumed zero when laying still at anchor or berth. According to the operational mode, the auxiliary engine power can be derived from values of the IMO fourth GHG research. Depending on the emission type and vessel characteristics, the emission factor is determined.
The algorithm to determine the emission of a single vessel in space and time is implemented in a model. The model's input consists of AIS data providing the speed and position of the vessel, a vessel database containing vessel characteristics based on information from the Sea-web Ships database, and a FISgraph of the port network. This graph contains the fairway characteristics needed to calculate the resistance. The calculated emissions will also be displayed on the FIS graph for a detailed insight in the emission distribution in space.
The model provides an insight in the emissions patterns in a port. The fairway sections which are subjected to high emissions can be identified immediately and so the emission hotspots are determined. The source of the emissions can be identified by down-drilling of the emissions. The model can drill down to vessel types, operational modes and all the way down to a single vessel in space and time.
The model is illustrated by means of two case studies concerning the Port of Rotterdam and the Port of Constanța. These case studies indicate that the port basins hosting the largest vessels have the highest estimated emissions. These basins are indicated as an emission hotspot by the model when the emissions are projected on the FIS graph. In ports generally, high emissions are observed at places with a high traffic intensity, such as the port entrance. Junctions of fairway sections or port basin entrances also show locally higher emissions. The rise in emissions, is probably due to the fact that vessels are slowing down when approaching a junction. This increases the emission rate of a vessel due to more inefficient engine use, but also since they spend a larger amount of time at this fairway section.
By indicating the location and source of the emission hotspots, targeted emission reduction measures can be taken. Three of these measures are demonstrated on one of the case studies. The first strategy concerns installing shore power. The model is able to simulate vessels connected to shore power, by setting their emission rate at berth to zero. This simulation is compared to the original situation without using shore power. Out of the evaluated reduction measures, this seems the best strategy to reduce emissions since it shows the largest reduction of the total emissions. Besides that, it is an effective measure especially for ports, since the largest emissions reduction takes place at berth. The second evaluated strategy shows also good results and is about switching from a normal tugboat fleet to a zero-emission tugboat fleet. The model simulates this switch by eliminating all the tugboats from the fleet since their emissions will be zero. This new case is compared to the original situation with normal tugboats. The third option to reduce emissions is applying ECA limits which do not seem to have a lot of effect on reducing emissions except for the SOx emissions. This is derived from comparing the original situation without ECA limits, to a new case study where a situation with ECA limits is simulated. This means that the fuel types of the vessels are changed from the most economical fuel type to the lightest fuel type on board and that the sulphur content in the fuel is altered.
However, the model has some limitations. The method does not take into account the effect of currents or variations in time of the water depth. The accuracy of the resistance calculation can be improved by adding these. Furthermore, the emission pattern of tugboats needs further examination as it could not be demonstrated that the split of emissions into operational modes is correctly. The research has also shown that the method to estimate the energy consumption is not suitable for tankers at berth, since their energy consumption pattern is different. The quantity of emissions in the case study of the Port of Rotterdam is far from the expected amount of emissions. The quantification of emissions is assumed to be unreliable and further research should focus on validating these results.
Concluding, the developed model makes use of AIS data, local waterway properties, empirical emission factors and operational modes. This data is used in a physics-based method to estimate the resistance and the energy consumption. If this information is available, all this combined makes the approach in principle applicable to any port. The developed model provides an insight in the emission distribution patterns and provides the ability for down-drilling to find the source of the emission hotspots. A targeted emission reduction strategy can be proposed as a result of this and the model has the ability to evaluate specific emission reduction strategies. The strategies can be simulated with the developed model and the effect of these measures can be quantified by comparing the emission reduction strategy to a situation without these measures. ...
Although most of the emissions of vessels take place at sea, the most noticeable part takes place in ports since they are located close to urbanized areas. Therefore, this research focuses specifically on emissions in ports. The study investigates the impact of sea-going vessels. By gaining insight in the emissions of sea-going vessels, the big polluters can be tackled. Due to the scope of the research, not all vessel types and emission types are taken into account. Ten vessel types are selected and only CO2, NOx, SOx and PM10 emissions are estimated. These are the most relevant polluters in the shipping industry since they cause health and environmental related issues, both locally as more widely.
To provide insight in the emissions, the objective of this study is to develop a generalized method to calculate and map the emission of a single vessel in space and time in ports based on reliable data. To reduce these emissions, emission reduction strategies have to be drawn up, targeting the largest emission sources and the most crucial locations. Therefore, the developed method must not only quantify the emission sources, but must also provide insight in emission patterns in ports and indicate emission hotspots.
A bottom-up method is developed to estimate the emission of a single vessel in space and time. To derive the emission rate of a vessel, the fuel and energy consumption of the vessel is multiplied by a vessel-specific emission factor. The CO2 and SOx emissions follow a fuel-based approach, in which the emissions produced are directly proportional to the fuel consumption and therefore depend on the engine load. The energy-based approach is used for estimating NOx and PM10 emissions, which cannot be directly related to the fuel consumption but depend on engine characteristics. The fuel consumption is determined by multiplying the energy consumption of the engine with a fuel consumption factor specific to each vessel, meaning the fuel consumption is related to the energy consumption.
The amount of energy the main engines of a vessel consume, is the energy needed to overcome the resistance a ship experiences from sailing through the water and is therefore related to the vessel's speed. This speed is derived from AIS data. AIS data represents real-life vessel tracking data and is gathered automatically, which makes it a reliable and realistic data source. It also provides the ability to make the emission estimations time dependent. Due to the global coverage, AIS data is a good data source to develop a generic method applicable to ports all around the world.
However, in ports the vessel's speed alone is not a good indicator of the energy consumption, since this neglects the amount of energy the auxiliary engines consume. Their energy consumption is dependent on how much energy the electrical systems of a vessel require at that moment, which can be high when a vessel is for example at berth or manoeuvring. The energy consumption is therefore related to the operations a vessel performs. This leads to an approach which takes into account the vessel's resistance and operational modes.
Four operational modes are important to distinguish in ports: 'sailing', 'manoeuvring', 'anchoring' and 'berthing'. According to the operational mode, the main engine power is either estimated with the resistance calculation from Holtrop and Mennen when the vessel is sailing or manoeuvring, or assumed zero when laying still at anchor or berth. According to the operational mode, the auxiliary engine power can be derived from values of the IMO fourth GHG research. Depending on the emission type and vessel characteristics, the emission factor is determined.
The algorithm to determine the emission of a single vessel in space and time is implemented in a model. The model's input consists of AIS data providing the speed and position of the vessel, a vessel database containing vessel characteristics based on information from the Sea-web Ships database, and a FISgraph of the port network. This graph contains the fairway characteristics needed to calculate the resistance. The calculated emissions will also be displayed on the FIS graph for a detailed insight in the emission distribution in space.
The model provides an insight in the emissions patterns in a port. The fairway sections which are subjected to high emissions can be identified immediately and so the emission hotspots are determined. The source of the emissions can be identified by down-drilling of the emissions. The model can drill down to vessel types, operational modes and all the way down to a single vessel in space and time.
The model is illustrated by means of two case studies concerning the Port of Rotterdam and the Port of Constanța. These case studies indicate that the port basins hosting the largest vessels have the highest estimated emissions. These basins are indicated as an emission hotspot by the model when the emissions are projected on the FIS graph. In ports generally, high emissions are observed at places with a high traffic intensity, such as the port entrance. Junctions of fairway sections or port basin entrances also show locally higher emissions. The rise in emissions, is probably due to the fact that vessels are slowing down when approaching a junction. This increases the emission rate of a vessel due to more inefficient engine use, but also since they spend a larger amount of time at this fairway section.
By indicating the location and source of the emission hotspots, targeted emission reduction measures can be taken. Three of these measures are demonstrated on one of the case studies. The first strategy concerns installing shore power. The model is able to simulate vessels connected to shore power, by setting their emission rate at berth to zero. This simulation is compared to the original situation without using shore power. Out of the evaluated reduction measures, this seems the best strategy to reduce emissions since it shows the largest reduction of the total emissions. Besides that, it is an effective measure especially for ports, since the largest emissions reduction takes place at berth. The second evaluated strategy shows also good results and is about switching from a normal tugboat fleet to a zero-emission tugboat fleet. The model simulates this switch by eliminating all the tugboats from the fleet since their emissions will be zero. This new case is compared to the original situation with normal tugboats. The third option to reduce emissions is applying ECA limits which do not seem to have a lot of effect on reducing emissions except for the SOx emissions. This is derived from comparing the original situation without ECA limits, to a new case study where a situation with ECA limits is simulated. This means that the fuel types of the vessels are changed from the most economical fuel type to the lightest fuel type on board and that the sulphur content in the fuel is altered.
However, the model has some limitations. The method does not take into account the effect of currents or variations in time of the water depth. The accuracy of the resistance calculation can be improved by adding these. Furthermore, the emission pattern of tugboats needs further examination as it could not be demonstrated that the split of emissions into operational modes is correctly. The research has also shown that the method to estimate the energy consumption is not suitable for tankers at berth, since their energy consumption pattern is different. The quantity of emissions in the case study of the Port of Rotterdam is far from the expected amount of emissions. The quantification of emissions is assumed to be unreliable and further research should focus on validating these results.
Concluding, the developed model makes use of AIS data, local waterway properties, empirical emission factors and operational modes. This data is used in a physics-based method to estimate the resistance and the energy consumption. If this information is available, all this combined makes the approach in principle applicable to any port. The developed model provides an insight in the emission distribution patterns and provides the ability for down-drilling to find the source of the emission hotspots. A targeted emission reduction strategy can be proposed as a result of this and the model has the ability to evaluate specific emission reduction strategies. The strategies can be simulated with the developed model and the effect of these measures can be quantified by comparing the emission reduction strategy to a situation without these measures.
Photovoltaic potential of the Dutch shipping fleet
Experimentally validated method based on photovoltaic power calculations to simulate the energy yield of general cargo inland vessels
A method is developed to simulate the energy yield of moving general cargo vessels. The estimated energy yield is based on hourly power calculations. A difference is made between container and bulk vessels. This simulation model consists of a skyline, a vessel, an irradiance, a PV module temperature, and an energy model. In the skyline model, skyline profiles for 3036 waterway points are generated using LIDAR AHN3 height data. The waterways skylines are corrected for every vessel individually. In the vessel model, AIS (automatic identification system) data is used to simulate the sailing behaviour of 2746 vessels. In the irradiance model, the diffused, direct and ground reflection irradiance received by the PV panel is simulated. The diffused irradiance is calculated according to the Perez model. The PV module temperature is estimated according to the fluid-dynamic model. The additional air caused by the forward movement of the vessel and the water temperature is taken into account. Finally, the PV energy yield is calculated by the received irradiance, the suitable PV surface and the corrected PV module efficiency.
An experiment is performed to validate the developed model, where a PV panel is installed on the vessel Harmonie. Equipment is installed to monitor Harmonie during one docking week and two sailing weeks. A co-variance linear regression model describes the relationship between the measured and the estimated PV power. According to the co-variance linear regression model, the P-value for the simulated PV power is below 0.05 and, therefore statistically significant. The outcome of the linear regression model is overestimated by 4 % with a 95 % confidence interval between 0.87 and 1.05.
740,958 PV panels can be installed on the general cargo fleet. Together, these panels have an installed peak power of 267 [MW] and an annual estimated PV potential of 230 [GWh]. The annual PV energy per unit area of a container vessel is 171 [kWh/m2 ] and for a bulk vessel 168 [kWh/m2 ]. The annual PV energy per installed power for a container vessel is 864 [Wh/Wp] and for a bulk vessel 852 [Wh/Wp]. When the outliers are removed from the annual specific power [Wh/Wp] dataset, the complete fleet can be modelled by a Weibull distribution. A t locationscale distribution is suggested when the outliers are not removed from the dataset. The average annual energy demand of a container vessel is 1440 [MWh], 7.17 % of this demand can be supplied by the PV panels installed on the vessel. Bulk vessels have an energy demand of 1350 [MWh] on average, of which the installed PV panels can cover 5.82 %.
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A method is developed to simulate the energy yield of moving general cargo vessels. The estimated energy yield is based on hourly power calculations. A difference is made between container and bulk vessels. This simulation model consists of a skyline, a vessel, an irradiance, a PV module temperature, and an energy model. In the skyline model, skyline profiles for 3036 waterway points are generated using LIDAR AHN3 height data. The waterways skylines are corrected for every vessel individually. In the vessel model, AIS (automatic identification system) data is used to simulate the sailing behaviour of 2746 vessels. In the irradiance model, the diffused, direct and ground reflection irradiance received by the PV panel is simulated. The diffused irradiance is calculated according to the Perez model. The PV module temperature is estimated according to the fluid-dynamic model. The additional air caused by the forward movement of the vessel and the water temperature is taken into account. Finally, the PV energy yield is calculated by the received irradiance, the suitable PV surface and the corrected PV module efficiency.
An experiment is performed to validate the developed model, where a PV panel is installed on the vessel Harmonie. Equipment is installed to monitor Harmonie during one docking week and two sailing weeks. A co-variance linear regression model describes the relationship between the measured and the estimated PV power. According to the co-variance linear regression model, the P-value for the simulated PV power is below 0.05 and, therefore statistically significant. The outcome of the linear regression model is overestimated by 4 % with a 95 % confidence interval between 0.87 and 1.05.
740,958 PV panels can be installed on the general cargo fleet. Together, these panels have an installed peak power of 267 [MW] and an annual estimated PV potential of 230 [GWh]. The annual PV energy per unit area of a container vessel is 171 [kWh/m2 ] and for a bulk vessel 168 [kWh/m2 ]. The annual PV energy per installed power for a container vessel is 864 [Wh/Wp] and for a bulk vessel 852 [Wh/Wp]. When the outliers are removed from the annual specific power [Wh/Wp] dataset, the complete fleet can be modelled by a Weibull distribution. A t locationscale distribution is suggested when the outliers are not removed from the dataset. The average annual energy demand of a container vessel is 1440 [MWh], 7.17 % of this demand can be supplied by the PV panels installed on the vessel. Bulk vessels have an energy demand of 1350 [MWh] on average, of which the installed PV panels can cover 5.82 %.
Formulas and rules of thumb found in literature are not sufficient to determine the resulting flow pattern of this system due to the complex geometry, including a pile row for flow velocity reduction. Other studies have shown that numerical models could simulate flow patterns of discharge sluices with much detail. However, a lot of detail in the results also requires much computational time. An example of a detailed numerical software program that is able to simulate the complete three-dimensional flow field is COMSOL Multiphysics 5.6 (COMSOL). Although it provides the most detail, simulating the flow in the entire area of interest (including the RYCO) for a complete tidal cycle in COMSOL would take too much computational time.
The objective of the present study is therefore to investigate the possibilities of determining the flow pattern downstream of a discharge sluice using a numerical method that requires less computational time but has sufficient accuracy to determine the potential impact of a discharge sluice on nautical activities.
In the present study, two options are considered to determine the flow field downstream of a discharge sluice. Method COMSOL-D3D is a coupled numerical method of a COMSOL and a coarser Delft3D-FLOW 4 (D3D) model. The other option, method D3D, uses only a D3D model and the sluice outflow is schematized by means of the general discharge relation.
As validation of the results is not possible due to a lack of measurement data, the methods are applied to a simplified case. The flow pattern resulting from each method is compared to the results obtained with a so-called baseline method. This method consists of modelling the entire domain with only a detailed numerical model, COMSOL. This is possible since, for validation purpose, the domain of the simplified case is relatively small and only stationary conditions are considered.
In conclusion, there is a lot of potential in the use of both methods in predicting the flow pattern downstream of a discharge sluice. They produce for the simplified case flow patterns similar to those obtained with the detailed method. Moreover, both methods require relatively little computational time compared to a full 3D simulation, method D3D requires the least amount. However, there are a number of conditions for the application of both methods.
The methods cannot be applied in the direct vicinity of the discharge sluice where the flow is highly three-dimensional. If one is interested in the flow in the first meters after the outflow opening or around the pile row, for example for designing the bottom protection, the two considered options are not sufficiently accurate. The flow in this area is too complex to simulate in a D3D model. In this case it is recommended to model the situation completely in COMSOL or a model similar to COMSOL. Furthermore, method D3D can only be applied if the sluice system is simple enough to correctly determine the discharge coefficient analytically/empirically and to simulate the effect of the pile row with a simplification in D3D. It is possible to accurately determine the effect of the pile row on the flow in this study with a schematized porous plate in D3D. Further research must show whether this applies to all types of pile rows.
For method COMSOL-D3D it is important that a correct coupling is made between both models. Here it is important to gradually impose the flow rates in the D3D model. Furthermore, the coupling should be made before the predicted point at which the jets starts deflecting towards the side but downstream of the area at which three-dimensional flows caused by the pile row are present.
It is important to note that due to a lack of validation data there is an uncertainty in the results following from the model approaches. Further research and the use of validation data must show how accurate the results of the considered methods are.
In this research method D3D is applied to the Ostend case. It becomes clear that flow rates exceed predetermined limits for safe operation in the marina. This applies to the entire marina and a large part of the time that the discharge sluice is discharging in marina direction. Measures will therefore have to be taken to prevent this. It is recommended to use method COMSOL-D3D to investigate the optimization between flow velocities in the marina and the discharge capacity. This is due to the fact that the design of the discharge sluice is expected to become much more complex and as a result the discharge coefficient is no longer easy to determine using formulas from literature. ...
Formulas and rules of thumb found in literature are not sufficient to determine the resulting flow pattern of this system due to the complex geometry, including a pile row for flow velocity reduction. Other studies have shown that numerical models could simulate flow patterns of discharge sluices with much detail. However, a lot of detail in the results also requires much computational time. An example of a detailed numerical software program that is able to simulate the complete three-dimensional flow field is COMSOL Multiphysics 5.6 (COMSOL). Although it provides the most detail, simulating the flow in the entire area of interest (including the RYCO) for a complete tidal cycle in COMSOL would take too much computational time.
The objective of the present study is therefore to investigate the possibilities of determining the flow pattern downstream of a discharge sluice using a numerical method that requires less computational time but has sufficient accuracy to determine the potential impact of a discharge sluice on nautical activities.
In the present study, two options are considered to determine the flow field downstream of a discharge sluice. Method COMSOL-D3D is a coupled numerical method of a COMSOL and a coarser Delft3D-FLOW 4 (D3D) model. The other option, method D3D, uses only a D3D model and the sluice outflow is schematized by means of the general discharge relation.
As validation of the results is not possible due to a lack of measurement data, the methods are applied to a simplified case. The flow pattern resulting from each method is compared to the results obtained with a so-called baseline method. This method consists of modelling the entire domain with only a detailed numerical model, COMSOL. This is possible since, for validation purpose, the domain of the simplified case is relatively small and only stationary conditions are considered.
In conclusion, there is a lot of potential in the use of both methods in predicting the flow pattern downstream of a discharge sluice. They produce for the simplified case flow patterns similar to those obtained with the detailed method. Moreover, both methods require relatively little computational time compared to a full 3D simulation, method D3D requires the least amount. However, there are a number of conditions for the application of both methods.
The methods cannot be applied in the direct vicinity of the discharge sluice where the flow is highly three-dimensional. If one is interested in the flow in the first meters after the outflow opening or around the pile row, for example for designing the bottom protection, the two considered options are not sufficiently accurate. The flow in this area is too complex to simulate in a D3D model. In this case it is recommended to model the situation completely in COMSOL or a model similar to COMSOL. Furthermore, method D3D can only be applied if the sluice system is simple enough to correctly determine the discharge coefficient analytically/empirically and to simulate the effect of the pile row with a simplification in D3D. It is possible to accurately determine the effect of the pile row on the flow in this study with a schematized porous plate in D3D. Further research must show whether this applies to all types of pile rows.
For method COMSOL-D3D it is important that a correct coupling is made between both models. Here it is important to gradually impose the flow rates in the D3D model. Furthermore, the coupling should be made before the predicted point at which the jets starts deflecting towards the side but downstream of the area at which three-dimensional flows caused by the pile row are present.
It is important to note that due to a lack of validation data there is an uncertainty in the results following from the model approaches. Further research and the use of validation data must show how accurate the results of the considered methods are.
In this research method D3D is applied to the Ostend case. It becomes clear that flow rates exceed predetermined limits for safe operation in the marina. This applies to the entire marina and a large part of the time that the discharge sluice is discharging in marina direction. Measures will therefore have to be taken to prevent this. It is recommended to use method COMSOL-D3D to investigate the optimization between flow velocities in the marina and the discharge capacity. This is due to the fact that the design of the discharge sluice is expected to become much more complex and as a result the discharge coefficient is no longer easy to determine using formulas from literature.
Mapping port operability indicators across the world
Screening the suitability of port locations related to metocean conditions
to 10 minutes. Optimisation on economical value of the vessels was found to be less effective than optimisation on time. Optimisation on time was also found to be fairer. The LOSCO model is a step ahead towards a practical lock scheduling model. In order to achieve a fully practical model, some simplifications need to be expanded. It is recommended to first improve the model before it is applied in practice, as the model is able to outperform SIVAK in some cases, but not in the busiest cases. After this some extra features can be implemented, such as the model dealing with vessel delays and locks with 3 chambers. ...
to 10 minutes. Optimisation on economical value of the vessels was found to be less effective than optimisation on time. Optimisation on time was also found to be fairer. The LOSCO model is a step ahead towards a practical lock scheduling model. In order to achieve a fully practical model, some simplifications need to be expanded. It is recommended to first improve the model before it is applied in practice, as the model is able to outperform SIVAK in some cases, but not in the busiest cases. After this some extra features can be implemented, such as the model dealing with vessel delays and locks with 3 chambers.