E.J. Houwing
Please Note
42 records found
1
Rethinking Risk Budgeting in Real Estate Redevelopment
A component-level analysis of cost deviations, uncertainty types and the limits of probabilistic buffering
This thesis examines whether risk budgeting in real estate redevelopment can be improved through component-level differentiation of cost deviations and an explicit distinction between uncertainty reducibility and probabilistic representability. The research connects component-level cost analysis with uncertainty theory. The epistemic–aleatory distinction is used to assess whether uncertainty is knowledge-related and potentially reducible, or whether it reflects inherent or externally driven variability. Knight’s distinction between measurable risk and fundamental uncertainty is used to assess whether an uncertainty mechanism is sufficiently recurrent, comparable and stable to support probabilistic treatment. Reference Class Forecasting is used as a theoretical benchmark for evaluating the conditions under which historical cost deviations can support probabilistic buffering.
A multiple case study was conducted within the CBRE / Turner & Townsend redevelopment context. Six completed real estate redevelopment projects were analysed using a mixed-method design. The quantitative analysis compared the contractually fixed Aannemingsovereenkomst (AOK) baseline with approved post-contract additional and reduced works. Cost data were decomposed using an Element-Based Breakdown Structure for building-related components and an additional Category Z for non-elemental project-process costs. This analysis identified where realised cost deviations concentrated and selected dominant deviations for qualitative follow-up. Semi-structured interviews and project documentation were then used to reconstruct the underlying mechanisms and classify twenty-one dominant component-level deviations according to causal origin, reducibility and probabilistic representability.
The findings show that redevelopment cost deviations were strongly concentrated rather than evenly distributed across project budgets. Across the six cases, four of the twenty Level 2 component categories, D50 Electrical, B20 Exterior Enclosure, D40 Fire Protection and D30 HVAC, accounted for 52.32% of the total absolute cost deviation. However, component recurrence alone did not imply causal comparability. Similar component categories reflected different uncertainty mechanisms depending on project context, baseline maturity, stakeholder conditions and technical interfaces. The qualitative classification showed that epistemic uncertainty was prevalent: ten deviations were classified as Epistemic Knightian and six as Epistemic Risk, together representing 76.2% of the analysed dominant deviations. These deviations were commonly linked to incomplete technical elaboration, insufficient verification, unresolved existing-building information, coordination issues, evolving stakeholder requirements and deliberately postponed scope decisions.
The study concludes that redevelopment risk budgeting can be improved meaningfully, but conditionally. The improvement does not primarily lie in calculating a more accurate aggregated contingency percentage. Instead, risk budgeting should move from aggregated financial buffering towards component-level uncertainty diagnosis and differentiated risk treatment. Potentially reducible uncertainty should first be addressed through investigation, technical verification, coordination or scope clarification. Probabilistic buffering and Reference Class Forecasting are more defensible where remaining uncertainty is recurrent, comparable and stable. Where comparability is weak, explicit assumptions, scenario reasoning and managerial judgement remain necessary. The contribution of this research is therefore diagnostic rather than predictive: it reframes redevelopment cost deviations as indicators of underlying uncertainty and provides a basis for deciding which uncertainties should be reduced, which should be buffered and which require project-specific judgement.
...
This thesis examines whether risk budgeting in real estate redevelopment can be improved through component-level differentiation of cost deviations and an explicit distinction between uncertainty reducibility and probabilistic representability. The research connects component-level cost analysis with uncertainty theory. The epistemic–aleatory distinction is used to assess whether uncertainty is knowledge-related and potentially reducible, or whether it reflects inherent or externally driven variability. Knight’s distinction between measurable risk and fundamental uncertainty is used to assess whether an uncertainty mechanism is sufficiently recurrent, comparable and stable to support probabilistic treatment. Reference Class Forecasting is used as a theoretical benchmark for evaluating the conditions under which historical cost deviations can support probabilistic buffering.
A multiple case study was conducted within the CBRE / Turner & Townsend redevelopment context. Six completed real estate redevelopment projects were analysed using a mixed-method design. The quantitative analysis compared the contractually fixed Aannemingsovereenkomst (AOK) baseline with approved post-contract additional and reduced works. Cost data were decomposed using an Element-Based Breakdown Structure for building-related components and an additional Category Z for non-elemental project-process costs. This analysis identified where realised cost deviations concentrated and selected dominant deviations for qualitative follow-up. Semi-structured interviews and project documentation were then used to reconstruct the underlying mechanisms and classify twenty-one dominant component-level deviations according to causal origin, reducibility and probabilistic representability.
The findings show that redevelopment cost deviations were strongly concentrated rather than evenly distributed across project budgets. Across the six cases, four of the twenty Level 2 component categories, D50 Electrical, B20 Exterior Enclosure, D40 Fire Protection and D30 HVAC, accounted for 52.32% of the total absolute cost deviation. However, component recurrence alone did not imply causal comparability. Similar component categories reflected different uncertainty mechanisms depending on project context, baseline maturity, stakeholder conditions and technical interfaces. The qualitative classification showed that epistemic uncertainty was prevalent: ten deviations were classified as Epistemic Knightian and six as Epistemic Risk, together representing 76.2% of the analysed dominant deviations. These deviations were commonly linked to incomplete technical elaboration, insufficient verification, unresolved existing-building information, coordination issues, evolving stakeholder requirements and deliberately postponed scope decisions.
The study concludes that redevelopment risk budgeting can be improved meaningfully, but conditionally. The improvement does not primarily lie in calculating a more accurate aggregated contingency percentage. Instead, risk budgeting should move from aggregated financial buffering towards component-level uncertainty diagnosis and differentiated risk treatment. Potentially reducible uncertainty should first be addressed through investigation, technical verification, coordination or scope clarification. Probabilistic buffering and Reference Class Forecasting are more defensible where remaining uncertainty is recurrent, comparable and stable. Where comparability is weak, explicit assumptions, scenario reasoning and managerial judgement remain necessary. The contribution of this research is therefore diagnostic rather than predictive: it reframes redevelopment cost deviations as indicators of underlying uncertainty and provides a basis for deciding which uncertainties should be reduced, which should be buffered and which require project-specific judgement.
Construction contractors struggle with the implementation of cross-project learning in practice. This thesis conducted ten semi-structured interviews in collaboration with Dura Vermeer, to gain insights into the reasons for this. Examples include individual/organizational resistance, a lack of learning infrastructure, the nature of projects, and poor information technology.
This study reveals that construction contractors predominantly operate within a ‘T-shaped’ learning landscape, which means that formal learning processes exist but are frequently neglected or not used to their full potential. This results in limited knowledge dissemination and codification, as learning and knowledge transfer mainly rely on informal, personal interactions.
To help construction contractors navigate the abovementioned issues, this study proposes a six-pillar strategy that contractors can implement in order to stimulate cross-project learning within their organizations. The six pillars include: dealing with human nature, incentivizing cross-project learning, evaluation methods, information technology systems, creating structure, and shifting the focus from product to process.
...
Construction contractors struggle with the implementation of cross-project learning in practice. This thesis conducted ten semi-structured interviews in collaboration with Dura Vermeer, to gain insights into the reasons for this. Examples include individual/organizational resistance, a lack of learning infrastructure, the nature of projects, and poor information technology.
This study reveals that construction contractors predominantly operate within a ‘T-shaped’ learning landscape, which means that formal learning processes exist but are frequently neglected or not used to their full potential. This results in limited knowledge dissemination and codification, as learning and knowledge transfer mainly rely on informal, personal interactions.
To help construction contractors navigate the abovementioned issues, this study proposes a six-pillar strategy that contractors can implement in order to stimulate cross-project learning within their organizations. The six pillars include: dealing with human nature, incentivizing cross-project learning, evaluation methods, information technology systems, creating structure, and shifting the focus from product to process.
Improving Cost Predictability in Dutch Construction Projects
The Role of Cost Structuring, Traceability, and Project Learning
The research starts from the premise that cost predictability depends not only on more accurate estimating or forecasting, but also on how cost information is structured, transferred, and used throughout the project. As cost information is repeatedly restructured between tendering, work budgeting, execution, reporting, and evaluation, the original assumptions behind it can become difficult to recognise or lost altogether; leaving deviations financially visible but no longer causally traceable.
The study was conducted in three phases. First, a literature review examined the relationship between cost structuring, cost traceability, project learning, and cost predictability, establishing that cost traceability is a necessary condition for double-loop learning: organisations can only learn structurally from deviations if they understand not just that a deviation occurred, but why. Five structuring approaches, Work Breakdown Structure, Critical Path Method, Earned Value Management, Last Planner System, and Advanced Work Packaging, were analysed for their respective contributions to structuring scope, time, cost, progress, and execution readiness.
Second, the research empirically investigated current practice within Dura Vermeer through organisational interviews and three project cases: Highway A16 De Groene Boog Rotterdam, Dike Reinforcement Tiel-Waardenburg, and Substation Vierverlaten. The cross-case analysis found that the limitation is not a lack of cost information but a lack of structural continuity between them. Cost structures change as projects move through phases, weakening the link between original assumptions, execution conditions, and final outcomes. Indirect costs proved especially difficult to trace, and cost and physical progress were often insufficiently integrated.
Based on these findings, a Construction Project Cost Traceability Framework was developed, using the Construction Work Package as a stable linking unit connecting tender assumptions, work budgets, physical progress, deviations, change mechanisms, indirect cost drivers, and learning outputs. Rather than prescribing full implementation of any single method, the framework combines selected principles: Advanced Work Packaging provides the lifecycle-oriented package structure, Last Planner System supports execution readiness and feedback, and Earned Value Management supports cost-progress measurement at package level.
The framework was validated through expert interviews with experienced Dura Vermeer practitioners, who confirmed the problem diagnosis and considered the framework feasible under conditions such as disciplined cost-data input, aligned systems across phases, clear ownership of cross-project learning, and incremental, change-management-supported introduction.
The main conclusion is that cost predictability in Dutch infrastructure projects can be improved by strengthening causal cost traceability across project phases, keeping cost information connected to the assumptions, scope elements, and decisions from which deviations originate, enabling both better in-project explanation and more systematic organisational learning. ...
The research starts from the premise that cost predictability depends not only on more accurate estimating or forecasting, but also on how cost information is structured, transferred, and used throughout the project. As cost information is repeatedly restructured between tendering, work budgeting, execution, reporting, and evaluation, the original assumptions behind it can become difficult to recognise or lost altogether; leaving deviations financially visible but no longer causally traceable.
The study was conducted in three phases. First, a literature review examined the relationship between cost structuring, cost traceability, project learning, and cost predictability, establishing that cost traceability is a necessary condition for double-loop learning: organisations can only learn structurally from deviations if they understand not just that a deviation occurred, but why. Five structuring approaches, Work Breakdown Structure, Critical Path Method, Earned Value Management, Last Planner System, and Advanced Work Packaging, were analysed for their respective contributions to structuring scope, time, cost, progress, and execution readiness.
Second, the research empirically investigated current practice within Dura Vermeer through organisational interviews and three project cases: Highway A16 De Groene Boog Rotterdam, Dike Reinforcement Tiel-Waardenburg, and Substation Vierverlaten. The cross-case analysis found that the limitation is not a lack of cost information but a lack of structural continuity between them. Cost structures change as projects move through phases, weakening the link between original assumptions, execution conditions, and final outcomes. Indirect costs proved especially difficult to trace, and cost and physical progress were often insufficiently integrated.
Based on these findings, a Construction Project Cost Traceability Framework was developed, using the Construction Work Package as a stable linking unit connecting tender assumptions, work budgets, physical progress, deviations, change mechanisms, indirect cost drivers, and learning outputs. Rather than prescribing full implementation of any single method, the framework combines selected principles: Advanced Work Packaging provides the lifecycle-oriented package structure, Last Planner System supports execution readiness and feedback, and Earned Value Management supports cost-progress measurement at package level.
The framework was validated through expert interviews with experienced Dura Vermeer practitioners, who confirmed the problem diagnosis and considered the framework feasible under conditions such as disciplined cost-data input, aligned systems across phases, clear ownership of cross-project learning, and incremental, change-management-supported introduction.
The main conclusion is that cost predictability in Dutch infrastructure projects can be improved by strengthening causal cost traceability across project phases, keeping cost information connected to the assumptions, scope elements, and decisions from which deviations originate, enabling both better in-project explanation and more systematic organisational learning.
This thesis examines how inter-firm coordination at the DMI in wind turbine blade manufacturing can be strengthened to support reliable turbine scale-up under deployment pressure. Coordination mechanisms from mature industries are used as the analytical starting point to investigate how these mechanisms appear, differ or remain underdeveloped in the wind blade context. The study follows qualitative research design. Literature on design–manufacturing integration, coordination theory and inter-firm coordination mechanisms was reviewed to construct a reference framework. This framework guided semi-structured expert interviews with participants from OEM, manufacturing and hybrid roles. The interview material was analysed through directed qualitative content analysis and synthesized into Framework C, a refined framework for strengthening inter-firm DMI coordination in the wind blade context.
The findings show that several mechanisms used in mature industries are already visible in wind blade industrialization, especially in design finalization, launch and problem-solving stages. However, the coordination base is uneven. Upstream coordination remains weaker, with limited early manufacturing involvement, fragmented cross-enterprise coordination baselines and underdeveloped supplier development. Prototype and validation learning are also pressured by the need to commercialize larger turbines quickly. Shop-floor capability emerged as a strengthening direction specific to wind blade manufacturing because blade manufacturing depends strongly on manual skill, process discipline and factory stability.
The thesis contributes by showing that coordination practices from mature industries are useful for understanding wind blade industrialization, but cannot be transferred directly. Framework C identifies which mechanisms should be retained, strengthened or added to better fit the wind turbine blade context. Practically, the study suggests that more reliable turbine scale-up requires earlier OEM–supplier coordination, stronger shared coordination structures, active supplier capability development and stronger protection of prototype learning before commercialization. ...
This thesis examines how inter-firm coordination at the DMI in wind turbine blade manufacturing can be strengthened to support reliable turbine scale-up under deployment pressure. Coordination mechanisms from mature industries are used as the analytical starting point to investigate how these mechanisms appear, differ or remain underdeveloped in the wind blade context. The study follows qualitative research design. Literature on design–manufacturing integration, coordination theory and inter-firm coordination mechanisms was reviewed to construct a reference framework. This framework guided semi-structured expert interviews with participants from OEM, manufacturing and hybrid roles. The interview material was analysed through directed qualitative content analysis and synthesized into Framework C, a refined framework for strengthening inter-firm DMI coordination in the wind blade context.
The findings show that several mechanisms used in mature industries are already visible in wind blade industrialization, especially in design finalization, launch and problem-solving stages. However, the coordination base is uneven. Upstream coordination remains weaker, with limited early manufacturing involvement, fragmented cross-enterprise coordination baselines and underdeveloped supplier development. Prototype and validation learning are also pressured by the need to commercialize larger turbines quickly. Shop-floor capability emerged as a strengthening direction specific to wind blade manufacturing because blade manufacturing depends strongly on manual skill, process discipline and factory stability.
The thesis contributes by showing that coordination practices from mature industries are useful for understanding wind blade industrialization, but cannot be transferred directly. Framework C identifies which mechanisms should be retained, strengthened or added to better fit the wind turbine blade context. Practically, the study suggests that more reliable turbine scale-up requires earlier OEM–supplier coordination, stronger shared coordination structures, active supplier capability development and stronger protection of prototype learning before commercialization.
Considering Coastal Defense Measures
Towards evidence-based ex-ante assessment of CDMs for protecting the sandy coastlines of Ghana
Exploratory interviews show this is due to a lack of early-stage consideration of Coastal Defense Measures (CDMs), evidenced by weak motivation for specific solutions in pre-feasibility studies. This thesis validates this premise by exploring the "Business as Usual" (BaU) reactive cycle in Ghanaian coastal decision-making, which led to the development of CLEAR (Coastal Leveled Evaluation of Alternative Responses) — an indicator-based Decision-Support Tool (DST) designed to provide a transparent overview of trade-offs across a wide range of possible CDMs before the pre-feasibility phase, ultimately leading to more informed consideration of alternatives.
A literature review revealed early-stage challenges and critiques of existing frameworks, establishing a preliminary list of 84 indicators. Semi-structured interviews with seven Ghanaian stakeholders identified issues in project initiation, a "clash of logics" between hard and Nature-based solutions, and a persistent focus on immediate mitigation over long-term benefits. This input led to the consolidation of 8 context-specific indicators.
These indicators were operationalized through five expert-based group sessions, resulting in the CLEAR tool which provides system analysis and objective insights into the indicators relevant for considering CDMs. Evaluation with four potential end-users showed that CLEAR successfully expanded the decision space, allowed for leveled comparison between hard and nature-based solutions, and functioned as a neutral intermediary for discussion between both a technical and non-technical audience.
In sum, CLEAR enables leveled and informed consideration of a wide variety of CDMs before the pre-feasibility phase, thereby preventing an early lock-in of familiar but suboptimal solutions. By providing objective and transparent trade-off information, the tool allows stakeholders to select measures that support the coast’s essential functions and promote long-term resilience. Still, challenges exist associated with the uptake of CLEAR, data scarcity, and Ghanaian coastal management processes and politics. ...
Exploratory interviews show this is due to a lack of early-stage consideration of Coastal Defense Measures (CDMs), evidenced by weak motivation for specific solutions in pre-feasibility studies. This thesis validates this premise by exploring the "Business as Usual" (BaU) reactive cycle in Ghanaian coastal decision-making, which led to the development of CLEAR (Coastal Leveled Evaluation of Alternative Responses) — an indicator-based Decision-Support Tool (DST) designed to provide a transparent overview of trade-offs across a wide range of possible CDMs before the pre-feasibility phase, ultimately leading to more informed consideration of alternatives.
A literature review revealed early-stage challenges and critiques of existing frameworks, establishing a preliminary list of 84 indicators. Semi-structured interviews with seven Ghanaian stakeholders identified issues in project initiation, a "clash of logics" between hard and Nature-based solutions, and a persistent focus on immediate mitigation over long-term benefits. This input led to the consolidation of 8 context-specific indicators.
These indicators were operationalized through five expert-based group sessions, resulting in the CLEAR tool which provides system analysis and objective insights into the indicators relevant for considering CDMs. Evaluation with four potential end-users showed that CLEAR successfully expanded the decision space, allowed for leveled comparison between hard and nature-based solutions, and functioned as a neutral intermediary for discussion between both a technical and non-technical audience.
In sum, CLEAR enables leveled and informed consideration of a wide variety of CDMs before the pre-feasibility phase, thereby preventing an early lock-in of familiar but suboptimal solutions. By providing objective and transparent trade-off information, the tool allows stakeholders to select measures that support the coast’s essential functions and promote long-term resilience. Still, challenges exist associated with the uptake of CLEAR, data scarcity, and Ghanaian coastal management processes and politics.
Branching out: Timber adoption in multi-storey construction through the Diffusion of Innovations framework
A qualitative study of adoption dynamics, barriers, and enablers for multi-storey timber in the Netherlands through a Diffusion of Innovations lens
The research applies the Diffusion of Innovations (DOI) framework, adapted to the realities of project-based construction. A qualitative research design was adopted, starting with an extensive literature review to identify current barriers and enablers, and to establish the theoretical foundation. This was followed by a case study analysis that examined a full timber project and a hybrid timber project in the Dutch context. In total, fifteen semi-structured interviews were conducted with key stakeholders on both projects, providing perspectives on both strategic considerations and practical experiences.
Findings reveal that while timber's innovation attributes are important, they do not determine adoption on their own. Adoption was often slowed by perceived cost disadvantages, industry fragmentation, and a preference for familiar practices, even as enablers such as environmental performance, market distinctiveness, and prefabrication strengthen its appeal. Project dynamics proved decisive, with early specialist integration, integral design processes, and blurred stakeholder roles reducing uncertainty and making adoption more feasible, while their absence led to weakened ambitions and reversion to conventional materials. Motivated champions played a critical role in sustaining ambition against cost and risk pressures. Crucially, this research highlights the role of inter-project knowledge transfer as a condition for scaling adoption, since lessons often remain locked within projects. Building on these insights, the research adapts the Diffusion of Innovations framework to the fragmented, project-based construction sector by embedding motivation, project dynamics, iteration, and knowledge transfer into the adoption process. Practically, it offers recommendations to foster early collaboration, secure and maintain shared ambitions, position timber as both a sustainability and market advantage, and enable systemic learning across projects to accelerate diffusion.
...
The research applies the Diffusion of Innovations (DOI) framework, adapted to the realities of project-based construction. A qualitative research design was adopted, starting with an extensive literature review to identify current barriers and enablers, and to establish the theoretical foundation. This was followed by a case study analysis that examined a full timber project and a hybrid timber project in the Dutch context. In total, fifteen semi-structured interviews were conducted with key stakeholders on both projects, providing perspectives on both strategic considerations and practical experiences.
Findings reveal that while timber's innovation attributes are important, they do not determine adoption on their own. Adoption was often slowed by perceived cost disadvantages, industry fragmentation, and a preference for familiar practices, even as enablers such as environmental performance, market distinctiveness, and prefabrication strengthen its appeal. Project dynamics proved decisive, with early specialist integration, integral design processes, and blurred stakeholder roles reducing uncertainty and making adoption more feasible, while their absence led to weakened ambitions and reversion to conventional materials. Motivated champions played a critical role in sustaining ambition against cost and risk pressures. Crucially, this research highlights the role of inter-project knowledge transfer as a condition for scaling adoption, since lessons often remain locked within projects. Building on these insights, the research adapts the Diffusion of Innovations framework to the fragmented, project-based construction sector by embedding motivation, project dynamics, iteration, and knowledge transfer into the adoption process. Practically, it offers recommendations to foster early collaboration, secure and maintain shared ambitions, position timber as both a sustainability and market advantage, and enable systemic learning across projects to accelerate diffusion.
Improving Risk-Based Decision-Making Using Bayesian-Enhanced EVM
A framework for integrating Root Cause Analysis with Bayesian Networks to strengthen proactive project control in complex infrastructure projects
Ambition to Impact
Housing Associations and the Circular Economy
The research combines a context study, a literature review, and a qualitative empirical phase with five semi-structured interviews with practitioners in housing associations and municipalities. Transcripts were thematically analyzed and the findings were validated in an interview with the program manager for Onderhoud en Verbetering and interim sustainability lead at Aedes. The expert validation helped to locate where circular options fall out and which steps are most useful in practice.
Three mechanisms explain how the gap is produced. First, an early financial filter, described by the expert as the horizon gap, keeps longer-term and component-level effects outside selection and funding at the moment of choice. Circular options can then drop out before they build a track record. Second, circular know-how is not yet embedded in routine tools and workflows. Lessons stay in pilots, and perceived risk remains high. Third, procurement settings and the way risk and liability are handled pull decisions back to familiar solutions under delivery pressure, especially when evidence for reused and bio-based parts is not standardized.
From these results, the thesis proposes three connected pathways. Developing Circular Expertise focuses on short learning cycles, shared checklists, and peer exchange so lessons move from pilots into routine work. Redesigning Business Model brings longer-term effects into go or no-go and award decisions through a concise circular section with a small, stable set of performance criteria and expected evidence. Building Market Supply aligns criteria and demand across clients and fits risk allocation and documentation to reused and biobased components, which lowers supplier uncertainty and supports reliable delivery at volume. The expert validation confirmed the logic and the order: capability before criteria, criteria before wider market moves.
Sector initiatives can host these steps. Netwerk Conceptueel Bouwen supports learning and specification. De Woonstandaard offers comparable baselines that can carry clear circular criteria. De Bouwstroom aggregates demand and timelines so suppliers can plan and invest. Used together, these initiatives help turn ambition into normal practice without slowing delivery.
The contribution of this work is to translate a broad tension into operational guidance for Dutch housing associations. It names and locates the horizon gap, shows the decision points where circular value is filtered out, and sets out practical steps that fit current mandates. If applied now, these steps can narrow the distance between want and can and help the sector keep a credible path to the national goal of a fully circular economy by 2050, while continuing to build the homes the Netherlands urgently needs. ...
The research combines a context study, a literature review, and a qualitative empirical phase with five semi-structured interviews with practitioners in housing associations and municipalities. Transcripts were thematically analyzed and the findings were validated in an interview with the program manager for Onderhoud en Verbetering and interim sustainability lead at Aedes. The expert validation helped to locate where circular options fall out and which steps are most useful in practice.
Three mechanisms explain how the gap is produced. First, an early financial filter, described by the expert as the horizon gap, keeps longer-term and component-level effects outside selection and funding at the moment of choice. Circular options can then drop out before they build a track record. Second, circular know-how is not yet embedded in routine tools and workflows. Lessons stay in pilots, and perceived risk remains high. Third, procurement settings and the way risk and liability are handled pull decisions back to familiar solutions under delivery pressure, especially when evidence for reused and bio-based parts is not standardized.
From these results, the thesis proposes three connected pathways. Developing Circular Expertise focuses on short learning cycles, shared checklists, and peer exchange so lessons move from pilots into routine work. Redesigning Business Model brings longer-term effects into go or no-go and award decisions through a concise circular section with a small, stable set of performance criteria and expected evidence. Building Market Supply aligns criteria and demand across clients and fits risk allocation and documentation to reused and biobased components, which lowers supplier uncertainty and supports reliable delivery at volume. The expert validation confirmed the logic and the order: capability before criteria, criteria before wider market moves.
Sector initiatives can host these steps. Netwerk Conceptueel Bouwen supports learning and specification. De Woonstandaard offers comparable baselines that can carry clear circular criteria. De Bouwstroom aggregates demand and timelines so suppliers can plan and invest. Used together, these initiatives help turn ambition into normal practice without slowing delivery.
The contribution of this work is to translate a broad tension into operational guidance for Dutch housing associations. It names and locates the horizon gap, shows the decision points where circular value is filtered out, and sets out practical steps that fit current mandates. If applied now, these steps can narrow the distance between want and can and help the sector keep a credible path to the national goal of a fully circular economy by 2050, while continuing to build the homes the Netherlands urgently needs.
Navigating Delays in Green Water Projects
Identifying Sustainability-Related Challenges and Mitigation Strategies
This thesis investigates how sustainability-related complexities affect the timely execution of green water projects and identifies targeted planning strategies to mitigate those impacts. The central research question driving this study is: What planning strategies can help in the successful implementation of Sustainability in Water Projects?
To answer this, the following sub-questions are explored:
1. What are Green Water Projects?
2. How do they differ from traditional projects?
3. What differentiating green factors could result in delays in Green Water Projects?
4. How can these delays be mitigated?
A qualitative multi-phase research approach was adopted to answer these questions, consisting of four key stages: exploratory interviews, literature review, semi-structured expert interviews, and expert feedback workshop with industry stakeholders at Bilfinger Engineering and Consultancy. The exploratory interviews scoped the landscape and helped define "green water projects" in practical terms. The literature review established the conceptual framework, while the semi-structured interviews provided in-depth insights into sustainability-related project delays. The final expert validation tested the practical applicability of the proposed strategies.
The research draws on real-world experiences, including cases involving hydrogen infrastructure, algae-based protein production, and sustainable fuel development, to contextualize the analysis.
The study identifies four core planning solutions tied to the delay drivers:
• Regulatory Uncertainty: Mitigated through early stakeholder alignment and adaptive frameworks like Front-End Loading (FEL) and the Transition Management Framework.
• Technological Novelty: Addressed via iterative testing and feedback using tools such as the Innovation Chasm Strategy and Adaptive Management.
• Financial Feasibility: Enhanced by reducing risk perception through Risk Scoring Matrices, Process Thinking, and Outcome-Based Financing approaches.
• Institutional Capacity: Strengthened through Organizational Learning, Bow Tie Risk Models, and Multilevel Transition Management, which foster resilience and governance alignment.
Building on these findings the study introduces a comprehensive roadmap structured around four interlinked pillars consisting of early stakeholder engagement, bridging the innovation adoption gap, adaptive project management, and institutional alignment with long-term sustainability goals. These pillars are operationalized through a layered approach across strategic, tactical, and operational levels, reflecting the complex, dynamic, and socio-technical nature of sustainability implementation. This multi-level structure enables flexible and adaptive planning that accommodates evolving regulatory, technological, and financial conditions, thereby supporting resilience in project delivery.
A key insight of this research is the redefinition of the traditional Iron Triangle of project management. By incorporating sustainability as a core dimension alongside cost, time, quality, and scope, the study proposes a new paradigm for project planning that aligns with contemporary environmental and social requirements. This reconceptualization allows project teams to evaluate trade-offs more holistically and design solutions that do not sacrifice long-term goals for short-term efficiency. Although the strategies have been tailored to green water projects, they are designed for adaptability and can be applied more broadly to green projects.
Ultimately, the findings serve as a practical guide for project managers and policy stakeholders seeking to overcome sustainability-induced delays. The research contributes to both academic understanding and industry practice by offering an actionable, multi-level planning framework that supports the successful implementation of sustainable infrastructure. By embedding adaptive and transition management principles alongside enhanced governance synchronization, the proposed strategies enable proactive management of uncertainty and institutional alignment, which are essential for scaling sustainable innovations in complex infrastructure projects. ...
This thesis investigates how sustainability-related complexities affect the timely execution of green water projects and identifies targeted planning strategies to mitigate those impacts. The central research question driving this study is: What planning strategies can help in the successful implementation of Sustainability in Water Projects?
To answer this, the following sub-questions are explored:
1. What are Green Water Projects?
2. How do they differ from traditional projects?
3. What differentiating green factors could result in delays in Green Water Projects?
4. How can these delays be mitigated?
A qualitative multi-phase research approach was adopted to answer these questions, consisting of four key stages: exploratory interviews, literature review, semi-structured expert interviews, and expert feedback workshop with industry stakeholders at Bilfinger Engineering and Consultancy. The exploratory interviews scoped the landscape and helped define "green water projects" in practical terms. The literature review established the conceptual framework, while the semi-structured interviews provided in-depth insights into sustainability-related project delays. The final expert validation tested the practical applicability of the proposed strategies.
The research draws on real-world experiences, including cases involving hydrogen infrastructure, algae-based protein production, and sustainable fuel development, to contextualize the analysis.
The study identifies four core planning solutions tied to the delay drivers:
• Regulatory Uncertainty: Mitigated through early stakeholder alignment and adaptive frameworks like Front-End Loading (FEL) and the Transition Management Framework.
• Technological Novelty: Addressed via iterative testing and feedback using tools such as the Innovation Chasm Strategy and Adaptive Management.
• Financial Feasibility: Enhanced by reducing risk perception through Risk Scoring Matrices, Process Thinking, and Outcome-Based Financing approaches.
• Institutional Capacity: Strengthened through Organizational Learning, Bow Tie Risk Models, and Multilevel Transition Management, which foster resilience and governance alignment.
Building on these findings the study introduces a comprehensive roadmap structured around four interlinked pillars consisting of early stakeholder engagement, bridging the innovation adoption gap, adaptive project management, and institutional alignment with long-term sustainability goals. These pillars are operationalized through a layered approach across strategic, tactical, and operational levels, reflecting the complex, dynamic, and socio-technical nature of sustainability implementation. This multi-level structure enables flexible and adaptive planning that accommodates evolving regulatory, technological, and financial conditions, thereby supporting resilience in project delivery.
A key insight of this research is the redefinition of the traditional Iron Triangle of project management. By incorporating sustainability as a core dimension alongside cost, time, quality, and scope, the study proposes a new paradigm for project planning that aligns with contemporary environmental and social requirements. This reconceptualization allows project teams to evaluate trade-offs more holistically and design solutions that do not sacrifice long-term goals for short-term efficiency. Although the strategies have been tailored to green water projects, they are designed for adaptability and can be applied more broadly to green projects.
Ultimately, the findings serve as a practical guide for project managers and policy stakeholders seeking to overcome sustainability-induced delays. The research contributes to both academic understanding and industry practice by offering an actionable, multi-level planning framework that supports the successful implementation of sustainable infrastructure. By embedding adaptive and transition management principles alongside enhanced governance synchronization, the proposed strategies enable proactive management of uncertainty and institutional alignment, which are essential for scaling sustainable innovations in complex infrastructure projects.
Bridge to Collaboration
Aligning asset owners for their infrastructure renewal challenges
interests and goals can bring challenges, which are important to overcome.
This research was executed by using a literature research, looking into a case study and conducting interviews within this case. The case is an initiative in the province of Noord Holland that has started to develop a collaboration between the different asset owners. The findings show that there are many different challenges and success factors for collaboration. The main challenges that were identified are the lack of a relationship and trust between the organisations, limited time, fear of losing autonomy and that there are different levels in the asset owner organisations. Some success factors are trust, transparency, clear communication, early involvement of stakeholders, having shared goals and having an approachable collaboration.
The collaboration in the case was described as a voluntary collaboration, where the asset owners could decide for themselves whether they want to participate in the collaboration network. A voluntary collaboration is developed when organisations see a shared challenge for which they recognise opportunities to work together. This collaboration is based on trust and having a shared goal. These components are especially important to develop in a collaboration. To answer the research question, a process description on how to initiate and develop a collaboration is designed. This model consists of five steps, which goes from defining the problem, to having informal meetings and working on building trust, to exploring the opportunities for actions that can come from the collaboration, to eventually executing these actions. Also, some important strategies and recommendations have been formulated here for the development of collaboration, which are to start small and work progressively on expanding the collaboration, it is important to define the reason for collaboration clearly, there should be goals within the collaboration, it is crucial to work on building a relationship and trust, and there has to be transparency about roles, responsibilities and
expectations.
This model can be useful for other organisations that want to initiate a collaboration for the renewal task in another region. For this, it is crucial that the interests and goals of those asset owner organisations are clear and there is a shared reason for the collaboration. ...
interests and goals can bring challenges, which are important to overcome.
This research was executed by using a literature research, looking into a case study and conducting interviews within this case. The case is an initiative in the province of Noord Holland that has started to develop a collaboration between the different asset owners. The findings show that there are many different challenges and success factors for collaboration. The main challenges that were identified are the lack of a relationship and trust between the organisations, limited time, fear of losing autonomy and that there are different levels in the asset owner organisations. Some success factors are trust, transparency, clear communication, early involvement of stakeholders, having shared goals and having an approachable collaboration.
The collaboration in the case was described as a voluntary collaboration, where the asset owners could decide for themselves whether they want to participate in the collaboration network. A voluntary collaboration is developed when organisations see a shared challenge for which they recognise opportunities to work together. This collaboration is based on trust and having a shared goal. These components are especially important to develop in a collaboration. To answer the research question, a process description on how to initiate and develop a collaboration is designed. This model consists of five steps, which goes from defining the problem, to having informal meetings and working on building trust, to exploring the opportunities for actions that can come from the collaboration, to eventually executing these actions. Also, some important strategies and recommendations have been formulated here for the development of collaboration, which are to start small and work progressively on expanding the collaboration, it is important to define the reason for collaboration clearly, there should be goals within the collaboration, it is crucial to work on building a relationship and trust, and there has to be transparency about roles, responsibilities and
expectations.
This model can be useful for other organisations that want to initiate a collaboration for the renewal task in another region. For this, it is crucial that the interests and goals of those asset owner organisations are clear and there is a shared reason for the collaboration.
This research addresses the challenge of project delivery delays by developing and evaluating a procurement strategy to accelerate reconstruction. The study employs a three-phase Design-Based Research (DBR) methodology, combining literature synthesis, a comparative analysis of three case studies, and stakeholder interviews. In the first phase, Analysis & Exploration, a novel preparedness framework was developed from literature, identifying seven aspects: Community Involvement, Knowledge, Industrial Resources, Land Planning, Regulations, Funding, and Projects & Programmes. Analysis of current practices revealed a missed opportunity in project governance, where operational capacity is not fully translated into efficient and timely project outcomes, slowing down the overall recovery process. This issue is then addressed in the second phase, Design & Construction, by designing a new procurement strategy. This strategy is centered on a pre-disaster Framework Agreement that integrates design-build delivery with the pre-stocking of modular components (RISHA). In the third phase, Evaluation & Reflection, this strategy was validated and refined through stakeholder interviews.
Utilizing the framework as the assessment tool, the study concludes that a collaborative, customized framework-based procurement strategy provides a tangible mechanism to improve preparedness by shifting institutions from a reactive to a proactive stance. This research contributes to the scientific discourse by providing a practical bridge between high-level international frameworks and the realities of project delivery. For future work, it is recommended to pursue integrated governance reform, particularly establishing national land banks and ex-ante disaster financing, and to pilot the proposed strategy in diverse contexts to further refine its application. ...
This research addresses the challenge of project delivery delays by developing and evaluating a procurement strategy to accelerate reconstruction. The study employs a three-phase Design-Based Research (DBR) methodology, combining literature synthesis, a comparative analysis of three case studies, and stakeholder interviews. In the first phase, Analysis & Exploration, a novel preparedness framework was developed from literature, identifying seven aspects: Community Involvement, Knowledge, Industrial Resources, Land Planning, Regulations, Funding, and Projects & Programmes. Analysis of current practices revealed a missed opportunity in project governance, where operational capacity is not fully translated into efficient and timely project outcomes, slowing down the overall recovery process. This issue is then addressed in the second phase, Design & Construction, by designing a new procurement strategy. This strategy is centered on a pre-disaster Framework Agreement that integrates design-build delivery with the pre-stocking of modular components (RISHA). In the third phase, Evaluation & Reflection, this strategy was validated and refined through stakeholder interviews.
Utilizing the framework as the assessment tool, the study concludes that a collaborative, customized framework-based procurement strategy provides a tangible mechanism to improve preparedness by shifting institutions from a reactive to a proactive stance. This research contributes to the scientific discourse by providing a practical bridge between high-level international frameworks and the realities of project delivery. For future work, it is recommended to pursue integrated governance reform, particularly establishing national land banks and ex-ante disaster financing, and to pilot the proposed strategy in diverse contexts to further refine its application.
Forging the path to reuse
A study on what is technically and societally needed to stimulate the adoption of reused steel bridge components by stakeholders in the construction industry
A mixed-method approach was applied, combining literature research, a technical case study, and sixteen interviews with actors from across the construction supply chain. The literature review identified five key obstacles to reuse, difficulty in sourcing of the steel, lack of design guidelines, missing EU regulations, cost uncertainty, and behavioral resistance.
To address the technical gap, a design guideline was developed based on the case study of the Freebrug in Oude Pekela. The focus was placed on Orthotropic Steel Decks (OSDs), where fatigue, corrosion, and their combination were modeled as key damage mechanisms. A finite element model incorporating past loading scenarios and critical weld zones showed that technical reuse is possible, even when damage is present. The resulting design guideline consists of three structured steps: (1) documenting initial data, (2) assessing condition during service life, (3) choosing feasible reuse applications.
Besides to that, interview results revealed nineteen obstacles, of which fourteen were not found in literature, suggesting that practice is evolving beyond academic literature. Two obstacles stood out as most frequent: ‘Availability of steel’ and ‘Negative attitudes’, both acting as ‘pillars’ rooted in deeper systemic issues. Some theoretical concerns, such as missing EU regulation or cost uncertainty, were viewed with more nuance or even downplayed by stakeholders.
Fifteen distinct strategies aiming to address these reuse obstacles were identified in interviews, the most common being: making reuse a requirement in tenders, creating supply storage locations, and training the supply chain through partnerships. To interpret the interrelations between these strategies, they were clustered into three systemic themes: (1) Rules and regulations, (2) Collective learning and shared responsibility, and (3) Practical and physical logistics. This interpretive lens revealed a misalignment between ambition and action, willingness and structure, and innovation and conventional routines.
The thesis concludes that stimulating reuse adoption requires both technical verification and systemic realignment. From a Structural Engineering perspective, the design guideline provides a replicable method to assess reuse potential for steel bridge components. From a Construction Management perspective, adoption is hindered by systemic misalignments. These two dimensions are inseparable: technical confidence alone is insufficient without systemic readiness. Reuse must be understood not as an isolated effort, but as a broader system transition requiring coordination, and adaptive capacity across the entire construction chain.
...
A mixed-method approach was applied, combining literature research, a technical case study, and sixteen interviews with actors from across the construction supply chain. The literature review identified five key obstacles to reuse, difficulty in sourcing of the steel, lack of design guidelines, missing EU regulations, cost uncertainty, and behavioral resistance.
To address the technical gap, a design guideline was developed based on the case study of the Freebrug in Oude Pekela. The focus was placed on Orthotropic Steel Decks (OSDs), where fatigue, corrosion, and their combination were modeled as key damage mechanisms. A finite element model incorporating past loading scenarios and critical weld zones showed that technical reuse is possible, even when damage is present. The resulting design guideline consists of three structured steps: (1) documenting initial data, (2) assessing condition during service life, (3) choosing feasible reuse applications.
Besides to that, interview results revealed nineteen obstacles, of which fourteen were not found in literature, suggesting that practice is evolving beyond academic literature. Two obstacles stood out as most frequent: ‘Availability of steel’ and ‘Negative attitudes’, both acting as ‘pillars’ rooted in deeper systemic issues. Some theoretical concerns, such as missing EU regulation or cost uncertainty, were viewed with more nuance or even downplayed by stakeholders.
Fifteen distinct strategies aiming to address these reuse obstacles were identified in interviews, the most common being: making reuse a requirement in tenders, creating supply storage locations, and training the supply chain through partnerships. To interpret the interrelations between these strategies, they were clustered into three systemic themes: (1) Rules and regulations, (2) Collective learning and shared responsibility, and (3) Practical and physical logistics. This interpretive lens revealed a misalignment between ambition and action, willingness and structure, and innovation and conventional routines.
The thesis concludes that stimulating reuse adoption requires both technical verification and systemic realignment. From a Structural Engineering perspective, the design guideline provides a replicable method to assess reuse potential for steel bridge components. From a Construction Management perspective, adoption is hindered by systemic misalignments. These two dimensions are inseparable: technical confidence alone is insufficient without systemic readiness. Reuse must be understood not as an isolated effort, but as a broader system transition requiring coordination, and adaptive capacity across the entire construction chain.
Actualizing Sustainability Opportunities
Enhancing Management of Sustainability Opportunities during Front-End Development in Infrastructure Projects
Implementing the Principles of Circular Economy in the Construction Industry
A framework for the construction industry practitioners to accelerate the systematic transition into circular mode of operation: Meta Narrative Review
The paper has focused on first defining the context of the scenario where the problems need to be resolved. Here the research found that the current definition of CE in the sector is extremely ambiguous and diluted with other principles, such as sustainability, reducing the effectiveness of this tool. To combat this, the thesis has developed a construction industry specific definition of CE. Moreover, the paper explored the past applications of this concept identifying previously successful sectors and factors that has led to CE thriving there.
Besides CE, the thesis contextualized the construction industry defining its inherent characteristics and comparing them to the previously defined sectors. Moreover, the research gave information about the lifecycle of construction projects, the ways in which CE principles are used, and the way in which CE affects the sector.
Following contextualization, the paper defines the problem through exploring the barriers. Here the research gave a list of 10 most critical hurdles that need to be overcome arranged in a sequence of importance. Moreover, the thesis gives a comprehensive list of 47 enablers that provide opportunities for overcoming the challenges.
Based on the available information, the study devised a general approach to barrier resolution. Here the research categorized the previously defined variables and connected them with one-another to find unique pathways to solutions. The general approach was used to create 10 targeted preliminary strategies.
The results demonstrate the complexity of achieving a systematic transition of the construction industry in a circular mode of operation. This study provides a solid academic foundation for achieving the final task. The developed 10 preliminary strategies can be used as a starting point for more in-depth solutions. For future research, paper suggests validating the general findings through real-life applications and learning from more industries about implementation and use of CE
...
The paper has focused on first defining the context of the scenario where the problems need to be resolved. Here the research found that the current definition of CE in the sector is extremely ambiguous and diluted with other principles, such as sustainability, reducing the effectiveness of this tool. To combat this, the thesis has developed a construction industry specific definition of CE. Moreover, the paper explored the past applications of this concept identifying previously successful sectors and factors that has led to CE thriving there.
Besides CE, the thesis contextualized the construction industry defining its inherent characteristics and comparing them to the previously defined sectors. Moreover, the research gave information about the lifecycle of construction projects, the ways in which CE principles are used, and the way in which CE affects the sector.
Following contextualization, the paper defines the problem through exploring the barriers. Here the research gave a list of 10 most critical hurdles that need to be overcome arranged in a sequence of importance. Moreover, the thesis gives a comprehensive list of 47 enablers that provide opportunities for overcoming the challenges.
Based on the available information, the study devised a general approach to barrier resolution. Here the research categorized the previously defined variables and connected them with one-another to find unique pathways to solutions. The general approach was used to create 10 targeted preliminary strategies.
The results demonstrate the complexity of achieving a systematic transition of the construction industry in a circular mode of operation. This study provides a solid academic foundation for achieving the final task. The developed 10 preliminary strategies can be used as a starting point for more in-depth solutions. For future research, paper suggests validating the general findings through real-life applications and learning from more industries about implementation and use of CE
Improving Digitalisation Through Client-Contractor Partnerships in Infrastructure Asset Management
The Case of BAM and Schiphol
Drawing on literature on digitalisation, absorptive capacity, and strategic interdependence, the research adopts a qualitative single-case study of the Schiphol-BAM partnership. A Design Science Research Method was used to structure the study, and the empirical data consisted of 16 semi-structured interviews, document analysis, and inductive coding using the Gioia Methodology. The resulting propositions were validated and refined in a focus group with practitioners from both organisations.
The findings show that digitalisation develops through the interaction of absorptive capacity, strategic interdependence, and five mechanisms: institutional context, financial alignment, organisational capabilities, relational dynamics, and strategic alignment. Together, these mechanisms form a grounded model that explains how digitalisation develops in infrastructure asset management (IAM) partnerships.
The research results in twelve recommendations: Schiphol should clarify digital expectations, align data requirements and long-term valuation, strengthen governance and expertise, and provide clearer leadership. BAM should scale digital solutions and increase transparency on progress. Jointly, Schiphol and BAM should improve knowledge retention, resolve system and data integration issues, and develop a shared digitalisation roadmap. The research extends existing theory by demonstrating how digitalisation unfolds in practice in IAM partnerships.
...
Drawing on literature on digitalisation, absorptive capacity, and strategic interdependence, the research adopts a qualitative single-case study of the Schiphol-BAM partnership. A Design Science Research Method was used to structure the study, and the empirical data consisted of 16 semi-structured interviews, document analysis, and inductive coding using the Gioia Methodology. The resulting propositions were validated and refined in a focus group with practitioners from both organisations.
The findings show that digitalisation develops through the interaction of absorptive capacity, strategic interdependence, and five mechanisms: institutional context, financial alignment, organisational capabilities, relational dynamics, and strategic alignment. Together, these mechanisms form a grounded model that explains how digitalisation develops in infrastructure asset management (IAM) partnerships.
The research results in twelve recommendations: Schiphol should clarify digital expectations, align data requirements and long-term valuation, strengthen governance and expertise, and provide clearer leadership. BAM should scale digital solutions and increase transparency on progress. Jointly, Schiphol and BAM should improve knowledge retention, resolve system and data integration issues, and develop a shared digitalisation roadmap. The research extends existing theory by demonstrating how digitalisation unfolds in practice in IAM partnerships.
Citizens for Climate Adaptation
Mitigating Key Barriers for Improved Facilitation of Green Citizen Initiatives
The process of facilitating GCIs was defined from the perspective of GCI initiators based on literature, including the following five phases; Gathering Support, Gathering Resources, Design, Execution and Maintenance. After each phase a moment of evaluation should take place to decide if returning to an earlier phase is needed. Semi-structured interviews and a card-sort were used to gather practical data on this process. Thematic analysis of this data revealed eight key barriers. Recommendations to mitigate these barriers were identified, with which the Citizen Empowerment for Climate Adaptation (CEfCA) framework was developed. Municipalities can apply this framework to reduce the negative effects of the barriers and increase the number of successful GCIs for CA. This framework was validated by an expert discussion with a participant from front running municipality Arnhem, that currently already actively facilitates GCIs.
This thesis attempts to fill the gap in scientific literature on how GCIs are facilitated and how to improve this in practice. The CEfCA-framework provides recommendations to improve the process of realising GCIs, but a change in attitude towards CA with instead of for citizens may be needed to effectively implement the proposed framework. Further research is recommended on how this systemic change in outlook can be achieved.
...
The process of facilitating GCIs was defined from the perspective of GCI initiators based on literature, including the following five phases; Gathering Support, Gathering Resources, Design, Execution and Maintenance. After each phase a moment of evaluation should take place to decide if returning to an earlier phase is needed. Semi-structured interviews and a card-sort were used to gather practical data on this process. Thematic analysis of this data revealed eight key barriers. Recommendations to mitigate these barriers were identified, with which the Citizen Empowerment for Climate Adaptation (CEfCA) framework was developed. Municipalities can apply this framework to reduce the negative effects of the barriers and increase the number of successful GCIs for CA. This framework was validated by an expert discussion with a participant from front running municipality Arnhem, that currently already actively facilitates GCIs.
This thesis attempts to fill the gap in scientific literature on how GCIs are facilitated and how to improve this in practice. The CEfCA-framework provides recommendations to improve the process of realising GCIs, but a change in attitude towards CA with instead of for citizens may be needed to effectively implement the proposed framework. Further research is recommended on how this systemic change in outlook can be achieved.
The type of concrete being evaluated is porous concrete, designed to include a growing substrate for hosting plants. A multi-criteria analysis is used to determine the optimal concrete mix, considering three design criteria: bioreceptivity, sustainability, and structural integrity (including compressive strength and freeze-thaw resistance). Three mix designs are developed: a reference mix with Ordinary Portland Cement (OPC) and limestone aggregates, and two mixes using a low-carbon Calcined Clay (C$^3$) binder—one with lava stone (Mix 1) and the other with recycled concrete aggregates (Mix 2). An iterative process is employed to adjust the binder and water content, evaluating workability, compressive strength after 5 days, and interconnected porosity. Once suitable proportions are achieved, the concrete samples are tested for their mechanical, bioreceptive, and sustainable properties. The incorporation of the substrate has also been tested, addressing a gap in the existing literature.
The compressive strength after 28 days was comparatively low for all tested mix designs due to high porosity, with achieved values as follows: Mix 1 (2.5 MPa), Mix 2 (3 MPa), and the reference mix (10 MPa). A decrease in compressive strength was observed when incorporating the growing substrate and after drying. Despite low compressive strength, all samples demonstrated resilience in freeze-thaw resistance, withstanding 28 FT cycles with low mass loss. However, Mix 1 and Mix 2 showed loosening of aggregates when pressed by hand after the standard testing process, indicating a need for further testing of CS after different FT cycles.
Various methods of substrate incorporation were evaluated, showing that the substrate did not penetrate the concrete pores but remained on the surface of the cubes. This did not negatively affect the bioreceptivity for plant growth. The volume of substrate incorporated per sample and mix design varied due to manual application and the surface connectivity of the aggregates for each concrete product. This variability in substrate volume affected the water absorption and retention results, suggesting that these outcomes do not consistently characterize the mix design but rather are variable. However, Mix 1 and Mix 2 exhibited high water absorption rates when considering the concrete product itself (Mix 1 = 164.4 g/L, Mix 2 = 134.1 g/L, Ref mix = 82.4 g/L). Lastly, leaching of elements from the concrete layer occurred, leading to an increase in the pH of the incorporated growing substrate. All samples showed germination after one month of testing, with Mix 1 displaying the highest average germination rate and dry biomass. However, Mix 2 and the reference mix exhibited high variance in plant growth results, likely due to varying outdoor conditions such as moisture and temperature. Further testing is recommended to better isolate the impact of these outdoor conditions, which could have contributed to the high variance in plant growth outcomes.
Finally, in terms of sustainability performance, Mix 1 and Mix 2 positively impact the environmental burden of the concrete product by reducing the ECI and CO$_2$ emissions by an average of 50\% per 1m$^3$ of concrete, considering LCA stages A1-A3. At the same time, the use of C$^3$ binder reduces the ECI and CO$_2$ emissions from the binder material extraction stage by 60\% compared to OPC binder, further demonstrating that this binder is a low-carbon alternative.
This research demonstrates that the tested mix designs, evaluated for bioreceptivity, sustainability, and structural integrity (in terms of compressive strength and freeze-thaw resistance), have great potential for use in vertical greening systems with Mix 1 identified as the most optimal concrete mix design. This finding is significant for urban environments, especially as urbanization is expected to increase in the coming years. Bioreceptive vertical greening systems made with sustainable materials can address environmental challenges in cities and align with the Sustainable Development Goals. ...
The type of concrete being evaluated is porous concrete, designed to include a growing substrate for hosting plants. A multi-criteria analysis is used to determine the optimal concrete mix, considering three design criteria: bioreceptivity, sustainability, and structural integrity (including compressive strength and freeze-thaw resistance). Three mix designs are developed: a reference mix with Ordinary Portland Cement (OPC) and limestone aggregates, and two mixes using a low-carbon Calcined Clay (C$^3$) binder—one with lava stone (Mix 1) and the other with recycled concrete aggregates (Mix 2). An iterative process is employed to adjust the binder and water content, evaluating workability, compressive strength after 5 days, and interconnected porosity. Once suitable proportions are achieved, the concrete samples are tested for their mechanical, bioreceptive, and sustainable properties. The incorporation of the substrate has also been tested, addressing a gap in the existing literature.
The compressive strength after 28 days was comparatively low for all tested mix designs due to high porosity, with achieved values as follows: Mix 1 (2.5 MPa), Mix 2 (3 MPa), and the reference mix (10 MPa). A decrease in compressive strength was observed when incorporating the growing substrate and after drying. Despite low compressive strength, all samples demonstrated resilience in freeze-thaw resistance, withstanding 28 FT cycles with low mass loss. However, Mix 1 and Mix 2 showed loosening of aggregates when pressed by hand after the standard testing process, indicating a need for further testing of CS after different FT cycles.
Various methods of substrate incorporation were evaluated, showing that the substrate did not penetrate the concrete pores but remained on the surface of the cubes. This did not negatively affect the bioreceptivity for plant growth. The volume of substrate incorporated per sample and mix design varied due to manual application and the surface connectivity of the aggregates for each concrete product. This variability in substrate volume affected the water absorption and retention results, suggesting that these outcomes do not consistently characterize the mix design but rather are variable. However, Mix 1 and Mix 2 exhibited high water absorption rates when considering the concrete product itself (Mix 1 = 164.4 g/L, Mix 2 = 134.1 g/L, Ref mix = 82.4 g/L). Lastly, leaching of elements from the concrete layer occurred, leading to an increase in the pH of the incorporated growing substrate. All samples showed germination after one month of testing, with Mix 1 displaying the highest average germination rate and dry biomass. However, Mix 2 and the reference mix exhibited high variance in plant growth results, likely due to varying outdoor conditions such as moisture and temperature. Further testing is recommended to better isolate the impact of these outdoor conditions, which could have contributed to the high variance in plant growth outcomes.
Finally, in terms of sustainability performance, Mix 1 and Mix 2 positively impact the environmental burden of the concrete product by reducing the ECI and CO$_2$ emissions by an average of 50\% per 1m$^3$ of concrete, considering LCA stages A1-A3. At the same time, the use of C$^3$ binder reduces the ECI and CO$_2$ emissions from the binder material extraction stage by 60\% compared to OPC binder, further demonstrating that this binder is a low-carbon alternative.
This research demonstrates that the tested mix designs, evaluated for bioreceptivity, sustainability, and structural integrity (in terms of compressive strength and freeze-thaw resistance), have great potential for use in vertical greening systems with Mix 1 identified as the most optimal concrete mix design. This finding is significant for urban environments, especially as urbanization is expected to increase in the coming years. Bioreceptive vertical greening systems made with sustainable materials can address environmental challenges in cities and align with the Sustainable Development Goals.
Improving the Replacement and Renovation Process of Hydraulic Structures
Creating a decision method for the implementation and assessment of standardisation