F. Schulte
Please Note
37 records found
1
Integrated Scheduling Optimization for Railway Feeder Services in the Port of Rotterdam
A game-theoretic approach to incentivising horizontal cooperation
To achieve these gains, an existing mathematical model is adapted to optimise the schedule for a single railway feeder services operator. A multi-objective function is minimised, to combine orders, reduce locomotive use and improve on time delivery. The model is benchmarked against a greedy algorithm, and structurally outperforms it.
Next, the feeder train services model (FTSM) is then used to investigate cooperative scheduling approaches. Cooperative game theory is used and the FTSM is run with stand-alone and pooled railway operators. For all scenarios tested, cooperating yields benefits, with cost reductions ranging from 25\% to 58\%, compared to stand-alone operation. The stable coalitions presented by this thesis present further gains in network capacity, as the pooled operators occupy less tracks.
This thesis fills the gap of port-specific railway freight transport, for which it both presents a novel mathematical model, and a cooperative strategy. The scenarios tested show benefits for all stakeholders, providing a solid base for further research and implementation. ...
To achieve these gains, an existing mathematical model is adapted to optimise the schedule for a single railway feeder services operator. A multi-objective function is minimised, to combine orders, reduce locomotive use and improve on time delivery. The model is benchmarked against a greedy algorithm, and structurally outperforms it.
Next, the feeder train services model (FTSM) is then used to investigate cooperative scheduling approaches. Cooperative game theory is used and the FTSM is run with stand-alone and pooled railway operators. For all scenarios tested, cooperating yields benefits, with cost reductions ranging from 25\% to 58\%, compared to stand-alone operation. The stable coalitions presented by this thesis present further gains in network capacity, as the pooled operators occupy less tracks.
This thesis fills the gap of port-specific railway freight transport, for which it both presents a novel mathematical model, and a cooperative strategy. The scenarios tested show benefits for all stakeholders, providing a solid base for further research and implementation.
A series of models were implemented to estimate the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) of ALA activation on fuel consumption per kilometre. A simple means analysis was used as an unadjusted benchmark. The primary estimator is a machine-learning-based G-computation procedure using a CatBoost decision-tree model to predict counterfactual fuel consumption under toggled ALA status. In parallel, Inverse Probability Weighting (IPW) was applied as a robustness check using a propensity-score model to ensure positivity across relevant covariate strata. Heterogeneous effects were further investigated through Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE) aggregation across ships and river environments. Statistical significance was evaluated using influence-function standard errors, bootstrap confidence intervals, and traversal-, edge-, and device-level aggregation schemes.
The estimated global ATE is small: \(0.68\%\) relative fuel savings with a tight confidence interval and statistically significant but economically modest magnitude. CATE analysis confirms consistently small effects across ships and environments, with no subgroup exhibiting large deviations from the global estimate. Furthermore, a pre-departure predictive model was developed using only information available at the start of a voyage. A CatBoost model and a Deep Backpropagation Neural Network (DBPNN) achieve high predictive accuracy and outperform a linear-regression baseline. Model performance was further contextualised through comparison with the GLEC Framework for emissions accounting.
Overall, the results indicate that while ST-ALA has a measurable but modest effect on fuel consumption, the developed methodology provides a robust and generalisable pipeline for causal evaluation and voyage-level fuel prediction in inland shipping. ...
A series of models were implemented to estimate the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) of ALA activation on fuel consumption per kilometre. A simple means analysis was used as an unadjusted benchmark. The primary estimator is a machine-learning-based G-computation procedure using a CatBoost decision-tree model to predict counterfactual fuel consumption under toggled ALA status. In parallel, Inverse Probability Weighting (IPW) was applied as a robustness check using a propensity-score model to ensure positivity across relevant covariate strata. Heterogeneous effects were further investigated through Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE) aggregation across ships and river environments. Statistical significance was evaluated using influence-function standard errors, bootstrap confidence intervals, and traversal-, edge-, and device-level aggregation schemes.
The estimated global ATE is small: \(0.68\%\) relative fuel savings with a tight confidence interval and statistically significant but economically modest magnitude. CATE analysis confirms consistently small effects across ships and environments, with no subgroup exhibiting large deviations from the global estimate. Furthermore, a pre-departure predictive model was developed using only information available at the start of a voyage. A CatBoost model and a Deep Backpropagation Neural Network (DBPNN) achieve high predictive accuracy and outperform a linear-regression baseline. Model performance was further contextualised through comparison with the GLEC Framework for emissions accounting.
Overall, the results indicate that while ST-ALA has a measurable but modest effect on fuel consumption, the developed methodology provides a robust and generalisable pipeline for causal evaluation and voyage-level fuel prediction in inland shipping.
How to Train Your Ship Traffic Model
Lessons from developing data-driven microscopic maritime traffic simulation models as a design tool for the Houston Ship Channel Gate Complex
The objective of this research is to contribute to the development of data-driven microscopic maritime traffic simulation models as a design tool for new maritime infrastructure, using the HSCGC as the case context. The main research question asks: "What requirements and characteristics must such a data-driven maritime traffic simulation model have to assess the impact of prospective maritime infrastructures on maritime traffic patterns in the context of designing the HSCGC?"
To answer this question, a mixed methodology is applied. A literature review establishes the state of the art in microscopic ship-traffic modelling and motivates the selection of AIS-based learning approaches, because they can reproduce complex manoeuvring behaviour without fully prescribing rules or equations. However, because purely data-driven models generalize poorly to unseen infrastructure, the thesis justifies the exploration of Safe Reinforcement Learning extensions, specifically safety filtering layers that can enforce collision and obstacle-avoidance constraints while deviating minimally from learned behaviour. Empirically, AIS data from 2024 is processed into trajectories to derive baseline traffic structure, kinematics, and interaction hotspots, while semi-structured interviews with expert navigators complement AIS by identifying operational constraints and anticipating behavioural changes under an HSCGC scenario. Finally, the selected simulator (ShipNaviSim) and extensions are evaluated on historical realism and situational adaptability using trajectory- and behaviour-focused performance indicators.
Results show that maritime traffic in the study area is highly structured yet interaction-rich: dominant channel-aligned flows coexist with frequent crossings (notably the Galveston-Point Bolivar ferry corridor), producing localized encounter hotspots and heterogeneous manoeuvring demand. The evaluated data-driven simulator reproduces goal-seeking motion and qualitatively plausible transit classes, but does not consistently match observed kinematic distributions (speed, drift, curvature, and acceleration), limiting quantitative realism. Among tested extensions, intermediate goals improve channel-following substantially, while an MPC-based safety layer reduces obstacle entry violations and supports scenario execution under modified geometries, though robustness remains challenging in head-on and high-density encounters.
The thesis concludes that a design-capable data-driven maritime traffic model must be a validated microscopic multi-agent AIS-driven simulator that reproduces site-specific route structure, interaction dynamics, and vessel heterogeneity, while explicitly accepting scenario inputs for new obstacles and changing demand patterns. Critically, it must incorporate a robust safety mechanism, such as safety filtering within a safe reinforcement learning framework, to enable credible and safe behaviour in previously unseen infrastructure configurations.
https://github.com/TUDelft-CITG/traffic-behaviour-cloning
...
The objective of this research is to contribute to the development of data-driven microscopic maritime traffic simulation models as a design tool for new maritime infrastructure, using the HSCGC as the case context. The main research question asks: "What requirements and characteristics must such a data-driven maritime traffic simulation model have to assess the impact of prospective maritime infrastructures on maritime traffic patterns in the context of designing the HSCGC?"
To answer this question, a mixed methodology is applied. A literature review establishes the state of the art in microscopic ship-traffic modelling and motivates the selection of AIS-based learning approaches, because they can reproduce complex manoeuvring behaviour without fully prescribing rules or equations. However, because purely data-driven models generalize poorly to unseen infrastructure, the thesis justifies the exploration of Safe Reinforcement Learning extensions, specifically safety filtering layers that can enforce collision and obstacle-avoidance constraints while deviating minimally from learned behaviour. Empirically, AIS data from 2024 is processed into trajectories to derive baseline traffic structure, kinematics, and interaction hotspots, while semi-structured interviews with expert navigators complement AIS by identifying operational constraints and anticipating behavioural changes under an HSCGC scenario. Finally, the selected simulator (ShipNaviSim) and extensions are evaluated on historical realism and situational adaptability using trajectory- and behaviour-focused performance indicators.
Results show that maritime traffic in the study area is highly structured yet interaction-rich: dominant channel-aligned flows coexist with frequent crossings (notably the Galveston-Point Bolivar ferry corridor), producing localized encounter hotspots and heterogeneous manoeuvring demand. The evaluated data-driven simulator reproduces goal-seeking motion and qualitatively plausible transit classes, but does not consistently match observed kinematic distributions (speed, drift, curvature, and acceleration), limiting quantitative realism. Among tested extensions, intermediate goals improve channel-following substantially, while an MPC-based safety layer reduces obstacle entry violations and supports scenario execution under modified geometries, though robustness remains challenging in head-on and high-density encounters.
The thesis concludes that a design-capable data-driven maritime traffic model must be a validated microscopic multi-agent AIS-driven simulator that reproduces site-specific route structure, interaction dynamics, and vessel heterogeneity, while explicitly accepting scenario inputs for new obstacles and changing demand patterns. Critically, it must incorporate a robust safety mechanism, such as safety filtering within a safe reinforcement learning framework, to enable credible and safe behaviour in previously unseen infrastructure configurations.
https://github.com/TUDelft-CITG/traffic-behaviour-cloning
Current methods rely exclusively on either static ETA reports or dynamic AIS data, missing the complete picture. This fragmented approach ignores how ships actually navigate—constantly responding to weather conditions, sea states, and their own physical capabilities.
This study develops a multi-source data fusion framework that integrates four key streams: ETA baselines, real-time AIS movements, marine weather data (wave height, wind speed, swell patterns), and vessel physical parameters (VPP). OpenFE automatic feature engineering handles complex data interactions, while six machine learning models (XGBoost, Random Forest, LightGBM, LSTM, Transformer, TabPFN) are systematically compared.
Testing on Hong Kong Port data shows TabPFN achieves optimal performance with 2.88–3.42 hour prediction errors, which means 43%–47% improvement over ETA baselines. Weather factors occupy 3 of the top 15 important features, contributing 20% of predictive power. Surprisingly, traditional machine learning consistently outperforms deep learning on this structured maritime data. These advances enable optimised berth allocation, reduced port congestion, and more reliable logistics planning, supporting the maritime industry’s digital transformation. ...
Current methods rely exclusively on either static ETA reports or dynamic AIS data, missing the complete picture. This fragmented approach ignores how ships actually navigate—constantly responding to weather conditions, sea states, and their own physical capabilities.
This study develops a multi-source data fusion framework that integrates four key streams: ETA baselines, real-time AIS movements, marine weather data (wave height, wind speed, swell patterns), and vessel physical parameters (VPP). OpenFE automatic feature engineering handles complex data interactions, while six machine learning models (XGBoost, Random Forest, LightGBM, LSTM, Transformer, TabPFN) are systematically compared.
Testing on Hong Kong Port data shows TabPFN achieves optimal performance with 2.88–3.42 hour prediction errors, which means 43%–47% improvement over ETA baselines. Weather factors occupy 3 of the top 15 important features, contributing 20% of predictive power. Surprisingly, traditional machine learning consistently outperforms deep learning on this structured maritime data. These advances enable optimised berth allocation, reduced port congestion, and more reliable logistics planning, supporting the maritime industry’s digital transformation.
Identification of Towing Operations Using AIS Data
A machine learning approach
% Gap / Problem Statement
Existing detection methods based on AIS (Automatic Identification System) data rely on heuristic, rule-based logic and typically require predefined port zones. This limits their use in unstructured environments and prevents global deployment. Most AIS-based machine learning models analyze vessels in isolation and do not capture ship-to-ship interactions, which are central to identifying tugboat operations. This work addresses that gap by explicitly modeling the interaction between tug and assisted vessel as input, enabling the detection of relational behavior. In addition, it targets the specific trajectory segments where towing occurs, rather than labeling entire vessel tracks.
% Purpose / Objective
This thesis aims to develop a scalable, data-driven machine learning pipeline that can detect and classify tugboat operations worldwide by explicitly modeling ship-to-ship interactions using AIS data. The goal is to move beyond static, zone-based rules and build a method that uses dynamic behavioral data to identify interactions. The final objective is to implement this pipeline as a system that runs continuously and can be used in any maritime region across the world. ...
% Gap / Problem Statement
Existing detection methods based on AIS (Automatic Identification System) data rely on heuristic, rule-based logic and typically require predefined port zones. This limits their use in unstructured environments and prevents global deployment. Most AIS-based machine learning models analyze vessels in isolation and do not capture ship-to-ship interactions, which are central to identifying tugboat operations. This work addresses that gap by explicitly modeling the interaction between tug and assisted vessel as input, enabling the detection of relational behavior. In addition, it targets the specific trajectory segments where towing occurs, rather than labeling entire vessel tracks.
% Purpose / Objective
This thesis aims to develop a scalable, data-driven machine learning pipeline that can detect and classify tugboat operations worldwide by explicitly modeling ship-to-ship interactions using AIS data. The goal is to move beyond static, zone-based rules and build a method that uses dynamic behavioral data to identify interactions. The final objective is to implement this pipeline as a system that runs continuously and can be used in any maritime region across the world.
Prediction of truck turnaround time based on machine learning approach
A case study at Port of Rotterdam
Previous studies on truck turnaround time prediction have largely relied on limited datasets and methodologies, such as utilizing historical truck arrival flows or terminal operation logs and using statistical methods. This research employs diverse datasets, including Bluetooth detection records, container arrival information, and environmental condition. By combining these data sources, a harmonized dataset was constructed to represent the complexities of port operations. A stacked Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network was employed as the predictive model, utilizing its ability to capture temporal dependencies and nonlinear interactions between variables. This approach allows for more comprehensive and accurate TTT predictions compared to conventional methods.
To process the noisy and incomplete Bluetooth data, a robust trip identification pipeline was developed. The pipeline employed spatial clustering, temporal filtering, and dual verification to accurately identify container truck trips, achieving an accuracy exceeding 90%. Using this processed data, the stacked LSTM model demonstrated superior predictive performance, effectively capturing periodic trends and long-term dependencies. Benchmarking results showed that the stacked LSTM outperformed traditional methods, including Random Forest and XGBoost. Sensitivity analysis highlighted the critical role of truck arrival flows and wind conditions in determining truck turnaround time variability.
In summary, this study provides a novel and scalable framework for TTT prediction, integrating multi-source data and advanced modeling techniques to address key limitations of existing approaches. The findings offer actionable insights for optimizing terminal operations and reducing congestion. Future research could focus on expanding data sources, enhancing model interpretability, and validating the framework across diverse port environments to ensure broader applicability. ...
Previous studies on truck turnaround time prediction have largely relied on limited datasets and methodologies, such as utilizing historical truck arrival flows or terminal operation logs and using statistical methods. This research employs diverse datasets, including Bluetooth detection records, container arrival information, and environmental condition. By combining these data sources, a harmonized dataset was constructed to represent the complexities of port operations. A stacked Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network was employed as the predictive model, utilizing its ability to capture temporal dependencies and nonlinear interactions between variables. This approach allows for more comprehensive and accurate TTT predictions compared to conventional methods.
To process the noisy and incomplete Bluetooth data, a robust trip identification pipeline was developed. The pipeline employed spatial clustering, temporal filtering, and dual verification to accurately identify container truck trips, achieving an accuracy exceeding 90%. Using this processed data, the stacked LSTM model demonstrated superior predictive performance, effectively capturing periodic trends and long-term dependencies. Benchmarking results showed that the stacked LSTM outperformed traditional methods, including Random Forest and XGBoost. Sensitivity analysis highlighted the critical role of truck arrival flows and wind conditions in determining truck turnaround time variability.
In summary, this study provides a novel and scalable framework for TTT prediction, integrating multi-source data and advanced modeling techniques to address key limitations of existing approaches. The findings offer actionable insights for optimizing terminal operations and reducing congestion. Future research could focus on expanding data sources, enhancing model interpretability, and validating the framework across diverse port environments to ensure broader applicability.
Aircraft Maintenance, Repair & Overhaul Spare Parts Management
Demand & Procurement Optimization
Electrification and Power Demand Management for Container Terminals
A Two-stage Stochastic Power Allocation Optimization for Electrifying Container Terminals Considering Electricity Costs and Uncertain Ship Arrival Time
This comes with extra costs as distribution system operators have to build and maintain a larger network and larger power capacities can not always be ensured for consumers such as container terminal authorities due to grid congestion. To achieve electrification for container terminals these distribution system operator costs as well as electricity costs and a congesting grid should be taken into account. To combat this, this thesis will analyze the electrification for a container terminal with a case study considering these factors.
However, scheduling power demands for container terminals is not trivial as they operate in a very dynamic and uncertain environment. This stochasticity is caused by uncertainty due to for example uncertain energy generation or uncertainty in operations, such as arrival time of ships. To ensure a container terminal has sufficient electric capacity and can manage its power demand for the day-ahead around this uncertain arrival time, a two-stage stochastic power optimization is modeled.
This optimization takes into account the flexible resources which a container terminal could benefit from, such as a battery energy storage system and flexible cooling of refrigerated containers. The charging decisions for the electric yard fleet as well as charging and discharging of battery energy storage system and cooling of reefers are scheduled for the next day. Power such as shore power and crane power for berthed ships which are loading or unloading are considered uncertain due to the uncertainty in arrival
and its deviation from the estimated time of arrival will be taken into account.
In this two-stage optimization where the aforementioned uncertain loads are second stage decisions, while decision such as when to charge batteries or cool refrigerated containers are made beforehand and therefore belonging to the first stage decisions. This stochastic two-stage optimization with uncertain ship arrival time is then solved with the progressive hedging algorithm, which decomposes the possible ship arrival scenarios in to individual solvable problems. These solutions are then pushed towards a common decision value through a penalty term.
With this model it is found that with the current electric contracted capacity, full electrification of the port equipment will not be a viable option. The necessary capacity is then optimized considering the flexible resources and electricity pricing. Dynamic electricity pricing will utilize a higher capacity to benefit from the lower electricity prices by charging and cooling at these times, despite the cost for a higher capacity. Despite these higher distribution costs, the total costs for electricity for a dynamic electricity price contract is significantly lower, minimally 23.65 % lower for the same configuration. A Time Constraint Transport Right is also analyzed, which could work for container terminals with many flexible loads, but this does not provide more incentive compared to a regular contracted capacity. ...
This comes with extra costs as distribution system operators have to build and maintain a larger network and larger power capacities can not always be ensured for consumers such as container terminal authorities due to grid congestion. To achieve electrification for container terminals these distribution system operator costs as well as electricity costs and a congesting grid should be taken into account. To combat this, this thesis will analyze the electrification for a container terminal with a case study considering these factors.
However, scheduling power demands for container terminals is not trivial as they operate in a very dynamic and uncertain environment. This stochasticity is caused by uncertainty due to for example uncertain energy generation or uncertainty in operations, such as arrival time of ships. To ensure a container terminal has sufficient electric capacity and can manage its power demand for the day-ahead around this uncertain arrival time, a two-stage stochastic power optimization is modeled.
This optimization takes into account the flexible resources which a container terminal could benefit from, such as a battery energy storage system and flexible cooling of refrigerated containers. The charging decisions for the electric yard fleet as well as charging and discharging of battery energy storage system and cooling of reefers are scheduled for the next day. Power such as shore power and crane power for berthed ships which are loading or unloading are considered uncertain due to the uncertainty in arrival
and its deviation from the estimated time of arrival will be taken into account.
In this two-stage optimization where the aforementioned uncertain loads are second stage decisions, while decision such as when to charge batteries or cool refrigerated containers are made beforehand and therefore belonging to the first stage decisions. This stochastic two-stage optimization with uncertain ship arrival time is then solved with the progressive hedging algorithm, which decomposes the possible ship arrival scenarios in to individual solvable problems. These solutions are then pushed towards a common decision value through a penalty term.
With this model it is found that with the current electric contracted capacity, full electrification of the port equipment will not be a viable option. The necessary capacity is then optimized considering the flexible resources and electricity pricing. Dynamic electricity pricing will utilize a higher capacity to benefit from the lower electricity prices by charging and cooling at these times, despite the cost for a higher capacity. Despite these higher distribution costs, the total costs for electricity for a dynamic electricity price contract is significantly lower, minimally 23.65 % lower for the same configuration. A Time Constraint Transport Right is also analyzed, which could work for container terminals with many flexible loads, but this does not provide more incentive compared to a regular contracted capacity.
additional research to gain more insight into the operating performance. This research serves as a proof-of-concept for future applications. ...
additional research to gain more insight into the operating performance. This research serves as a proof-of-concept for future applications.
The core of the DRL4Route framework lies in its ability to continuously learn and adapt to real-world conditions. Unlike traditional static models, DRL4Route leverages spatiotemporal data to predict optimal tugboat routes. This allows for real-time evaluations that can help the predicted route match closely with the actual route which helps tugboats arrive at the right location at the right times. The framework’s focus on optimising both pick-up and drop-off points helps port operators avoid inefficiencies that can arise from poorly coordinated tugboat movements.
By improving the efficiency of tugboat operations, DRL4Route contributes to a more sustainable and resilient port ecosystem. The system’s adaptability and potential for real-time decision-making make it a strong candidate for future automation of tugboat operations. This thesis highlights how advanced machine learning techniques can enhance the performance of ports like Rotterdam, driving economic benefits and reducing the environmental impact of maritime operations.
...
The core of the DRL4Route framework lies in its ability to continuously learn and adapt to real-world conditions. Unlike traditional static models, DRL4Route leverages spatiotemporal data to predict optimal tugboat routes. This allows for real-time evaluations that can help the predicted route match closely with the actual route which helps tugboats arrive at the right location at the right times. The framework’s focus on optimising both pick-up and drop-off points helps port operators avoid inefficiencies that can arise from poorly coordinated tugboat movements.
By improving the efficiency of tugboat operations, DRL4Route contributes to a more sustainable and resilient port ecosystem. The system’s adaptability and potential for real-time decision-making make it a strong candidate for future automation of tugboat operations. This thesis highlights how advanced machine learning techniques can enhance the performance of ports like Rotterdam, driving economic benefits and reducing the environmental impact of maritime operations.
A framework for PCO models in different port governance structures
A roadmap for PCO tool implementation
Developing a decision support tool for the operation of parallel AS/RS during partial downtime
A case study at Jumbo Supermarkets
The proposed framework demonstrates substantial improvements over ASML’s current benchmarks, reducing forecast errors by up to 37.4% and simulated costs by 48.3%. Additionally, robustness testing was conducted using jitter tests, ensuring the model’s stability in the face of noisy data. The explainability and feature importance of the machine learning models were investigated using SHAP values. The study’s results highlight the model’s adaptability, offering a valuable tool for improving capacity planning in various industries dealing with demand volatility. ...
The proposed framework demonstrates substantial improvements over ASML’s current benchmarks, reducing forecast errors by up to 37.4% and simulated costs by 48.3%. Additionally, robustness testing was conducted using jitter tests, ensuring the model’s stability in the face of noisy data. The explainability and feature importance of the machine learning models were investigated using SHAP values. The study’s results highlight the model’s adaptability, offering a valuable tool for improving capacity planning in various industries dealing with demand volatility.
This work proposes a generic simulation model for grain terminals featuring a storage space allocation heuristic and the option to include cold ironing operations and unloading operations involving wind-assisted carriers. The generic character of the model is obtained by understanding what processes are common to different terminals and to what minimal level of detail they have to be modelled in order to obtain reliable simulation results. Moreover, the model gains further versatility due to its parametric and period-based character. These two features enable users to effortlessly conduct reliable simulations throughout all stages of design or revamping projects. This includes using information typically available at the start of a project as well as more detailed data that becomes available in later phases. The model includes the possibility to visualise and investigate the energy consumption of the system, crucial information to face present-day challenges such as the adaptation and enlargement of the electrical grid and the capacity estimation for the installation of new green energy production plants. The effectiveness of the model and its generic quality are validated with different study cases from real-world terminals. Additionally, in order to show the genericity of the model and its potential, this study features multiple experiments to investigate different aspects of terminal operational and energetic efficiency, involving the changes in operations caused by the introduction of shore power connections and wind-assisted carriers, a comparison of different unloading technologies, and a validation of the industrial common practices in the field. ...
This work proposes a generic simulation model for grain terminals featuring a storage space allocation heuristic and the option to include cold ironing operations and unloading operations involving wind-assisted carriers. The generic character of the model is obtained by understanding what processes are common to different terminals and to what minimal level of detail they have to be modelled in order to obtain reliable simulation results. Moreover, the model gains further versatility due to its parametric and period-based character. These two features enable users to effortlessly conduct reliable simulations throughout all stages of design or revamping projects. This includes using information typically available at the start of a project as well as more detailed data that becomes available in later phases. The model includes the possibility to visualise and investigate the energy consumption of the system, crucial information to face present-day challenges such as the adaptation and enlargement of the electrical grid and the capacity estimation for the installation of new green energy production plants. The effectiveness of the model and its generic quality are validated with different study cases from real-world terminals. Additionally, in order to show the genericity of the model and its potential, this study features multiple experiments to investigate different aspects of terminal operational and energetic efficiency, involving the changes in operations caused by the introduction of shore power connections and wind-assisted carriers, a comparison of different unloading technologies, and a validation of the industrial common practices in the field.
Development of a Decision Support Tool for the Storage Policy of a Robotic Mobile Fulfilment System
A CEVA Logistics Den Haag Case Study
both the picking as well as the replenishment side of the system. It is important to investigate both sides of the system since the flaws on one side can negatively affect the other side. The scores of the replenishment and picking processes are then averaged to gain a final score which indicates the overall performance of the
policies. Finally a fifth policy has been developed where each pod can contain multiple different sized compartments. Unfortunately testing and verification of this policy was not possible in the given time frame. For this reason it has been left out of the experiments. ...
both the picking as well as the replenishment side of the system. It is important to investigate both sides of the system since the flaws on one side can negatively affect the other side. The scores of the replenishment and picking processes are then averaged to gain a final score which indicates the overall performance of the
policies. Finally a fifth policy has been developed where each pod can contain multiple different sized compartments. Unfortunately testing and verification of this policy was not possible in the given time frame. For this reason it has been left out of the experiments.
Peak Shaving the Electrical Power Demand of Ship-to-shore Cranes
Developing operational policies to maintain productivity under increasingly restrictive peak power limitations
The aim of this study is to develop operational policies that effectively maintain productivity for a cluster of six ship-to-shore cranes under increasingly restrictive peak power limitations. A discrete event simulation approach was employed for evaluating the operational and economic impact. In total four policies were developed, two according to the `who fits is served' approach (policy 0 and policy 1) and two according to the `priority based' approach (policy 2 and policy 3). In the first approach the initiation of a movement only depends on the power availability, while for the second approach the initiation of a movement depends on the power availability and the urgency of the movement in terms of productivity. Moreover, for both approaches one policy allows only one kinematic profile (policy 0 and policy 2) and one policy allows varying kinematic profiles (policy 1 and policy 3). A metaheuristic was employed to find near-optimal adapted kinematic profiles.
The findings of this study suggest that the established `priority based' approach is more effective than the `who fits is served' approach in maintaining productivity under increasingly restrictive peak power limitations. When combined with the allowance of adapted kinematic profiles (policy 3), this strategy achieves the most cost savings. Policy 3, has been shown to reduce the contractual power demand related costs by 53\% compared to the baseline scenario, which is the greatest recorded reduction of all created policies without adversely affecting the ship-to-shore cranes' productivity.
...
The aim of this study is to develop operational policies that effectively maintain productivity for a cluster of six ship-to-shore cranes under increasingly restrictive peak power limitations. A discrete event simulation approach was employed for evaluating the operational and economic impact. In total four policies were developed, two according to the `who fits is served' approach (policy 0 and policy 1) and two according to the `priority based' approach (policy 2 and policy 3). In the first approach the initiation of a movement only depends on the power availability, while for the second approach the initiation of a movement depends on the power availability and the urgency of the movement in terms of productivity. Moreover, for both approaches one policy allows only one kinematic profile (policy 0 and policy 2) and one policy allows varying kinematic profiles (policy 1 and policy 3). A metaheuristic was employed to find near-optimal adapted kinematic profiles.
The findings of this study suggest that the established `priority based' approach is more effective than the `who fits is served' approach in maintaining productivity under increasingly restrictive peak power limitations. When combined with the allowance of adapted kinematic profiles (policy 3), this strategy achieves the most cost savings. Policy 3, has been shown to reduce the contractual power demand related costs by 53\% compared to the baseline scenario, which is the greatest recorded reduction of all created policies without adversely affecting the ship-to-shore cranes' productivity.
Demand response in a container terminal
A stochastic optimization of the operational planning considering energy consumption
This thesis investigates the possibility and potential benefits of fatigue consideration in the job-shop scheduling problem for a partially automated order picking system. We present a new bi-objective mixed integer nonlinear programming problem formulation to represent system constraints and a predictive fatigue model while considering worker fatigue and productivity during schedule optimisation. To put the results of simulated optimisation in perspective, we experimentally validate the fatigue model predictions and fatigue mitigation capabilities of the scheduling approach using heart rate measurements and qualitative fatigue ratings. These experiments occur with employees in a real-life partially automated order picking system.
Our mathematical model can find solutions that the conventional single-objective optimisation approach cannot, allowing fractional energy expenditure distribution improvements more than 4x larger than the decrease in productivity they require in 53% of the considered virtual cases. This is a promising result for fatigue mitigation in operations only by altering operational decision-making. However, the validation experiments show that our predictive fatigue model has an average RMSE of 2.20 kcal/min in estimating energy expenditure rates compared to heart rate measurements while also showing a low correlation. When assessing 10 minute intervals, a time span that fits a scheduling scope, the estimations improve slightly (avg. deviation of -1.85 kcal/min, avg. correlation of 0.17) but still underestimate the measured values. The experiments also show no significant differences in experienced fatigue between existing schedules and those with fatigue mitigation measures applied.
We conclude that the current scheduling formulation is not yet fit for application with a predictive fatigue model. However, real-life operations can benefit from energy expenditure estimation via heart rate measurements and a different approach for implementation is proposed. Research opportunities lie in further fatigue model development and validation, extension to indirect fatigue effects and other human factors, and further development of the mathematical formulation. ...
This thesis investigates the possibility and potential benefits of fatigue consideration in the job-shop scheduling problem for a partially automated order picking system. We present a new bi-objective mixed integer nonlinear programming problem formulation to represent system constraints and a predictive fatigue model while considering worker fatigue and productivity during schedule optimisation. To put the results of simulated optimisation in perspective, we experimentally validate the fatigue model predictions and fatigue mitigation capabilities of the scheduling approach using heart rate measurements and qualitative fatigue ratings. These experiments occur with employees in a real-life partially automated order picking system.
Our mathematical model can find solutions that the conventional single-objective optimisation approach cannot, allowing fractional energy expenditure distribution improvements more than 4x larger than the decrease in productivity they require in 53% of the considered virtual cases. This is a promising result for fatigue mitigation in operations only by altering operational decision-making. However, the validation experiments show that our predictive fatigue model has an average RMSE of 2.20 kcal/min in estimating energy expenditure rates compared to heart rate measurements while also showing a low correlation. When assessing 10 minute intervals, a time span that fits a scheduling scope, the estimations improve slightly (avg. deviation of -1.85 kcal/min, avg. correlation of 0.17) but still underestimate the measured values. The experiments also show no significant differences in experienced fatigue between existing schedules and those with fatigue mitigation measures applied.
We conclude that the current scheduling formulation is not yet fit for application with a predictive fatigue model. However, real-life operations can benefit from energy expenditure estimation via heart rate measurements and a different approach for implementation is proposed. Research opportunities lie in further fatigue model development and validation, extension to indirect fatigue effects and other human factors, and further development of the mathematical formulation.