J.H.R. van Duin
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35 records found
1
A Depot-Specific Incentive mechanism on Dispatchers Empty-Container Routing Decisions in Merchant Haulage
A Case Study on Maersk's Inland Depots in the Netherlands
The research objective was to develop and embed an artefact that quantifies the consequences of forecasting errors in financial and operational terms. The Design Science Research Process (DSRP) was applied to structure the study. The phases were structured as follows; first the ’Problem Identification and Motivation’ phase was conducted in the introduction setting out the problem, structure the research and introduce the case study. The next phase ’Objectives of a solution’ is conducted by mapping the complete promotional forecasting process to understand problems and clearly pinpoint where the artefact can address the problem. In the ’Design and Development’ the indicators and their calculations are defined, followed by the ’Demonstration’ phase which shows the design of the artefact, a decision supportive dashboard. Afterwards, the evaluation phase presents the results for two articles and subsequently discusses the feedback received from end-users. The report finalises with the ’Communication’ phase, presenting how the dashboard will be integrated in the existing process. This approach resulted in a dashboard that will be supportive in two key steps of the promotional forecasting process: the first when products are selected for promotion, and the second when Picnic’s analysts review the forecasted quantities and decide whether to adjust them based on the insights provided by the dashboard.
The study offers both academic and practical contributions. Academically, it adds to the limited body of research focusing on the operational impacts of forecasting errors and on understanding how these impacts influence inventory management decisions. By integrating financial and operational cost factors into the assessment of forecasting performance, the study advances the understanding and quantification of over- and under-stocking risks. This claim is supported by a preliminary literature review, which revealed no relevant studies addressing these aspects. Practically, the developed dashboard serves as a valuable decision-support tool within Picnic, aiding in both selecting products for the promotion and reviewing the forecast quantities to be stocked for the promotion. ...
The research objective was to develop and embed an artefact that quantifies the consequences of forecasting errors in financial and operational terms. The Design Science Research Process (DSRP) was applied to structure the study. The phases were structured as follows; first the ’Problem Identification and Motivation’ phase was conducted in the introduction setting out the problem, structure the research and introduce the case study. The next phase ’Objectives of a solution’ is conducted by mapping the complete promotional forecasting process to understand problems and clearly pinpoint where the artefact can address the problem. In the ’Design and Development’ the indicators and their calculations are defined, followed by the ’Demonstration’ phase which shows the design of the artefact, a decision supportive dashboard. Afterwards, the evaluation phase presents the results for two articles and subsequently discusses the feedback received from end-users. The report finalises with the ’Communication’ phase, presenting how the dashboard will be integrated in the existing process. This approach resulted in a dashboard that will be supportive in two key steps of the promotional forecasting process: the first when products are selected for promotion, and the second when Picnic’s analysts review the forecasted quantities and decide whether to adjust them based on the insights provided by the dashboard.
The study offers both academic and practical contributions. Academically, it adds to the limited body of research focusing on the operational impacts of forecasting errors and on understanding how these impacts influence inventory management decisions. By integrating financial and operational cost factors into the assessment of forecasting performance, the study advances the understanding and quantification of over- and under-stocking risks. This claim is supported by a preliminary literature review, which revealed no relevant studies addressing these aspects. Practically, the developed dashboard serves as a valuable decision-support tool within Picnic, aiding in both selecting products for the promotion and reviewing the forecast quantities to be stocked for the promotion.
The integration of an automated planning system at a liner shipping company
Optimizing the planning of empty containers by the use of a new technology tool
Developing a Framework for Combining Port Functions with Water Storage in the Netherlands
Application to the Amsterdam Houtrakpolder Case
Time-window based Truck Appointment System with Adaptive Slot management and Real-Time Truck Information
A case study for the loading operations in a Chemical Plant
Cold Chain dynamics and insights into fresh fruit imports
A value stream map for analyzing operations, challenges, and opportunities for improving the global first-mile fresh fruit reefer cold chain - Case study Port of Hamburg
Besi, full name BE Semiconductor Industries N.V., is an multinational semiconductor equipment manufacturer which originates from The Netherlands. The company was founded in 1995 by Richard Blickman and now has operations in, among other countries, China, Switzerland and Malaysia. Besi develops leading edge assembly processes and equipment for leadframe, substrate and wafer level packaging applications in a wide range of end-user markets including electronics, mobile internet, cloud server, computing, automotive, industrial, LED and solar energy.
%more about besi
This paper investigates the challenges organizations face when implementing ML models into their demand forecasting processes, aiming to design a framework and implementation plan to guide organizations in adopting ML techniques. The research methodology employed is design science research (DSR), which focuses on developing and validating new designs within existing systems. The paper follows the iterative steps of DSR, including problem identification and motivation, objective definition, design and development, demonstration, evaluation, and communication. This iterative process facilitates collaboration with literature and industry experts to design a practical solution.
The study draws on literature research and exploratory discussions with Besi employees, emphasizing five key areas for investigation: the current forecasting process, existing forecasting techniques, organizational requirements, limitations, and input-output considerations. The findings highlight that Besi, similar to other organizations, employs a multi-layered forecasting process, with the most effective layer for implementing improvements and ML models being the initial forecast. Additionally, Besi predominantly relies on judgment-based forecasting techniques, making the implementation of a neutral ML tool necessary to create a hybrid forecasting system that mitigates human bias. Besi possesses the necessary prerequisites for effective ML techniques, such as clean and abundant data, but lacks the expertise required to construct and implement accurate models. Furthermore, Besi desires a neutral model that counters human bias and inputs historical monthly sales data, with the output expressed as total monthly sales.
To facilitate successful implementation within Besi's forecasting chain, several aspects are explored: the process framework (including integration, monitoring, updating, forecasting, and communication), peripheral considerations (e.g., legal and end-user trust), and the dashboard. The process framework is designed based on the existing forecasting process at Besi, incorporating the ML model, a dashboard, and revised information flows. The steps align with literature recommendations for ML-based forecasting, indicating that initial implementation is expected to face minimal resistance, monitoring is an ongoing task for the forecaster, updating involves improving the model and frequent training with new data, forecasting remains with the same personnel but incorporates additional information sources, and communication remains unchanged.
Peripheral matters, such as regulations and end-user trust, are limited in their impact, with research indicating that no laws impede ML model implementation, while a dashboard can enhance trust among direct users. Gradual implementation in phases, where the model does not hold authoritative power, facilitates organizational acceptance.
Based on insights from all sources, a step-wise plan for ML model implementation is proposed. The initial phase involves assembling the necessary infrastructure, data, and stakeholders, followed by creating and implementing a minimum viable product as a confirmation tool alongside the existing forecasting process. The minimal viable product is a functional model that provides usable accuracy and lists expected monthly sales based solely on historical data and observed fluctuations.
The second and final step focuses on refining the model and presenting its findings through a dashboard, incorporating information from other relevant sources to support the forecaster in making informed forecasts. This phase also enables improved communication with other relevant departments. Ultimately, the forecast incorporates real-time sales data for increased accuracy.
Feedback from Besi representatives indicates that this implementation approach is suitable for their business. The framework and steps presented in this study have been generalized to benefit other organizations, making an academic contribution in the field of ML-based demand forecasting. This contribution stems from the building upon the theory by Caniato in implementing a quantitative forecasting method. The new findings show that there are multiple ways to implement a quantitative method and that, according to this paper, the implementation is best cut up into two phases for smooth transition and maximum acceptance. ...
Besi, full name BE Semiconductor Industries N.V., is an multinational semiconductor equipment manufacturer which originates from The Netherlands. The company was founded in 1995 by Richard Blickman and now has operations in, among other countries, China, Switzerland and Malaysia. Besi develops leading edge assembly processes and equipment for leadframe, substrate and wafer level packaging applications in a wide range of end-user markets including electronics, mobile internet, cloud server, computing, automotive, industrial, LED and solar energy.
%more about besi
This paper investigates the challenges organizations face when implementing ML models into their demand forecasting processes, aiming to design a framework and implementation plan to guide organizations in adopting ML techniques. The research methodology employed is design science research (DSR), which focuses on developing and validating new designs within existing systems. The paper follows the iterative steps of DSR, including problem identification and motivation, objective definition, design and development, demonstration, evaluation, and communication. This iterative process facilitates collaboration with literature and industry experts to design a practical solution.
The study draws on literature research and exploratory discussions with Besi employees, emphasizing five key areas for investigation: the current forecasting process, existing forecasting techniques, organizational requirements, limitations, and input-output considerations. The findings highlight that Besi, similar to other organizations, employs a multi-layered forecasting process, with the most effective layer for implementing improvements and ML models being the initial forecast. Additionally, Besi predominantly relies on judgment-based forecasting techniques, making the implementation of a neutral ML tool necessary to create a hybrid forecasting system that mitigates human bias. Besi possesses the necessary prerequisites for effective ML techniques, such as clean and abundant data, but lacks the expertise required to construct and implement accurate models. Furthermore, Besi desires a neutral model that counters human bias and inputs historical monthly sales data, with the output expressed as total monthly sales.
To facilitate successful implementation within Besi's forecasting chain, several aspects are explored: the process framework (including integration, monitoring, updating, forecasting, and communication), peripheral considerations (e.g., legal and end-user trust), and the dashboard. The process framework is designed based on the existing forecasting process at Besi, incorporating the ML model, a dashboard, and revised information flows. The steps align with literature recommendations for ML-based forecasting, indicating that initial implementation is expected to face minimal resistance, monitoring is an ongoing task for the forecaster, updating involves improving the model and frequent training with new data, forecasting remains with the same personnel but incorporates additional information sources, and communication remains unchanged.
Peripheral matters, such as regulations and end-user trust, are limited in their impact, with research indicating that no laws impede ML model implementation, while a dashboard can enhance trust among direct users. Gradual implementation in phases, where the model does not hold authoritative power, facilitates organizational acceptance.
Based on insights from all sources, a step-wise plan for ML model implementation is proposed. The initial phase involves assembling the necessary infrastructure, data, and stakeholders, followed by creating and implementing a minimum viable product as a confirmation tool alongside the existing forecasting process. The minimal viable product is a functional model that provides usable accuracy and lists expected monthly sales based solely on historical data and observed fluctuations.
The second and final step focuses on refining the model and presenting its findings through a dashboard, incorporating information from other relevant sources to support the forecaster in making informed forecasts. This phase also enables improved communication with other relevant departments. Ultimately, the forecast incorporates real-time sales data for increased accuracy.
Feedback from Besi representatives indicates that this implementation approach is suitable for their business. The framework and steps presented in this study have been generalized to benefit other organizations, making an academic contribution in the field of ML-based demand forecasting. This contribution stems from the building upon the theory by Caniato in implementing a quantitative forecasting method. The new findings show that there are multiple ways to implement a quantitative method and that, according to this paper, the implementation is best cut up into two phases for smooth transition and maximum acceptance.
Unlocking the Potential of Public EV Charging
A machine learning approach for the prediction of individual public EV charging session flexibility
CO2 emission information in supply chain decision making
An exploratory study of the opportunities for CO2 emission information in decision making processes of port hinterland activities of global supply chains
Self-Organization in Intra-Logistics
An Intuitive Modelling Approach to Study Emergent Behaviour
In recent decades, logistic markets havebeen changing. Ecommerce is growing steadily, and the recent Covid19 pandemicgave an extra boost to that. Besides, customers are seeking more flexibility inthe logistic services. Parcel delivery is changing, yet this leads to variousnegative externalities including congestion, air, and noise pollution. Theseeffects let companies seek innovative solutions for their parcel transport. Oneof these innovations is ’crowdshipping’,parcel delivery done by the crowd instead of conventional delivery companies.By making use of existing passenger transport rather than a speciallydispatched driver to ship parcels, parcel shipping should be economically and environmentallymore sustainable. Crowdshipping is a service that has shown potential in pilotsand smallscale researches. However, strategic analyses of the impact ofcrowdshipping on all actors in the transport systems are still lacking. Thegoal of this research is to explore the interactions between travellers and parcelshipments in various strategic crowdshipping contexts and assess their impacton transport use. To achieve that, the following main research question will beanswered: ’How could sustainable crowdshipping impact freightand passenger transport use?’. A simulation model is built using agentbased modelling to explorebehaviour and simulate possible effects. This model consists of interactionsbetween four agents in the system; the customers,crowdshipping platform, travellers and occasional carriers. First, thecustomers place their orders at the platform. When travellers make their trip,they could consider carrying a parcel along their way. They notice their plannedtrip to the platform, which will calculate the optimal parcels for them. Thetravellers could opt for one of the parcels and turn into occasional carriers.The impact of crowdshipping is assessed by calculating the detour theoccasional carriers travel to deliver their parcels. Other outcomes are the providedcompensation and percentage of matched parcels, to determine the viability ofthe platform. The spatial demarcation of the simulation is most of the provinceof South Holland in the Netherlands. In this study area, 2.3 million peoplereside who order over 220,000 parcels each day. Furthermore, 4.1 million tripsare made daily by car and bicycle. Taking the willingness of both customers andtravellers into account, 13,000 parcels and 750,000 traveller trips enter themodel. Four experiments are performed to inspect system behaviour in variouscontexts. The results show that implementing crowdshipping in this study areacould be viable. The average provided compensation is lower than the priceconsignors currently pay for conventional delivery. Besides, the delivery degreeseems acceptable to get a decent level of service. Through crowdshipping, thetravelled distance in the passenger transport system will increase because ofthe detours taken by occasional carriers. This increase subsequently leads to adecrease in freight transport distance through a decreased demand inconventional parcel demand. However, the passenger transport increase exceeds thefreight transport decrease. The crowdshipping platform could limit the takendetours by making strategic choices in their implementation. This might be atthe expense of their delivery degree. It is advised for the public authority toset boundaries for the platform and stimulate strategic matching choices basedon these possible externalities. When interpreting these results, cautionshould be taken. The approach has some shortcomings regarding the spatialdistribution of detours, costs of platform’s viabilityand first leg distances for parcel transport. Furthermore, limitations could befound in the assumptions made for the simulation model. This includes theabstraction that travellers do not deviate from their planned trips andmodalities, and travellers could only carry one parcel. Another simplificationis made in the matching strategy by the platform which might have led tosuboptimal drivers for the parcels. Other limitations are caused by flawed datause. Travellers’ and customers’willingness could therefore be unreliable. Also, pedestrian and publictransport travellers are not considered due to data deficiency. Furtherresearch could be done in three ways within this field of study. First, moredata can be gathered to solve the abovementioned limitations. This includesdata on preferential routes for occasional carriers and willingness data fortravellers in all modes. Secondly, other conceptual choices can be made tooptimise the detours per parcel with forecasted travellers, or to conceptualisethe collaboration between conventional and crowdshipping delivery. Finally,research can be done to study intervention methods and corresponding legalpossibilities for the public administration to limit travellers’ detours. ...
In recent decades, logistic markets havebeen changing. Ecommerce is growing steadily, and the recent Covid19 pandemicgave an extra boost to that. Besides, customers are seeking more flexibility inthe logistic services. Parcel delivery is changing, yet this leads to variousnegative externalities including congestion, air, and noise pollution. Theseeffects let companies seek innovative solutions for their parcel transport. Oneof these innovations is ’crowdshipping’,parcel delivery done by the crowd instead of conventional delivery companies.By making use of existing passenger transport rather than a speciallydispatched driver to ship parcels, parcel shipping should be economically and environmentallymore sustainable. Crowdshipping is a service that has shown potential in pilotsand smallscale researches. However, strategic analyses of the impact ofcrowdshipping on all actors in the transport systems are still lacking. Thegoal of this research is to explore the interactions between travellers and parcelshipments in various strategic crowdshipping contexts and assess their impacton transport use. To achieve that, the following main research question will beanswered: ’How could sustainable crowdshipping impact freightand passenger transport use?’. A simulation model is built using agentbased modelling to explorebehaviour and simulate possible effects. This model consists of interactionsbetween four agents in the system; the customers,crowdshipping platform, travellers and occasional carriers. First, thecustomers place their orders at the platform. When travellers make their trip,they could consider carrying a parcel along their way. They notice their plannedtrip to the platform, which will calculate the optimal parcels for them. Thetravellers could opt for one of the parcels and turn into occasional carriers.The impact of crowdshipping is assessed by calculating the detour theoccasional carriers travel to deliver their parcels. Other outcomes are the providedcompensation and percentage of matched parcels, to determine the viability ofthe platform. The spatial demarcation of the simulation is most of the provinceof South Holland in the Netherlands. In this study area, 2.3 million peoplereside who order over 220,000 parcels each day. Furthermore, 4.1 million tripsare made daily by car and bicycle. Taking the willingness of both customers andtravellers into account, 13,000 parcels and 750,000 traveller trips enter themodel. Four experiments are performed to inspect system behaviour in variouscontexts. The results show that implementing crowdshipping in this study areacould be viable. The average provided compensation is lower than the priceconsignors currently pay for conventional delivery. Besides, the delivery degreeseems acceptable to get a decent level of service. Through crowdshipping, thetravelled distance in the passenger transport system will increase because ofthe detours taken by occasional carriers. This increase subsequently leads to adecrease in freight transport distance through a decreased demand inconventional parcel demand. However, the passenger transport increase exceeds thefreight transport decrease. The crowdshipping platform could limit the takendetours by making strategic choices in their implementation. This might be atthe expense of their delivery degree. It is advised for the public authority toset boundaries for the platform and stimulate strategic matching choices basedon these possible externalities. When interpreting these results, cautionshould be taken. The approach has some shortcomings regarding the spatialdistribution of detours, costs of platform’s viabilityand first leg distances for parcel transport. Furthermore, limitations could befound in the assumptions made for the simulation model. This includes theabstraction that travellers do not deviate from their planned trips andmodalities, and travellers could only carry one parcel. Another simplificationis made in the matching strategy by the platform which might have led tosuboptimal drivers for the parcels. Other limitations are caused by flawed datause. Travellers’ and customers’willingness could therefore be unreliable. Also, pedestrian and publictransport travellers are not considered due to data deficiency. Furtherresearch could be done in three ways within this field of study. First, moredata can be gathered to solve the abovementioned limitations. This includesdata on preferential routes for occasional carriers and willingness data fortravellers in all modes. Secondly, other conceptual choices can be made tooptimise the detours per parcel with forecasted travellers, or to conceptualisethe collaboration between conventional and crowdshipping delivery. Finally,research can be done to study intervention methods and corresponding legalpossibilities for the public administration to limit travellers’ detours.
Usability of Physical Internet characteristics for achieving more sustainable urban freight logistics
Barriers and opportunities revealed by dominant stakeholder perspectives
This research presents a process design for an interorganisational capacity planning process that has the potential to improve alignment between the collaborating organisations. The principle-based design method presents a novel approach to addressing alignment problems in the domain of decision-model supported capacity planning collaboration between networked organisations. The process design is formulated through a design science method, wherein specific coordination challenges are matched to literature-derived principles regarding technical and interorganisational coordination of capacity planning processes. The design is evaluated against stakeholder defined requirements and through discussion of the proof of concept: an executed capacity study using the formulated design. ...
This research presents a process design for an interorganisational capacity planning process that has the potential to improve alignment between the collaborating organisations. The principle-based design method presents a novel approach to addressing alignment problems in the domain of decision-model supported capacity planning collaboration between networked organisations. The process design is formulated through a design science method, wherein specific coordination challenges are matched to literature-derived principles regarding technical and interorganisational coordination of capacity planning processes. The design is evaluated against stakeholder defined requirements and through discussion of the proof of concept: an executed capacity study using the formulated design.
Parcel Lockers - A Solution to the Last Mile Problem?
A Behavioural Analysis of Dutch Consumer Preferences